Silver Poised for Upside?SLV is setting up a strong case for a position trade. A similar situation recently played out with Palantir, although with greater risk involved due to being an individual stock, but we don't need to exclude the intrinsic value of precious metals. Multiple timeframes are showing technical confluence and this is something to watch beyond 2024.
Key Points:
SLV has formed a larger, albeit lopsided, cup and handle pattern on the monthly chart with another mild version of the same pattern post 2020. The dip having been formed by the 2022 bear market.
Price has simultaneously found support between the Ichimoku Kumo(formed by an offset of the average price between highs/lows) and a well-defined static support/resistance zone indicating stability.
The "Golden Cross" remains well intact from its formation in Q2 of this year. This is bullish bias.
The slow stochastic, also formed by highs/lows as opposed to a rate of change, has pulled back from overbought territory on both the weekly and daily timeframes. The weekly stochastic appears to be a well balanced oscillator for SLV. I personally find ROC oscillators and MA crosses better for exits.
We do have a bearish engulfing candle on this timeframe suggesting near term weakness, so it's critical to watch for incoming support.
Final Thoughts:
Silver remains structurally strong and we have a bullish case on multiple timeframes. While short term bearishness indicates caution, the overall technical picture suggests solid upside potential.
Support: $26
Resistance: $30.5
Target: $34+
SLV trade ideas
Will Silver finally moon?Silver has been consolidating near its February 2021 highs for 8 months. Multiple patterns occurred within this range but most failed (see previous posts).
A breakout of a symmetrical triangle appears to be occurring tomorrow, 3/12. A small position was initiated today, and a daily close above 30.30 would be the spot to add more.
Price objectives include 31.4 and 32.62
CSE:SI
AMEX:SLV
SILVER & SLV TVC:SILVER AMEX:SLV
my thesis:
i see the silver price been trending strong throughout the long run. as long as silver trending up, i see its strong potential to reach price in between 35 to 38. i will keep looking for longs in the future as price always has its potential for uptrend.
for SLV, as long as these two silver market correlated strongly. i have the same vision for SLV to go long.
one more shakeout coming!As much as I hate to admit it, I think that we will have one more major shakeout that will be intense and will cause panic in the precious metals markets. The bullion banks are loaded up with shorts...and yes that could mean that a short squeeze ensues and takes metals up explosively. However, absent some major geopolitical event or similar, I think that the bullion banks will slam the markets one las time...it will hurt big time and test even the most resolute stacker!
SLV LONGThe SLV ETF has recently experienced a significant Change of Character (CHoCH), which is backed by strong volume. This type of move indicates that the price structure has shifted from bearish to bullish, with buyers stepping in as price action shows signs of strength.
What stands out is the 37K volume traded, and $2.6 million in premiums tied to options contracts, with the majority occurring at the ask. This suggests strong demand and a bullish outlook from traders. With the uncertainty in the broader market, SLV has become an attractive safe-haven investment vehicle, likely reflecting increased interest in silver as a store of value.
Given this recent momentum, it’s looking like SLV could be targeting $31.60 in the near term, and possibly even $36 over the next few weeks to months as it continues to trend higher. The combination of market uncertainty and bullish technical signals points to further upside potential.
SLV Long IdeaEntered 1-24 $27.5 calls today @.61 on 5min close above orb with pdh below. bought more on retest of orb for an average of .616 per contract. The goal is to take this at least to a daily confluence level marked in orange which is just shy of a .618 retracement for short entries. Stops are just below PDH
$SLV Trade Analysis DarkPoolsChart Overview:
Instrument: iShares Silver Trust (SLV)
Timeframe: 4-hour chart
Indicators on Chart:
Moving Averages: Likely 8 EMA and 21 EMA for short-term trend analysis.
Dark Pool Levels: Represented by white dashed lines at key levels.
Trendlines:
Red Line: Downtrend resistance.
Green Lines: Support forming an ascending wedge after a potential trend reversal.
Horizontal Resistance:
Yellow Line at $29.00: Major psychological and technical resistance.
White Dashed Lines near $28.20 and $26.53: Key dark pool levels.
Key Observations:
Descending Channel Reversal:
SLV was previously in a clear downtrend marked by the red resistance and green support lines.
The recent breakout above the green support line and consolidation near $27 indicates a potential shift in momentum.
Ascending Triangle Formation:
After the breakout from the previous downtrend, the price has formed a triangle pattern, with resistance near $27.08 and ascending support at $26.96.
This formation is often a bullish continuation pattern, suggesting an imminent breakout if the price can breach the resistance.
Dark Pool Levels:
$28.20: An immediate target, aligning with prior price action and a dark pool level.
$26.53: A significant support level where institutional activity may provide a floor for the price.
Resistance and Support Levels:
Resistance:
$27.08: Triangle resistance.
$29.00 - $29.13: Major resistance and likely profit-taking zone.
Support:
$26.96: Immediate ascending support line within the triangle.
$26.53: Key dark pool support level and invalidation zone for a bullish outlook.
Volume:
A breakout above $27.08 should ideally be accompanied by a volume spike to confirm institutional buying and sustained bullish momentum.
Trade Idea:
Entry:
Breakout Entry: Enter above $27.08 with confirmation (strong candle close and increased volume).
Pullback Entry: Enter near $26.96, the lower support of the triangle, for a better risk-reward setup.
Profit Targets:
$28.20: First target aligning with the dark pool level.
$29.00: Major resistance and likely profit-taking zone.
$29.13: Final target, slightly above the psychological resistance zone.
Stop Loss:
Close below $26.53: Invalidation of the bullish setup and indicates a likely continuation of the downtrend.
Risk Management:
Position size should be calculated based on risk tolerance.
Ensure a risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3, considering the entry near $27.08, stop loss at $26.53, and first target at $28.20.
Additional Notes:
Volume Confirmation: A breakout above $27.08 should be accompanied by a surge in volume to validate the move.
Dark Pool Influence: Watch price behavior near $28.20 and $26.53 to gauge institutional activity.
Caution: If the price consolidates too long near the triangle resistance without breaking out, it may signal weakness and increase the probability of a breakdown.
Is everyone offsides on Silver?Silver broke out of a bullish head and shoulders on 10/18/24. This ended up failing and instead was forming the head of a bearish head and shoulders top. The first short entry was the gap down on 12/12/24, the 2nd short was on 12/18. Price objectives are: 24.97 and 23.43
AMEX:SLV
COMEX:SI1!
SLV - More Downside ExpectedSilver is in the midst of an apparent A-B-C corrective wave that could fall as low as 22 while still maintaining a long term up channel. Most likely bottom would be around 25 with a C = A relationship. Good time to pick up some physicals as many expect that China demand and a general silver shortage can boost prices to new all time highs. Some are even predicting triple-digit prices ahead.
SLV jumps on the daily 150 SMA
AMEX:SLV is currently trading within an ascending channel.
On three occasions, AMEX:SLV has touched the daily 150 Simple Moving Average (SMA) and reversed upward, indicating strong support at this level.
This presents a potential entry point with favorable risk management opportunities.
Suggested stop-loss placement: just below the 150 SMA on the yellow lower boundary.
This is not a recommendation or financial advice
SLV eyes on $29.48: first/best of 3 possible supports for longsThis is in conjunction with my big picture Silver chart (click).
SLV has had a significant pullback that may be done.
Ended last week dancing on a pretty serious support.
Ideally this is bottom, or should at least bounce a bit.
$ 29.37 - 29.48 is the immediate and best support
$ 28.83 - 28.89 is the next and moderate support.
$ 28.37 - 28.40 should be strong and is CRITICAL.
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SLV - Finally Catching Up With GoldPrecious metals continue to rocket higher and even as Central Banks around the world flock to gold and lighten up on US Dollar exposure, lagging far behind is silver that is still quite a ways from its all time high close to 50. Reverse head and shoulders formations show some possible targets in the 34-35 area but my best speculative bet is that SLV will hit its previous high, perhaps forming a mega cup and handle formation. For many silver enthusiasts, prices reaching $100-200 seems quite plausible. While it's always best to acquire the physical metal, as the ETFs erode value over time due to management fees, Silver is still cheap in my book. With the gold/silver ratio around 80 and falling, I expect silver to outperform gold going forward.