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SPY trade ideas

Opening (IRA): SPY July 18th 495 Short Put... for a 5.13 credit. Comments: Targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit. Max Profit: 5.13 ROC at Max as a Function of Strike Price: 1.04% Will generally look to roll up if the short put is in profit at 45 DTE or greater, add at intervals if I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on at the June 513's and July 495's, and/or consider a "window dressing" roll (i.e., a roll down to a strike that is paying about the same in credit) to milk the last drops out of the position.
AMEX:SPYLong
by NaughtyPines
4
SPY - support & resistant areas for today May 2 2025These are Support and Resistance lines for today, May 2nd, 2025, and will not be valid for the next day. Mark these in your chart by clicking grab this below. Yellow Lines: Heavily S/R areas, price action will start when closing in on these. White Lines: Are SL, TP or Mid Level Support and Resistance Areas, these are traded if consolidation take place on them. Silver Lines: An Area where price action could happen and do work on a choppy day.
AMEX:SPY
by OnePunchMan91
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update : Behind The Scenes ResearchI want to say thank you to all of you and to share with you all the work/resources/servers/and other data I maintain to help me identify where and how the markets will present opportunities to all of us. This video shows you a bit of the behind-the-scenes work I do and some of my proprietary modeling systems. I'm not sharing this with you to try to win you over or to tell you I do more than anyone else in terms of research. I'm sure there are many others who go much further than I do in terms of trying to dissect the markets and the opportunities available. But I do believe I deliver very unique research, which is a one-of-a-kind solution for traders. Again, I'm not 100% accurate (I wish I were). But I am trying to share some of the decision-making solutions I use to understand where the markets are likely to move over the next 2- 4+ months and how traders can profit from my research. Remember, you are only seeing about 10% of my total research, tools, modeling systems, and capabilities in these Plan Your Trade videos. I want to thank all of you who continue to value my work. It is not easy. It takes money, time, and resources to continue to monitor all of these systems/algos. The end result, I believe, is one of the most unique future/current modeling system resources you can find anywhere. Again, thank you for making my research a success. I promise to do more and improve my tools over the next 12+ months for everyone to find better profits. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
2
Elliott Wave top on SPY’s monthly chartTechnical Analysis: Wave Structure (Elliott Wave) • Wave 1–2: Early 2020 correction (COVID crash) marked a clear wave 2 bottom. • Wave 3: Strong impulsive rally from mid-2020 to late 2021 — massive liquidity-driven. • Wave 4: 2022–2023 pullback — clean retracement to ~0.382 Fib, validating wave structure. • Wave 5: Parabolic final rally peaking around $550–560 (currently topping or topping out). Bearish Signals: • Volume divergence — Price up, but monthly volume flat-to-declining. Distribution behavior. • Completed 5-wave structure — Indicates exhaustion. • (A)-(B)-(C) Correction Starting: The projection shows: • Wave A targeting ~$420–440. • Wave B dead cat bounce. • Wave C projecting a deeper correction into $300–340 zone (around 0.5 to 0.618 retracement). Fibonacci Confluence Zones: • 0.382 = ~$450 • 0.5 = ~$390 • 0.618 = ~$340 These zones will act as major liquidity pools for institutional entries or macro rebalancing. Macro Headwinds Fuel the Narrative: • Sticky inflation • Rising interest payments on U.S. debt • Deteriorating liquidity (QT regime) • Over-leveraged consumer and commercial debt sectors
AMEX:SPYShort
by graphsandcoffee
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 2, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 2, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇺🇸 Rising Unemployment Claims Signal Labor Market Softening Initial jobless claims increased by 18,000 to 241,000 for the week ending April 26, marking the highest level since late February. Continuing claims also rose to 1.916 million, indicating potential cracks in the labor market. 🏭 Manufacturing Sector Contracts Amid Tariff Pressures The ISM Manufacturing PMI fell to 48.7 in April from 49.0 in March, indicating a second consecutive month of contraction. Tariffs on imported goods have strained supply chains and elevated input prices, contributing to the downturn. 📉 Construction Spending Declines Construction spending decreased by 0.5% in March, reflecting reduced investments in both residential and nonresidential projects. This decline suggests caution in the construction sector amid economic uncertainties. 📊 Mixed Signals from Manufacturing Indices While the ISM Manufacturing PMI indicates contraction, the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI remained steady at 50.2 in April, suggesting stability in some manufacturing segments despite broader challenges. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, May 2: 💼 Nonfarm Payrolls (8:30 AM ET) Provides insight into employment trends and overall economic health. 📈 Unemployment Rate (8:30 AM ET) Measures the percentage of the labor force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. 💰 Average Hourly Earnings (8:30 AM ET) Indicates wage growth and potential inflationary pressures. 🏭 Factory Orders (10:00 AM ET) Reflects the dollar level of new orders for both durable and nondurable goods, indicating manufacturing sector strength. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
SPY at 3 important event! POC, 200 ema and 30 days reversalHi All SPY is at an interesting intersection: 1) a month from where it crashed and reversed entirely 2) At point of control (POC) from the top in Feb 3) at 200 ema In Aug 22 SPY reversed from POC, at other times it found support or broke out with a gap My opinion is, it will continue going up till 13th May (date when CPI is published). Nobody knows for sure how much tariff will impact CPI. It cannot as bad as we had during covid.
