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SPY trade ideas

To chase or not to chase?Those in calls already are sitting nicely. Especially if they have taken out their original money from their profits. They now have a free trade basically. As for us, who have missed the run, the question is should we chase?. I say, don't chase. Wait for a pullback. Or if you wish, buy a small amount. Do not buy 10 far OTM calls, when you could just buy 1 ITM calls. Why?. Because ITM calls have less theta, so if the price goes your way, you can sell immediately for a profit. OTM calls you will not be able to get out, if it doesn't go your way. As for long-term direction, then i don't know. Basically we all messed up not getting in early on the run. Now all that is left is to chase, which is more risky.
AMEX:SPY
by Broketothebone
9
Break or Bust into Fed MinutesThe Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting held on September 17-18, 2024, concluded with a significant decision to cut the federal funds rate by 50 basis points, bringing it to a range of 4.75% to 5%. This marked the beginning of a new interest rate-cutting cycle, the first since March 2020. In their discussions, FOMC members noted that while economic activity continued to expand, job gains had slowed and unemployment had risen slightly, though it remained low. Inflation showed progress towards the Fed's target of 2%, but was still elevated​. The committee expressed a balance of risks regarding employment and inflation, indicating that they felt confident in this rate cut amid improved inflation data​. The FOMC also projected further rate cuts in the coming months, with expectations for an additional 50 basis point reduction over the next two meetings​. The economic outlook remains uncertain, and members emphasized that they would continue to evaluate incoming data and evolving conditions before making further adjustments​
AMEX:SPY
by FlyingWiener69
SPY 0DTE After yesterday's bullish day, I'm going to sit back today and see what happens. SPY opened up at 573.16 today with a current ATR of 5.72. The upside can go to 578.88, and the downside is 567.44. Still, overall, really just basing here, but it feels like it's losing steam. Can we see 580? Yeah, it's high probability and much more likely. If this does run up to 578, I'll look to see if I can enter a short position with a target of 574 before we close today. If this falls down to 567 before the close, I'll take a look to see if I can catch a move to the upside to 572. Volatility is above 20 right now, so it is appropriate for me to take these types of quick trades if the set up is correct.
AMEX:SPY
by MMOTA_
1
SPY Ascending Wedge PathsNice rally for SPY off 565, now it's all the way back to the top end of the range near ATH. Nice little ascending wedge here, I'll be looking for longs on a retest if we break up above the wedge and past ATH. It could also be a good long if it pulls back to the bottom end of the wedge and holds. If we get the downside break, first target is the bottom of the range again around 565 and then the 560 area for a final target. Another bearish scenario would be a brief ATH break that has a hard rejection at the top end of the wedge and can't hold the previous ATH on a retest.
AMEX:SPY
by AdvancedPlays
SPY Technical Analysis on October 9, 2024 Price Action: Current Price: $573.33, with a recent high of $573.78 and support at $572.69. Trend: SPY is trading within an upward trajectory, breaking above previous resistance levels around $572, showing bullish momentum over the last trading sessions. Key Levels: Support: Immediate support at $572.69. Stronger support zone between $565.25 and $565.82, which has been tested multiple times as shown by the lower wicks in previous candles. Resistance: Immediate resistance at $573.78 (recent high). Higher resistance around $576, aligning with the trendline. Indicators: MACD: Momentum is mixed but leaning bullish as the histogram shifts slightly upwards. However, it still indicates choppy action, suggesting potential consolidation near current levels. Trading Plan: For Bulls: Watch for a continuation above $573.78, targeting the $576 level as the next resistance. Entries could be made on pullbacks to support at $572.69, with stops placed below $572. For Bears: A rejection from $573.78 could lead to a retracement toward the support zone at $565.25–$565.82. Look for a break below $572.69 to confirm a downside move. Outlook for Tomorrow: Bullish Bias: As long as SPY holds above $572.69, the short-term bias remains bullish. However, any failure to break above $573.78 might lead to sideways or slight bearish movements. Disclaimer: This analysis is based on technical data and is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and consider risk management when trading.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
Weekly $SPY Options SPY Options to Kick off October Election is less than a month away. Investors are taking profit and repositioning defensively until after the election noise. VIX over $21. We’re still just 3% off from all-time highs. The next catalysts are rate cuts, job numbers, and earnings. We expect volatility until the election noise settles. This week, we are leaning bearish to start the week. However, the upside trade has the most room for continuation. We are using 15-30 minute candle closes for confirmation. Best of luck! $569 Call 10/16 Entry: 15-30 minute confirmation OVER $568 Targets: $569, $571, $574 $565 Put 10/16 Entry: 15-30 minute confirmation UNDER $568 Target: $565 AMEX:SPY
AMEX:SPY
by PennyBois
