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SPY trade ideas

SPY: Key Levels and Market Outlook for February 20, 2025Market Structure & Price Action SPY remains within an ascending channel, showing resilience around the 612.30-612.90 zone. The price structure suggests a potential breakout or rejection at resistance. * Support Levels: * 609.60-610.00 (key short-term support) * 608.37 (potential breakdown trigger) * Resistance Levels: * 613.23 (local high & key breakout level) * 615.00+ (potential upside target if momentum continues) GEX & Options Flow Analysis * Call Wall: 615 & 620 * Put Support: 598-605 * Put Sentiment: 83.4% (indicating downside hedging, but could fuel upside if trapped sellers unwind) * IV Rank: 15.2 (relatively low volatility, suggesting a breakout move could be sharp) Possible Scenarios ✅ Bullish Breakout: If SPY holds above 612.50-613, a move towards 615-620 could be in play.
 🚨 Bearish Breakdown: Losing 609.60-610.00 would expose SPY to deeper pullbacks toward 605-600. Final Thoughts The market is at a key inflection point. Monitor volume and price reactions at 613 and 610 for directional confirmation. If momentum builds, SPY could extend toward 615, but failing to hold 610 could shift sentiment bearish.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BullBearInsights
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for 2.20.2025🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News: 🇰🇷📉 Samsung Share Cancellation: Samsung Electronics plans to cancel over 57 million shares, including 50.1 million common shares and 6.9 million preferred shares, on February 20. This move aims to reduce the total number of issued shares without decreasing the company's capital. 📊 Key Data Releases: 📅 Thursday, Feb 20: 🏭 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 19.4; Previous: 44.3. 📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 214K; Previous: 213K. 📈 Leading Index (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: -0.1%; Previous: -0.1%. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPY
by TrendTao
One More Close and SPY Will be Running!!!Typically I share the signals of my King Trading Momentum Strategy, which combines the 5 EMA crossing above the 13 EMA, RSI strength, favorable momentum as measured by ADX plus evaluating recent volume changes and even a little thing called Beta! But this time it is all about technical analysis. On SPY I originally thought we truncated wave 5 but now that we closed above the all-time high just one more close higher to confirm and this one is off to the races. Today it even retested breakout, held and bounced hard higher into close (super bullish). Impulsive waves are important to me with my momentum strategy, as instead of chasing missed opportunities I simply take the next signal on the hourly, as the strategy is optimized for over 100 beloved equities (if enabled in options)! There is always another trade when SPY goes impulsive! Currently signals have fired on TNA, SPXL, SOXL, TQQQ & UDOW (3x leveraged ETFs) just to name a few. If that doesn't make you feel bullish then I'm not sure what will!
AMEX:SPYLong
by KingTrading999
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Post Market Update : Big Squeeze CloseToday is quite a day in terms of trading volatility and volume. We've not seen a low-volume day like today in the SPY for more than a year. It is very likely this rally near the close of trading was more of a short-squeeze and not really a momentum breakout. We'll see how things play out tomorrow. But, I'm not budging related to my expectations of a breakdown in the markets over the next 5-10+ days. I see this market as completely over-cooked to the upside - and it seems to be evident in the lack of buying volume playing out. My Custom Crash index is flat and topping. My Custom Volatility Index is flat and topping. My Custom US Leading Index is actually LOWER so far this week. One thing is certain, there is a lot of open "air" below the 598 level on the SPY. Buckle Up. When it breaks - it may be a BIG BREAKDOWN setting up. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
4
