IPO : US IPO ETFAfter suffering a brutal bearish phase from 2021 to 2022 when the ETF ‘IPO’ suffered a 70% drawdown the ETF is recently having a renaissance. ETF has been having a comeback since 2024. It has recovered almost 80% from its lows. The recent weakness in the market has pushed it below 100 day SMA in the weekly charts.
IPO trade ideas
IPOThe IPO stock is in an upward trend on the monthly chart, and the weekly chart indicates that it is likely to reach a higher peak than $77. The downward trendline formed by the 2021 high has been broken. We will wait for a pullback and enter when the green trendline is touched or when the red downward trendline is tested. We will monitor the stock in the coming period to identify a good entry zone. I will post an update on the chart.
Bubble ETF to speculate SPX movesIn traditional markets, especially equities, individual tickers/ETFs/main indices can lag one another but they all move in the same direction at a HTF. It is only the strength of their moves which brings a divergence in their price. This can be a useful tool/signal to speculate when the markets are going to make an important bear/bull turn and also see where they are placed in the cycle.
Here I am making use of the Renaissance IPO fund which ran its bubble course after Covid and burst spectacularly back to the Covid lows. This zone is obviously an important pivot suggesting currently in EW 4th wave retrace and taking a modest .382 fib retrace gives the fund a further ~20% increase. This can at the minimum equate to a 3 to 6% run for SPX which puts it around the 4300 - 4500 area. At least, it can inform us that there is a further run for SPX until the IPO target is reached.
Two paths here to the target:
Path 1: Direct run by June end.
Path 2: Further correction near term before eventual target by August end.
Recent IPOs Just Had a Historic WeekIf the last 11 months in the market has taught investors anything, it’s that rising interest rates can drag on high-multiple growth stocks. That was especially true for recent initial public offerings, but things might be changing.
This chart shows the Renaissance IPO ETF with weekly candles. It has the rate of change indicator set to one-period intervals, making it show simple 1-week changes.
Did you know that last week featured the biggest gain since IPO launched in October 2013?
In isolation, that’s an interesting bit of trivia. It might get more interesting when you consider a few more points.
First, we’re approaching a new quarter and a new half. Big institutional investors often reallocate around these times. Will they return to IPOs after a 54 percent pullback from the 52-week highs?
Second, “growth” stocks have tried to pull ahead of “value” for the first time since last July. Check out this daily chart comparing the iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF against the iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF:
Third, the shift away from growth mostly resulted from higher oil prices, higher inflation and higher interest rates. But those trends may have also stalled after energy stocks tanked and the 10-year Treasury yield failed to hold an 11-year high.
Overall, the Fed’s hiking cycle isn’t done and inflation remains a problem. But last week the market showed signs of looking past those challenges – at least for now.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
Important Information
TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. You Can Trade, Inc. is also a wholly owned subsidiary of TradeStation Group, Inc., operating under its own brand and trademarks. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a Member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products, and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means.
This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates.
Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
Buy IPO stocks and hold themStocks with a recent IPO are massively sold off, and at great support levels for a long-term investment. You can either buy this index, or specifically pick ones that you like. I am doing BOTH, and I will sell them in a few months if they rise enough. I will just add even more if we go lower. The price has never closed a single monthly candle more than 3% lower than the current price: just look at that price action!
The dust settles on the IPO bubbleTaking the chart of the IPO ETF over the SPX, we can see that the IPO stocks had an incredible bubble in 2020, allowing business owners to go public and dump shares for 10, or even 100 times what they were worth in some cases. At its peak, this bubble had increased IPO by 100% above the already increasing SPX. As it always goes, the bubble popped and now we are in a state of utter dispair. However, there is hope in sight, since the next phase to expect is a return to the mean. This could send IPO stocks once again into the spotlight, if only for awhile. All this to say, it's a good time to hold assets that had a recent IPO, namely Palantir (PLTR).
