Mini handle on cup formingHandle is forming on the two hour chart. Expect price To increase soon. Consider debit spread at the money $10 wide.
IWM trade ideas
IWM Breaking Down! Key Levels $ Setup for the Week of Dec. 16.1. Technical Analysis (Daily & 1-Hour Timeframes)
Daily Chart (Longer Timeframe):
* Trend: IWM (Russell 2000 ETF) is breaking down from its rising channel, signaling weakness.
* Resistance:
* 240: Previous support turned resistance.
* 244.98: The upper supply zone where sellers may step in.
* Support:
* 233: Immediate key support where buyers may attempt to hold.
* 214: Stronger support from prior price action.
* Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish crossover confirms downward momentum.
* Volume: Elevated selling pressure in the last few sessions.
1-Hour Chart (Shorter Timeframe):
* Trend: Price is in a short-term descending channel, testing support near 233–232.
* Resistance:
* 235.95: Closest resistance on the 1-hour chart.
* Support:
* 231.88: The next key level of support aligned with recent lows.
* MACD: Slight signs of recovery but remains bearish overall.
--------------------------
2. GEX Analysis
Key GEX Levels:
* CALL Walls (Resistance):
* 235: 2nd CALL Wall, presenting overhead resistance.
* 237: Highest resistance level from GEX and likely area of rejection.
* PUT Walls (Support):
* 233: Current area showing significant PUT support, aligning with technical levels.
* 231: Highest negative GEX level, acting as a major support zone.
Options Oscillator Insights:
* IVR: 19.1% – Elevated volatility, making options slightly more expensive.
* PUTs: 86.08% activity signals strong bearish sentiment in options flow.
-------------------------
3. Trade Setups
Bearish (Short Bias):
* Entry: Near rejection at 235–237 resistance.
* Target:
* 233 PUT support as the first target.
* 231 negative GEX as the extended target.
* Option Strategy:
* Buy PUT options (strike 233, expiry 1 week out).
* Consider a Bear Put Spread: Buy 234 PUT, Sell 231 PUT to lower cost.
Bullish (Rebound Play):
* Entry: If IWM holds above 233 PUT support with bullish volume confirmation.
* Target:
* 235: Closest resistance target.
* 237 CALL Wall as an extended target.
* Option Strategy:
* Buy CALL options (strike 233, short-term expiry).
* Use a Bull Call Spread: Buy 232 CALL, Sell 235 CALL to minimize risk.
Directional Bias for This Week
* Bearish unless IWM can reclaim 235 resistance. The current price action and heavy PUT positioning signal downside risk toward 231 PUT Wall support.
* Watch for potential bounce opportunities at 233, but the trend favors further weakness.
Short Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
Market Update - 12/15/2024• only 21% invested, got shaken out of most of my positions
• large bad trades this week cost me almost $300 or 10% of my account
• I will not put large positions again in bad and worsening market breadth environment
• watchlist is the shortest it's been in a while, setups are not the best either
• most setups are in finance names, I think they could be leaders after the FED decision next week
• whatever industry leads in the first few days after the FED decisions will likely be the leader
• won't add new positions until the decision next week, or at least nothing large, will remain defensive until things improve
IwmSimple chart.
Gap at 230
Fib support at 230
50ema at 230
Wait for price to tag 230
Then long to 235 (21ema)
Dont know if it can break above 235
But if it does it will most likely come on Core PCE on Friday. Above 235 and 240 comes..
I think small caps and cylicals outshine the next 2 weeks but only if Iwm breaks above 235
IWM looking for rates to drop or Mag7 to hit Period VAHsI propose that the bullish flag will propel IWM further (rates aside, it has done it before) to the 242.17 and higher given steady macro events.
Russel 2000 Long25R Trade.
Expecting at least a +15% move.
54% Chance of Success.
Based on 60% probability of pattern being successful and 90% chance that the stock market has not peaked yet. - So going with the trend.
The Russell 2000 has just bottomed! Here's WhyAMEX:IWM CAPITALCOM:RTY AMEX:TNA 🤏🧢
Here I am, standing before you again, putting my name on the line and going against the GRAIN and telling you I believe we just bottomed on the AMEX:IWM
The Russell 2000 is front-running this pullback and we are about to see a bounce next week and BIG push into year end! Here's WHY 👇
Before we take a look under the hood of the car lets talk about the weekly chart. Everything is still good: H5 Indicator is GREEN, Williams Consolidation Box is thriving, and we are on the volume shelf. Now lets take a look under the hood at the daily chart. 👇
Daily Chart Analysis:
-Most important we are at the bottom of our Wr% Range and at the Green support bounce zone. As you can see every time we've been here over the last three months we've bounced for an average of 9%.
-We broke down through our first level at $238 and are right at what I believe to be the final boss before we have our move higher. Why? Simple $234.66 is the previous ATH dated back to the end of 2021. So, I'm coming at you for the 100th time so it's engrained in your brain: A break of prior RESISTANCE needs a retest in order to FLIP it into SUPPORT. This is what I believe we are doing at this time at the second level of right under $235ish.
-You may be asking yourself well how come we don't go down to the $228 level. Great question, it could happen but I don't believe it's a strong probability for the reasons laid out above and the fact that we've already flipped that area from resistance to support. Also, we would be caught up in a Anchored volume profile GAP that measures down to $220 and I don't believe we are at that level of a crash instead of a pullback...yet!
-Speaking of Anchored Volume Profile Shelves we are currently holding on to this one even at the Level 2 support area.
-As I always say we could Lit grab/ flash crash down to the weekly 9ema that sits right around $232 before we fake out to the down side and push back higher towards ATH into year end.