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-18 : GAP PotentialAs the markets continue to struggle to break away from the current consolidated/sideways price trend, one thing is certain: The current FLAG/EPP pattern is setting up an explosive price move. My expectations are for a price breakdown, as my predictive modeling and GANN Cycle Patterns suggest that Major Bottoms will set up near February 21 and March 21-23. These major Bottoms suggest a strong potential for a price breakdown, reflecting uncertainty for the first half of 2025. Additionally, I believe the strength of the US Dollar is driving a "Capital Shift," where foreign capital is actively moving away from currency and economic risks, pooling aggressively into the safest currency and assets. This translates into capital pooling into US, UK, and EURO assets to avoid broader currency devaluation events. The dynamics of the global markets are very interesting right now. The influx of capital into the strongest economies with the strongest currencies may present a MELT-UP type of market trend. However, the uncertainty related to future US economic growth and performance may prompt some deep downturns/pullbacks in price. I don't see how the US markets can move past the economic turmoil of broad government restructuring until after June/July 2025. Therefore, I continue to urge traders to stay cautious of any melt-up trend. The markets want to move higher, but there are currently extreme volatility risks related to any potential price breakdowns. I'm watching Gold/Silver and Bitcoin to see if we move back into any euphoric phase. And right now, I'm seeing metals starting to move into a type of panic selloff while Bitcoin is struggling to regain any real strength. The continued sideways trend of Bitcoin leads me to believe the euphoria is diminishing, and reality may be setting in. That means we may be in for a bumpy ride over the next 90+ days. Stay fluid and stay cautious of any big breakdowns. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
SPY Stock Analysis & GEX Options Insights – Feb. 18Technical Analysis (TA) for SPY * Current Price Action: SPY is in a strong uptrend, consolidating near $610, which is a key resistance level. The price is showing signs of exhaustion but remains bullish. * Support & Resistance Levels: * Immediate Resistance: $610 – If SPY breaks and holds above this, it could see more upside. * Next Resistance: $615 – Aligns with the 2nd Call Wall from GEX data. * Major Resistance: $620 – A significant resistance level where price may struggle. * First Support: $607 – If SPY pulls back, this could be the first bounce zone. * Major Support: $600 – A break below this level would shift the momentum bearish. * Critical Breakdown Level: $595 – Losing this level could lead to a larger sell-off. * Indicators: * MACD: Flat, indicating that SPY is in consolidation mode at resistance. * Stochastic RSI: Oversold, suggesting a potential short-term bounce. Options Flow & GEX Analysis * GEX (Gamma Exposure): * Highest Positive NetGEX / Call Resistance: $620 – The most critical resistance area. * 94.55% Call Wall: $615 – A major resistance zone that could cap further upside. * 72.37% Call Wall: $610 – SPY is testing this level, and a breakout could be bullish. * Put Wall Support: $600 – The strongest downside support based on options positioning. * 3rd Put Wall: $595 – A key level to watch if SPY starts breaking down. * IV & Sentiment: * IV Rank (IVR): 13.9 → Low implied volatility, meaning options are cheaper. * IVx Avg: 13.9 → A stable volatility level. * Options Sentiment: Puts = 74.8% → A heavy bearish positioning in options flow, possibly hedging against downside risk. Trade Setups 📈 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play): * Entry: Above $610 with strong volume. * Target: $615, then $620 (Gamma Squeeze Potential). * Stop Loss: Below $607. 📉 Bearish Scenario (Breakdown Play): * Entry: Below $607. * Target: $600 or $595 (Put Support). * Stop Loss: Above $610. Final Thoughts * SPY remains bullish but is facing strong resistance at $610. * A breakout above $610 could lead to a rally toward $615-$620. * A failure to hold $607 might trigger a pullback to $600 or lower. * Best Trade Approach: Watch for confirmation of a breakout above $610 or breakdown below $607 before entering a trade. 🚨 This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade responsibly and manage risk! 🚨
AMEX:SPYLong
by BullBearInsights
2
Setting Up For Big MoveThe up and down motion is a clear precursor for a big move and while the current price action is up....but as yet with out big strong price movement up. As of yet we keep bouncing and moving up and yet not yet breaking any new big territory. A ceiling? Distribution and the load up of shorts for the big rug pull downward to fill the gap? Or consolidation and chewing and coiling before breaking out above. Tempting to choose the later. But my nagging intuition is telling me the gap fill below. Hard for me to jump in low for anything other than a scalp. Holding puts for the possible rug pull. I've been wrong many times before but there's no harm in placing small bets with limited downside for the possible big winner. Too high and too much resistance and gap fill below for me to risk the long (at least for me since I play SP500 futures). Time will tell.
