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SPY trade ideas

SPY: Breakdown with Strong Momentum – Key Targets Ahead 📉 Overview: The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) has broken through a key support level with strong downward momentum. This bearish move suggests further downside potential, with key targets identified below. 🔍 Technical Analysis: Price has decisively broken below a key support zone with strong momentum, indicating a potential continuation to the downside. 1st Target: Around $537.75, which aligns with the yearly mid-level support. 2nd Target: Around $510.27, which coincides with the 6-month low level. Momentum indicators (Neon Momentum Waves) are trending downward, supporting bearish sentiment. Long-Term Support: The yearly low at $466.43 remains a major downside level to watch if bearish pressure intensifies. 🚨 Trading Plan: 📌 Bearish Bias – Look for potential short entries on pullbacks towards the broken support level, now acting as resistance. 📌 Stop Loss: Consider placing stops above the breakdown level (~$560) to mitigate risk. 📌 Profit Targets: First target: $537.75 Second target: $510.27 📊 Risk Management: Keep an eye on volume and momentum indicators to confirm the bearish move. If price reclaims the broken support level, reconsider the short thesis. 📢 Conclusion: SPY is showing strong bearish momentum after breaking key support. If the trend continues, the price may reach the identified targets. Traders should monitor price action and momentum signals for confirmation. ⚠ Disclaimer: I'm not a financial expert—just sharing my thoughts based on my analysis. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly. Do you agree with this outlook? Let’s discuss in the comments! 🚀📉 #SPY #Trading #StockMarket #Bearish #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrade #Momentum #NotFinancialAdvice
AMEX:SPYShort
by Brian_Heady
2
$540 incoming put trade expiring 4/4 or 4/11 AMEX:SPY I start these Anchored VWAPs where the volume was the lowest before a major upside or downside. When I entered this trade $540 expiring 4/4 was at $.5 on 3/27 on Thursday around 9.55am currently $2.06 closing week, however I want to highlight that the $540-$530 would be the major leg down and we might see the $570-$580 levels for first week of June imo. Note: I am heavily comparing price actions for nowadays with 2022 first half drawdown.
AMEX:SPYLong
by SuLLL0
SPY Falling Wedge Into Support SPY forming a descending wedge after an extreme sell off, one of the fastest declines in recent history. This wedge style pattern tends to be the result of sharp move in a particular direction, in this case downward as temporary relief before continuiing in the direction of the larger trend. Ill be looking for liquidity to enter the market on the thursday / friday session for a potential bounce. If not, then its likely the market will be in for a rough spring.
AMEX:SPYLong
by afurs1
Spy Road To $544 Target HIT Now WhatWell we finally hit our target a lot of us went heavy in shorts right before the bell rang in many Etf's SPY QQQ Tsla with massive amounts of money With Expirations Expiring 4/3 4/5 and also 2weeks out.... Don't Ever Miss Another Move in the stock market again stay up to date With JoeWtrades.... So I guess everyone wants to know what's next Bear Market Bull Market is the the bottom in ext.... Nope this is not the bottom, i already have a plan on what's going to happen price will continue to fall Friday Over the Weekend Resulting in a possible Dead Cat Bounce come Tuesday in my opinion back to $550ish, Wait what did you say yes $dead cat bounce to $550ish in the next few days possibly Tuesday so this means this is not the bottom JoeWtrades , Nope in my opinion its not Like and follow to see in my opinion on where price goes, if you need assistance and would like to take your trading and scalping to the next level You know what to do.... As Always safe trades and good luck
AMEX:SPYShort
by JoeWtrades
2
Opportunity Beneath the Fear: SPY's Reversal SetupIn the Shadow of Headlines: SPY’s Drop Could Be 2025’s Big Opportunity As markets react sharply to renewed tariff fears and Trump-related headlines, SPY continues its descent. Panic is setting in—but behind the noise, a strategic opportunity may be quietly forming. While many rush to exit, others are beginning to position for the bounce. A well-structured entry strategy could be key to turning uncertainty into gains. Entry Zone (Staggered): 🔹 543: First watch level—look for signs of slowing momentum. 🔹 515: Deeper entry point as the selloff extends. 🔹 <500 (TBD): Stay flexible—if panic accelerates, this could mark a generational setup. Profit Targets: ✅ 570: Initial rebound target. ✅ 590: Mid-range level if recovery builds. ✅ 610+: Full recovery potential—rewarding those with patience and vision. Remember: Headlines fade, but price action and preparation stay. This selloff may continue—but it might also be laying the foundation for 2025’s most powerful move. The key? Enter with discipline, protect your capital, and let the market come to you. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading carries significant risk. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
AMEX:SPY
by Robert_V12
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-2 : GAP Reversal Counter TrendToday's pattern suggests price may attempt to move downward in early trading, trying to find support near recent lows, then potentially roll a bit higher. I do expect price to move into a downward price trend - attempting to break below the 549 price level and targeting the 535-545 target Fib level this week. Today, Thursday, and Friday are all GAP/Breakaway types of patterns. So we should be entering an expansion of price trend and I believe that trend will be to the downside. Gold and Silver are nearing a Flag Apex level. Very exciting for a potential breakout rally driving Gold up above $3250 and Silver up above $36. I personally believe there is nothing stopping Gold and Silver in this rally phase until Gold reaches levels above $4500. GET SOME. BTCUSD had a very interesting spike low. I still believe BTCUSD will roll downward - targeting the $76-78k level, then break downward towards the $60k level. Time will tell. The rest of this week should be very exciting with the Breakaway and GAP patterns. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
4
SPY Update + Learn & Understand the concept below!!Red vs. Teal has been the storyline for this downward momentum and it continues to be as we saw a strong hold from (bullish) red earlier in the week and after rejecting off of teal yesterday, this subsequent gap down that we're currently seeing. If we've built enough bearish liquidity utilizing our green controlled buying, we can see this dump penetrate this 547 support level and continue deeper with a mid-term target in the low $500's. However, if sufficient liquidity hasn't been built, per the laws of S&D, we will need to continue higher for a bit to grab more sellers and soak up more buyers prior to that penetration. Whenever the move seems too obvious in the market, expect it to look that way purposely and for it to be a trap. Get you to sell when it's so obviously bearish - and then the market pushes up as you realize that everyone who sold is the reason why it's going to now push up - big money will force you and the others to buy back your sells at a higher price/loss and that's where big money then swoops in, when things maybe started to look a bit bullish, and pushes the market down by selling back to you all your stop loss buys in one fell swoop! Learn this concept, understand it, and your trading will change forever. That knowledge combined with an understanding of how the algorithms inform the market's liquidity, is why I draw so many lines on my chart. Happy Trading :)
AMEX:SPY
by ReigningTrades
SPY: Yet another bearish SPY forecastLooking at the previous sell-off patterns, theres a strong possibility that if the downtrend continues, SPY will head to low 500's by mid-May before rebounding in the summer to retest current levels (540-560) before completing the final leg (or first) of a correction to the high mid-high 400 price level - or potentially low 400s in September. Its been a while since I've shared a predictive chart but the current market behavior makes it hard not to try to paint a picture. Heaps of salt to be taken - I've been wrong many times before
AMEX:SPYShort
by myceliium
1
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update Update For 4-2 : ConsolidationThis quick update shows why I believe the SPY/QQQ will struggle to make any big move as long as we stay within the 382-618 "Battle Zone". The SPY continues to rally up into this zone and stall out. If the SPY stays within this zone, I believe the markets will simply roll around in a tight range and go nowhere today. Thus, I published this article to warn traders not to expect any big trends until we breakout - away from this Fibonacci "Battle Zone". You can't kick the markets to make it go anywhere. And, unless you are trading very short-term swings in price - you are probably better off sitting on the sidelines waiting for a broad market trend to establish. This is a warning. As long as we stay in the Fibonacci "Battle Zone", price will struggle to build any major trend. So, play your trades accordingly - or just take a break from trading while you wait for the markets to roll out of the "Battle Zone". Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
11
