XLF to go for $26 areaEven though it has almost touched the top line but at the daily level, 5 wave is not done yet.
XLF trade ideas
No US Market Crash until XLF reaches $26-28May get decent pullbacks on the way up, but I do not expect real selling until financials reach support lost from 2008 highs. I would expect to see distribution and momentum slow as we approach $28. If and when that happens, I would be looking to build a large short position in SPY.
XLF. Welcome to hell!I will try to call a multi-year top on the XLF fund. Will short from 25, targeting... Probably, 12.
But my main question is: was the whole movement from 2009 to now a wave 1 or it was a B and we still wil see a Wave C? If that was a B, then we can probably say: welcome to hell, banks! Hope you enjoy your stay here
Financial ETF Bearish Deep Crab w/ Warning SignsHere is a perfect example of a harmonic pattern but not a harmonic pattern opportunity! An ideal Deep Crab that has many WARNING SIGNS. The Terminal Bar (the exact completion point in the PRZ) and RSI condition are less than ideal. Also, Harmonic Traders must understand that the EXECUTION PHASE of any harmonic pattern OPPORTUNITY does not begin until Terminal Bar+1. So, we look for a potential short next week but with much skepticism for the bears!
Anyone who promotes a "set&forget" strategy dismisses the discipline required to make the critical assessments that can avoid flawed harmonic patterns. 80% of all harmonic pattern losses can be avoided BEFORE the trade is even executed.
Base in FinancialsThis base in XLF looks very solid. For now I'd expect another leg up rather than retracement.
Ascending TriangleI'm liking this ascending triangle. This is really getting squeezed at the end here. I'm going to play this with options buying the $24 calls expiring next month.
XLF gonna hit new high XLF sees strong momentum on Tuesday trading and there's support @22.85. Trump's policy will benefit the financial sector anyway and we are expecting to see a pullback+bounce back to previous highest level and break through into a new territory!! Wait for the pullback to build the portfolio.
Short XLF small correctionAfter the strong "Trump" rally at the end of 2016, we could see a small correction in the financial sector. Indeed, we already saw the 10 year US yield going from 2.60 to 2.36, which isn't a good sign for banks in the short term.
Furthermore and from a technical perspective, the divergence between the security price (flat since 1 month) and the RSI (downtrend since 1 month) indicate a short term trend exhaution that could lead to a small correction.
short XLF @ 15 min @ trading capability for this 52nd week `16This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Next wkk i`ll confirm or change my opinion about this SetUp :)
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
Best regards
Aaron
Can it be anymore clearer than this?Clear wave pattern seen in the XLF -0.25% ETF .
I'm expecting one final push up from 23.54 right now in the next few weeks with a target of 24.76 (76.4% retracement of 2008 highs).
It would have been pretty good level to accumulate some long term puts up to a year.
The anti-bank sentiment is far from over, and almost certainly not right now. Trump rally at least in the short term is not going to unwind the fact that we're in a deflationary cycle and it will only get worst.
Bearish US Financials $XLF $KREYield curve is flattening with each rate hike as the short term floor is hiked higher. Not a stable environment for better loan growth. These are the leaders, do people really expect a hand off back to FANG?
XLF - WeeklyNotional placement and timing, just to reflect the big picture for the ideas posted in this thread...
