IWM - joining the bull party soon?Bull cycles usually start with heavy weight stocks (especially those in technology and discretionary) taking the lead, with small-caps usually joining the party at a later stage and when this happens, the bull run will be a lot more obvious by then.
The IWM (tracking 2000 small-cap stocks) had been stuck in a wide-ranging wedge since hitting a low in June 2022 and with this we experienced huge volatility when we attempted to long these stocks despite that they looked to have bottomed out.
A look at the monthly chart showed that the MACD is about to switch into the positive territory for the IWM, a significant indicator that it's longer-term outlook is starting to look bright(er).
On its daily chart, the 200-day moving average has even begun to exhibit a subtle upslope. Hence, I am hopeful that the IWM will be breaking out of the wedge above 198 in the near future (perhaps within a few weeks if not days).
It is no surprise that more and more of the smaller stocks are beginning to break up, despite that some still experienced a lot of volatility that could be difficult to sit tight. However, having a clearer vision of its longer-term outlook should give some confidence to dip our toes in for stocks with the right technicals and even if we were shaken out, the confidence to retest our entry when the technicals line up again.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is (probably the most) important! Take care and Good Luck!