What Is the Difference Between ETFs and Index Funds?What Is the Difference Between ETFs and Index Funds? ETFs and index funds are designed to provide access to diversified portfolios of assets, often tracking the performance of a specific market index. But while they may appear similar at first glance, they have distinct characteristics that cater to different types of investors and strategies. This article breaks down the key differences between ETFs vs index funds, explores how they work, and explains why traders and investors might choose one over the other. What Are ETFs? Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are investment vehicles that trade on stock exchanges, much like individual shares. They’re structured to replicate the performance of a particular benchmark, sector, commodity, or a combination of asset classes. What sets ETFs apart is their flexibility. Traders and investors buy and sell ETFs throughout the trading day at market prices. This makes them particularly appealing to active traders who value liquidity and the ability to react quickly to price movements. Another key advantage is their typically low cost. Most ETFs are passively managed, meaning they aim to replicate a benchmark rather than beat it. This reduces management fees, making ETFs a cost-effective choice compared to actively managed offerings. ETFs also offer diversification in a single transaction. By trading one ETF, investors can gain exposure to hundreds or even thousands of underlying securities. This makes them a popular choice for spreading risk across multiple assets. What Are Index Funds? Index funds are investment vehicles designed to mirror the performance of a specific index, like the FTSE 100 or the S&P 500. An index fund provides broad exposure by holding a portfolio of assets that closely matches the composition of the benchmark it tracks. An index vehicle tracking the S&P 500 would invest in the 500 largest companies in the US, in the same proportions as the index. This passive strategy keeps costs low, as there’s no need for active management or frequent trading decisions. So, how is an index fund different from an exchange-traded fund? The index fund can take the form of either an ETF or a mutual fund; for instance, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF, or SPY, is an index fund. Mutual fund versions of index funds are traded at the end-of-day net asset value (NAV), while ETF versions are bought and sold throughout the trading day like individual shares. This distinction is important for traders considering factors like liquidity and pricing flexibility. Low-cost index funds are popular for their relative simplicity compared to some other financial instruments, cost efficiency, and diversification. By investing in a single product, investors can gain exposure to an entire market, reducing the need for extensive research or active management. Is an ETF an index fund? Not necessarily. An ETF can be an index fund if it tracks an index, but ETFs can also track different sectors, assets, or geographies without being one. Differences Between ETFs and Index Funds ETFs and index funds share a common purpose: to track the performance of an underlying benchmark. However, the debate of ETFs vs mutual funds vs index funds often comes down to trading mechanisms and investment strategies, which can influence their suitability for different types of traders and investors. Trading Mechanism One of the most noticeable differences between ETFs vs index funds is how they’re traded. ETFs trade on stock exchanges, allowing them to be bought and sold throughout the trading day at market prices. This means their value fluctuates based on demand, similar to individual shares. In contrast, mutual fund indices are priced and traded only once a day, at the net asset value (NAV) calculated after markets close. Variety ETFs encompass diverse assets like stocks, bonds, and commodities, covering sectors, regions, or mixed asset classes. Index funds, on the other hand, only track a specific market index, like the S&P 500, FTSE 100, or Nasdaq 100. Cost Structure Both ETFs and mutual fund indices are known for low fees, but there are nuances. ETFs typically have slightly lower expense ratios, as they incur fewer administrative costs. However, trading ETFs may involve brokerage fees or bid-ask spreads, which can add up for frequent traders. Mutual fund vehicles often require no trading fees but may impose a minimum investment amount. Tax Efficiency ETFs tend to be more tax-efficient than mutual fund indices. This is due to how they handle capital gains. ETFs generally use an “in-kind” redemption process, which minimises taxable events. Mutual fund index funds, on the other hand, may trigger taxable capital gains distributions, even if you haven’t sold your shares. Liquidity and Accessibility ETFs can be bought in small quantities, often for the price of a single share, making them more accessible to retail investors. Mutual fund vehicles may require higher minimum investments, which could limit access for some investors. Additionally, ETFs offer instant trade execution, while mutual vehicles require you to wait until the end of the trading day to complete transactions. ETF CFD Trading ETF CFD (Contract for Difference) trading is a versatile way to speculate on the price movements of ETFs without actually owning the underlying assets. When trading ETF CFDs, you’re entering into an agreement with a broker to exchange the price difference of an ETF between the time the position is opened and closed. Unlike traditional ETF investing, where you purchase shares on an exchange, CFD trading allows you to take positions on price movements—whether upwards or downwards. Leverage and Lower Capital Requirements One major advantage of ETF CFD trading is leverage. With CFDs, you only need to