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-8 : Gap Breakaway PatternToday's Gap Breakaway pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will gap up and rally higher - moving away from yesterday's base/bottom. Remember, we had two basing and bottoming patterns over the weekend. Although I don't really count weekend patterns as drivers of price trends, I view them as psychological patterns. In other words, they reflect expectations headed into the following week of trading. So, the basing/bottoming patterns last weekend will likely resolve into a melt up type of trend this week and the gapping/breakaway patterns this week will, as a result, present a strong opportunity to the upside for traders. Recently, I started drawing the "Roadmap" trade signals on the charts for traders. This is an attempt to make things easier for all of you. Allowing you to see where the opportunities are for Options or Share trades more clearly. Ideally, if this works for all of us, then I'll be able to map out 4 to 7+ days of price rotation in clear trade triggers for all of us to use. Now, something interesting I wanted to point out is the SPY has just moved into a #3 phase of an Excess Phase Peak pattern. It is a very small pullback off a high - but it is still a valid Excess Phase Peak pattern. If price rallies today, as I expect, this rally will invalidate the Excess Phase Peak pattern and put us into a strong rally phase targeting $605 on the SPY. Gold is getting ready to move into a basing/support zone over the next 18+ hours - then really start to rally higher. BTCUSD has rolled downward - just as I expected moving into the #3 phase of it's Excess Phase Peak pattern. Again, if you are not paying attention - I'm picking apart all of these charts very cleanly and the information I present should be helping you see and identify better trade opportunities. Tell me how I'm doing. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
18
SPY For Tomorrow 10/8/2024Key Levels: Resistance: The recent high around 571.97 acts as the primary resistance level. If SPY pushes upwards, this is a critical level to watch for possible rejection or breakout. Support: There is a support zone around 566.65 and 565.49. This area was tested and held as support. If the price dips tomorrow, keep an eye on how SPY reacts to these levels. Moving Averages: The shorter-term EMA (15) is crossing under the 161 EMA, suggesting that bearish momentum is gaining strength. This cross can indicate a continuation of the current downtrend if no reversal signal is shown. Volume Profile: There’s a significant volume node near the 567.66 level, meaning this area has seen heavy buying and selling interest. If SPY trades around this level tomorrow, it may act as a consolidation or decision point where price either breaks up or down depending on volume direction. MACD: The MACD is slightly bearish as the MACD line crossed below the signal line, indicating a potential shift to the downside. However, the histogram bars are decreasing, which could signal weakening bearish momentum and possible reversal soon. Candlestick Patterns: The red candle (around 12:00 PM today on October 7) shows bearish pressure. However, the green candle that followed it suggests buyers stepped in, creating a minor rejection. Watch how the price behaves around this candle low tomorrow for potential reversal signals. Volume: There was a significant increase in volume during the recent drop, indicating strong selling pressure. However, a return to lower volume on the following candles indicates indecision or lack of continuation, which could lead to consolidation. Plan for Tomorrow: Bullish Scenario: If SPY holds above the 567.66 level and moves toward the 571.97 resistance, consider long positions on a break of that level. Use the volume profile to see if the buying momentum sustains. Bearish Scenario: A break below 566.65 could bring SPY down to test the 565.49 level. If selling pressure increases, a further drop could be likely. Make sure to monitor pre-market data and the first 5-10 minutes of the open for any significant volume spikes or price reactions to these levels. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making decisions. I am not responsible for any losses incurred from using this information.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 10-7 Roadmap UpdateThis short video updates traders related to the SPY & GOLD Cycle Patterns and how I see price playing out over the next 48+ hours. I also highlight the resistance level setting up in BTCUSD. Should be interesting to see how this plays out over the next 4+ days. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
SPY Will Collapse! SELL! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for SPY is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 572.97 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 570.79 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AMEX:SPYShort
by AnabelSignals
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 10-7 - SPY Cycle Patterns RoadmapThis week, I'm trying something I started over the last week or two - a "Roadmap" of what I expect to see price do going forward 7-10+ days. Now, this is something most people won't do because it presents a "live or die" outcome. Either I'm going to be right (or somewhat right) about price action and can live with my expectations - or, I'm going to be completely wrong about all of my expectations and it will prove to be a failed exercise in the use of my SPY Cycle Patterns. So, at this point - you know I'm hoping price does exactly what I expect it to do. I started doing this about 2 weeks ago. I just started calling it the "Roadmap" for traders (tieing into the Plan Your Trade concept). What I'm trying to do is to show you how I use my SPY Cycle Patterns (and other analysis techniques) to try to stay ahead of market trends. And you can learn to do this as well. It just takes time, practice, and knowledge. So, as we start the week out in early October - let's see how this plays out and if we get any surprises with price action. I spend quite a bit of time going over BTCUSD today - pay attention. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
S&P bulls maintain control but no initiative yetLast week was characterized by controlled selling, with prices drifting down slowly as the market awaited the unemployment data released on Friday. As we can see on the daily chart, sellers were unable to close the day below the previous day's low, even after a significant sell-off on Tuesday. Once the unemployment data was published, alleviating concerns about a potential recession, the bulls regained control, and the week closed on a positive note. The next key objective for buyers is to break through the resistance around 574.7 . Given that this level has been retested multiple times, it's unlikely to hold. However, we still need to closely monitor the price's reaction to this level and observe what happens immediately after the breakout. The long-term outlook remains bullish. In the short term, there is still a high possibility that prices will continue consolidating within the 565–575 range , as the market remains influenced by political uncertainty in the U.S.
