not much action here (yawns)seems like a few months with no clear direction, better to wait for trigger and sit on sidelines here imo..
long trigger 10.79/short trigger 7.35
TMF trade ideas
TMF | 20-Year Treasury - 3x Bull ETFThe fund, under normal circumstances, invests at least 80% of its net assets in financial instruments, such as swap agreements, securities of the index, and ETFs that track the index and other financial instruments that provide daily leveraged exposure to the index or to ETFs that track the index. The index is a market value weighted index that includes publicly issued U.S. Treasury securities that have a remaining maturity of greater than 20 years. The fund is non-diversified.
20+ Bond ETF, Rates can only go up right?Well below average. Technically oversold. And the macro environment is shifting.
TMF : BREAKOUT FROM PATTERN RESISTANCEAs markets uncertainties become more evident, risk-aversion leads to flight to safety.
Treasuries: As usual, I was a little earlyI was waiting for the end of the wave to occur, but with the appearance of a descending wedge I know a buy opportunity awaits us. My apologies, I was just a little early! What worries me though is that with a rise in the treasuries perhaps the wider market will sell off?
TMF: Time to Buy Treasuries?There's a wiff of deflation in the air and the market has broadly, although not chaotically, sold off. It appears like a massive ascending wedge is developing in Treasuries.
BONDS OVER STOCKS 2020With equities looking increasingly volatility and valuations as frothy as ever, long term bonds have been quietly outperforming recently. I expect this trend to continue for foreseeable future and for us to rise 5-13% from here conservatively.
The global climate is shifting to reducing risk and buying safe haven assets. Therefore, 20 year bonds will likely continue to be a source that reaps the benefits of capital outflow from stocks and into US treasuries.
No sleeping at the wheel. Hello All,
We are watching the leveraged Bond markets. We will want to confirm the final push to new highs in the bond market.
This should show any early signs of weakness. Keep the foot on the gass and heat the market orders.
Wealth & health
Cheers
$TMF That top candle isn't looking so good.Might be a good place to short here, epic ride up recently.
TLT Write calls - wedge bullish breakout plus H & S reversalSee other 2 YR treasury bullish call today - Bullish bonds - buy TLT calls - see near term reversal in TLT. Shoulda woulda listened to Raoul Pal in fall of 2018. Now I am listening in 2019 as it appears this trade may have some room to run. Basically bullish short >> long term bonds (but bullish all bonds).
$TMFDaily : Price above 200MA
240mn : Conversion Line crossing up Base Line ; price seat on cloud as rez ; lagging span above prices
TMF (20+ Yr Treasury Bond 3X ETF)Bought TMF on this pullback to the demand zone highlighted in yellow which sits at former resistance and should be acting as support. Use the TLT chart as a reference for entry, exit and targets.
Entry: 101.26
Stop Loss: 98.73
Target 1: 108.00