put down a fraction of the trade’s total value as margin, allowing you to control larger positions with less capital. However, leverage amplifies both potential gains and losses, so careful risk management is essential. Potential Short-Term Opportunities ETF CFDs add a layer of flexibility for traders exploring the difference between ETFs, mutual funds, and index funds by focusing on short-term speculation rather than long-term holding. Traders can react quickly to news, economic events, or trends without the constraints of traditional ETF investing, such as settlement times or the need to meet minimum investment requirements. Since ETF CFDs can be traded with intraday precision, they allow traders to capitalise on smaller price movements. A Complement to Long-Term Investing For those who already invest in traditional ETFs or indices, ETF CFD trading can serve as a complementary strategy. While long-term investments focus on gradual wealth-building, CFDs enable active traders to seize potential short-term opportunities, hedge against risks, or diversify their trading activities. Flexibility Across Markets With ETF CFDs, traders gain access to a wide range of markets, from equity indices to commodities and sectors. This diversity allows for tailored trading strategies that align with market conditions or specific interests, such as tech or energy ETFs. Uses for ETFs and Index Funds The differences between index funds and ETFs mean they play distinct but complementary roles in financial markets, offering tools for various investment and trading strategies. Whether focusing on long-term goals or seeking potential short-term opportunities, these products provide flexibility and diversification. Portfolio Diversification Both are popular for spreading risk across a broad range of assets. For example, instead of buying shares in individual companies, a single investment in an ETF tracking the S&P 500 provides exposure to hundreds of large US firms. This diversification may help reduce the impact of poor performance of any single asset. Cost-Effective Market Exposure Both types offer relatively low-cost access to markets. Passive management strategies mean lower fees compared to actively managed products, making them efficient choices for building portfolios or gaining exposure to specific sectors, regions, or asset classes. Tactical Market Moves ETFs, with their intraday trading capability, are particularly suited to tactical adjustments. For instance, a trader looking to quickly increase exposure to the tech sector might buy a technology-focused ETF, while potentially reducing risk by selling it as conditions change. Long-Term Wealth Building Index funds, particularly in their mutual fund format, are designed for patient investors. By tracking broad indices with minimal turnover, they offer a way to potentially accumulate wealth over time, making them popular instruments for retirement savings or other long-term objectives. How to Choose Between Index Funds vs ETFs Choosing between an index fund vs ETF depends on your trading style, investment goals, and how you plan to engage with the markets. While both offer relatively cost-effective access to diverse portfolios, your choice will hinge on a few key factors. - Trading Flexibility: ETFs are popular among active traders looking for potential intraday opportunities. Their ability to trade throughout the day allows for precision and quick responses to market changes. Index funds, whether ETFs or mutual products, are usually chosen by long-term investors who are less concerned about daily price movements. - Fees and Costs: While both options are low-cost, ETFs often have slightly lower expense ratios but may incur trading fees or bid-ask spreads. Mutual fund products typically skip trading fees but may have higher management costs or minimum investment requirements. - Tax Considerations: ETFs often provide better tax efficiency due to their structure, particularly when compared to mutual fund indices. For investors concerned about capital gains distributions, this could be a deciding factor. - Strategy: If you’re targeting specific themes, sectors, or commodities, ETFs that aren’t tied to an index can provide unique exposure. For broad, passive market tracking, index funds—whether ETFs or mutual funds—offer simplicity and consistency. The Bottom Line ETFs and index funds are powerful instruments for traders and investors, each with unique strengths suited to different strategies. Whether you’re focused on long-term growth or short-term price moves, understanding their differences is key. For those looking to trade ETFs with flexibility, ETF CFDs offer a dynamic option. Open an FXOpen account today to access a range of ETF CFDs and start exploring potential trading opportunities with competitive costs and four advanced trading platforms. FAQ What Is an Index Fund? An index fund is an investment vehicle designed to replicate the performance of a specific market index, such as the S&P 500 or FTSE 100. It achieves this by holding the same securities as the index in similar proportions. These vehicles can be either mutual funds or ETFs, offering investors broad market exposure and low costs through passive management. What Is the Difference Between an ETF and an Index Fund? An ETF trades like a stock on an exchange throughout the day, with prices fluctuating based on market demand. They track various assets across different sectors, markets, and asset classes. Index funds track indices, like the S&P 500 or FTSE 100, and can be traded as an ETF or mutual fund. What Is Better, an S&P 500 ETF or Mutual Fund? The choice depends on your needs. ETFs offer intraday trading, lower fees, and no minimum investment, making them popular among those who look for flexibility. Mutual funds often waive trading costs and are chosen by long-term investors comfortable with end-of-day pricing. Are ETFs as Safe as Index Funds? ETFs and index funds carry similar risks since both track market performance. So-called safety depends on the underlying assets, overall conditions, and your investment strategy, not the type itself. What Is the Difference Between a Mutual Fund and an Index Fund? A mutual fund is a broad investment vehicle managed actively or passively, while an index fund is a type of mutual fund or ETF specifically designed to replicate an index. What Are Index Funds vs Equity Funds? Index funds are designed to track the performance of an index. Equity funds, on the other hand, focus on stocks and can be actively or passively managed. While all index funds are equity funds, not all equity funds track indices. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by FXOpen
1
SPY Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-15AMEX:SPY SPY Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-15) Below is an integrated view of the models’ findings: ───────────────────────────── SUMMARY OF MODEL KEY POINTS • Grok/xAI noted that on very short timeframes the price is a bit below key 5‑minute EMAs and near lower Bollinger Bands—with RSI and MACD giving mixed signals—but on the daily chart some bullish features (price above the 10‑EMA, a slight MACD bullish grace, and a max pain level at $549) hint at a potential mean reversion. Their “if forced” ramp suggested a call at the $549 strike, though overall confidence was low (≈55%). • Gemini/Google’s report highlighted conflicting technical readings – the M5 setup looked bearish while the daily chart showed a little bullishness. Their integration of high but falling VIX and options open‑interest levels led to an overall neutral/unclear reading. Their recommendation was to refrain from entering a directional trade at open. • Llama/Meta leaned toward a moderately bearish reading based on the short‐term indicators (price below key EMAs, bearish MACD on both charts) despite some daily support. They specifically recommended buying the $537 put option (even though the premium is higher than the “ideal” $0.30–$0.60 range) with a target profit roughly 50% above the cost and a stop when SPY breaches an upper resistance level—backed by a 70% confidence level. • DeepSeek also synthesized mixed timeframes – pointing out that while the market holds some daily support, the intraday picture is muddled by technical conflict, expensive premium costs for the moves required, and time decay factors. Their view was to wait rather than initiate a new position. ───────────────────────────── 2. AREAS OF AGREEMENT AND DISAGREEMENT • Agreement: All reports recognize that SPY (about $537.61) is trading near key short‑term support levels with significant options OI clustering. The falling VIX is universally noted as a positive sign for reducing fear even though overall volatility remains high. • Disagreement:  – Grok’s report and to some extent the daily charts hint at a slight bias to the upside (supported by max pain at $549), suggesting a potential call wing trade.  – In contrast, Llama/Meta’s analysis and the very short‐term indicators (M5, lower Bollinger band, bearish MACD) point toward a bearish bias, recommending a put trade.  – Both Gemini/Google and DeepSeek, however, find the technical signals too mixed to have high confidence in initiating any naked single‑leg weekly option trade at open. ───────────────────────────── 3. CLEAR CONCLUSION • Overall Market Direction Consensus:  The models collectively paint a picture of uncertainty. There is no clear, high‑conviction directional bias at the open. The short‑term (intraday) technicals lean bearish or at best neutral, while the daily chart and max pain argument hint at a potential slight mean reversion. Given these conflicting signals, the overall market direction remains neutral/unclear. • Recommended Trade:  Based on the clash in opinions—only one model (Llama/Meta) would go short (with puts) while two models (Grok/xAI and Llama/Meta) suggest if forced a trade—and given that the majority (Gemini/Google and DeepSeek) advise against trading in the current conditions, the consensus is not to enter a new weekly options position at the market open. – Strategy: Single‐leg, naked options (calls or puts)  – Expiration: Weekly options only (expiry April 17, 2025)  – Premium: Trading ideal premium range is $0.30–$0.60, but neither candidate in the call nor put space meets all our criteria with high conviction  – Entry Timing: At open would be the plan if a trade were to be placed  – Confidence: Overall confidence in any trade is low (<60%) • Key Risks and Considerations:  – The short‑term technical indicators (lower EMAs, bearish M5 MACD, tight Bollinger bands) could trigger a whipsaw if SPY moves sideways or reverses abruptly.  – The high but falling VIX signals that although volatility is subsiding, levels remain elevated.  – Time decay (theta) on weekly options is significant at the open, and the probability of a strong directional move is diminished without further confirmation during the session.  – Conflicting signals between daily trend (some bullish pointers) and intraday behavior reduce the reliability of a directional play. ───────────────────────────── 4. FINAL RECOMMENDATION Given the model consensus with mixed and conflicting signals, the recommendation is to NOT trade weekly SPY options at market open today. ───────────────────────────── TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": null, "direction": null, "strike": null, "expiry": null, "confidence": null, "profit_target": null, "stop_loss": null, "size": null, "entry_price": null, "entry_timing": null } Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
AMEX:SPY
by henryzhang99
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 16, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🗣️ Federal Reserve Speeches: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak at 1:30 PM ET, providing insights into the economic outlook and potential monetary policy adjustments. Additionally, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester will speak at 12:00 PM ET, and Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan will speak at 7:00 PM ET. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Wednesday, April 16: 🛍️ Retail Sales (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +1.2% Previous: +0.2% Measures the total receipts of retail stores, reflecting consumer spending trends. ​ 🏭 Industrial Production (9:15 AM ET): Forecast: -0.1% Previous: +0.7% Indicates the output of the nation's factories, mines, and utilities. ​ 🏠 Homebuilder Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 37 Previous: 39 Assesses the confidence of homebuilders in the market for newly built single-family homes. ​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
SPY pothole ahead! Drive with cautionHello drivers, I mean traders, LVN pothole ahead, drive(trade) accordingly. 5% drop expected based on VP For those not familiar with LVN ( Low Volume Nodes) in Volume Profile, is price region where prices tend to move rapidly for lack of resistance or support Interestingly if you look at the chart carefully, since June 2024 the prices have moved/gaped 7 times in this region, including the last weeks 10% move travelled this region. Funny, as if prices are jumping the pothole each time it comes across
AMEX:SPY
by krisoz
SPY: 485 remains the line between correction and collapseS&P 500's bearish trend that began in February 2025 has ended following a strong 14% rebound from a key level that previously triggered the last sharp down move. This does not mean the market is immune to further downside, but if one still maintains a bearish view, it is important to note that breaking below 485 would likely mark the beginning of a major bear market and the end of the long-term uptrend that started in 2009. Of course, no one wishes for that outcome.
AMEX:SPY
by Quantific-Solutions
SPY Approaching Major Resistance Zone SPY has rallied sharply from its recent low, but it's now pressing into a critical resistance zone. Price is currently sitting just below a major unfilled gap between $539.54 and $548.94. Until this gap is filled and the market closes decisively above it, the broader downtrend remains intact and risk of a reversal is elevated. Current Price Action: SPY has reclaimed $535.29, a short-term support that must hold if bulls are to maintain momentum. Price is hesitating under the gap, a common reaction area where sellers often defend. Moving averages are turning upward, indicating short-term strength, but we’re still below key longer-term resistance zones and the 200 EMA (not shown). Downside Risk Levels If Rejected: $489.73 – minor horizontal support $481.80 – a prior low and key reference point for buyers $474.14 – structural support area from prior consolidation Extended targets: $454.29 and $426.80 if broader weakness resumes Analysis : This area between $539–$549 is the battleground. If SPY can fill the gap and close above $549 with follow-through, that would be the first meaningful technical confirmation of a potential trend reversal. However, failure to clear this level could open the door for a larger pullback. Watch price action and volume closely — a rejection here would indicate that sellers are still in control, at least in the medium term. As always, be patient and let the chart confirm the direction. For now, SPY is at a decision point — one that will likely dictate the next leg in this market.
