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SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST

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SPY trade ideas

Technical Analysis Summary: SPY 2hr price actionUSING THE 2 HOUR TIMEFRAME AND FVG. THIS IS MY THOUGHT ON SPY Current Price: $595.01 (as of the last market close on December 27, 2024) Recent Price Movement: The stock closed unchanged at $595.01, with a high of $597.7761 and a low of $590.7647. Technical Indicators: Oscillators : Predominantly indicate a 'Hold' signal, with the Stochastic Oscillator at 65.39 suggesting a potential overbought condition. [ b]Average Directional Index (ADX) : At 25.95, indicating a weak trend. Moving Averages: Present a mixed outlook with short-term averages signaling 'Sell', while longer-term averages suggest 'Buy'. Chart Pattern: A triangle pattern is present, suggesting a potential bullish breakout towards resistance at $599.89. News Sentiment Predominantly Negative: Recent news sentiment is negative, which could exert downward pressure on SPY, potentially hindering bullish momentum. Trade Idea Entry Signal: Consider entering at $594.52. Exit Signal: AMEX:SPY Target an exit at $599.89, aligning with the potential bullish breakout indicated by the triangle pattern. Conclusion SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) presents a mixed technical picture with a potential bullish breakout if the triangle pattern resolves positively. However, the negative news sentiment could pose a risk to this outlook. This trade idea is suitable for those looking to capitalize on short-term movements, but caution is advised due to the overall uncertainty.
AMEX:SPYLong
by CapitalGainz33
It can't be this easy I'm sure. x3 bear SPYI think the central banks end game is to fortify the USD by 3 main ways. 1. Ramp the markets to insane irrational highs, then have a control crash that increases demand for USD and increasing its value. 2. Create a digital USD (USDC) that can be used by the whole world thus increasing demand and value. Stellar blockchain will be the new monetary infrastructure base layer. Just saw you can by US treasuries on the stellar dex today! 3. Merge Canada's and Mexico economy and replace currencies with USD. I think this plan was in place for a long time, since Canada sold all its gold a number of years ago. Why have gold if you are going to trash your fiat? All of this will greatly increase the value of the USD. Ultimately though, people will get sick of inflation and buy xlm. :) And SPY was making a tight ascending triangle, fell out and backtested. Probably too obvious, or is it?
AMEX:SPYShort
by Agent_of_Maat
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-27-24: Momentum Rally PatternThe last Friday of the year (2024) should show up as a moderate Momentum Rally in the SPY/QQQ - possibly seeing the SPY target 603 or higher by the end of the day. Gold and Silver are consolidating into a FLAGGING formation. Bitcoin is trapped in a consolidation range (right shoulder) pattern that should break downward over the next 5+ days. This is the time to position your trades for the beginning of 2025 and prepare for moderate volatility as the markets struggle for direction. The Momentum Rally pattern, today, should present a very clean opportunity for skilled day traders. I believe a deeper low is likely to setup between January 15 and January 25, 2025. So, be prepared for another roll to the downside after we get past the New Year. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
4
SPY Eyeing a Breakout! Scalping, Swing & Options StrategiesMarket Structure: * SPY is trending within an ascending wedge pattern, holding above key EMAs (9 and 21), suggesting bullish momentum with caution near resistance levels. * Current price at $600 indicates a consolidation phase near critical Gamma resistance levels, with the potential for a breakout or pullback. Key Levels to Watch: * Support Zones: * $598: Immediate support, aligned with the Gamma 2nd PUT wall. * $597: Strong support from the Gamma 3rd PUT wall and wedge base. * Resistance Zones: * $602: Critical resistance; breaking above signals bullish continuation. * $604: Next resistance target near Gamma levels and technical confluence. Indicator Insights: * MACD: Flat but in bullish territory; watch for crossover to confirm momentum. * Volume: Declining during consolidation; expect a spike for a breakout or breakdown. * Options Oscillator: IVR (2.6) indicates low implied volatility, favoring directional plays near GEX levels. Scalping Strategy: 1. Bullish Setup: * Enter on a break above $602 with high volume. * Targets: $604 and $606. * Stop Loss: Below $601. 2. Bearish Setup: * Enter on a breakdown below $598 with bearish momentum. * Targets: $597 and $595. * Stop Loss: Above $599. 