AMEX:SPY
by tbuckle
8
SPY at Critical Support! Reversal Incoming or More Downside? 📊 Technical Analysis (TA): Trend & Structure: SPY is in a clear downtrend, with multiple Break of Structure (BOS) signals confirming bearish dominance. A recent Change of Character (ChoCH) attempt suggests a potential reversal, but confirmation is needed. Key Resistance: ~598-610 (supply zone) Support Zone: ~575-580 (current demand area) Indicators Suggesting a Possible Reversal: MACD: Showing signs of flattening, indicating potential momentum shift. Stochastic RSI: Deeply oversold, increasing the likelihood of a short-term relief rally. Volume Spike: Large volume at support, suggesting potential accumulation. 🔹 GEX & Options Flow: Call Walls (Resistance) 🚧 610-615: Strong resistance area where gamma positioning is high. 620: Major call wall, indicating an upper limit if a strong rally occurs. Put Walls (Support) 🛑 575: Highest negative NETGEX, meaning a break below this level could accelerate selling pressure. 570-560: Next major support levels if 575 fails. IV Rank & Skew: IVR 44.4, indicating mid-range implied volatility. Puts are heavily favored at 112.2%, showing strong downside hedging. Implied move ±0.33%, suggesting possible large swings. 📌 Trading Plan & Suggestions: Bullish Reversal Scenario: If SPY holds 580-585, we could see a bounce toward 598-610. Ideal trade: April 590C or 600C, targeting a relief rally. Bearish Breakdown Scenario: If SPY loses 575, downside targets extend to 570-560. Ideal Put Play: Buy March-April 580P or 570P, targeting 560. ⚠️ Key Warning: If SPY does not reclaim 590 quickly, expect continued selling pressure. 🔥 Conclusion: SPY at a Make-or-Break Level – Watch 575! SPY is testing a key support zone with early reversal signals forming, but strong put positioning still favors downside risk. The next sessions will determine if bulls defend this zone or if we see another leg lower. Watch 575-580 closely before making a move! 🚀📉 🚨 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
SPY Chart Fibonacci Analysis 030325Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 580/61.80% Chart time frame: B A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress: C A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
AMEX:SPY
by fibonacci6180
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for 2.26.2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸🤔 U.S. Consumer Confidence Dives 🤔: American consumer confidence fell to 98.3 in February (down from 105.3 in January), The steepest one-month drop since 2021. 🇩🇪📉 German GDP Contracts 📉: Germany’s economy shrank by 0.2% in Q4 2024 (quarter-on-quarter), confirming a downturn in Europe’s largest economy. Recession concerns in the Eurozone could influence global growth sentiment as exports and industry show signs of weakness. 🇺🇸💱 Fed Rate Cut Bets Trimmed 💱: Markets are now pricing in only one 25bps rate reduction in 2025 (versus two previously expected), 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Wednesday, Feb 26: 🏠 MBA Mortgage Applications (7:00 ET) 🏠: Last week’s applications fell -6.6% amid rising interest rates. Traders will watch if lower demand continues, as higher borrowing costs cool the housing market. 🏠 New Home Sales (10:00 ET) 🏠: Consensus expects around 680K units (vs 698K in December). This Jan report will show if higher mortgage rates are slowing home sales or if housing demand remains resilient to start 2025. 🛢️ EIA Crude Oil Inventories (10:30 ET) 🛢️: Last week, inventories rose to about 432.5 million barrels. A larger-than-expected draw could boost oil prices, while a build might ease price pressures (and inflation concerns). 💬 Fed’s Bostic Speaks (12:00 ET) 💬: Markets will monitor his commentary for any hints on monetary policy or growth/inflation views. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #tomorrow #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
HIGH TIMEFRAME FVG STRIKES AGAINThey say look to the left right? Here we can clearly see the benefits of plotting previous level FVG's on higher timeframes, as well as basic daily liquidity. When plotting like this, it helps in contract selection. As options traders we're looking to make the most out of the market right? Whats sexier than a contract going from like .10 to $200!? By plotting liquidity and FVG's, we are aided in contract selection and it takes a lot of the hoping and wishing out of the trade. Are we sweeping liquidity or not? Are we on track to reach a higher timeframe FVG or not? Make sure you have your contract levels planned prior to market open so you can take advantage of these life changing moves! My ideal entries. This doesn't always happen but its nice when it does! - Break of 30m PMKT ORB (initial entry) - Break of 15m ORB (add) - Break of 30M ORB (add) - Break of FVG (SELL!!!) Just look to the left! Draw the lines, draw the boxes. and don't panic, you got this! The blue shaded box at the bottom is a previous FVG plotted from the 6HR timeframe
AMEX:SPY
by joshblack526
super serious chart guysIm saying resistance into new support around $606. Don't think we just keep going down from here but it's inflation vs nvidia... What's the story to close out Feb? And God help us if nvidia earnings don't help us bounce. I mean a 5-10% retreat wouldn't be the end of the world, but not currently supported by technical signals. Long term view is bleak. The gap between the haves and the have nots will grow and America's earnings abroad will no longer offset domestic slowdowns. Between now and the end of March, I'd expect another leg down as the corporate reactions will cascade a few times yet. People really are bracing for higher prices, which will result in fed rate expectations to be stretched which will slow investment and housing starts, which will exacerbate price expectations. Where the chart goes really just depends on the order of events but $615 is looking less likely by the day, even a mild tap and then bear market is looking unlikely. Last week's action post Fed minutes really 180'd the trajectory. People are on edge for bad news. And we are sure to have a good share of it even in the best case scenario.
