Small Caps about to MOON!AMEX:IWM CAPITALCOM:RTY We could see that surge Tom Lee has been talking about in Small Caps Land! 👀 $259 Inbound 🎯 - Sitting on S/R Zone and Volume Shelf - Small Caps love Trump as President - WR%...well you can see what comes next Not financial adviceLongby RonnieV295
$IWM RECAP of Last Week Feb 10-14 YOU DON’T WANT TO GO LONG AT A DOWNWARD FACING MOVING AVERAGE - And in Friday’s Trading Range we had two of them. The 50 Day Moving average and the 30min 200MA and we got SMACKed back down after gapping over those on Friday. So Last Week was inflation Data. Monday we opened under the 35EMA and the 35EMA was underneath the 30min 200MA. That is a bearish signal. You can see how it acted as resistance and Tuesday we followed through with a gap down. Wednesday was CPI which came in hot and we gapped down to start the day and then traded up but still closed in the red. Thursday was PPI which was also hot and that brought us back to the 35EMA and we closed above it. Friday we made a run for the 50 Day moving average and opened with a gap above it - and you don’t want to go long at a downward facing moving average. Just a general rule of thumb and the 50 Day MA has a pretty decent downward momentum teamed up with the 30min 200MA that was going to get smacked. It just was. IWM closed flat on Friday -.08% by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading2
$IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Feb 18 Welcome back, y’all. We just had a 3 day weekend so we got an extra day of theta burn if you had any spreads on over the weekend. Holy Battling Momentum here. Downward Facing 50DMA and 30min 200 - that is what hit us on Friday!! So watch for that, as we probably aren’t going to be flying past that level too far while it’s still turned downward. 35EMA in the red with the 1hr 200MA as support by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading2
$IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Feb 21 The top of the implied move today looks intense. Downward facing 50DMA, Downward facing 30min 200 (which is at least above the 50DMA which is an improvement momentum-wise. And the 1hr 200MA. That Gap from yesterday runs through all of that. That area looks pretty mean. 227/228 bear call spreads for sure if we pop up to there. by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading2
$IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Feb 20 30min 200MA right in the middle and flat. 35EMA underneath it with the 50 day moving average. I always say, don’t go long at a downward facing 50DMA and we’ve been seeing that as resistance and also a loss in strength. Red signal line being tested here as well. Pretty big trading ranges today, definitely got an expansion from options for some reason. Let’s have some fun, y’all… by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading1
$IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Feb 19 Red signal line, Downward facing 50 Day moving Average A 225/224 bull put spread could look good at open. Even if we’re bearish closing within range is still likely. by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading1
$IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders Feb 14AMEX:IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders Feb 14 Alright. So futures are taking this right to the 50DMA at open which is facing down. Let’s see if we get smacked by it. A good general rule of thumb is don’t go long at downward facing moving averages since it is a measure of momentum - let’s see how it goes. Top of the implied move on the day is 229, and the bottom is 223… Lets gooooo… by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading2
$IWM CPI DROP to PPI POP IWM still closed bearishly underneath the 50 Day moving average - watch out for the 30min 200 & 50DMA as resistance Inflation is good for the market. It’s not good for the consumer. Small-cap stocks, which represent smaller companies with market capitalizations typically below $2 billion, can be particularly sensitive to inflation. These companies often have less pricing power, meaning they struggle to pass on rising costs to consumers without losing market share. Additionally, small caps tend to rely more on debt financing, and higher inflation often leads to rising interest rates, increasing borrowing costs. This can squeeze their profit margins and limit growth opportunities.by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading1
$IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders for Feb 10 AMEX:IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders for Feb 10 2025 This is a bearish game board here. We are under the 50DMA, we are under the 30min 200MA, and the 35EMA has gone bearish here. We have a red signal line. Expected move 222-229 Interesting. 🤔 Shortby SPYder_QQQueen_TradingUpdated 4
$IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders Feb 13 1hr 200MA pointing up and above the the 30min and 50DMA pointing down. Two down gaps above, and an up gap along the bottom The MA momentum is bearish right now so look to 35EMA and 30min 200MA as resistance!! The 50DMA looks like it could give a pretty solid smack if tested. Let’s go by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading2
$IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders Feb 12 AMEX:IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders Feb 12 So last Friday we saw the 35EMA go under the 30min 200MA and that was a bear signal with confirmation as we saw the 30min 200 as remittance and than a gap down away from it and a continuation of the 35EMA lower. You can just look at the momentum going through this chart and see what’s happening here. Wide range though. 50DMA taking us lower, technical bounce at the 1hr 200MA Oversold and waiting for JPOWby SPYder_QQQueen_Trading2
$IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders Feb 11 25AMEX:IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders Feb 11 25 Looks like we’re getting rejected away from the 50DMA again here, we had the 35EMA cross under the 30min 200MA, under the 50DMA and all of that together is a very bearish signal here. 1hr 200MA is facing up though and could offer a place to technical bounce on the day. by SPYder_QQQueen_TradingUpdated 2
$IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Feb 24 Only Level in our trading rant today? 35EMA. Don’t underestimate it. Support at 214 Don’t forget to grab the chart and lets goooo… by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading0
The IWM is sitting at critical support!!!On Friday, the IWM broke through a multi year support line (beige) and closed below a multi year parallel channel. Thankfully, it found support at its 200 day MA. If the IWM cannot recapture the inside of the parallel channel this week and confirms a close below the 200 day MA - watch out below. This should be on every one’s watch list this week because where the small caps go - every other risk asset will follow!!!Shortby CJKEATING0
$IWM Recap of Last Week Feb 18-21 Last week IWM opened up and got rejected right away at resistance and there was a LOT of resistance there - the 50DMA being the Main one - being a Downward facing 50 Day Moving Average. Tuesday and Wednesday we continued to get rejected at the 50DMA Thursday we gapped down and dropped And on Friday we opened with a pop to almost the top of the implied move and got SMACKED by the dognap and the downward 50 Day Moving Average. Were you guys watching Stupid willy below? Tuesday end of day we got the red signal line and it plain out all week. From last Friday to Tuesday we saw a bearish divergence and then the red signal. Wild day, y’all!! And wild week. Moral of the week - DON'T go long at a downward facing moving average. by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading0
Small Caps Spring Loaded... But Which Way?Smalls caps seems to be building a base in which momentum will play out sharply one way. The million dollar question is which direction that momentum releases. In instances like this I don't hate the idea of being long premium (straddle). EMA stack is bullish so probability favors the bulls. We will see how this plays out in the days/weeks to come.by Lampros_Analytics110
anyone else tired of stop hunting algorithmsthe past two days RTY has been a complete pain in the ass to trade. nearly every time i've made a trade the price has immediately changed direction and b-lined straight to my stop loss. after hitting my stop loss the price IMMEDIATELY changes direction.Shortby Fraggle_Rock0
$IWM Trending UpThe Russell 200 Index is clearly in an established uptrend as you can see on this weekly chart. The CPI number out this morning looks like it will push it back to the lower trendline. If recent history is still intact (it is for now), there may be an opportunity for a long trade on a reversal. All TBD. My plan is to wait for a reversal back to the upside then look for a low-risk reward entry. There is an area of resistance around that horizontal line as well. Let me know your thoughts in the comments. Longby jaxdog0