AMEX:SPY
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
I SPY and link with US Debt..do you Waldo?Its not hard to find correlations in life...but this seems a little blatant. So I thought I would show that only one debt shelf ever resulted in no fall after it occurrs...an interesting finding... But just think of this logic...If the bonds are rising in a solid manner to the toon of even the 3 month going from 2022 levels of .002% to now some 4.2% or so....why does anyone think that things can keep going up when you fund everything but what you need in the country. Lets give you guys some homework: how much debt was spent on new highway improvements on bridges and tunnels(i see you lincoln), expressways etc. how much debt was used to build major power generation in Cali and NY so their brown outs aren't so bad....to which I say, those two states should just suck it up and allow more data centers so silly cat pics or anime can be generated on GPUs eh?? how much debt was actually spent on the poor condition of sports complexes or school infrastructure so to give children the ability to play...so that the NFL doesn't have to try for like 3 month to encourage play-60....only an hour of play folks...yeah, that'll keep the Coke sugars well balanced eh? Finally how much debt was spent towards improving the very secondary and neglicted hard educations...or what some call vo-tech, which you need to repair/build these mass construction projects and splice cables over 200 feet in the air on mountainsides involving high tension wires after hurricanes like Helene barrel through places. Yeah..well its about as much as the fellow "make this place great again" person has contributed their time and a bit of their NVDA or PLTR proceeds to a local community center or to a local youth developmental program for kids in rough neighborhoods....oh wait...that's for the government to do, so they can blame government for over spending on...the things above??? As two members of royalty I attended school with, both from active kings who sent a princess and prince to two of my schools said, "When they realize there are more of them then US, you begin to see a shift in attitude which makes US accountable. But when they think the few of US are more powerful then all of them combined you can see how your people believe in shadow governments or Illuminati( another name for "Deep State" back in that era..hmm where did that go eh??). Cause the whole government is made up of neighbors and the military is made up of college friends or past coworkers- but only simpletons think a title or a uniform/suit makes everything change- it doesn't". another idea later tonight and linked in the comments after posting will show the 10 year yield and its relation to following crashes
AMEX:SPY
by CYQOTEK
2nd post of I SPY no reason for Bond shock as rates riseWhy is everyone shocked about rates rising as the market moves down...its seems to fit the logic as stated and is the Newtonian force-action see-saw: You buy bonds and the interest rate goes down....you sell them and or don't purchase and they must go up in yield. How has that been broken with the chart I have shown. Well it's due to outside structures forcing a "paper trade" kind of, technical analysis wishy washy, excuse of why things are not moving as they should. Well, you didn't want to face the music after 2003 so the printer ripped right into the bank pockets, "protecting inflation from the little man". Well that caused 2008, which needed even more bank help even though they got a bunch since 2003 (see previous post and the debt rocketing after 2008) So now you need to slam more debt, circa 2008, and the bonds are being bought cause the market basically went nowhere for another 6 or 7 years.....But then there was a change to how things were run....a loosening per say: Now the banks can play in the stock market once the downturn of 16 started and the Entertainer was brought in to keep people pacified as things were turning down( almost like now, eh?). You see the magic rainbow that occurred from '15 to '16, well that was a last ditch effort to save the banks coughing up blood from terrible investments. So as I said, the Entertainer was brought in to pacify everyone to allow for the cutting of rates and "Dow to the Moon"...(kinda reminds you of "bitcoin to the moon" now, no?) and that worked until 2018...one more cut and print jober while stacking the market was attempted but now the foreign banks were going down and China refused to help the US after its initial injection in 2008. So, rates are slashed, you crash in 19 and you need something to kind of start to take people's attention off how everything is going down around them(kinda like now with tariffs or fentenyl crap, eh?)