SPY will trade within the triangle ...I thought I would update this chart as the triangle has adjusted slightly since my last 2 posts. This makes the tip of the triangle farther out as well as a different projected time of the SPY exiting out of the triangle.
The tip of the triangle is now around Mar 18th and there are many events until that time that could push the market out of the triangle such as jobless claims and inflation, etc. I am not guessing what event is going to make the market move out of the triangle.
It looks like the market is going up for 4 to 5 days and then down one or two days while it is in the triangle formation. I think tomorrow (Monday) the market will go up as this will follow the pattern it is displaying. As well, the half hour indicators are already looking bullish.
As I have mentioned in other charts:
From a technical trading point of view, the market could go up or down closer to the tip of the triangle. Breakouts of triangle pattern usually occur 2/3 to 3/4 of the triangle length, so the SPY could move outside the triangle before the tip. The triangle pattern is usually considered a continuation pattern which means the market will continue in the direction it was moving before the triangle started. This pattern should usually have at least 5 touches of support and resistance. You can get any of this information from the internet.
I think there are 3 aspects to trading:
1) Being able to read the charts so you have an idea where the market is going.
2) Being able to choose the correct trade strategy for the market conditions. You do not want to put a bullish trade when the market is bearish and vice versa. There are also certain trades where you can make money when the market is trading sideways with a non-directional trading strategy or a different trade if the market is extremely volatile. You can apply an iron condor, a credit spread, debit spread or butterfly trade depending on the market conditions. All trades have their own risks and rewards.
3) Knowing details, both the positives and negatives about your brokerage which can really elevate your trading.
MORE THEORY … which you may have heard before.
I am using the Heikin Ashi candlesticks. Why Heikin Ashi candlesticks?
1) They show more of a directional movement within candlesticks.
2) They tend to filter out the market noise so you can see the market direction better.
3) It reduces false signals, allowing you to stay in the trade longer.
4) And, it gives you a smoother appearance making it easier to see trends and reversals. (This information is from Dr. Keith Wade who speaks at the Wealth365 Summits.)
I personally find:
* the 5 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the next half and hour.
* the 10 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the next hour.
* the 30 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the daily.
* and, the hour indicators typically represents what will happen in the next week.
Typically, I would wait until there are 2 green Heikin Ashi green candlesticks before entering.
I still tend to switch back and forth between Heikin Ashi candlesticks and regular candlesticks since regular candlesticks are what I am familiar with and have been using since I started trading.
I use the MacD, the Stock RSI and the DMI to assist me with the direction of the market. I am not perfect at them. I will hopefully try to explain these in future trading charts.
I am trying to take trading classes through Udemy, mostly because they are cheap. LOL! I usually wait for a sale where the courses are as low as $14.99 instead of over $100 per course which they have regularly. As well, you may be able to get access to Udemy through your local library depending on where you live. www.udemy.com
I always try to attend the free Wealth365 Summit which is held about 4 times a year where I always pick up some more useful information. I believe the next one will be around April. Again, I am not affiliated with this company in any way. wealth365.com/
Happy trading everyone!