3. Tools to Use: * Use RSI and VWAP for intraday momentum confirmation. * React quickly to price action at Gamma-determined levels ($598, $602). Swing Trading Strategy: 1. Bullish Scenario: * Enter on a daily close above $602 with volume confirmation. * Targets: $604 and $606 for a short-term swing. * Stop Loss: Below $600. 2. Bearish Scenario: * Enter if SPY closes below $598 and sustains bearish momentum. * Targets: $595 and $590. * Stop Loss: Above $599. 3. Indicators to Monitor: * EMA (9/21) for momentum confirmation. * Volume spikes to confirm direction near key levels. Options Strategy Based on GEX: 1. Bullish Options Play: * Buy a Call Option with a $600 strike expiring in 1-2 weeks. * Target: Exit near $604 or $606. * Stop Loss: Close the trade if SPY falls below $598. 2. Bearish Options Play: * Buy a Put Option with a $598 strike expiring in 1-2 weeks. * Target: Exit near $597 or $595. * Stop Loss: Close the trade if SPY rises above $599. 3. Neutral Strategy: * Sell a Put Credit Spread at $598/$596, profiting from SPY staying above $598. * Maximum profit achieved if SPY remains above $598 by expiration. 4. Advanced Gamma Strategy: * If SPY holds above $602, consider selling a Call Spread at $604/$606 to collect premium while capping risk. Actionable Plan for SPY: * Scalpers should focus on intraday moves between $598 and $602, with quick reactions to price action. * Swing traders can capitalize on breakouts above $602 or breakdowns below $598 with clear targets and stops. * Options traders should leverage low IV and GEX levels for directional or neutral premium-selling strategies. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
Blast offLook, Spy is bullish and that makes bears really mad. They have to resort to Elliot Wave Theory, "Hidden" bearish divergence (its so hidden, its plastered all over the internet) and calling it a scam. NEWSFLASH It is a scam. Why fight it? Anyone who hopped on calls Last friday has made their next 3 years of profits inside of a shortened holiday week. What did you do? Listen to your furus with weird a$$ nicknames on here tell you that it has to go down because they drove thru a random neighborhood in Cali and saw less xmas lights than last year (that is an actual post/reason in the ideas section on SPY). You want to keep throwing your money at worthless put options be my guest. Every dip has been bought because everyone crams through the door on a $1 pullback, and becomes rocket fuel. Time to blast off.
AMEX:SPYLong
by Tstevesminus3600
SPY: More Selling Going Into New YearSPY RSI on the monthly chart is showing an acceleration of selling going into the next few weeks, the 1.618 fib extension from today's high shows a perfect placement to the support created on Nov. 1 2024, and the EW count is showing today's high as the end of wave 2 retracement wave. Wave 3 will be the highest volume wave and will bring SPY down to 568 at the end of wave 3 or wave 5. Expecting Wave 3 to end at 568 and Wave 3 to bring SPY down to 565 over the next 2-4 weeks.
AMEX:SPYShort
by FiboTrader1
1
Buy Back Exhaustion \ Fed Pause \ Confidence \ Beat of the drum Consumer confidence is putting up fresh data points to suggest that we will fall below 100. Took a drive around the wealthy parts of town on Christmas night and noticed a severe lack of lighting where in previous years these neighborhoods would be lit up like the sun. Fed has flagged that if interest rates continue to rise than a pause or maybe even a raise in rates is coming. Don't be fooled as company's artificially inflate prices. They will soon run out of buyback funds and what looks like a new punch through to another ATH is just a massive rug pull before we see what first looks like a correction and then a serious crash. I will not be surprised if we see 520's by end of Q1 and 570 by the end of January. I am currently short and looking to add after this next double top coming tomorrow. If I am wrong and we continue past 602 then I will wait for a new entry soon after with confirmation. Puts to 570 at 3 months out should pay nicely if these things add up. If I am wrong I will play the upside and abandoned my speculation until I see another major down ward move. Stay open minded and play what you see. If you dont see what I see... dont get mad. Its just speculation. Go to tik tok to yell your bias.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Painfully_Average
3