....maybe to target that big nation who refused any more bond help or financial backing...like China maybe. Hence the cough was rolled out to allow emergency powers acts to engage and the secrecy of money moving was shrouded from eyes under said act...kinda like in 2001...huh, wonder if related somehow. Well this was supposed to cripple foreign entities, especially Russia, since the US was already arming Ukraine under the Entertainer who no one cared to see what he signed off on, both his planeloads of money and weapons to the Z-man...then that Shoulder sticker which conveniently everyone has forgotten he solely pushed and claimed "beautiful responsibility for"---didn't that ruin career and cost lives...hmm, 2001 connection again, who knows, but you know. So why does this explain the bonds turning around...it's due to the countries of the East seeing the coordinated NATO response to said cough and the banking sectors getting mass injections of cash to try and undo liabilities that went bad. However, this caused them to turn that cash into working capital by pumping stocks and signing mass M&A deals and all from all the companies going under or being crippled from the cough...again, damn near as convenient as those passports being fireproof, lucky be a lady. So now you engage in the bonds climbing with the market cause there is no money in bonds yielding like 1 or less percent...but when you have unemployment money, crypto money, and payment protection plan money screaming into the market...you stop it all for midterm elections and then the crash of '22 in fall occurs. But hold on to your laces buddy, Pelosi Put is to the rescue with a Chips act which fuels all the "AI" to suddenly become a thing apparently, even though its been in every video game since like 2008-9 and was basically the Alexa and Siri,....so way to fall for that one people. Well that caused dollar stocks to rip into 100, 200, even a 3000 dollar Mexican grille stock... burritos with a 800-900 PE ratio...good analysis there guys. So the bonds feel neglected and have to hike up their skirt a little more to get attention, to which Russia catches a sniff and asked the US to hold its Beer while the Bear goes to town on their Proxy they were arming since the Entertained was slipped in, in 2016. So The Bear gets sanctioned to "hell and back" while having foreign accounts and treasuries either seized or frozen (hey, where did the 'seize not freeze' story go..hmm). So now no foreigner can trust holding US based assets and the purge begins which really moves the bonds in a fast hurry. Finally, you have the genius idea to slap the Dragon's ass while he is busy making your stuff that you agree to teach him how to make and then build for you- well everyone saw that public pissing match and reveled XI has the ability to be a sundial if its a clear day out, and he delivered the worst pain shot right back..."Sup Bra', did you say something- we forgot we even do business with you again" So now you have a country with a population that can buy the hell out of anything, not buying anything due to being a culture of savers(unlike the credit card addicts of the US) suddenly being encouraged to improve their lives and become a tiny bit American and have like heated slippers and maybe a water sprinkler for their dog. So if you think that Uncle Sam is the back breaker of the dear 'ol Dragon...you may need to visit your nearest supply house and see what is on the barcode sticker; if it says USA, see where its base metals, resins, and catalyst chemicals are from...then ask who needs who. Basically....you slashed rates rather than having like 4 recessions as of now...kinda like the Ozempic people who can't go back in their photo gallery and pinpoint the year they just suddenly were dangerously overweight...nope, just woke up to it...couldn't do a more meat heavy, low insulin driving meal..."gots to keep Frito Lays and the boys at Kraft/Nabisco employed". Well you skipped 4 recessions and you froze foreign assets for no reason and then you decided to let banks play with free money to prop the stock market up- *see JPM has ass earning outside of trading desk...PS MBS and Commercial Real Estate is dead :) >>So that's why bond yields go up and they need the fed to cut...but it seems since 2022 the 3 month bond went from 0.002% to 4.3 or so as of today....good one fellas, practically within 2 years and you scream higher causing all this debt to roll over at higher rates, like aforementioned Commercial Real Estate having to refinance every 5, 8, or 11 years per many contracts...well 5 years ago a 3 month would be cheap...even a 7 or 10 year at about a percent or less ...but not now...some of my buddies are saying 8% is a dream and 15% is becoming a nightmare in that space...but hey, be like a fat American...make everyone do stuff for you and then wonder why you are on Ozempic and now have intestinal peristalsis problems and feel like SH1t all the time :)
AMEX:SPY
by CYQOTEK