In summary, I believe the AMEX:IWM has just bottomed and we’re poised for a bounce next week with a strong push into year-end. The Russell 2000 is leading this pullback, and both weekly and daily charts show positive indicators. With our H5 Indicator green and strong support levels holding, we’re ready to break higher.
🔜🎯$259
🎯$306
Not financial advice.
The Santa Claus Rally is STILL Cancelled, for now! 🚨The Santa Claus Rally is STILL Cancelled, for now!
In this video, we discuss:
-The fresh PPI numbers
-Markets Short/Long-Term Moves
-Technical Analysis
-H5 & WCB Strategies
If you want to stay ahead of this market watch this now
Up and awayIwm is approaching support on 50 EMA. Expect a violent rebound into the year end with target of $250. Consider debit spread slight out the money of 16 delta debit spread to capture move.
Good luck!
$IWM Today's Trading Range for 12.5.24IWM
We've been consolidating ever since making new all-time highs for the first time in three years last week. This week so far, we've been shopping around the 35 EMA but holding above that up gap from where we made all-time highs last week. So, to the upside, the first level to look for is going to be around 243; that's where we've been seeing resistance after making all-time highs. Then, 244 is the top of the implied move, and we also have those previous all-time highs in the trading range at 244.98.
Underneath us, we have that 35 EMA, and then under that, we have an up gap from last week. Then, 238 is the bottom of the implied move, and 237 on Friday's contract with the 30-minute 200 moving average underneath that, with completely flat momentum.
$IWM Recap for 12.4.24IWM stayed close to the 35 EMA today. We did drop again to that open up gap that we tested the day before and we did find that as support to close in the green up .36%.
So doing a little consolidation here after making those new all-time highs, we consolidated back to 35 EMA and reset the indicator. The weird thing is that 30 minute 200 moving average is just completely flat, momentum is gone.
Russell 2000 Small Caps (IWM) Breakout cup and handle on RUTRussell 2000 Small Caps TVC:RUT and AMEX:IWM on the Cusp of a Breakout?
The Russell 2000 small-cap index, tracked by the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM), is forming a cup and handle pattern. This technical formation could be indicative of a significant breakout.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $230-$232
Support: $220-$222
A decisive close above $234 confirmed the breakout, potentially leading to further upside. Conversely, a failure to hold above $220 could negate the pattern.
Keep a close eye on IWM as it navigates this critical juncture.
Small Caps RunningIWM Russell 2000 is running. It had a nice pull back from December 2021 through December 2023 where the tide or sentiment has changed. It is testing new highs and has broken through into new higher highs from the S&R line at $230. There is much sentiment for it to gain higher gains and continue its bull run.
Opening (IRA): IWM Dec 20th 195 Covered Call... for a 193.79 debit.
Comments: Re-upping with a monied covered call in the December 20th expiry at a strike that is slightly higher than the one I just took off to "capture" the next little increment of up move that I missed out on. I'm not expecting much out of this (it has a 1.21 max), but didn't want to set up my tent in January yet either.
IWM set to outperform in 2025 with strong growth potentialThe iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) provides exposure to small-cap stocks, which historically perform well during economic expansions, often outperforming large-cap indices like the S&P 500. With the potential for a lowering interest rate environment, IWM is positioned to outperform the S&P 500 in the coming year. Recently, it breached a key historical resistance around $235, signaling potential for further growth toward a target range of $300-$350 by 2025. Additionally, IWM is showing a unique bullish pattern that other major ETFs like SPY and QQQ are not currently offering, positioning it to build on its recent momentum and continue its upward trend.
However, while IWM may offer stronger returns in the short term, it has faced notable drawdowns in the past. Its small-cap focus makes it more vulnerable to economic slowdowns and rising interest rates, which could dampen its performance during periods of tight monetary policies. Despite these risks, the current economic conditions appear favorable for small-cap growth, enhancing IWM’s outlook.
$IWM: OUTLOOK AMEX:IWM : OUTLOOK
Looking for a break of the 1HR INSIDE CANDLE to take a LONG ENTRY. 📈
Targeting the GAP FILL!
👉 LIKE & FOLLOW for more updates!
$IWM Trading Range for 11.16.24All right and I WM the implied move is between 239 and 246. On Fridays half-day 238 to 247. And in tomorrow’s trading range is the only levels in there. Are that up gap from today 35 EMA within that gap, which looks like a great place for support and then the new all-time highs which a line right with the top of the implied move so I have a feeling will be trading between that 35 EMA And all-time highs. Looks like a pretty straightforward trading day and options are calling for a pretty slow day with a lower average volatility.
IWM puts $235IWM on a big run big gap up and we got a high RSI paid perfectly with a bearish divergence i will be entering very confidently with a %7 sizing on December 6 $235 puts
$IWM Today's Trading Range 11.25.24IWM is trying so hard to make those new all-time highs. We’re not far away from those highs made three years ago and today’s gap up was definitely a push and attempt to do that. We are definitely overbought here. Keep an eye on the 35 EMA if it does cross up in the rain today, expect a pull back and if not , then maybe tomorrow will hit those all-time highs. At that point I think will be pretty exhausted with this run. I know I’ll be a seller at all time.
Entering a Bull Market for the Russell 2000From a weekly chart perspective, the Russell 2000 ETF is showing a rounded bottom formation. Coupled with Trump-era policies encouraging reshoring and boosting local consumption, this has been a positive catalyst for small-cap stocks.
While the S&P 500 remains strong, the Nasdaq, particularly tech stocks like semiconductors, has already experienced varying degrees of pullback.
