XME Metals and Mining Weekly Long IdeaWeekly chart on XME looks bullish IMO.
I went long commons with price targets above 53.5 and 59 , stop around 48.
Nice breakout retest bounce and the volume leads me to be bias to more upside.
Swinging this with shares, but the April 54C also looks active with 3K OI
XME trade ideas
Elliott Wave View: XME Should See Further UpsideShort Term Elliott Wave structure for XME (S&P Metals & Mining ETF) suggests the rally from March 25, 2021 low is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Wave 3 of this impulse ended at 47.27 and pullback in wave 4 ended at 43. Internal subdivision of wave 4 unfolded as a zigzag. Down from wave 3, wave ((a)) ended at 44, and bounce in wave ((b)) ended at 46.70. The ETF then extended lower in wave ((c)) towards 43.
Wave 4 ended at the 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension from wave 3 at 41.38 – 43.41 and the ETF rallied nicely from there. It has broken above wave 3 high suggesting the next leg higher in wave 5 has started. Up from wave 4, wave ((i)) ended at 45.56, and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 43.74. Wave ((iii)) remains in progress and can see 3 more highs before ending. Afterwards, a pullback in wave ((iv)) is expected to correct cycle from wave ((ii)) low on May 14 before the rally resumes. Near term, as far as pivot at 43 low on May 13 stays intact, expect the ETF to extend higher.
OPENING: XME JUNE 19TH 24/30 SHORT STRANGLE... for a .94 credit.
Notes: Selling a delta neutral short strangle in the first expiry in which the at-the-money short straddle is paying greater than 10% of the underlying. Given the smallness of the instrument, will do additive adjustments if necessary to delta under hedge.
The Metals & Mining Sector is in a Critical AreaWeekly Chart :
The XME is in a Down Trend for almost 2 years.
Two important Technical keys:
1. The Down Trendline
2. The Support are of 24.25-25.43
Daily Chart :
The price getting squeezed between the trendline and the support area -
The Probable Scenarios :
Scenario #1 is more probable, im looking for a break of the support area, in that case, the first target priceis 20.4.
In scenario #2, longs can be taken only above 29.39, and if the volume and trend show strong signals of buying.