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IWM trade ideas

$IWM CPI DROP to PPI POP IWM still closed bearishly underneath the 50 Day moving average - watch out for the 30min 200 & 50DMA as resistance Inflation is good for the market. It’s not good for the consumer. Small-cap stocks, which represent smaller companies with market capitalizations typically below $2 billion, can be particularly sensitive to inflation. These companies often have less pricing power, meaning they struggle to pass on rising costs to consumers without losing market share. Additionally, small caps tend to rely more on debt financing, and higher inflation often leads to rising interest rates, increasing borrowing costs. This can squeeze their profit margins and limit growth opportunities.
AMEX:IWM
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
$IWM Trending UpThe Russell 200 Index is clearly in an established uptrend as you can see on this weekly chart. The CPI number out this morning looks like it will push it back to the lower trendline. If recent history is still intact (it is for now), there may be an opportunity for a long trade on a reversal. All TBD. My plan is to wait for a reversal back to the upside then look for a low-risk reward entry. There is an area of resistance around that horizontal line as well. Let me know your thoughts in the comments.
AMEX:IWMLong
by jaxdog
$IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders Feb 12 AMEX:IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders Feb 12 So last Friday we saw the 35EMA go under the 30min 200MA and that was a bear signal with confirmation as we saw the 30min 200 as remittance and than a gap down away from it and a continuation of the 35EMA lower. You can just look at the momentum going through this chart and see what’s happening here. Wide range though. 50DMA taking us lower, technical bounce at the 1hr 200MA Oversold and waiting for JPOW
AMEX:IWM
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
IWM ShortThe past two weeks have been marked by significant volatility in global markets, driven by shifting U.S. economic policies, Federal Reserve decisions, and geopolitical developments. Here’s a breakdown of key events impacting the S&P 500 and global indices: --- ### **Past Week (Jan 24–31, 2025)** #### **1. Trump’s Tariff Threats Spark Market Anxiety** - President Trump confirmed 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada (effective Feb 1) and 10% duties on China, triggering a **2.6% drop in the Dow** and **0.5% S&P 500 decline** on Jan 31 . - Investors fear disruptions to supply chains and inflationary pressures, particularly for energy and tech sectors . - **Market reaction**: The dollar surged to a 2-year high, while Treasury yields climbed . Small-caps (Russell 2000 **+1%**) outperformed large-caps due to pro-deregulation hopes . #### **2. Fed Holds Rates Steady Amid Inflation Concerns** - The Federal Reserve paused rate cuts, keeping the benchmark rate at 4.50–4.75% despite cooling inflation . - **Market impact**: Tech stocks rebounded (Nasdaq **+1.6%**) as investors priced in delayed easing, while Treasury yields rose to 4.57% . #### **3. Tech Sector Volatility** - **Apple** fell **4%** after Jefferies downgraded its stock, citing weak AI prospects . - **Nvidia** surged **9%** post-selloff, reclaiming its position as the world’s most valuable company ($3.39T market cap) . - Crypto stocks rallied on Trump’s SEC crypto task force announcement (Bitcoin **+2.2%** to $106,109) . #### **4. Global Market Reactions** - **Japan’s Nikkei** plunged **8.1%** on Jan 29 amid U.S. recession fears, while European markets (Stoxx 50 **+1.3%**) stabilized . - **Emerging markets**: India’s growth slowed but remained resilient due to domestic demand . --- ### **Previous Week (Jan 17–24, 2025)** #### **1. Post-Inauguration Market Rally** - Trump’s pro-business executive orders drove the **S&P 500 to a record high (5,650)**, with small-caps (Solactive 2000 **+1.5%**) leading gains . - **Sector moves**: Energy stocks fell (**-3.3%**) on oil oversupply fears, while industrials rose on tariff negotiation hopes . #### **2. Jobs Report and Recession Fears** - Weak July hiring data (unemployment **4.3%**) intensified recession worries, causing a **3.7% S&P 500 drop** on Aug 5 . - Goldman Sachs raised recession odds to **25%** and projected three Fed rate cuts by December . #### **3. Global Sell-Off** - **Japan’s Nikkei** crashed **12.4%** (worst drop since 1987), triggering trading halts . - European markets (Stoxx 600 **-3%**) and Bitcoin (**-14%**) mirrored the panic . #### **4. Earnings and Sector Shifts** - **Charles Schwab** jumped **3%** on strong earnings, while **Walgreens** plunged **12%** amid opioid lawsuits . - Solar stocks (**Invesco Solar ETF -2.3%**) tanked after Trump axed green energy subsidies . --- ### **Key Trends to Monitor** | Factor | Impact on S&P 500/Global Markets | |-----------------------|-------------------------------------------| | **Tariff escalation** | Increased volatility in industrials, tech, and energy . | | **Fed policy** | Delayed rate cuts may pressure growth stocks . | | **Tech earnings** | AI-driven companies (Nvidia, Microsoft) remain pivotal . | | **Global growth** | Weakness in Japan/Europe could drag U.S. exports . | --- ### **Outlook for February 2025** - **Upcoming catalysts**: - **Feb 1 tariffs**: Markets will assess retaliation risks from China/EU . - **Q4 earnings**: Microsoft, Meta, and Tesla reports (Feb 2–5) could dictate tech sentiment . - **Fed guidance**: March rate decision remains critical for small-cap and housing sectors . Analysts project **S&P 500 2025 target: 6,500** (Goldman Sachs) but warn of **15% downside risks** if AI growth disappoints or tariffs escalate . Citations: www.cnbc.com www.thestreet.com www.nytimes.com www.newsweek.com www.cnbc.com www.jpmorgan.com www.cbsnews.com www.investopedia.com www.bloomberg.com www.bankrate.com apnews.com www.investopedia.com www.nahb.org www.cnet.com www.reuters.com www.economicsobservatory.com www.bbc.co.uk www.pwc.com www.deccanherald.com seekingalpha.com www.investopedia.com theweek.com www.investopedia.com www.reuters.com finance.yahoo.com money.usnews.com www.bloomberg.com www2.deloitte.com finance.yahoo.com www.cnn.com www.investopedia.com www.forbes.com www.reuters.com www.barrons.com economics.td.com www.investopedia.com www.nytimes.com --- Answer from Perplexity: pplx.ai/share
AMEX:IWMShort
by samisabir212
$IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders for Feb 7 20AMEX:IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders for Feb 7 2025 Another attempt to get above the 50 Day moving average here. The 50 day moving average is pointing down so I wouldn’t go long here until it is turned… more likely to trade flat along it for the moment. Just above use we have 230 where we have been seeing resistance. Quite a large trading range today - 1.62% not sure if we will use it all with this momentum but lets see.. 232 is the top of the implied move 225 on the downside
AMEX:IWM
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
IWM at a Critical Level: Will the Momentum Continue?Technical Analysis (TA): 1. Current Price Action: * IWM is trading near $229.91 after a strong upward move, with a daily high of $230.36. * The price is approaching a key resistance zone around $230, aligning with a psychological round number level. 2. Trend Analysis: * The price has been in a clear uptrend since bouncing from the $220.64 support level. * Higher highs and higher lows indicate continued bullish momentum. 3. Indicator Insights: * MACD: Positive histogram values suggest bullish momentum, though the lines are starting to converge. * Stoch RSI: Overbought at 97.57, signaling caution as a pullback could be imminent. 4. Volume: * Increasing volume supports the recent upward move, validating the strength of the breakout. Key Levels to Watch: * Resistance: * $230.36: Current high, immediate resistance. * $235: Strong resistance, aligned with GEX Call Wall. * Support: * $226: Nearest support, significant from previous consolidation. * $220.64: Critical support, aligned with highest negative NETGEX. GEX Analysis: 1. Gamma Exposure (GEX): * Call Wall: Positioned at $235, indicating a strong resistance level where market makers may hedge. * Put Wall: Positioned at $220, acting as key support. 2. IVR and Options Sentiment: * IVR: 15.5, indicating relatively low implied volatility. * Put/Call Ratio: 14.2% puts, showcasing a predominantly bullish sentiment. Trade Scenarios: 1. Bullish: * If IWM breaks above $230.36 with strong volume, it could target $235. * Entry: Above $230.50. * Target: $235. * Stop-Loss: $228.50. 2. Bearish: * If IWM faces rejection at $230, it could retest $226 or lower. * Entry: Below $228.50. * Target: $226. * Stop-Loss: $231. Actionable Suggestion: * Watch for price action confirmation at $230. Momentum traders could look for breakouts, while mean reversion traders might wait for pullbacks. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence and manage your risk carefully.
