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SPY trade ideas

SPY Technical Analysis & GEX Options Setup for February 26📌 Key Observations from the Charts 1. Market Structure & Price Action: * SPY had a steep drop from the 610-613 zone, now consolidating near 600. * Support Levels: * 600.00 (current price zone, minor support). * 595.00 (major support & highest negative GEX level). * 590.00 (critical put wall & last line of defense before deeper downside). * Resistance Levels: * 607.10 (POC, key resistance level). * 610.38 (VAH, major rejection area). * 613.26 (high resistance zone). * If SPY loses 595, expect a further decline to 590 or lower. 2. Volume Profile & Auction Levels: * Point of Control (POC): 607.10 → Major liquidity zone, critical to reclaim for upside. * Value Area High (VAH): 610.38 → Strong resistance zone. * Value Area Low (VAL): 599.47 → Must hold for potential rebound. 3. Indicators Review: * MACD: Bearish momentum remains, though slight signs of divergence. * Stochastic RSI: Deeply oversold, possible short-term bounce, but confirmation needed. 🛠️ Options GEX Analysis * Call Resistance: * 615-620 → Strong gamma resistance, unlikely to be breached soon. * Put Walls & Support Zones: * 595 → Highest Negative NETGEX & Major Put Support. * 590 → Critical put wall—if breached, could trigger further downside acceleration. * Implied Volatility (IVR & IVx): * IVR 30 | IVx Avg 19.4 → Moderate IV, but increased put activity. * Put Positioning 117.5% → Heavy bearish bias, extreme downside risk. 📈 Trade Setups & Game Plan 🔴 Bearish Scenario (Preferred Setup) 🔹 Entry: Short below 599 confirmation.
🔹 Target 1: 595.00 (Put Wall Support).
🔹 Target 2: 590.00 (Put Wall Breakdown Level).
🔹 Stop-Loss: Above 603 (invalidates breakdown).
🔹 Options Strategy: * Buy PUTS 600/590 expiring 1-2 weeks out if breakdown confirms. * Debit Put Spread (Bearish 600P/590P for risk control). 🟢 Bullish Scenario (Less Likely) 🔹 Entry: If price reclaims 603-607, targeting 610+.
🔹 Target 1: 607.10 (POC, first resistance).
🔹 Target 2: 610.38-613.26 (major resistance).
🔹 Stop-Loss: Below 599 invalidates upside move.
🔹 Options Strategy: * Sell 590/585 Put Credit Spread for a bounce play. 🎯 My Thoughts & Suggestions * Main Bias: Bearish, unless 603+ is reclaimed. * Gamma Risks: Below 595, strong gamma exposure can push SPY lower quickly. * Options Play: Puts are dominant, showing market hedging & downside risk. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please do your own research and consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-24-25 : Breakaway PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets will attempt to make a Breakaway move. I believe this breakaway will be to the downside after watching the rejection near the 609 level on the SPY play out and the breakdown of the Excess Phase Peak pattern over the past 2+ days. However, if the breakdown I suggested (above) does not happen, I suggest the markets continue to FLAG SIDEWAYS into a FLAG APEX near the end of this week. The SPY's trend is such that I see it either breaking down hard over the next 2-3 days (confirming the Excess Phase Peak breakdown) or stalling back into the FLAG formation and reaching the Apex near the end of this week. That means traders need to prepare for one of two major price events: a continued major breakdown or a consolidation/reversion back to the 605-608 level within a sideways FLAG. What I expect is a breakdown in price. That seems the most logical. But, after watching the markets continue to flag sideways over the past few weeks, I know the markets can stay illogical for longer than I can try to short this top. lol Gold and Silver look ready to rally. This could be a huge upward move and very powerful for skilled traders. BTCUSD looks ready to break downward. And I think a breakdown in Bitcoin would be timed with a breakdown in the SPY/QQQ as well. This is going to be an interesting week. Start off by letting the markets try to settle today (for the first 10 to 30 minutes). You can't kick the markets to do what you want. After watching this moderate pullback in pre-market trading, we need to see how the price will attempt to trend. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
Weekly Market Outlook: February 24 – 28, 2025 🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸📈 U.S. Tariffs Implementation 📈: President Donald Trump has announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on imported automobiles, pharmaceuticals, and lumber products, set to take effect on April 2, 2025. This move aims to protect domestic industries but has raised concerns about potential impacts on global trade relations. 🇺🇦🇷🇺 Diplomatic Efforts 🇺🇦🇷🇺: This week marks the third anniversary of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Key events include French President Emmanuel Macron visiting President Trump in Washington and a virtual G7 meeting to discuss potential resolutions to the ongoing conflict. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Tuesday, Feb 25: 🏠 S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index (9:00 AM ET) 🏠: Provides data on home prices across 20 major U.S. cities. 📈 Consumer Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET) 📈: Measures consumer sentiment regarding economic conditions. Analysts forecast a slight dip in February to 102.6 from January's 104.1. 📅 Wednesday, Feb 26: 🏠 New Home Sales (10:00 AM ET) 🏠: Reports the number of newly constructed homes sold in the previous month. Economists predict a modest decline to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 680,000 homes from December's 698,000. 📅 Thursday, Feb 27: 📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) 📉: Weekly report on the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits. 📊 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Second Estimate (8:30 AM ET) 📊: Revised estimate of the nation's economic growth for Q4 2024. The initial reading showed a 2.3% annual growth rate, slightly below expectations. 🛠️ Durable Goods Orders (8:30 AM ET) 🛠️: Indicates new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting goods. 📅 Friday, Feb 28: 💰 Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index (8:30 AM ET) 💰: The Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation. 💳 Personal Income and Outlays (8:30 AM ET) 💳: Reports changes in personal income and spending. 🏠 Pending Home Sales (10:00 AM ET) 🏠: Measures housing contract activity for existing single-family homes. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Following up SPYEntry Strategy Entry Levels: 599: Initiate your first position here. 593: Consider adding to your position if the price pulls back. 585: Evaluate a further entry during a deeper retracement. Profit Targets: 607: Aim for an initial profit target at this level. 611: A secondary target to capture additional gains. 615: The final target where you may exit for optimal returns. Remember to use proper risk management, including stop-loss orders, and ensure your risk/reward ratio meets your trading criteria. Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade responsibly.