AMEX:SPYShort
by pogicraft
S&P500 $SPY | SPY’s All-Time High - Where to Next? | Feb23'25S&P500 AMEX:SPY | SPY’s All-Time High - Where to Next? | Feb23'25 AMEX:SPY BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $597.50 - $613.23 AMEX:SPY DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $584.88 - $597.50 AMEX:SPY SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $574.00 - $584.88 AMEX:SPY Trends: AMEX:SPY Weekly Trend: Bullish AMEX:SPY Daily Trend: Bullish AMEX:SPY 4H Trend: Bullish AMEX:SPY 1H Trend: Bearish AMEX:SPY just reached a new all-time high! How did price get there? AMEX:SPY experienced a small range between 602.45 – 604.00, followed by bearish momentum, leading to a 3% drop in price. However, bullish momentum quickly stepped in, pushing the price up before continuing downward again. This bearish trend was short-lived and appears to have formed a developing range rather than a sustained downtrend. Shortly after, price broke back above 597.50, signaling the start of a new bullish trend. SPY then established a ranging pattern between 597.50 - 608.00 before ultimately breaking out to a new all-time high of 613.23. Despite the breakout, price action has now dropped back into the range between 597.50 - 608.00. Where to next? Will SPY hold its new highs, or is this the start of a reversal? This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas. ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! trendanalysis, trendtrading, priceaction, priceactiontrading, technicalindicators, supportandresistance, rangebreakout, rangebreakdown, rangetrading, chartpatterntrading, chartpatterns, spy, sp500, s&p, fed, federalreserve, fedrate, AMEX:SPY , snp, snp500, usmarket, usmarkets, stockmarket, overallmarket, spyath, spyalltimehigh, all-time high, price action, bullish trend, bearish momentum, trading range, breakout, support and resistance, choppy market, untradable zone, stock market, technical analysis, market trends, price breakout, volatility, trend reversal, stock trading, SPY analysis, market momentum, trading strategy, sparros, sparrosexchange,
AMEX:SPYLong
by TonyAiello
Following up SPYEntry Strategy Entry Levels: 599: Initiate your first position here. 593: Consider adding to your position if the price pulls back. 585: Evaluate a further entry during a deeper retracement. Profit Targets: 607: Aim for an initial profit target at this level. 611: A secondary target to capture additional gains. 615: The final target where you may exit for optimal returns. Remember to use proper risk management, including stop-loss orders, and ensure your risk/reward ratio meets your trading criteria. Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade responsibly.
AMEX:SPY
by Robert_V12
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for 2.19.2025🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News: 🇺🇸🗣️ President Trump's Address: At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, February 18, President Trump is scheduled to deliver a speech that may provide insights into upcoming policy directions. 📱🍏 Apple Product Launch: Apple CEO Tim Cook has announced a new product launch set for February 19, 2025. Speculations suggest it could be the iPhone SE 4, featuring a 6.1-inch OLED display and an A18 chip with Apple Intelligence. 📊 Key Data Releases: 🏠 Housing Starts (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 1.390M; Previous: 1.499M. 📄 FOMC Meeting Minutes (2:00 PM ET): Detailed insights into the Federal Reserve's policy discussions from the January meeting. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao