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IWM trade ideas

$IWM - Trading Levels for March 19 2025 The only MA’s in today’s trading range is the 30min 35EMA which we opened right at, and the 30min 200 At the top. Just one bear gap here at the same level where we filled the last one. Seems like a level with a lot of resistance (205) 35EMA is the level to watch - right now it’s neutral/bearish and if the 35EMA crosses above the 30 200 it will be bullish and if we get pushed back down under the 35EMA It will be bearish. 198 is current support
AMEX:IWM
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
Market Update - 3/30/2025Correction: * New leg lower Market seems to be accelerating to the downsides. I was ignoring the warning signs and entered a few poor quality setups so I lost probably around 2% from last week. I've had enough so I created a new rule where I can only enter picture perfect 5* setups in bad market environments like we are in now. Despite all this, I'm flat for the month and sitting on 100% cash, which is quite refreshing to see given the indexes lost quite a lot and we're probably heading lower. I need to remember that sitting on cash is an edge. We've been in a bad environment for over 120 days which is the longest consecutive one since 2015. I expect another leg lower but I think once we find bottom, we can see a really strong rally. Maybe that rally will only last 1-2 weeks and then the market rolls over and we continue the correction, but the momentum leaders with 99 RS ratings in that rally will likely go up 100%+ in short amount of time. And I will be prepared. For now, sitting and waiting.
AMEX:IWM
by BenedekBokor
Opening (IRA): IWM May 16th 190/195/220/225 Iron Condor... for a 1.70 credit. Comments: I think I have more than enough long delta on at the moment, so opting to go nondirectional/delta neutral here. Selling the 25's and buying the wings out from there, collecting one-third the width of the wings in credit. Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 3.30 Max Profit: 1.70 ROC at Max: 51.5% 50% Max: .85 ROC at 50% Max: 25.8% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, roll in oppositional side on side test.
AMEX:IWM
by NaughtyPines
Market Update - 3/23/2025Chop-chop -> worst market environment for my style. I'm 100% cash, not much progress since last week, but I'm happy I could hold onto my winners and not give back basically anything. My biggest lesson right now is to learn how to be more selective with my trades. Even though I risk MUCH less than before so even if I mess them up it doesn't have much impact on my results, they still add up. If I take 10 losing trades of 0.3% risk (which is not at all uncommon in this environment), that's still a 3% drawdown that could have been avoided just by sitting on cash. My FOMO is something I need to work on and not feel bad for missing trades. I need to develop probabilistic thinking more and realize that missing a few trades doesn't matter in the grand scheme of things. But damn this lesson is hard.
AMEX:IWM
by BenedekBokor
IwmInteresting spot here near 200.00 Honesty it's the most oversold Stock/Index on my watchlist. Actually price has been trading inside this channel here After finishing up a H&S pattern Over the next 2weeks I think we can see a move back to 214 channel top and H&S neckline I don't think that move will be straight V shape either, maybe a pop to 206 or 207 gap close then a pullback ; if that pullback at holds 199 support then we could see 214, if we break below 198 then the move up is done and we keep sliding The bigger picture is this, IWM is headed back to trendline support of 15yr channel around 175-180
AMEX:IWM
by ContraryTrader
1
Is History Repeating on IWM?1. Historical Pattern Repeating? ✅ Symmetry Between 2021-2022 & 2024-2025 • Both price structures show an initial sharp rally, followed by a head-and-shoulders-type decline, then an extended bearish wave lower. • In 2022, IWM broke its long-term trendline (yellow) and crashed into a lower range. • Now in 2025, IWM is showing the same breakdown pattern below that same yellow trendline, suggesting another leg down. ✅ Fractal Pattern Match • The zigzag pattern (white lines) from 2021-2022 matches closely to the current market structure. • If this fractal pattern repeats, IWM could be heading for another prolonged decline toward $180 or lower. ✅ Major Resistance Held Strong • The yellow downward-sloping trendline acted as resistance in both 2021 & now in 2025. • This rejection in 2025 adds to the bearish probability of history repeating itself. ⸻ 2. Technical Indicators Confirm Bearish Bias 📉 Stochastic RSI (Momentum Indicator) • Currently oversold (~23.29), but no bullish reversal yet. • This suggests that momentum is still to the downside with no sign of a bounce. 📉 MACD (Trend & Momentum) • Bearish crossover confirmed, with the MACD histogram turning increasingly negative. • This reinforces that downward momentum is strong, aligning with the 2021 crash pattern. 📉 Moving Averages Acting as Resistance • The 200-day EMA (purple line) was broken & rejected, which is a strong bearish signal. • This rejection mirrors the 2021 rejection, which led to a deep sell-off. ⸻ 3. Price Targets & Potential Moves If IWM follows the 2021 fractal pattern, here’s where it could go: 🔴 Bearish Targets (If Breakdown Continues) • First Target: $190.00 → Minor support zone. • Second Target: $180.00 → Key historical support. • Final Target: $160.00 → Full fractal breakdown completion. 🟢 Bullish Reversal (Invalidation Point) • If IWM reclaims $204-$210, it could invalidate the pattern and start a recovery. • Breaking above the yellow trendline (~$210.85) would signal a bullish shift. ⸻ 4. How to Trade This Setup? 🔻 Bearish Trade Ideas (If IWM Stays Below $198.75 & Breaks $198.10) 1. 0DTE Put Option (High Risk, High Reward) • Buy IWM $195 Put (Exp. 3/14) • Target: $190.00 • Stop-Loss: If IWM reclaims $200. 2. Bear Put Spread (Safer Play) • Buy IWM $195 Put (Exp. 3/14) • Sell IWM $185 Put (Exp. 3/14) • Max Profit if IWM closes below $185. 3. Sell a Bear Call Spread (Credit Strategy) • Sell IWM $205 Call • Buy IWM $210 Call • Profit if IWM stays below $205. 🟢 Bullish Trade (If IWM Reclaims $204 & Breaks Above $210.85) • Buy IWM $210 Call (Exp. 3/14) → Target $217+ ⸻ 5. Conclusion – Is IWM Repeating the 2021 Crash? ✅ Yes, the fractal pattern suggests history is repeating. ✅ Downtrend confirmed, rejection at key resistance, and bearish indicators align. ✅ Watch for a break below $198.10 for further downside to $180-$160.
AMEX:IWM
by ReadyFor401k
Time to Scoop up Small Caps?The Russell 2000 is down 17% from November highs. According to Bank of America, small caps are not pricing in a recession. Historical small-cap selloffs during recessions have been 35-40%, with forward P/Es dropping about 30%. Earnings are still 38% below their peak. Small caps trade at 14.2x earnings, slightly below the historical average, suggesting they reflect a mild manufacturing slowdown rather than a recession. P/E valuations suggest 9% annualized returns for the Russell 2000 over the next decade, compared to 5% for mid-caps and 1% for large caps. IWM Technicals: - Multi-year log trend support. - Vastly under the yearly average (yellow).
AMEX:IWMLong
by Audacity618
1
IWM Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 031125Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 202/61.80% Chart time frame: B A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress: C A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
AMEX:IWM
by fibonacci6180