SOXS trade ideas
SOXS - Exited Buys @ 7.33 to 7.50 --- GAP BELOWSOH for now as we closed a 12K position bottom to top of implied Range.
Caution warranted here as weaker hands have taken over.
6.86 is the Line in the Sand for now, a clear SELL should it close below.
There will be time to reload and patience will be required.
A move to and through 7.71 would imply a Bullish continuation
to 9.35.
Trade the Break, Wall Street wants its Fill.
SOXS - .382 Test Ahead @ 18.72200% Upside here.
Large Volume on Lows.
Panic reversal has setup.
NQ will be the first to fail on Inflation Trade.
FED told us so this week and last.
Digi $'s come home to roost a bit.
Hot CPI assures a D U N K in time, as CON.fidence in BTD
begins to fail.
Volumes at extremes, Divergences at extremes, Valuations at extremes.
Correction ahead for NQ/TECH/SMH as Semis see Geopolitical Risk.
Buy $SOXS - NRPicks 09 Abr$ SOXS is an index that seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of 300% of the inverse performance (or opposite) of the daily performance of the Semiconductor Industry Index.
Semiconductors are currently at all-time highs, so a correction in the rally is very likely which could be exploited in a good way with a leveraged inverse ETF such as $ SOXS.
- RSI Oversold
- Price below MA50 and 200
- Key level at $ 8.10
SOX: Semiconductors may experience sell off soonWhile most people consider the semiconductor shortage to be bullish for semiconductor stocks I believe there is a serious case for a bear scenario. With the supply chain this heavily disrupted it is possible that while margin will be high on individual sales the number of sales is lower considering the variance in the types of semiconductors that need to be purchased for different products as well as the increased competition that is going to exist between Semiconductor Manufacturers. To profit off of this thesis I will be purchasing SOXS Periodically until I believe the move may complete. I am viewing this as an ABC correction on SOX. High valuations need to be supported by revenue and next earnings will betray the earlier semiconductor stock boom that was spurred on by Covid.
3x inverse funds as a contrarian indicator3x inverse ETFs let you use leverage to bet against stocks. This chart shows the 14-day Money Flow Indicator (MFI 14) on a 3x inverse semiconductor fund (SOXS). SOXS is an inverse leveraged bet on the SOXX semiconductor ETF, which is also shown on the chart.
Interestingly, the flow of money into and out of SOXS has often been a contrarian indicator of where SOXX is headed. SOXS gets big inflows just as SOXX hits bottom. It gets big outflows just as SOXX hits top. If you do the opposite of whatever SOXS traders are doing, you can do pretty well.
SOXS made a peak on Friday that may imply that SOXX has bottomed and will begin to move up. Short SOXS or long SOXX would be the play here.
Semiconductors breaking downThat market is absolutely littered with declining wedges (UGAZ, LABD, SOXS, TMF to name a few)!! I thought this was the tastiest and look like it will turn a corner early in trading and begin trading down. I hope everyone shorted gold miners and closed today because they're turning up tomorrow!
Semi-conductors Are Looking Kind of Short (SOXS)Large descending triangle emerging in semi-conductors (SOXS)/technology (TECS)/biotech (LABD) which is a very worrying development. I've shown my favourite one but please check out the others. News has emerged that Trump wants to blacklist Chinese businesses in response to the Hong Kong protests.
Semiconductor stocks may plunge due to the trade warEver since the march dump, the SPY has recovered while the semiconductor stocks have made significant gains. Some of them are also approaching all time highs.
The US ban on TSMC manufacturing for Huawei will be a major problem.
TSMC is the leading manufacturing for the most advanced chips and if china does not get access to it, it will cause a domino effect.
Huawei supplies a variety of electronics to large companies and countries including next generation 5G base stations.
China is also the largest market for chips ( sold by the biggest US companies). Now if china retaliates with restrictions imposed on US companies to sell semiconductors in china it will have a massive impact.
The race for 5G supremacy & Space dominance will cause more of these tit-for-tat moves from either side.
Technicals:
Weekly RSI coming out of oversold regions.
Large volumes being traded indicating high interest among traders.
MACD in bearish territory still but looks like it is trending towards bullish. Will have to watch these indicators closely.
This is a short term trade.
Note:
This is not financial advise. Please do your own research.