AMEX:SPYLong
by krisoz
SPY .. Using Fibs a bit differently, like in Reverse squaredSo most people are used to the typical, "drag from bottom to a top or top to bottom and see where the percentages(ratios) lay"...well I kinda did it a little differently....as my name suggests, its a psychotic technique...but it hit some funky levels eh? You take a high to a high, or in this case a low to a low and then you use the reverse function on the settings to show what it would be like: Theory-- To understand a fib retrace you have to retrace something, but what if the bottom you are looking at may not be a true corrective bottom. Well, pick to pivot bottoms, as seen above and then connect them. But the reverse function allows for the "retace" to be calculated for another set of bottoms to come or if you may be at a new high peak. Its by no means random cause you are following a retrace but using a multiplier and two pivots (be them highs or lows) to see what the mathematical nature of those two lows mean to your future charting. As follows... are those two lows I used really worth using for further analysis, well seeing how many times those fib lines hit seriously important places, they can be. But also, it means that you can connect those two and then do other funky things with them, which I will show below, to check "angular Fib Channeling" for future price action levels too. If it all makes no sense, then answer me this,....you ever do something so out of the ordinary one day and something just clicked into place- like weirdly accurately; you find out there was an entirely different way to go about the thing you did and it arrives at the same mathematical conclusion...that is what I excel in- finding the weird, but working ideas. 4hr view: angular Fib Channeling on the daily and 4hr respectively: and the more funky way using algorithmic numeration with Fib Channeling: (same blue arrows as previous fib channel regular settings, but changed numbers to my own mathematically derived...see what I mean that math can get you to the same place even with many different avenues of choice available) ------- and lastly...to find angles if you arent able to: You use the date and time combo measuring tool to find the exact square of two pivots you want to check the angle of...you go from the one point to the other, and then drop down along the same vertical of point two until you get to the exact value price of point one. Then you simple use the fib tool to set the angle from point one to two, then drop down vertically to the third point and there you go...see, works quite nicely...also using my custom number again: 4hr:
AMEX:SPY
by CYQOTEK
SPY - support & resistant areas for today May 1 2025These are Support and Resistance lines for today, May 1st, 2025, and will not be valid for the next day. Mark these in your chart by clicking grab this below. Yellow Lines: Heavily S/R areas, price action will start when closing in on these. White Lines: Are SL, TP or Mid Level Support and Resistance Areas, these are traded if consolidation take place on them. Silver Lines: An Area where price action could happen and do work on a choppy day.
AMEX:SPY
by OnePunchMan91
A perfect masterpiece - my final trade & mic dropHello friends. I have found the perfect trade, and I went all in with my entire account because my conviction is so high that I can say I'm 99.9% sure that I will be correct. I have never been this confident about a trade in my entire career to date. I have purchased six figures in put contracts on the SPY and SPX because I can see that a crash is about to happen. Here are a few of the factors that I am looking at which have made me so confident. 1) Retail is frantically buying the dip as well as the rip, and they are almost always wrong & lose money. Meanwhile, smart money has been selling this whole time. 2) My wave theory shows a clear WXY pattern that has now been completed. We can't currently be in an impulsive wave to the upside because there is too much overlapping. 3) Trade deal is NOT coming soon. Polymarket predicts only 19% odds for a US-China trade deal to happen before June. The tariff situation does not look good, and it isn't priced in anymore as we have retraced the entire tariff dump already. 4) The market is currently trading far above liquidity based fair value, which has been plummeting in recent weeks indicating that a drop is bound to happen soon for risk prices. To reach the fair price, the SPY should trade about 30% lower than current prices. This gives us enormous room for a cascade to the downside.