AMEX:SPY
by hermes_trisme
US Inflation, Earnings Season Kickoff, Markets on EdgeS&P has failed to make all-time highs Dow has failed to make all-time highs Nasdaq has failed to make any new highs Russell has failed to make any new highs Oil rips on Middle East escalations Dollar rips on technical support and bear trap play. Dollar is a big component to the stock markets edging higher for the remainder of the year (e.g. dollar strong = market weak, dollar weak = market strong) I'm keeping it very simple and staying patient for any "dip" opportunities on indexes, stocks, and watchlist items I still like Gold, Silver, Bitcoin long as well - again, patient on price action and entries Major News this week -US CPI (MoM, YoY, Core and Reg CPI) -Earnings Season Kickoff - DPZ, DAL, WFC, JPM, BLK and others Thanks for watching!!!
AMEX:SPY
by ChrisPulver
SPY: TA for Tomorrow. (10/7/2024)Chart Pattern Analysis Uptrend Formation: It appears that SPY has broken out of a descending trendline and is now in an uptrend. The price has bounced from the $565-$566 support zone and is currently trading near $572. This breakout from the trendline suggests a bullish reversal in the short term. Volume Analysis: There is no major spike in volume yet, so the momentum behind this breakout will need to be confirmed with higher volume during market hours. MACD Indicator (Bottom Oscillator): The MACD histogram is slightly positive but relatively flat, showing that while the momentum is neutral to bullish, it’s not strong yet. Watch for a further MACD crossover for confirmation of a stronger trend. Support and Resistance Levels Immediate Resistance: $574.41 - $575.00: This is a key resistance zone where SPY may face some selling pressure. If SPY breaks above this level, it could trigger a continuation to the upside. Immediate Support: $570.11: The current support level. If SPY pulls back from its current position, this level could act as a key area for a bounce. Critical Support Zone: $566.00 - $565.31: This is the lower range of support. If SPY falls below this zone, it could revisit lower levels, potentially continuing a bearish trend. Potential Price Action for Tomorrow Bullish Scenario: If SPY stays above $570.11 and continues higher, watch for a test of $574.41 - $575.00. A breakout above this resistance level could lead to a rally towards $578. Entry: Consider entering a long position above $572.36 after confirming sustained buying pressure. Look for higher volume to confirm the breakout. Take-Profit: First target at $574.41, and if the rally continues, second target at $578. Stop-loss: Set your stop-loss slightly below $570 to protect against a false breakout. Bearish Scenario: If SPY falls below $570.11, you might see a retracement back towards the $566 - $565.31 support zone. Entry: Consider a short position below $570 if SPY shows signs of weakening. Take-Profit: First target at $566, and if the bearish momentum continues, second target at $565. Stop-loss: Place your stop-loss above $572 in case of a reversal. Directional Outlook Bullish Bias: The breakout from the descending trendline and the sustained trading above $570 suggest a bullish bias for tomorrow. The key levels to watch are the immediate resistance around $574.41 and the current support at $570.11. Cautious Bearish: However, if SPY loses support at $570 and falls back into the descending trendline, this could indicate a bearish reversal. Summary Resistance: $574.41 - $575.00 Support: $570.11, $566.00 - $565.31 Bullish Entry: Above $572.36 with targets at $574.41 and $578. Bearish Entry: Below $570 with targets at $566 and $565. The direction is likely bullish in the short term, but watch for confirmation in volume and price action at the $570 support. Let me know if you'd like further insights!
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights