TMV Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 072824Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 34.4/61.80%
Chart time frame : B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress : B
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) Hit the Support
D) Hit the top
Key stats
About Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bear 3X
Home page
Inception date
Apr 16, 2009
Structure
Open-Ended Fund
Dividend treatment
Distributes
Distribution tax treatment
Ordinary income
Income tax type
Capital Gains
Max ST capital gains rate
39.60%
Max LT capital gains rate
20.00%
Primary advisor
Rafferty Asset Management LLC
Distributor
Foreside Fund Services LLC
TMV provides daily inverse (-3x) exposure to the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. Using a combination of swaps and futures, TMV gives investors -3x exposure to daily moves in T-bonds with more than 20 years left to maturity. The daily reset means investors shouldn't expect the leverage factor to hold constant over investment horizons greater than one day. In short, the fund is a valid option for tactical positioning/hedging against rising interest rates, but it's important to keep in mind that the -3x leverage results in greater impact from the effects of compounding. As a levered product, TMV is not a buy-and-hold ETF, it's a short-term tactical instrument. Prior to May 2, 2016, TMV tracked the NYSE 20+Year Treasury Bond Index. The change had minimal impact on investors exposure.
Classification
What's in the fund
Exposure type
Mutual fund
Bonds, Cash & Other100.00%
Mutual fund117.61%
Cash−17.61%
20 yr Bond Yield attempting to break resistance. Ruh Roh Shaggy20 yr Bond Yield attempting to break through a 4 month channel resistance. If we can get through and stay above it, Long Bond Yields should get into the Mid 5's and might even challenge 6%. TLT could challenge all time lows ( $80 ) if we can get up there. Great Swing Trade Opportunity both ways.
TMV Triple Inverse Treasury Bill ETF LONGTMV on the 4H chart appears to be reversing a trend down since 12/28. YTD it is rising.
The reasonable target is the Fib 0.5 retracement at $40 while support for a stop loss
just below the POC line of the volume profile is $29.25. As such this is a 35% upside.
The RSI indicator shows the fast R
TMV - Inverse 20 year treasuryAMEX:TMV broke out of a downtrend at the end of 2023 and gapped up with todays open. I'm playing this shift in momentum tightly. I'm entering here and planning to take profit at 36.77, which aligns to the volume weighted average price anchored to 5/19/23 (entering consolidation prior to July 2023 b
3x Inverse TLT ETF: Breaking Out of Descending Broadening WedgeThe Inverse ETF for the 20-Year US Government Bond is currently breaking out of a Descending Broadening Wedge and is looking to go much higher perhaps between the 61.8% and 78.6% retraces which would be about a 500-1,400% percentage gain which also means that longer end bond yields are going much hi
3x Inverse TLT ETF: Breaking Out of Descending Broadening WedgeThe Inverse ETF for the 20-Year US Government Bond is currently breaking out of a Descending Broadening Wedge and is looking to go much higher perhaps between the 61.8% and 78.6% retraces which would be about a 500-1,400% percentage gain which also means that longer end bond yields are going much hi
TMV setting up a reversal LONGOn this 4H chart- TMV the leverage bear Treasuries ETF has been trending up
in a parallel channel. AT present it bounced from the top of the channel and is
heading down to the bottom of the channel. It is there that I will trade long
where the bottom of the channel is confluent with the mean VWAP
#TMV trade plan up to 15-SepStraddle was build up in small etf TMV (ASSETS UNDER MANAGEMENT is $289.32M), straddle volume is about 10% of average daily volume.
Support/resistance levels may work more accurate due to the low liquidity of the given ETF
Based on our team's research of the options market, we expect buy activity
TMV leverage inverse ETF for treasuries SHORTTMV on the one-hour chart tested two standard deviations above the mean VWAP in
both late May and early July it fell to one standard deviation below VWAP but then rose
sharply into beyond the two standard deviations line ( thick red ) ascending into a YTD high.
I believe that this is due to the
TMV Treasuries Leveraged 3X Short Inverse LongTMV is an ETF Shorting the Treasuries. On the 2H chart, price is rising as the treasuries are
suffering value contraction while interest rates are steady or projected to rise. The chart shows
rising volumes, upwards volatility as well as a PV Trend demonstrating trend strength. I see
these all a
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Summarizing what the indicators are suggesting.
Oscillators
Neutral
SellBuy
Strong sellStrong buy
Strong sellSellNeutralBuyStrong buy
Oscillators
Neutral
SellBuy
Strong sellStrong buy
Strong sellSellNeutralBuyStrong buy
Summary
Neutral
SellBuy
Strong sellStrong buy
Strong sellSellNeutralBuyStrong buy
Summary
Neutral
SellBuy
Strong sellStrong buy
Strong sellSellNeutralBuyStrong buy
Summary
Neutral
SellBuy
Strong sellStrong buy
Strong sellSellNeutralBuyStrong buy
Moving Averages
Neutral
SellBuy
Strong sellStrong buy
Strong sellSellNeutralBuyStrong buy
Moving Averages
Neutral
SellBuy
Strong sellStrong buy
Strong sellSellNeutralBuyStrong buy
Displays a symbol's price movements over previous years to identify recurring trends.