IWM ShortThe past two weeks have been marked by significant volatility in global markets, driven by shifting U.S. economic policies, Federal Reserve decisions, and geopolitical developments. Here’s a breakdown of key events impacting the S&P 500 and global indices: --- ### **Past Week (Jan 24–31, 2025)** #### **1. Trump’s Tariff Threats Spark Market Anxiety** - President Trump confirmed 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada (effective Feb 1) and 10% duties on China, triggering a **2.6% drop in the Dow** and **0.5% S&P 500 decline** on Jan 31 . - Investors fear disruptions to supply chains and inflationary pressures, particularly for energy and tech sectors . - **Market reaction**: The dollar surged to a 2-year high, while Treasury yields climbed . Small-caps (Russell 2000 **+1%**) outperformed large-caps due to pro-deregulation hopes . #### **2. Fed Holds Rates Steady Amid Inflation Concerns** - The Federal Reserve paused rate cuts, keeping the benchmark rate at 4.50–4.75% despite cooling inflation . - **Market impact**: Tech stocks rebounded (Nasdaq **+1.6%**) as investors priced in delayed easing, while Treasury yields rose to 4.57% . #### **3. Tech Sector Volatility** - **Apple** fell **4%** after Jefferies downgraded its stock, citing weak AI prospects . - **Nvidia** surged **9%** post-selloff, reclaiming its position as the world’s most valuable company ($3.39T market cap) . - Crypto stocks rallied on Trump’s SEC crypto task force announcement (Bitcoin **+2.2%** to $106,109) . #### **4. Global Market Reactions** - **Japan’s Nikkei** plunged **8.1%** on Jan 29 amid U.S. recession fears, while European markets (Stoxx 50 **+1.3%**) stabilized . - **Emerging markets**: India’s growth slowed but remained resilient due to domestic demand . --- ### **Previous Week (Jan 17–24, 2025)** #### **1. Post-Inauguration Market Rally** - Trump’s pro-business executive orders drove the **S&P 500 to a record high (5,650)**, with small-caps (Solactive 2000 **+1.5%**) leading gains . - **Sector moves**: Energy stocks fell (**-3.3%**) on oil oversupply fears, while industrials rose on tariff negotiation hopes . #### **2. Jobs Report and Recession Fears** - Weak July hiring data (unemployment **4.3%**) intensified recession worries, causing a **3.7% S&P 500 drop** on Aug 5 . - Goldman Sachs raised recession odds to **25%** and projected three Fed rate cuts by December . #### **3. Global Sell-Off** - **Japan’s Nikkei** crashed **12.4%** (worst drop since 1987), triggering trading halts . - European markets (Stoxx 600 **-3%**) and Bitcoin (**-14%**) mirrored the panic . #### **4. Earnings and Sector Shifts** - **Charles Schwab** jumped **3%** on strong earnings, while **Walgreens** plunged **12%** amid opioid lawsuits . - Solar stocks (**Invesco Solar ETF -2.3%**) tanked after Trump axed green energy subsidies . --- ### **Key Trends to Monitor** | Factor | Impact on S&P 500/Global Markets | |-----------------------|-------------------------------------------| | **Tariff escalation** | Increased volatility in industrials, tech, and energy . | | **Fed policy** | Delayed rate cuts may pressure growth stocks . | | **Tech earnings** | AI-driven companies (Nvidia, Microsoft) remain pivotal . | | **Global growth** | Weakness in Japan/Europe could drag U.S. exports . | --- ### **Outlook for February 2025** - **Upcoming catalysts**: - **Feb 1 tariffs**: Markets will assess retaliation risks from China/EU . - **Q4 earnings**: Microsoft, Meta, and Tesla reports (Feb 2–5) could dictate tech sentiment . - **Fed guidance**: March rate decision remains critical for small-cap and housing sectors . Analysts project **S&P 500 2025 target: 6,500** (Goldman Sachs) but warn of **15% downside risks** if AI growth disappoints or tariffs escalate . Citations: www.cnbc.com www.thestreet.com www.nytimes.com www.newsweek.com www.cnbc.com www.jpmorgan.com www.cbsnews.com www.investopedia.com www.bloomberg.com www.bankrate.com apnews.com www.investopedia.com www.nahb.org www.cnet.com www.reuters.com www.economicsobservatory.com www.bbc.co.uk www.pwc.com www.deccanherald.com seekingalpha.com www.investopedia.com theweek.com www.investopedia.com www.reuters.com finance.yahoo.com money.usnews.com www.bloomberg.com www2.deloitte.com finance.yahoo.com www.cnn.com www.investopedia.com www.forbes.com www.reuters.com www.barrons.com economics.td.com www.investopedia.com www.nytimes.com --- Answer from Perplexity: pplx.ai/shareShortby samisabir212Updated 2
IWMgoing for a big swing to the downside and on the way down catch daily plays over all bearish but who knows don't quote meShort15:15by SMASHHH960
$IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders for Feb 7 20AMEX:IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders for Feb 7 2025 Another attempt to get above the 50 Day moving average here. The 50 day moving average is pointing down so I wouldn’t go long here until it is turned… more likely to trade flat along it for the moment. Just above use we have 230 where we have been seeing resistance. Quite a large trading range today - 1.62% not sure if we will use it all with this momentum but lets see.. 232 is the top of the implied move 225 on the downside by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading1
$IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders for Feb 6 20AMEX:IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders for Feb 6 2025 OK, so here we have a breakout above the 50 Day moving average and previous resistance. Let’s see it we get a follow through. 50 Day Moving Average momentum is pointing down by SPYder_QQQueen_TradingUpdated 1