Oil/Gold Short Setup: Inverted Cup & Handle (XLE/GLD)After a steep decline in $XLE/ AMEX:GLD , the chart has now formed the highlighted cup & handle.
Combine this with the observation that CPI YoY & Core PCE YoY ( ECONOMICS:USCCPI ) are in strong declining trends , which historically correlates negatively with oil (and oil-related equities) and positively with gold.
Executing on this idea: use a lower-vega strategy:
Low (2x max) leverage
Short XLE: directly short sell the shares, or buy inverse ETF ( AMEX:DUG , AMEX:ERY ).
Long GLD: Just buy AMEX:GLD , or go 2x with $UGL. Make sure that it balances your XLE short after accounting for leverage.