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IWM trade ideas

How I improved my Situational Awareness - Market Update 6/23/202This weekend I pulled up the sleeves and did a lot of post-trade analysis to realize what my biggest weakness was in trading: situational awareness. I developed a market timing model, backtested it on my own trades and on the market and the results were shocking to me. If I had only been trading in good periods, I would have already been profitable. This is despite the fact that I still make a TON of mistakes in execution and risk management. After all the saying is true - anyone can make money in a good market. Now that I know how to identify a good market for my strategy, I developed rules around it in terms of risk management. This will not only help me to reach profitability, but probably also have more peace of mind as I won't be swimming against the currents. Markets are still not the best for longer term swing trading, so I will focus on shorter trends and potentially risk reversal trades, of which my strategy is still to be developed.
AMEX:IWMEducation
by BenedekBokor
Small Caps won't turn around until Gold doesGold and small caps are correlated at .5 - gold double topped and is going lower, I anticipate this will hit the red, jog a little, and if the FED doesn't cut rates, we will go down a run every FOMC meeting until the FED cuts rates or they go down because BOJ is selling our treasuries to shore up their currency that's always competing with China's Yuan (whose trying to shore up their real estate bubble popping which is the largest asset in the world).
AMEX:IWMShort
by EmptyEternity
Russel 2000 IWM is about to tank. Followed by NVDALooks like IWM about to go off a cliff. The shorting has begun. AMEX:SPY will be last; specifically NASDAQ:NVDA and NASDAQ:SMCI and all that Ai trash that isn't earning any real money. They will be last; but when they go it'll take everything else down another 50%. And they'll finish down 95% Chart shows monthly slow-stochastic about to lose embedded. Volume is in the toilet and declining since LAST YEAR. Just like NVDA that garbage bag is rallying to new highs on 1/3rd average volume. I've never seen such drunken stupidity. Maybe the only thing Ai is being used in is buying stocks because apparently it only learned how to hit the buy button. Incoming disaster soon. IWM about to go off cliff.
AMEX:IWMShort
by DarthTrader1357
2
IWM watchwith the announcement of rate cuts .25 bps in 24, it's a good time to start watching price action of Rusell to start a position. still ping pong action in this megaphone pattern. the common misconception is that rate cuts are good for equities, when i believe it is not. thesis is that when stock market starts to cool off and hit major supports. up to interpreting price action each day/week to know what will happen after. assess strength of each support through volume. we either breakout this megaphone and go on a run, or we keep ping-ponging, so i feel no rush entering a position at the moment.
AMEX:IWMLong
by js0ng
Next Week's IWM, 21 Day Pivot Standard Deviation RangeLooks like the medium term bias is to the downside for small caps, as we see the weekly pivot (red solid line) fall below the monthly pivot (dark solid line) with AMEX:IWM closing below both. Both deviation boxes represent two standard deviations above and below the a moving monthly pivot. We may see demand in the lower deviation range if we fall to start off the week. A rally to start of the week will likely be met with resistance from our pivot points and a fresh downward move from the 21 day moving average. Investors that want to take advantage of this medium term bias could short volatility in the short term (June/July) for IWM using AMEX:TZA but bet bigger on long volatility in the longer term (September/January2025). Take any short term gains to the upside and hold onto your short thesis heading into the second half of the year, into 2025.
AMEX:IWMShort
by D1Finance
Small CapsA lot of speculation regarding small caps being a 'catchup trade'. Perhaps it will play out that way. Perhaps it wont. A few observations: Weekly chart has held long term trend, well, over the past 20 years. Small caps are sensitive to Fed Funds Rates. The circumstances of the rate change is important. My expectation: Small caps upward move will precede the FFR cut. Small Caps should fade from long term trend, given 'higher for longer'. Stock pickers would be better suited to hand select small caps with strong balance sheets, as opposed to a shelf item small cap ETF.
AMEX:IWM
by WillNixTrading
Opening (IRA): IWM July 19th 190 Short Put... for a 2.33 credit. Comments: Targeting the shortest duration <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market. (This is actually at the 18 delta, but it was either the 190 or the 185 where I wanted to pitch my tent from a delta standpoint). Starting to slowly deploy third quarter rungs here in broad market (IWM, QQQ, SPY) while I piddle around with shorter duration higher IV sector ETF stuff.
AMEX:IWMLong
by NaughtyPines