Will soon raise the roof. This one looks especially nice, especially when seen from the weekly TF. Longby whackitallPublished 2
OPENING: IYR JAN 20TH 70/75/75/79 IRON FLY... for a 2.79 credit. Here, I'm looking to add to core exchange-traded fund fly positions in underlyings whose implied volatility is high relative to where it's been over the preceding six months (>70th percentile) There aren't many out there at the moment, and this is one of them. Notes: Unfortunately, I forgot to write down the metrics for this fella while I was placing the trade. I'll look to manage it at 25% max, as I do with all flies and short straddles.by NaughtyPinesUpdated 228
OPENING: IYR DEC 23RD 68/75/75/80 IRON FLYI had intended to put on a similar setup last week, but got distracted by something else ... . Implied volatility rank remains high here, even though IYR's background implied volatility isn't that great. Metrics: Probability of Profit: 44% Max Profit: $343/contract Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: $357/contract Break Evens: 71.57/78.43 Notes: The probability of profit metric on these always seems to suck hard (45-50%). The trade off between this and an iron condor (which has a higher probability of profit) is greater premium at the door, so a better max profit/loss ratio. This is basically a 1-1 setup; most iron condors I do are 1-2. Look to manage at 25% max profit as you would a short straddle ... .by NaughtyPinesUpdated 7
TRADE IDEA: IYR DEC 16TH 69/75/75/80 IRON FLYRotating into sector exchange traded funds ... . Although this instrument does not have very high background IV, its IV is on the high end of its 52-week and 6-month ranges. Metrics: Probability of Profit: 44% Max Profit: $335/contract Max Loss: $265/contract Break Evens: 71.65/78.35 Notes: Will look to manage at 25% max profit, if I can get a fill here.by NaughtyPinesUpdated 3
Very high probability trade on IYRIYR haved moved over 8% in the last 2 months. With an IV percentile of over 60% we can sell premium and get a higher probability trade. I will be using a combination of ratio spreads Selling the (2) 73 and (2) 78 Puts and buying (1) 75 put and (1) 81 put. This will give us the potential to win $330 per trade and giving us a break even of $72.84 with a 85% chance of profit. The price would have to move another 8% down for us to be in trouble. Longby AlexanderGotayUpdated 1117
IYR Real Estate etf patternLooks to be retesting a key level before possibly turning back up and continue it's larger bullish trend. RSI at previous bounce level. Watch for ADX to turn upLongby proxynooriginPublished 2
Deep Retracement to Weekly Channel LowHi All, I have this ETF on my watch list for a potential long entry at 68.53 preferably. As you can see the technical aspect of the security is rather simple which is good. Price has run in a bullish channel since the 08'/09' sell-off. This buy point is just an initial prospect for entry, as price action moves forward entry can change. I will update with targets and stop loss orders once price creeps nearer to entry. Cheers. =) Longby Daniel.BPublished 441
08.16.16 IYR SHORTMSZ has been hit, WPCP working, expecting price to move down to WDZ below DEC 83 PUT $3.03Shortby BirdieDrewPublished 0
Update on US real estate: IYRIFFF I am seeing this right a break down here could lead to an extend major drop. Consider shorting if there is a close below 77.78 with a stop on a close >79.75 (Friday's high). Shortby goodguyPublished 335
Real Estate (IYR) Rolling Over?The first part of this week I think will have a overall positive atmosphere for stocks so we could have a some bounche up but longer term I think there is a good chance we are entering into a bear phase for real estate. Shortby goodguyPublished 221
IYR high volume move upAfter breaking the critical $778 level lat week, strength in the REITS sector has continued to move the underlying upwards towards the important $82 price point. the high volume over the last few days suggests further buying potential.Longby mikeffiPublished 2
IYR Monthly DivergenceHoly crap this crash is going to be epic. IYR setting up for huge declines this year . Massive negative divergence and a short that im am just drooling over. Good luck everyone. Shortby BADUNDERPRESSUREPublished 0