SpyHoliday update.. This should cover some levels into the next few weeks.. I'll be going over SPY IWM DJI QQQ Market goes no where without tech So let's start with Q's Back inside wedge here Upside of the Wedge is 533ish.. Next few days - 531 is resistance.. over 531.50 and QQQ pushes back up to 533.. over 534 and it melts up to close gap 538. 527.50 - 531.50 is chop.. Below 527 and 524 comes.. Nasdaq futures are over extended so I'd be weary of swinging calls.. up near 531-533 the air will be thin and they won't be able to push all technology expect some big names to be red and some green Iwm.. I'm actually mid term bullish here.. I think money will rotate from fang and back into small caps for a push back to 232-234 over the next few weeks. But first Iwm needs to reclaim 226.. that area between 224-226 is a vicious resistance; IWM only broke over it with Trump election.. Using Fib levels From 2023 low and ATH and you'll get .236 fib resistance at 225, add to that you have the Weekly 20sma at 224.70. I would not buy calls here unless it clears 226.00. Over 226 and we head back to 232 first stop 220-224 is chop.. Below 217 is bearish to 212 TVC:DJI Dow jones Earlier this month Dow jones , TVC:NYA , AMEX:IWM AMEX:XLF All rejected of this long term trend line here. And as you saw they've all bleed the entire month. Looking at Some major Sectors (Health, Transport, energy) , they are oversold and honestly I wouldn't be surprised to see the dow push back up to 44k or maybe even to retest that trend line for the doubletop. Here's what the price action looks like on the daily.. Price needs to break back above 43,500 or 50sma for a move back to 20sma or 40k.. Support is 42,800.. below that and we head back to 42k.. Will all depend on how sincere they are about a energy ,Healthcare rebound. Despite the next week movements I expect dow jones to retest 40,000 in Q1 Lastly spy To be short , Spy will need Qqq to break over 531 to push above 602.50.. You have to understand, Spy goes nowhere with out tech.. if the dow jones rallied 300pts and nasdaq dropped 180pts Spy would finish red. Aapl is worth almost 4 trillion, that evaluation in itself is bigger than the entire Health sector and Financial sector combined. Above 603 and spy closes gap at 607 Below 598 and spy closes gap at 594 598-602 is chop Spy will only break over 603 if QQQ can break over 533.. they are both connected. Only 2 catalyst in the next few days... Japan's CPI Thursday after the close will influence Friday's price.. The volume will remain muted until after new years So I'd go light and be nimble on any position. Also End of year tax harvesting and Rebalancing will give us a nice Red day between now New years.. Opinion - The extreme discrepancy in some of these stocks is crazy.. Example, look at ExxonMobil technicals , Now look at aapl technicals.. look at the energy sector XLE then look at the Communication sector XLC.. I think in the coming weeks/Months Warren buffet bet on OXY will pay off I'll keep this post open for updates for the next 2 weeks.. Happy new years
AMEX:SPY
by ContraryTrader
31
MERRY CHRISTMAS AND A HAPPY NEW YEAR TO ALL MY SPYLOVERS !!!Two weeks ago, I projected some very common behaviors that candles exhibit after a long rally. If you compare the two types of candles I marked on the left-hand side, notice how candle models "A" and "B" have very different body structures. Candles "A" have a more volumetric medium-sized body, which indicates strength. However, we are not exempt from their natural pullback, which, to complete one trend cycle, broke the structure itself upward. Candles "B" are smaller than Candles "A," allowing us to distinguish the significant weakness in the uptrend. The price starts to lose momentum, and consequently, we can expect it to take a pause before falling. After projecting the two scenarios where SPY was positioned two weeks ago, we were able to predict both future movements correctly: When the price reached historical highs, it paused or consolidated, showing descending candles (see the magenta arrow). Later, a volumetric candle confirmed the drop. Within the two scenarios, I marked two possible levels where the price would fall. The rebound occurred correctly at the second level, a historical resting zone where the price has been since October. This analysis is entirely based on price action and historical zones. It's essential to stay alert to institutional and liquidity zones to ensure the most accurate analysis possible. Now we are in the final week of the year, and historically, markets tend to react bullishly. But the question is: Will it be different this time? In my opinion: I believe the price can reach new historical highs, as it is demonstrating with strong bullish pressure candles. At this moment, I think we are at a good support level located at the previous resistance of our entire bullish channel. I believe the price will re-enter the channel and resume the sequence it has been following within the overall bullish structure. This concludes my analysis of SPY for now. Let's see what the next few days bring as we continue monitoring the market. If you'd like to see this analysis in English, follow me on TradingView under the username: rockermike111. Wishing you an excellent 2025 filled with great news and continued growth in your market studies! May your learning progress year after year! Sending you a big hug and wishing you a Happy 2025! TRADE SAFE!
AMEX:SPYLong
by RocketMike111