Renaissance IPO ETFAlong with the popularity of individual IPOs, the Renaissance IPO ETF—trading under the apt “IPO” ticker—has built a hype train of its own. The ETF had $40.5 million in assets under management on December 31, 2019 and ended 2020 with more than $740 million, a whopping 18x increase.
Technically, it is in the bullish trend, price is sitting on the support level around 57.50, so we should wait till it breaks the correction line and then buy.
Write in the comments below which company you'd like to see in my next analysis.
Renaissance Capital "The IPO Expert"An IPO research group. With the way investing is going for the young folk, with a little promotion, I don't see how this product couldn't be progressive to someone who loves getting details on companies that are about to go IPO at a later date or an IPO that has already been listed.
Target Price: $70-77
Like, Follow, Agree, Disagree!
Let me know what you think!
Details in photo
*This is not investing advice.
Deal ✓178 IPO Mavenir plc (MVNR) - the future of mobile networksStock market. Stocks. IPO Mavenir plc (MVNR) — the company's IPO will take place on October 28, 2020.It is a provider OF software for the digital transformation of mobile networks. Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan and BofA Securities are the underwriters of the offering. The deadline for submitting an order with the broker is 20-00 Moscow time on 27.10.2020, the start date of trading is 29.10.2020.
2% of the Fund will be invested in shares of this company. A detailed report on the transaction, or "opportunity card" for all partners of our Fund, will be provided in PDF format. Anyone who wants to get more information, please write in private messages.
5 last "gold" deals that we published in advance in the network (10% per transaction):
at the moment, the equity of all positions +3.5% (start of the Fund 24.10.2020)
1) 23.10.2020 (1) Habib-Geiji result +35%
2) 18.10.2020 (0) Rublev-Chorich result +29%
3) 11.10.2020 (0) Djokovic-Nadal result +75%
4) 30.09.2020 (0) PAOK-Krasnodar result +60%
5) 26.09.2020 (0) Adansonia – Costa result +60%
5 last "silver" deals on the Fund(available only to Fund partners, 2% deal):
at the moment equity of all positions +43.92% (the Fund started working on 13.08.2020)
1) 26.10.2020 (177) IPO Root Inc (ROOT) result 0% (the deal is not closed)
2) 20.10.2020 (176)Dynamo-Juventus result +122%
3) 25.10.2020 (175) Gombos — Sachko result +150%
4) 25.10.2020 (174) Auger Shvartsman, the result is +38%
5) 25.10.2020 (173) Porto Lived Vincere the result is +0%
If you have any questions about cooperation, you can write to the Foundation's founder and Manager Ivan Kuznetsov in private messages.
Deal ✓177 - IPO Root Inc (ROOT)- a lot of money on the insurance
The stock market. Stocks. IPO Root Inc (ROOT) - on October 27, 2020, the IPO of a company that uses advanced mobile technologies, Analytics and artificial intelligence in the insurance industry will take place. The placement is underwritten by Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. The deadline for submitting an order with the broker is 20-00 Moscow time on 26.10.2020, the start date of trading is 28.10.2020.
2% of the Fund will be invested in shares of this company. A detailed report on the transaction, or "opportunity card" for all partners of our Fund, will be provided in PDF format. Anyone who wants to get more information, please write in private messages.
🌀 Deal ✓170 - cancer treatment again? Again +5000$ per day !?Stock market. Stocks. Foghorn Therapeutics (FHTX) IPO — on October 22, 2020, an IPO of A company that develops new cancer treatments will take place. The company's approach is based on a chromatin regulation system. The placement is underwritten by Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Cowen… The deadline for submitting an order with the broker is 20-00 Moscow time on 21.10.2020, the start date of trading is 22.10.2020.
2% of the Fund will be invested in shares of this company. A detailed report on the transaction, or "opportunity card" for all partners of our Fund, will be provided in PDF format. Anyone who wants to get more information, please write in private messages.