AMEX:SPY
by Robert_V12
$SPY February 24, 2025AMEX:SPY February 24, 2025 15 Minutes. The move from 610.70 to 599.47 is extended. Hence a retracement is possible. I expect a retracement to 602-603 levels. On weekly have a bad close. High was made and close was near low. On daily $\spy near 50-day average. I expect a bounce to 603 -604 levels this week for a target 594 being 100 moving averages. Not a week to go long. As expected, 613-614 provided resistance and AMEX:SPY pulled back as extension targe was achieved.
AMEX:SPYShort
by RiderTrader
3
SPY Ready for Impulsive or Ending Diagonal?This 5th wave isn't feeling impulsive at all and if anything is indicating bearish RSI divergence. For these reasons, I feel that wave 5 is in what we call an ENDING DIAGONAL. Ending diagonals are really tricky to trade, as they have a series of overlapping movements. Price struggles to move higher, indicating exhaustion. Will still get a move to the 630 to 670 area, but if trying to trade it, the ups and downs vs impulsive behaviors make this tough to trade. After completion, there is typically a deeper correction, and since I am expecting a larger wave 4, this feels correct as well. Now there is always a chance we haven't finished the prior larger wave 4 and we are either in a running or expanded flat, but will need to see a bit more to understand that scenario. Running flat would reverse soon and then impulsively higher vs expanded will undercut 574 and then rip higher (show on chart with green impulsive waves). Elliot wave is so much easier to understand once the waves are completed vs speculating where they are going next!
AMEX:SPYLong
by KingTrading999
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Afternoon Update : BREAKDOWNIf you've followed my research over the past 90+ days - you were ready for this move. If you were positioned for this breakdown, many of you should have seen decent profits or green in your accounts. I'm so happy and proud to have helped many of you prepare for this move. Stay cautious into the close as we may see more selling pressure drive prices lower. Remember, everything I do is about helping you become a better trader. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
5
Using The Screener + My Indicator To Find Market Direction CluesTrading Family, In this week's market update, we'll look for some clues as to where both our crypto and stock markets are headed using a combo of my proprietary indicator in conjunction with some basic filters for TradingView's stock and crypto screener tool. We'll talk about what this combo is showing us and we'll also discuss some of the lessons I have learned from trading with my newly implemented AI-created indicator tool. Hope you enjoy. ✌️ Stew
AMEX:SPY
by stewdamus
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for 2.21.2025🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News: 🇺🇸🛢️ Trump Considers 25% Tariff on Imported Cars: President Donald Trump has announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on imported automobiles, aiming to protect domestic manufacturers. This move could impact global trade relations and the automotive industry. 🇷🇺🇺🇸 U.S.-Russia Diplomatic Talks: High-level discussions between U.S. and Russian officials are set to continue, focusing on resolving the ongoing Ukraine conflict. Outcomes from these talks may influence global markets and geopolitical stability. 📊 Key Data Releases: 📅 Friday, Feb 21: 🏭 Manufacturing PMI (9:45 AM ET): Forecast: 51.3; Previous: 51.2. 💼 Services PMI (9:45 AM ET): Forecast: 53.0; Previous: 52.9. 🏠 Existing Home Sales (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 4.13M; Previous: 4.24M. 📉 Michigan Consumer Sentiment (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 71.1; Previous: 67.8. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPY
by TrendTao
SPY: Key Levels and Market Outlook for February 20, 2025Market Structure & Price Action SPY remains within an ascending channel, showing resilience around the 612.30-612.90 zone. The price structure suggests a potential breakout or rejection at resistance. * Support Levels: * 609.60-610.00 (key short-term support) * 608.37 (potential breakdown trigger) * Resistance Levels: * 613.23 (local high & key breakout level) * 615.00+ (potential upside target if momentum continues) GEX & Options Flow Analysis * Call Wall: 615 & 620 * Put Support: 598-605 * Put Sentiment: 83.4% (indicating downside hedging, but could fuel upside if trapped sellers unwind) * IV Rank: 15.2 (relatively low volatility, suggesting a breakout move could be sharp) Possible Scenarios ✅ Bullish Breakout: If SPY holds above 612.50-613, a move towards 615-620 could be in play.
 🚨 Bearish Breakdown: Losing 609.60-610.00 would expose SPY to deeper pullbacks toward 605-600. Final Thoughts The market is at a key inflection point. Monitor volume and price reactions at 613 and 610 for directional confirmation. If momentum builds, SPY could extend toward 615, but failing to hold 610 could shift sentiment bearish.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BullBearInsights