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SPY trade ideas

$SPY May 22, 2025AMEX:SPY May 22, 2025 15 Minutes. Last week I expected the retracement towards 580 levels as numbers were far away from moving averages. But AMEX:SPY kept moving towards595 and suddenly broke yesterday towards 582 levels. I expect it to settle down around 579 - 581 levels then a pull back is on cards as now we have the reverse on the cards with the 200 being away again. On left side we have a big gap around 570 - 577 levels which I feel will be sorted out before a consolidation. The weakness below 590 has keto 582 levels. At the moment if 578 is broken i see support around 573 574 levels.
AMEX:SPYShort
by RiderTrader
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 22, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 22, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📈 Treasury Yields Surge Amid Weak Bond Auction U.S. Treasury yields continued their upward trajectory, with the 10-year yield nearing 4.6% and the 30-year yield surpassing 5%, marking the highest levels since early 2023. This increase followed a weak $16 billion auction of 20-year bonds, which attracted less investor demand and sold at higher-than-expected yields. Factors contributing to the rise include fading recession fears, persistent inflation concerns, and growing fiscal worries related to potential tax cut extensions. 📉 Stock Market Declines as Tech Stocks Retreat The stock market experienced significant losses, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping 1.9%, falling below its 200-day moving average. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell 1.6% and 1.4%, respectively. 💼 Snowflake ( NYSE:SNOW ) Reports Strong Earnings Snowflake Inc. reported record quarterly revenue of $1.04 billion, surpassing expectations. Product revenue increased 26% year-over-year to $996.8 million. The company raised its full-year forecast to $4.325 billion, reflecting a 25% year-over-year increase. Despite a GAAP net loss of $430 million, Snowflake posted an adjusted profit of 24 cents per share, exceeding the 21-cent estimate. 📊 Morgan Stanley Turns Bullish on U.S. Stocks Morgan Stanley has shifted to a bullish stance on U.S. stocks and bonds, raising its outlook due to signs of market stabilization and improving growth conditions. The bank maintains a base target of 6,500 for the S&P 500 by mid-2026, with a bullish scenario projecting 7,200. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Thursday, May 22: 8:30 AM ET: Initial Jobless Claims 9:45 AM ET: S&P Global Flash U.S. Services PMI for May 10:00 AM ET: Advance Services Report (First Quarter 2025) ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
Ugly SP500 Reaction to Treasury YieldsUnlike other headline news, long term interest rates breaking out to the upside is an immediate threat to equity prices especially if it's driven by bond vigilantes rather than strong economic news. This will immediately compress valuations and particularly hurt high growth and small caps the most. In addition, this is not a one-off headline where equities markets can easily shake it off and continue to rally. I think we're going to test the gap ~$567 on AMEX:SPY after breaking down from a rising wedge and triggering the PSAR flip.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Audacity618
SPY Trading Opportunity! SELL! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for SPY is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 594.29 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 563.56 My Stop Loss - 611.99 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AMEX:SPYShort
by AnabelSignals
1
SPY Intraday Breakdown | Will the Fill Zone Hold?🕰️ 15-Min Chart | May 21, 2025 🏢 Posted by: Wavervanir_International_LLC A textbook ascending wedge breakdown has triggered intraday, breaching dynamic support right at the edge of the VWAP envelope. This breakdown aligns with a higher time-frame rejection seen near 598.22 (0.886 retrace zone). 🔍 Intraday Observations: Structure Break: Rising wedge support snapped → suggests momentum shift short-term. Next Liquidity Pools: 📍 567.51 – Prior HVN zone and VWAP mid-band 📍 559.30 – Golden pocket + historical positioning from April Volume Spike: Bearish confirmation on rising sell-side volume. 🧠 Strategic Context: Macro Tone: Market breathes as participants await key inflation data + Fed speak. Liquidity is not risk-on. Risk Flow Watch: Options OI building around 560/570 strikes — could magnetize toward there if flow accelerates. 🛡️ Tactical Setup: Short-Term Bias: Bearish to neutral into 567.5–559.3 zone Mean Reversion Setup: Watch VWAP / 3-day anchored VWAP cluster around 559 as a potential reload zone Invalidation: Quick reclaim and hold above 590 with strong volume flips intraday tone bullish again. 📌 Message to Traders: Major buyers may be lurking below. The market is deciding whether to reward trapped longs or give value buyers their fill at better risk-adjusted zones. We remain liquidity-aware and flexible. — 🔗 #SPY #IntradayTrading #VolumeProfile #Wavervanir #LiquidityMapping #VWAP #Orderflow #SMC
AMEX:SPY
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
SPY | Liquidity Engineering or Reversal?🕰️ Daily Chart | May 21, 2025 🏢 Posted by: Wavervanir_International_LLC “Major buyers are lurking... but will the market deliver the fill they want?” That’s the question. We’re currently watching a tactical rejection near 598.22, the 0.886 Fib retracement of the prior high-volume breakdown. This level historically serves as a liquidity sweep zone before decision-making candles emerge. 🔍 Technical + Volume Profile: Liquidity Zones: Resistance: 594.4–598.2 = prior supply + Fib confluence Demand Zones: 567.5 → anchored VWAP / trend channel midpoint 559.3 → 0.618 Fib + major positioning cluster Volume: Distribution volume into prior highs = possible short-term exhaustion EMA Structure: Bullish stack but extended from mean; room for reversion to VWAP bands. 🧠 Macro Overlay: Risk Events: Debt ceiling headlines are muted, but upcoming PCE inflation and labor data could dictate short-term gamma positioning. Options Skew: OTM put volume rising; VIX curve remains steep in front-end → suggesting hedging or prep for pullback. Macro Setup: Real yields are sticky, and the Fed is not signaling dovish pivot yet — any continuation will need confirmation via breadth and credit spreads. 🛡️ Risk Framework: Reclaim 598.2: Bias flips bullish with upside into 613–644 Break Below 567.5: Opens doors for deeper retest at 559 or even 533 Neutral Range: 567.5–594.5 → Let market structure show intent before deploying size. 📌 Game Plan: Let price come to you. Patience > Prediction. Market is deciding whether to reward early breakout traders or punish late longs via mean reversion. Watch the 567–559 cluster—that’s where smart money may reload. — 🔗 #SPY #MacroTrading #VolumeAnalysis #RiskManagement #Fibonacci #Wavervanir #SP500 #LiquidityMap
AMEX:SPYLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
SPY trend reversal linear analysis, with parallel stackingAll the annotations speak for themselves... but just a simple idea to see if there are levels that make sense if the descending line were to be reversed and applied to the ascending trend. Have to follow those rules, and if too cluttered on choppy weeks- then hold the bottom line and only increase the newest line if you have price chopping greater than the height of the biggest candle in said chop. ergo, if the biggest candle is say 4 point up from the last trend line off the inception permanent line ascending trend, then hold that line at the high of that day until price breaks above it. If chops continues above it, then draw another parallel 4 points (the height of that largest candle before the chop started) above the original line and hold it there until the chop continues up or is reverts and heads back down. If you want to see if chop is a flag formation, then take the above example of a big candle up marking a new parallel line high and see if price for 3-4 days stays within it, pull down another parallel from that high and put it on that low...will allow for visual where the flag boundaries may be... BTC 4hr examples:
AMEX:SPY
by CYQOTEK
