QUATERLY UPDATE : 3X ETF STRATEGY , Q3 UP 6.20 % This strategy finish the quarter with a positive return of 6.20 %. We are re-balancing the portfolio for the new Quarter starting tomorrow
YTD return : 36.2 %.
Cheers
Algo
TMF trade ideas
QUATERLY UPDATE : 3X ETF STRATEGY , 14 % for Q2, 28 % YTDThis strategy finishes the quarter with a + 14 % return , 3.8 % in April, 7.7 % in May, and 2.4% for June. For 2014 it is up 29 % . However the volatility is very high at 20.6 %.
We are re-balancing the portfolio for the Q3 , 2014. Again , this system is for educational purposes only. Next update will be on 7/30/2014.
Cheers
Algo
3X ETF Strategy using UPRO and TMF : 484.5 % return DISCLOSURE : This post is purely for educational purposes ONLY ! Do not risk real capital on this strategy. Again, purely for education purpose ONLY !
Strategy :
This strategy is very simple. We invest in 50 % in S&P 500 ,and 50% in 20 years treasury. Now to maximize return, we are going to invest in 3X leverage ETFs, UPRO ;Proshares UltraPro S&P500, and TMF; Direxion shares trust 20 years Treasury. We will re-balance the portfolio at the beginning of each quarter( if necessary..see rules)
Rules :
1. Invest ONLY if SPY is above 200 ma
2. 50 % in UPRO/ 50 % in TMF
3. Rebalance portfolio at the beginning of each quarter IF SPY > 200 ma
4. Close all positions if SPY < 200 ma at month's end.
Back testing Results :
Note: These ETF were made available only as of June 2010. The markets has been in a bull market since 2009, so results are really bias.
2009 : 25.7 % vs 22.3 % for SPY
2010: 44.5 % vs 15.1%
2011: 65.7 % vs 1.90 %
2012: 30.3 % vs 16.0 %
2013: 21.7 % vs 32.3 %
2014: 22.5 % vs 3.5 %
So far Q2 , 2014, the system is up 8.3% vs 1.1 % for the SPY.
Volatility : 23 % vs 16.4 % , That is very high
Max DD : 20.69 % vs 18.61 %
CAGR : 484.5 % vs 127.7 % ( from June 2009 till yesterday close)
I will update this post on a monthly basis. Again, this is PURELY for educational purposes only! , cannot stress that enough.
Cheers
Algo