AMEX:SPYShort
by bowtrix
15
If you think the 2025 bottom is in you couldn't be more wrongIf you think the bottom for 2025 is in and it's only up from here let me have what you're smoking. Just a puff, please! About 80% of social media retail traders are confidently calling a bottom, that's a major contrarian signal. Herding equals danger! If everyone is bullish, most are already positioned long leaving a few buyers to push prices higher. It's known as "pain trade" where markets often move in the direction that causes the most discomfort. Many of loudest voices are retail traders influencers chasing engagement, not portfolio managers or data driven strategists. AMEX:SPY SP:SPX NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:DIA NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:AMZN
AMEX:SPY
by ProfitTradeRoom
8
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-1 : Bottom-104Today's Bottom pattern suggests the markets will attempt to move downward - trying to find support. Even though it may appear my May 2-5 Major Bottom pattern will not happen as I expect - this is a very good lesson for traders. I'm not 100% accurate all the time. Sometimes, the markets do things that are not aligned with my research/patterns and sometimes the markets can be far more irrational than traders expect. For example, I believe this current rally is more of a speculative rally in the SPY/QQQ/BTCUSD. There is nothing I'm seeing in the Crash Index (or TRAN) to support this upward price move other than traders attempting to "buy the dip". Ultimately, I believe the current contraction in the global economy based on policies, tariffs and economic disruptions will continue to drive a consolidation, basing type of price trend, traders are buying into this dip and attempting to drive price upward on expectations of a growing global economy. Time will tell how things play out - but my longer-term modeling systems are still Bearish. I will be on the road with my father today - so I'm not going to be as available to answer questions. Watch this video twice if you need to. It will be interesting to see how the next 5+ days in the markets play out. As I stated, I'm not 100% accurate all the time. I do my best to try to help guide all of you through these market trends with my research and cycle patterns - but, that is not enough to guarantee 100% accuracy on any trade. That's just how it is in the world. No one is 100% perfect at predicting market moves. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
20
SPY - dump or bull market is back?hi traders, Some months ago, we shared the idea where we explained that SPX will experience a correction: The targets were reached, and next we saw a decent bounce, which is very well visible on the monthly candle. Today, I see a lot of excitement about the monthly close, and many people call for a new all-time high soon. I want to bring to your attention the monthly close in 2000. It looks very similar to what we got yesterday. A long, lower-shadow wick resulted in a bearish imbalance characterised by an excess of sellers, exerting downward pressure. I still can see SPY/SPX retesting 570-580 levels, but it doesn't change the fact that lower levels may be tested in the next few weeks/months. We got a bearish cross on the monthly time frame, which is not a joke. If bears take control, I expect SPY to visit 460~ levels and later even lower: 410-408. Long story short: 1. Short-term bounce may continue. 2. Mid-term - bears will take control, and we will see a bigger correction. Do you agree? Share your opinion in the comments section
AMEX:SPYShort
by vf_investment
4
Candlestick Patterns + Trend and Momentum: A Perfect CombinationCandlestick patterns provide valuable insights into price action, showing potential reversals, continuations, or market indecision. However, to significantly improve their effectiveness, combining candlestick analysis with trend and momentum indicators is essential. Here’s how you can use these combinations to trade with more confidence and accuracy. 1. Why Candlestick Patterns Matter Candlestick patterns visually represent traders’ psychology through price movements, including four key prices: Open, Close, High, and Low. Some of the most common and useful patterns include: Doji: Indicates market indecision and potential reversals. Hammer & Hanging Man: Signals possible trend reversals at support or resistance. Engulfing Pattern: Often marks the beginning of a significant reversal. Morning/Evening Star: Combination patterns that strongly suggest a trend reversal. 2. Adding Trend and Momentum Indicators Candlestick patterns alone might lead to false signals or confusion. By pairing them with other technical tools, such as moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), or MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), you gain crucial context to confirm the reliability of the patterns. Here’s how: Trend Alignment: Using moving averages, such as the 20 or 50-period EMA, helps confirm whether a bullish candlestick pattern appears in an uptrend (strengthening the signal) or countertrend (potentially weaker signal). Momentum Confirmation: Oscillators like the RSI or MACD can confirm the underlying momentum behind a candlestick pattern. For instance, a bullish engulfing pattern becomes more reliable if it coincides with RSI moving upward from oversold territory or MACD showing a bullish crossover. Volume Analysis: Higher volume on the candle that forms the pattern typically confirms increased market interest and strengthens the validity of the signal. 3. Practical Example: Bullish Engulfing + RSI Imagine you spot a bullish engulfing pattern forming at a clear support level after a downtrend: Step 1: Identify the Pattern: Confirm the bullish engulfing visually. Step 2: Check RSI: Ensure RSI is below 30 or rising, signaling oversold conditions and potential bullish momentum. 4. Why This Approach Works Enhanced Accuracy: Combining candlestick signals with trend and momentum indicators increases signal reliability. Improved Risk Management: Clearer signals mean more confident entries and better-defined stop-loss levels. Reduces False Signals: Multiple confirmations reduce the risk of false breakouts or reversals. 5. Final Tips Always look for multiple confirmations (trend, momentum, volume) before making trade decisions based solely on candlestick patterns. Be patient—waiting for full confirmation can help avoid premature trades. Regularly backtest and practice recognizing these combined signals to strengthen your trading strategy.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by TrendGo_Official