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 21, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 21, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇺🇸 G7 Finance Ministers Convene Amid Tariff Tensions Finance ministers from G7 nations are meeting in Banff, Alberta, focusing on restoring global stability and growth. Discussions are expected to address excess manufacturing capacity, non-market economic practices, and financial crimes. Tensions may arise due to recent U.S. tariffs affecting multiple G7 nations. 🛢️ Oil Prices Rise on Geopolitical Concerns Oil prices increased over 1% following reports that Israel may be preparing a military strike on Iranian nuclear facilities. Such actions could disrupt Middle East oil supplies, particularly if Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz, a vital passage for crude exports. 📈 Retail Earnings in Focus Major retailers, including Lowe's ( NYSE:LOW ), Target ( NYSE:TGT ), and TJX Companies ( NYSE:TJX ), are set to report earnings today. Investors will be closely monitoring these reports for insights into consumer spending patterns amid ongoing economic uncertainties. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Wednesday, May 21: 10:00 AM ET: State Employment and Unemployment (Monthly) for April 2025 10:30 AM ET: EIA Crude Oil Inventory Report ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
SPY ... intersting levels when view by DXY ratio and pitchforkSame as all my others, so for reference see my earlier ideas for better grasp of what I do... But when the dollar changes, you must track that with price to see if things are in inflated territory or deflated territory. As in, gold goes up cause the currencies its measured against go down....cant view it another way. So if SPY is overdone, it should be higher than previous highs...which the one chart below shows....but the price chart doesn't show it....so if your stock accelerates faster than the currency can devalue....you have potentials for blowoffs and hard reversions. enjoy:
AMEX:SPY
by CYQOTEK
SPY 4H | Smart Money Concepts x Fibonacci ConfluencePrice has rallied into premium territory (above the 0.786–0.886 Fibonacci retracement), tapping into a prior strong high with signs of exhaustion. From a Smart Money perspective, we're entering a high-probability sell-side liquidity sweep zone. 📉 Key Technical Highlights: 🔺 Strong High @ ~613.23 aligning with FVG and premium zone 🔻 Projected retracement target: 560–565 zone (mid-FVG & equilibrium) ⚖️ Equilibrium at ~563 — likely acting as magnet for price 🟦 Demand zone and breaker block overlap between 560–570 📈 Long-term bullish trajectory remains intact if this corrective leg plays out and holds Bias: Short-term Bearish: Potential rejection from premium into equilibrium Mid-term Bullish: If we reclaim the demand zone with strength, we likely re-accumulate and target the ultimate liquidity grab @ 644.46 "Liquidity seeks liquidity. Patience is premium." – Wavervanir DSS 📍Watch for volume confirmation and reaction near 560–570 before scaling in. If invalidated (close above 613), reevaluate bullish breakout scenario. #SPY #SmartMoney #Fibonacci #Wavervanir #Liquidity #VolumeProfile #OrderBlocks #TradingView #QuantStrategy #PriceAction #SMC
AMEX:SPYLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 20, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 20, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📉 Bear Market Concerns Emerge Veteran investor David Kotok warns of a potential bear market, projecting that tariffs could reduce S&P 500 earnings per share from $260 to $230 over the next year. This outlook suggests a possible decline of the index to the 4,000–4,400 range, with elevated Treasury yields further pressuring valuations. 🚢 Retail Inventory Challenges Amid Tariff Uncertainty The Port of Los Angeles reports potential lower inventories for retailers due to ongoing U.S.-China tariff uncertainties. Despite a temporary 90-day tariff reduction, complexities in forecasting cargo volumes persist, potentially leading to fewer product choices and rising prices for consumers. 🛍️ Retail Earnings Spotlight Major retailers, including Home Depot ( NYSE:HD ), are set to report earnings today. Investors will closely monitor these reports for insights into consumer spending patterns amid economic uncertainties. 💬 Federal Reserve Officials Scheduled to Speak Federal Reserve officials, including Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin and Boston Fed President Susan Collins, are scheduled to speak today. Their remarks will be scrutinized for indications of future monetary policy directions. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Tuesday, May 20: 10:00 AM ET: Labor Force Characteristics of Foreign-born Workers (Annual 2024) 10:00 AM ET: State Job Openings and Labor Turnover for March 2025 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao