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SPDR Select Sector Fund - UtilitiesSPDR Select Sector Fund - UtilitiesSPDR Select Sector Fund - Utilities

SPDR Select Sector Fund - Utilities

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XLU trade ideas

Interest Rate Sensitive UtilitiesThe amount of money pouring into utilities is no joke. In a world of slow growth, low interest rates, and trade uncertainty... utilities are a no-brainer with stable earnings and dividends. But like anything that can seem like a no-brainer, over-crowed pilling occurs and price extension of the underlying can cause unrealistic valuation to long term perspectives. If you believe interest rates could rebound from historical lows than rotational selling of utility stocks could occur as portfolio managers reduce their exposure and lock in profits. XLU has good option liquidity and I recommend call credit spreads and debit put spreads into Oct/Nov.
AMEX:XLUShort
by Audacity618
US SECTOR SERIES FINALE 11/11: UTILITIES(XLU)+ESSENTIAL TA NOTESSERIES FINALE ; Episode 11/11 : US (SPX) Sectors Technical Analysis Series - 31st of July 2019 (4 Minute Read) Since this is the Series Finale I will try to holistically summarize the whole series of 11 Episodes on all the US sectors. The essential notes from this chart are the following(also included in the comments) : 1 . Compared to the previous expansion of 2002-2007 ; the current expansion of US Utilities has yielded a much slower growth . This can be seen from the chart as the current bullish channel is at the bottom range of the pitchfork. Despite this fact, the volume has kept growing continuously from which statement several indications can be derived. To keep it simple and as obviously as it can be, a good portion of the volume growth can be attributed to the funds flow from asset classes that are based on inflation( pension funds, real estate, fixed income securities etc etc ) into equities characterised as defensive as part of XLU, XLP, XLV . 2 . From the cycle lines it can be seen that we narrowly escaped a recession in 2015-2016 . However, I do not think that this will be the case come by the next drop in the cycle circa-2021. Fundamentally, due to the low global growth that dominated the 2015-2016 correction particularly in the emerging markets-in effect due to President Trump the cycle extended . Despite my disagreement with his absurd trade and tax policies , I have to give credit where credit is due. Now at the same time, I do not think that a cycle extension is necessarily good; in a way it means that the fundamental & structural issues that develop in the economy during an expansion continue to build up even more. The higher it tops= the lower it will bottom (% wise). 3 . Elections 2020 , US/China trade deal and Brexit will dominate the negative momentum in the upcoming months and years. Global growth has slowed down quite a bit and it's way overdue for a recession. In fact, past June 2019, we have been in the longest expansion on record, lasting more than 10 years(122 months now). Regarding the key takeaways from the XLU chart are all labelled above: structural supports, channel supports and bullish targets . I do not see a need to continually repeat myself . Make sure to check out the comments for detailed indicator analysis. This episode concludes the show . Hope you enjoyed it- I certainly did. This is just a brief "free" and very detailed analysis. Perhaps in the future I might form a premium group, to whose members I will provide all the details of my research. For any use of this show for references to any corporations or individuals that get inspired from my ideas, I'd appreciate it I am being given credit for my efforts . >>I do not share my ideas for the likes or the views. This channel is only dedicated to well informed research and other noteworthy and interesting market stories.>> However, if you'd like to support me and get informed in the greatest of details, every thumbs up or follow is greatly appreciated ! Step_Ahead_oftheMarket- Make sure to check all the previous episodes on the US Sectors for more holistic understanding : EPISODE 10 : US COMMUNICATIONS ( XLC ) EPISODE 9 : US REAL ESTATE ( XLRE ) Full Disclosure: This is just an opinion, you decide what to do with your own money. For any further references- contact me through any of my channels.
AMEX:XLUShort
by step_ahead_ofthemarket
2
XLU stock price forecast timing analysisStock investing strategies Read more: www.pretiming.com Investing position about Supply-Demand(S&D) strength: In Rising section of high profit & low risk S&D strength Trend Analysis: In the midst of an upward trend of strong upward momentum stock price flow marked by the temporary falls and strong rises. Today's S&D strength Flow: Supply-Demand(S&D) strength flow appropriate to the current trend. D+1 Candlestick Color forecast: GREEN Candlestick %D+1 Range forecast: 1.1% (HIGH) ~ -0.1% (LOW), 0.7% (CLOSE) %AVG in case of rising: 0.8% (HIGH) ~ -0.4% (LOW), 0.6% (CLOSE) %AVG in case of falling: 0.4% (HIGH) ~ -0.8% (LOW), -0.4% (CLOSE) Stock Price Forecast Timing Criteria: Stock price forecast timing is analyzed based on pretiming algorithm of Supply-Demand(S&D) strength.
AMEX:XLUShort
by pretiming
XLU rises after consolidation periodsUtilities are defensive and traditionally do well in summer, when risk stocks suffer from ‘Sell in May’. In the last six consolidations, which often start around May, the price moves up after the consolidation ends. Overall, the ETF has followed a clear parallel channel for four years now, and it is affected much less by macro events. Each consolidation has been followed by a rise of around 6.7% so an entry at 58 (.30 below current), with a stop of 56.50 (below the consolidation low and the lower current channel (in red, I have treated Xmas 2018 as an outlier), and a target of 62.50 (where the upper channel will be on Oct 31, traditionally the end of the summer season neatly gives a 3:1 trade to run for six months. Not the most exciting of trades, but safer than most.
AMEX:XLULong
by adatherton