Cycles Eh?Technology vs. Consumer Discretionary Are we about to see a significant change in the performance of this ratio? CD outperforming wouldn't necessarily spell trouble for the broad market, but is it seriously time to consider being underweight tech?by murphycharts5
XLK - 2 bearish (and 1 bullish) counts for US tech stocksIt might look a bit foolish to bet against US tech with the action of the last 11 (even 20+) years but both these counts reckon there might be room for a decent correction (blue count) and for a much larger and prolonged correction (red count) . (There is another variation for the red count that suggests the correction that began in 2018 finished a running flat in March 2020 and what we are experiencing now is in fact the early stages of wave 5.) Personally, I like the blue count......Shortby tomj24175
GoNoGo senses moment of truth for technologyWhat’s next for the technology sector? Technology has been the leader this year, outperforming the S&P 500 throughout the volatile market reactions to Covid-19. This week saw the sector fail at prior highs and yesterday’s price bar showed a weakening in the GoNoGo Trend. Look to the GoNoGo Oscillator at this critical juncture. When in a strong trend, remember, the Oscillator should find support/resistance at the zero line. You can see this throughout the time period. This is a non subjective level because it means that all momentum is neutral. In a strong uptrend for example, enthusiasm should pick up, and the GoNoGo Oscillator should rally off the zero line helping price make a new leg up. If the GoNoGo Oscillator cannot stay positive and breaks below zero, then we expect price to struggle and the “Go” trend to really be threatened.by GoNoGoCharts7
Huge rebound in $XLK vs. $XLF this week - look at that candleGrowth ticks up this week (vs value)by mikezaccardi4
XLK 103.06 Price Target by JUNE 19XLK 103.06 Price Target by JUNE 19 if trend holds Shortby BenchBeater2
Update: Healthcare (XLV), Tehnology (XLK) & Semiconductors (SMH)Have a great day all08:54by UnknownUnicorn2664861118
XLK doughAnalysis done on 25/05/2020 Fundamental → 20 & 40 SMA sloping up → 20MA > 40MA Awaiting buy trigger → CCI <-100 → Low of daily bar touches 20MA or goes below 20MA → Close above 40MA Pull trigger → Buy 1 bid above previous day high → Sell 5 bars later exclusive of initial bar Stop Loss → 50% below price boughtLongby ckling99Updated 5
Weekly Naked Puts for XLKMACD shows the loss of momentum for the uptrend at the key resistance level, with an additional confirmation of divergence on the stochastic. I assume market could be going south from here. The concern for the trade is EMA(15) might act as a support. That's a factor that adds to the risk of this trade.Shortby AtitPatelUpdated 4
VIX breaks below 30 - Tech and Healthcare sector strongest.VIX breaks below 30 for the first time since Covid19 outbreak. Tech sector and Healthcare sector remain strongest. Should be a good week for stock market. (Bull might pause when VIX hit 24) by kgiap123Updated 6
Tech vs FinancialsNothing but new highs in Tech vs Financials... Not likely to see a reversal in the trend of growth over value if this ratio keeps trending higher. $XLK > $XLF Click the related idea link to see our long term chart of Broker-Dealers & Exchanges. This important and leading subsector is now trapped beneath significant overhead supply So are Banks, both of which are dragging on $XLF itself. Meanwhile, Tech and many of its subsector groups are getting awfully close to retesting their all-time highs. Basically, we're seeing no evidence of this trend reversing, we're seeing just the opposite.by allstarcharts6
Get XLK to gain exposure to top Tech companies in USAA good and inexpensive way to gain exposure to an industry sector is to buy an ETF instead of the individual companies. For example, I have missed buying Microsoft, Visa, etc so I can buy XLK ETF which gives me access to other companies as well. See here for the full list. We can see from the Day chart that there are gaps on the upside and the downside awaiting to be filled up. So long as the bullish trend line remain intact and price action continues to heads up, then we can infer the gaps (in blue) will be filled up. Alternatively, if the price action breaks down from the trend line, then we can expect gaps (yellow) to be filled up. I see some resistance at 89.39. This level needs to be break out before we see a price continuation pattern. by dchua1969Updated 9
$XLK - Brace for pullbackDaily bearish divergence. It's definately not going up.Shortby hammadshahir115
$XLK - long, bounce to $83AMEX:XLK - long, close below $78 invalidates the breakout, first target $83Longby crasher5
XLK Worst Case ScenarioThis assumes the economy goes into recession. The declines and time frame mirror 2008, but given the speed of the decline, it seems like the time frame should be different. It's still very early to tell, so this is very much a rough estimate but a potential scenario nonetheless.Shortby mistera1233
XLK Correction into Late Spring2 more months of declines could be seen into the late spring. This corresponds roughly with the timing of the last correction and when flu season will likely end. Given the velocity and severity of the recent decline, getting a ~25% correction in line with the last correction in December 2018 seems likely and exceeding the magnitude of that decline is also a significant possibility. A slowdown in business activity caused by precautionary measures could very well be what history writes as the start of the next recession, which was projected to happen given the already existing slowdown in GDP growth. The perception of the high likelihood of a recession in and of itself warrants a significant discount to current prices. Selling will continue as people decide whether the impact of the virus is priced in or not, but as news of the virus spreading continues it will likely be challenging for XLK to find a footing.Shortby mistera123Updated 223
XLK - The long-time leader corrects!Clearly rejected by Pivot R1, but closed just above black trend line and has support at Pivot P and Fibonacci 0.5. I want to buy it closer to support.by PivotPoints3
XLK1.618 of high/low since inception. To the penny. Will be an interesting few months ahead.Shortby Essendy113
Apple going to beat earnings but not justify the current priceNot suggesting anyone do this, just be thoughts: XLK has 20% AAPL shares in its holding. Everyone is expecting apple to beat earnings, but the historical forward 12 month PE and trailing PE are so out of whack. Unless they blow out the future expectations, I see no way a correction doesn't happen and it goes <$94 tomorrow alone. So I put a bet down on some $94 Feb 7 puts. Fingers crossedShortby Chasing_Tendies7
XLK - still bullish US techAnd another one.....still bullish with a couple of potential targets. Unless I'm being a tad euphoric and signalling a top.Longby tomj24177
Bull trap?I normally do not publish on such small time-scales. However, I really believe we are at a critical juncture. Therefore, if the rectangle I highlighted is indeed a bull trap, then the implications of a devastating cliff drop to follow are very real. Be careful out there!Shortby supere114
$XLK resistance zone - needs new highs$XLK may set up for a dip after ramping up into resistance zone. A new high will be needed for further continuation.Shortby Classic-Options7