AMEX:IWM
by BullBearInsights
$IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Feb 4 25CRITICAL LEVEL - for the 35EMA and the 30 min 200MA - It can bounce here and we remain bullish - or we bring the 35EMA under the 30min 200 and its bear time... IWM right now is seeing a little bit of resistance around the 225 level which is so funny to me how often we see that level. We’re at the 30min 200 MA and the 35 EMA just above us and that is a critical level if we are going to stay bullish, then we will bounce here and if not, the 35 EMA will come underneath the 30min 200 MA. this is a big level here. We also have that down gap from yesterday that we are currently right at and seeing a bit of resistance. The top of the expected move is at 228 today and that is just underneath the 50 day moving average and then tomorrow’s top of the expected move is 229 which is just above the 50DMA To the downside, we still have a little bit of that island gap open. We closed about half of it out yesterday and the other half is down there near the bottom of the implied move at 220 and 219.
AMEX:IWM
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
IwmMajor ascending broadening wedge here .. this is a huge Bearish pattern that I think will take IWM back to 198 and possibly 165. The question is , do we tag upper boundary around 250 before it happens? Let's look closer at the last 2month price action... Bulls will say it's a pennant that will push IWM to 250 Bears see a bear flag What do I see ? 226.50 is tough resistance.. I think price will reverse from there and close 219.70 gap close... 226.50 is tough horizontal resistance and also weekly 20sma Below 219.00 and we head back to 215 support. Below 215.00 and ascending wedge is activated and we are heading to 198.00 Strong long only over 232.00 226-232. Is chop and trap area .. Wether IWM makes a new high or not this pattern to 160-190 will play out this year This is a zoomed out picture of the weekly.. only broke it once in the fall of 2020 crazy IPO run
AMEX:IWM
by ContraryTrader
7
$IWM Trading Range for Feb 3 2025IWM dropped right into the island gap at open, which was near 221 which is the bottom of a one standard deviation move off of last Friday’s close. So I think this is where we’re going to see bottom on the day that I’m not calling bottom for a larger downturn but for the day, yes a possible move back up to one hour to average which as you can see is still pointing down and we did drop back underneath it. So 221 is where I think we’ll see bottom of the day.
AMEX:IWM
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
IWM at a Pivotal Level: Insights for Swing and Option TradersTechnical Analysis: * Trend Overview: IWM shows signs of consolidation after a rejection from the $230 resistance level, creating a descending pattern. * Indicators: * MACD: Bearish momentum is building as the histogram dips further below the zero line. * Stoch RSI: Oversold conditions with potential for a short-term bounce. * Key Levels: * Resistance: $230, $235 (critical levels for bulls to break). * Support: $224.50, $222 (zones where buyers could step in). Options GEX Analysis: * Gamma Resistance: * $230: High positive gamma resistance suggests strong selling pressure above this level. * $235: Critical for any breakout potential. * Put Walls: * $225: High net negative gamma—break below this may accelerate downside moves. * $220-$215: Key zones for bearish targets and gamma support. Trade Setups: * Bullish Setup: * Entry: Above $227. * Target: $230-$235. * Stop-Loss: Below $225. * Bearish Setup: * Entry: Below $224.50. * Target: $222-$220. * Stop-Loss: Above $227. Outlook: The current price action aligns with a cautious stance as IWM hovers near the lower end of its consolidation channel. Gamma data supports a bearish bias unless bulls reclaim key resistance zones. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research and manage risk carefully.
AMEX:IWM
by BullBearInsights