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SPY trade ideas

I SPY an opportunity to riseThe "macro" environment has an extreme bearish tone. There is a great deal of uncertainty still. So let's look to the charts to see what's the deal. Monday morning was a spill over from Trump's tantrums and we bounced at the end of the day Monday with a wick. Interesting note... big tech earnings was beginning. What a perfect time to see some rise on the charts. NFLX already had us anticipating some positive movement b/c of their Good Friday earnings. So most people were focused on the play of 1000-1100. So many people took a position. Back to SPY... Trump stated after hours after during TSLAs awful earnings call that he was not going to fire JPowell and TSLA began rallying as well as other big tech companies (interesting). The rallies held overnight. There were selloffs after the earnings, creating HL (higher lows) that held across many charts. The week proceeded and we slowly rose the rest of the week. I'm recalling that Trump initiated a 90 day pause. & though their is still negative chatter and uncertainty with the final outcome; it's enough to have bullish thoughts for the remainder of the earnings season (esp big tech and major companies) while we chop. Cautiously viewing the charts one day at a time; watching for candlestick patterns to assist with plays. If the pattern is bullish, looking for a bullish play. if the pattern is bearish, looking for a bearish play. Or... just pick a side and wait for what you connect to. My notes on candle recognition below over the next week will be below. Tootles
AMEX:SPY
by mommymiles
2
SpyApril seasonality finally showed its self this past week.. You can always tell when seasonality takes over because of the volume and the fact that news doesn't matter anymore. Example - March, Sept and sometimes May are bearish seasonality.. In these months you'll notice that no matter how good the news or earnings stock still stumble... Nov, Dec, April are bullish and most of the time no matter the bad news things just pump or get bought up for no reason. I think spy goes for 565.00 this week, which is only another 3% higher. To put this in perspective, Spy was 536 on 4/23 and melted up 3% in two days on no volume .. At 565 I think there will be a very nice short opportunity where I think spy will pull back to to 540-545.. I wouldn't short this before 565, and this only becomes bearish again if spy closes next week below 535.00! Now here's the chart TVC:DJI Very low key late this week.. contrary to qqq the dji has not broken above its trend line resistance but I think that will happen this week and it most likely will off set any draw done from big tech.. imagine a day where dow jones is up 400pts and nasdaq down 150pts; this price action would lead spy to chop in the middle FAWKERY. The upside target here is APRIL 2ND gap close NASDAQ:QQQ Yellow trendline is breakout White trendline is April 2nd gap close Red line is - 20sma So like I said above, qqq is leading the way up to April 2nd gap close. This gap close at 476 is about 5% aways from the 20sma.. I think once qqq tags 476 it will begin a pullback to 465-468.. during this pullback you will see them pump the dow. As long as 465 holds then 488 is next or weekly 50ma. If we lose 465 then a full 20ma retest is incoming.. To keep it simple, long qqq early to 476 then wait for a pullback or short it back down to 465-468.. if those areas hold then switch back long and ride it up to 480+ Vix Minor falling wedge showing at gap support 24.80 .. if this pattern plays out thin Vix could pop back up to 31 or 20sma which could see markets start the week in the red but unless vix can reclaim 32.00 then this is just a dead cat bounce that will give you a good entry to long equities I won't go into the tech Sectors but the overall picture I think is a melt up to the WEEKLY 50MA on Sectors and indexes I still can't see this market overall making significant ground to ATH.. the leading INDEX TVC:NYA is showing a Decade long Rising wedge which is the biggest I've ever seen. Since 2010 this resistance has not broken and If spy pushes back up near 600 then NYA will tag this again which means we are headed back down before the summer is out. Once this rising wedge is broken will make new lows and break below 400 In closing... Spy supports are 547 (Price action) 543 ( 1hour 200ma) 537( 20ma daily) I don't think spy will lose 543 before 555 comes... once you see NASDAQ:QQQ tag 476 be weary of being long, wait for the pullback then long NASDAQ:QQQ and AMEX:SPY to their weekly 50ma Opinion Job numbers are released this week Friday which is the beginning of "SELL in MAY " seasonality. All of the fed speakers have said that if jobs come in strong than they won't vote for a cut. Feds don't cut on May7th and Trump throws a tantrum and market sells again.. This scenario is the reason I think the market will maximize these big tech earnings to get the upside move out of the way before early may. Also next month the economic data (Ppi,cpi,pce,pmi) will give the first glimpse of what damage the tariff are doing / will do. So buckle up come May
AMEX:SPYLong
by ContraryTrader
23
SPY EARNINGS WEELY AAPL AMZN MSTR METASPY WEELY - Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta will report earnings. This week we have important earnings from Microsoft, Amazon, Apple, and Meta. We believe there could be a strong move in the SPY driven by the earnings reports, as well as by key economic data like unemployment figures, GDP, and Consumer Confidence. Based on these factors, we expect high volatility and see the potential for the SPY to move within the range of 530–520 on the downside and 560–580 on the upside.
AMEX:SPYLong
by alexpv73
SPY Tech Brkdown: Bullish Momentum Building into Key Resistance SPY Technical Breakdown: Bullish Momentum Building into Key Resistance Zones Analyzing the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) on the 4-hour timeframe. As of the latest candle, SPY trades at $547.37, up 0.15%, and is showing signs of sustained bullish momentum after a recent pullback. For swing and short-term traders, this setup could present a strategic opportunity. 🔍 Price Action and Volume Analysis SPY has shown a textbook recovery from April lows, bouncing cleanly from support around the S2 pivot at $515.50. Volume is also increasing on up candles, indicating institutional buyers may be stepping in. The 4-hour chart structure suggests a healthy uptrend with higher highs and higher lows. 🎯 Key Fibonacci Pivots and Resistance Zones This chart includes weekly Fibonacci pivots, providing clear areas to watch: R1: $530.33 R2: $545.15 R3: $554.32 Currently, SPY is trading just above R2. If it breaks and holds above this level, the next target lies at R3, which could act as a resistance zone and potential area for profit-taking. 🧠 Indicator Insights: VWAP and Bollinger Band Strategy The lower chart panel features a strategy combining VWAP and Bollinger Bands, labeled "BBofVWAP with entry at Pivot Point." It triggered a +40 signal recently near the VWAP-Pivot level, reinforcing the bullish thesis. The slight expansion in Bollinger Bands hints at rising volatility, possibly paving the way for a bigger move. 📈 Bullish Scenario If SPY maintains strength above $545.15, we may see a continuation toward $554.32 (R3). A strong close above R3 could signal a bullish breakout with potential to test new highs. 🔻 Bearish Case to Watch On the flip side, failure to hold above R2 and a breakdown below $530.33 could indicate a bull trap. In this scenario, $515.50 or even $506.34 (S3) could come back into play.
AMEX:SPY
by eemani123
SPY Trade Plan – April 25 Saw a triangle forming on the 5 and 15 min charts. My plan is to wait for the breakout at 549, then catch the pullback to 547. I wanted the 9 EMA to hold and a green candle to confirm before getting in. I got my entry at 548.50, stop at 547, and my first take profit at 550, second at 552. The whole point of this trade for me is to being patient. I didn’t want to chase. I wanted to follow my rules: ✅ Wait for pullback ✅ Respect the 9 EMA ✅ Confirmation candle
AMEX:SPYShort
by davekclinton76
1
Spy Road To $500 or $481📉 The Road Below $500? Here's the Case. While bulls are still buying dips, several key signals suggest a deeper correction may be brewing — possibly below the critical $500 psychological support zone in the coming weeks. Technical Breakdown Rising Wedge Breakdown on the 4H and Daily charts has triggered. Diverging RSI — lower highs on RSI while price pushed higher = bearish divergence. MACD Bearish Crossover confirmed on both 1D and 4H = momentum shift. Volume Analysis shows increased selling on red candles = institutional distribution. SMA50 Breach likely — and SMA200 sits just under $500, a magnet if fear accelerates. 🧠 Market Sentiment Put/Call Ratio has spiked to 1.20+, suggesting rising hedging activity. CNN Fear & Greed Index is shifting toward Fear. Social media chatter (Twitter/X & Reddit) has turned skeptical — fewer breakout calls, more risk-off talk. 📰 Macro Headlines Fuel the Case Powell’s latest "higher for longer" interest rate remarks = bearish for growth names. Earnings misses from key megacaps (GOOGL, AAPL) = cracks in the leaders. Geopolitical tension in the Middle East and China trade fears = added volatility. Key Levels to Watch: $507–$510 = current distribution zone (supply). $500 = major psychological & technical level. $491 = unfilled liquidity gap (volume imbalance) — very likely magnet. Final Thought: This isn't fear — it's data-backed caution. Until we reclaim $510 with volume and conviction, a retest of $500 and possibly a sweep below is the more probable path. Stay smart. Stay hedged. As Always Safe Trades I will guide the way.
AMEX:SPYShort
by JoeWtrades
2
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 25, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📉 Procter & Gamble Cuts Outlook Amid Consumer Pullback: P&G shares declined after the company lowered its full-year earnings guidance, citing reduced consumer spending due to economic uncertainty and higher tariffs. CFO Andre Schulten noted significant consumer hesitation, linking it to volatility in mortgage rates and declining stock markets affecting retirement savings. ​ 📊 Durable Goods Orders Surge, Core Spending Stagnant: March durable goods orders jumped 9.2%, driven by a spike in aircraft demand. However, core capital goods orders, excluding aircraft, rose only 0.1%, indicating cautious business investment amid ongoing tariff uncertainties. ​ 🏠 Existing Home Sales Decline Sharply: Existing home sales fell 5.9% in March to an annual rate of 4.02 million units, reflecting affordability challenges associated with high mortgage rates and economic uncertainty. ​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, April 25: 🗣️ Fed Governor Neel Kashkari Speaks (5:00 PM ET): Remarks may provide insights into the Federal Reserve's perspective on current economic conditions and monetary policy direction.​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update : EPP Flag Setup CompleteI created this video to highlight the current EPP Flag setup in the SPY/ES. It is my opinion that the market are about ready to ROLL OVER into a downward trend because of this current EPP setup. Once the FLAG forms (in this case a BULLISH FLAG), the next phase is a BREAKDOWN INTO CONSOLIDATION. It is my belief the current FLAG will prompt a breakdown in price - moving into a lower consolidation range. I'm highlighting this EPP pattern to help everyone learn how to use them more efficiently. Get ready. If I'm right, we're going to see a big move downward over the next 2-4+ days. Get some... #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
32