XRT Option Flows Suggest 74 BreachIn this update review the recent price action and options flow data that suggests break of the 74 level is imminent, as such we identify a high probability trade strategy and price objectives to target.Short0by Tickmill1
XRT Bullish inclined Naked Puts 17 Dec Expiry (Dec Track 2)Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought Feels like a safe position given that the market is seeming very bullish at the moment XRT has also broken a key resistance line and that transforms it into a solid support line XRT are retail discretionary companies and right now there seems to be alot of optimism. Consumers seem to be find paying for the current rising prices of products. I think will continue with the festive period Feds are probably not going to increase interest rates in Dec so we can expect that to not be a concern I Feel Solid and Confident Imagine Yourself Taking The Other Side As a fact the inflation rate is high and it has already impacted wages and prices. Prices of durable goods are high vs last year Supply chain issues that are resulting in retailers unable to cope with demand is still not solved and this will have an impact on business that do not have ample reserves to sell Imagine Yourself As A Neutral Observer While inflation is a concern the market is showing a lot of bullishness This feels very straight forward Look For New Information Nothing new How Do I Feel Now I'm confident to pull the trigger Trade Specs Sold 0.65, 85 Put Contracts @ Strike 89 % to Strike 12% ATR % is Around 21% BP used 75k Max Gain: est $5525 Longby Ronin_traderUpdated 1
RETAIL STOCKS TO DECLINE TILL MARCH 2022 A few back i posted charts of the retail sector to lead rally . We now have ended in what looks like a classic blow off top I am now moving into a PUT POSITION NOW TILL MARCH 2022 we should see a rather string move from free money to contraction just based on the new tax laws jan 1 Shortby wavetimer112
XRT Bullish inclined Naked Puts 29 Oct Expiry (Oct Track 1)Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought Market is returning to a Bullish / Ranging state With the Evergrande dip it seems we now have room for another bullish retracement XRT had no major reaction to Evergrade dip and is rising with the market and is now about Evergrande. Pricing at 0.50 seems decent (11% from strike) -80, 60, strike 85 XRT has the best contract price of all that I am keen on Imagine Yourself Taking The Other Side Previously XRT was making lower highs. This is somewhat bearish It feels like I have no other options The retracement could be a short lived reaction to the sudden dip. People reentering the market Delta or inflation concerns could put a damper on retail driving drops Imagine Yourself As A Neutral Observer There is alot of optimising for the plan, this is a feeling I always feel before I enter a trade. The Opposite side has good simple arguments but feels dwarfed against the biased optimism I am rejecting the larger concerns of delta or inflation and placing alot on the reaction of Evergrade. Using it as a focal point on market sentiment Look For New Information Two days ago 21 Sep - Retail sales showed a rebound despite Delta. +0.7% probably fueled by back to school shopping. Online purchases were the key driver of the sales. Employment is down 0.2% and consumer prices increase by 0.3% How Do I Feel Now I think with the new information on the retail sales I feel more confident but still slightly concerned and aware about the previous lower highs Sold 80 PUTS @ 0.47 Strike 85 % to Strike is 10.4% from entry ATR percentile is low Max Gain: est $3760 Total BP Block: 75K Longby Ronin_traderUpdated 1
Retail bubble popWith the bad news from BBBY the retail bubble finally seems like it's gonna pop. No more stimulus or unemployment supplement. It's been rangebound for a while now, but with today's drop A/D looks a bit different.... I think it's downhill from here, but I have no idea what the chart will look like so I'm just throwing an extended red arrow out there, lol.by hungry_hippoUpdated 114
XRT ETF Bullish inclined Naked Puts 24 Sep Expiry (Sep Track 1)This is Track 1, Trade 1 of the September trades. This trade generally follows the larger market bullish move as it seems like Retail is taking the Delta virus and inflation news on its stride. There will be price drops if those concerns surface again, but from what I've noticed, its all very short term. We also see retail hiring more aggressively and in the short term this means that business owners are somewhat optimistic and ready to get their business rolling full swing. Sold 25 Puts @ 0.50 Strike 85 % to Strike is 11% from entry ATR percentile is a middle, so this could be improved. Rising RSI , tied to an uptrend of lower highs Max Gain: est $1250 Total BP Block: 28KLongby Ronin_traderUpdated 0
(Re entry) XRT ETF Bullish inclined Naked Puts 20 Aug ExpiryRe entered this trade as it seems like the market is stabilizing and did not continue it's drop. This drop was due to the inflation concerns and the increasing delta virus cases in US Sold 45 Puts @ 0.53 Strike 86 BP Block: 54K Max Gain: Est $2385 % Distance to Strike: 10.76%Longby Ronin_traderUpdated 0
XRTIs AMZN going into brick & mortar putting the dagger in everyone else? Or is this a short GME play (GME is 6.74% of this ETF with the next largest being MGNI at 2.22%)? Short below ath for me.Shortby Essendy1
XRT TrendlineAMEX:XRT broke the trendline and looks ready to break out into new highs.Longby TechnicallyCorrect2
XRT ETF Bullish inclined Naked Puts 20 Aug ExpiryI entered this XRT trade with a high BP of 59K because I wanted to reduce my exposure on VXX. I'm getting the feeling that the market is reaching a stage where the bullish steam is running out. Especially with rising Inflation concerns. VXX to me is dangerous because it is exposed to Tech stocks which are currently sky-high and a drop in tech could be pretty ugly. What irritated me was that one day later the market drops due to inflation worries and the prices of my XRT contracts increases... I think I need to look at planning my selling of contracts together with the economic calendar as high volatility gets me a good price also. Good new is that the retail sales numbers unexpectedly rises by 0.6% in June and this basically shielded XRT to an extend. Sold 70 Puts @ 0.50 Strike 85 BP Block: 59K Max Gain: Est $3500 % Distance to Strike: 10.61%Longby Ronin_traderUpdated 0
Retail - Losing SteamRetail sector is losing steam. WSB had their fun. Looks like it might be over (for now) reclaim 96.27 would be a buy signalShortby fissh_Updated 1
Another one to target!Retail sector driven by GDP (fiscally supported) and consumer spending support = a "short" on the inverse situations. So when the fat lady stops singing...you know what buttons to push 😂😂by Adam-Cox1
XRT ETF Bullish inclined Naked Puts 23 July ExpiryI originally planned for XRT to take up 45% of my BP but some how my week earlier VXX trade's required BP suddenly increased and so for July XRT is back to around 30% BP So far it seems like the inflation worries have been quietened at least for the time being. I do feel it is a matter of time. This is why I need to reduce my exposure to VXX as it is very vulnerable to the tech sector which is very volatile. XRT is retail and seems somewhat conservative at this point, but I need to find one which is more inclined towards consumer staples. Sold 45 Puts @ 0.85 Strike 85 BP Block: 48K Max Gain: Est $3825 % Distance to Strike: 9%Longby Ronin_trader0
Bull Run?Did you miss us, wolves?🔥 There is a great formation only for you! AscendingTriangle on XRT. However do not rush the trade and wait for the clear signal. According to Elliott Waves theory all the waves are done and now the price is heading to the breakout. Follow the chart and look for the breakout carefully. _____________________________________________________ If you enjoy my FREE Analysis , support the idea with a big LIKE👍 and don't forget to SUBSCRIBE my channel, you won't miss anything! Feel free to leave comments✉️ And always remember: "we don't predict, we react".by Berzerk_invest220
XRT ETF Bullish inclined Naked Puts 18 June ExpiryXRT is my JETS replacement. This month I was also trying to enter JETS but I couldn't get in at a good price. XRT is an ETF reflecting the US retail industry, specifically the Consumer Discretionary segment. I selected them because with the pandemic optimism and the decreasing unemployment, I expect the customers to be less tight on their retail habits especially on everyday items. ATR is low which is a good sign but my worry is the S/R line just above at 95, which might cause a retracement. But if it breaks through it would be a nice padding. Sold 50 Puts @ 0.5 Strike 82 BP Block: 43K Max Gain: Est $2500 % Distance to Strike: 13%Longby Ronin_traderUpdated 0
XRT ETF Bullish inclined Naked Puts 14 May ExpiryI am diversifying beyond selling puts on JETS as it seems to have had a significant bullish run. XRT is an ETF reflecting the US retail industry, specifically the Consumer Discretionary segment. I selected them because with the pandemic optimism and the decreasing unemployment, I expect the customers to be less tight on their retail habits especially on everyday items. etfdb.com Sold 50 Puts @ 0.78 Strike 83 BP Block: 51K Max Gain: Est $3,900 Touch Probability: 62% % Distance to Strike: 8%Longby Ronin_traderUpdated 0
XRT's Weekly Log ChartIn a Stage 2, above inclining 10 & 30 week moving averages Still out performing spx Keep an eye on any close below 10 week moving average for slow down.Longby Badcharts2
Why Retail is Still Bearish (XRT)Last month was red for retail after all time highs, how is it looking for the next several months? Find out from a software developer/data scientist.by UnknownUnicorn12070690221
Gamestop in ETF GME became around 20% of the weighting of this ETF from around 1.5% If you haven't been investing on the Reddit Frenzy, and you wish you had; now is your second chance. 21ema is the support level to watch currently, as it has held in the past; and is giving great risk-reward as we are just above it. Volatility can be extreme, so set clear defined limits to where you are comfortable with your potential losses. Longby dorfmanmaster331
Short XRT IMO (Puts)XRT about to go down. Cheapest way to take a short position on the GME mania. Opinion only. XRTShortby StockPickingEnthusiastUpdated 0
XRT PennantXRT (retail ETF) is going parabolic due to IRBT, GME, SFIX, etc. Formed a pennant, target prices shown. No position, duck hunting tomorrow.by hungry_hippoUpdated 113
Retail ETF continues it's upward trend +add $1.9 trillionXRT is a solid retail etf with holdings from Amazon to Zumiez. I added shares today after the news about an additional $1.9 trillion covid relief package is planned for 2021. Do your own due diligence, your risk is 100% your responsibility. You win some or you learn some. Consider being charitable with some of your profit to help humankind. Small incremental steps work : If you double a penny a day for a month it = $5,368,709. Good luck and happy trading friends... *3x lucky 7s of trading* 7pt Trading compass: Price action, entry/exit Volume average/direction Trend, patterns, momentum Newsworthy current events Revenue Earnings Balance sheet 7 Common mistakes: +5% portfolio trades, risk management Beware of analysts motives Emotions & Opinions FOMO : bad timing Lack of planning & discipline Forgetting restraint Obdurate repetitive errors, no adaptation 7 Important tools: Trading View app!, Brokerage UI Accurate indicators & settings Wide screen monitor/s Trading log (pencil & graph paper) Big organized desk Reading books, playing chess Sorted watch-list Checkout my indicators: Fibonacci VIP - volume Fibonacci MA7 - price pi RSI - trend momentum TTC - trend channel www.tradingview.comLongby Options360Updated 443