Last 3 Fund deals:
167 Dynamo Kiev — Juventus (life) TB1,5 KF2,22 result + 122%
168 Gasquet — De Minuar (life) P2 KF1.64 result +64%
169 Bedene — Raonic (life) 2 set P2 KF1.55 result +55
Deal 167 - IPO of McAfee + $ 5000 per day on antivirus softwareStock market. Stocks. On October 21, the IPO of McAfee Corp. will take place. The company is a world-renowned provider of cybersecurity software. The placement is underwritten by Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, TPG Capital BD, BofA Securities and Citigroup. The deadline for submitting an order with the broker is 20-00 Moscow time on 20.10.2020, the start date of trading is 22.10.2020.
2% of the Fund will be invested in shares of this company. A detailed report on the transaction, or "opportunity card" for all partners of our Fund, will be provided in PDF format. Anyone who wants to get more information, please write in private messages.
Keyword:IPO, McAfee, opportunity
🌀 Deal ✓165 - earn 450,000 rubles per day on the host?!Stock market. Stocks. IPO Datto Holding Corp (MSP) — on October 20, 2020, the IPO of A company that provides computing center services and hosting with extended system maintenance will take place. Morgan Stanley, Bofasecuries, Barclays and Credit Suisse are underwriters of the offering. The deadline for submitting an order with the broker is 20-00 Moscow time on 19.10.2020, the start date of trading is 21.10.2020.
2% of the Fund will be invested in shares of this company. A detailed report on the transaction, or "opportunity card" for all partners of our Fund, will be provided in PDF format. Anyone who wants to get more information, please write in private messages.
Keyword:IPO, opportunity, insider
Deal °157 IPO Ergo (EAR) +350000 RUB on hearing AIDS!Stock market. Stocks. IPO Eargo (EAR) — on October 15, 2020, the IPO of a company that is a manufacturer of medical equipment for people with hearing loss will take place. J. P. Morgan and BofA Securities are the underwriters of the offering… The deadline for submitting an order with the broker is 20-00 Moscow time on 14.10.2020, the start date of trading is 16.10.2020.
2% of the Fund will be invested in shares of this company. A detailed report on the transaction, or "opportunity card", for all partners of our Fund will be provided in PDF format. Anyone who wants to get more information, please write in private messages.
🌀 Deal ✓141 - IPO of Spruce Biosciences (SPRB) another biotech!Stock market. Stocks. IPO of Spruce Biosciences (SPRB) — on October 09, 2020, shares of a Company developing new treatments for rare endocrine diseases will start trading on the American stock exchange. The placement is underwritten by Cowen, SVB Leerink, Credit Suisse and RBC Capital Markets. The deadline for submitting an application with the broker is 20-00 Moscow time 07.10.2020, the placement date is 08.10.20
2% of the Fund will be invested in shares of this company. A detailed report on the transaction, or "opportunity card", for all partners of our Fund will be provided in PDF format. Anyone who wants to receive them is asked to write with private messages.
Company: Spruce Biosciences, Inc. (SPB) boutique
rating: 3
Scoop rating: 2
Oversubscribed: oversubscribed (100% )
Deal #140 - IPO Shattuck Labs (STD) double income from treatment
Stock market. Stocks. IPO of Shattuck Labs (STTK) — on October 09, 2020, shares of the Company that develops drugs for treating cancer and improving the body's immune response to tumors will begin trading on the American stock exchange. The placement is underwritten by Citigroup, Cowen, and Evercore ISI. The deadline for submitting an application with the broker is 20-00 Moscow time 07.10.2020, the placement date is 08.10.20.
2% of the Fund will be invested in shares of this company. A detailed report on the transaction, or "opportunity card", for all partners of our Fund will be provided in PDF format. Anyone who wants to receive them is asked to write with private messages.
Company: Shattuck Labs, Inc. (STTK) boutique
rating: 3
Scoop rating: 2
Oversubscribed: well-oversubscribed 200%