Potential outside week and potential bearish breakout for MTSAs noted in the latest video update for week ended 17-Nov (apologies for the delayed publishing of these details - another hectic week), MTS represents a potential bearish opportunity should momentum continue and lower lows be made to confirm the outside week. Stop loss for the trade would be above the high of the confirmed outside week, should it confirm (i.e.: above the high of $3.82 from 15th November).
MTS trade ideas
ASX: MTS: Take Profit < $3.50Metcash (ASX: MTS) has been trading within a narrow range of $3.48 – $4.33 for the past 52 weeks and is currently trading at $3.62, at the time of writing. However, over the last 90 days, MTS has experienced a decline of -7.42%, indicating a negative trend in the market. Unfortunately, this trend has accelerated over the last 30 days, further pushing the stock price down.
Despite the recent downward trend, there is potential for a near-term rebound, as strong support around the $3.50 and $3.60 levels could provide a boost to MTS. However, members should be cautious, as significant resistance around the $3.80 level could limit the upside in the near term.
It is also important to note that there could be significant selling pressure over the next few weeks, as there has been a substantial volume of sellers around $3.70 over the last 90-day period. Additionally, the volume of sell orders has increased by around 50% over the past three months.
Based on the current market conditions and recent trends, we would suggest our members “take profit” below $3.50. While there is potential for a near-term rebound, the negative trend over the past 90 days and increased selling pressure suggest that caution is warranted. Furthermore, the strong support around the $3.50 and $3.60 levels may not hold indefinitely, and significant resistance around the $3.80 level could limit the upside in the near term. Therefore, it may be prudent to “take profit” at or below $3.50 to lock in gains.
MTS - MACD Daily Histogram below 0 for 25 Consecutive DaysThe Metcash Ltd (ASX:MTS) MACD Histogram (12, 26, 9) has just recorded 25 consecutive days below 0. Since 2000, this type of indicator persistence below 0, was usually the forerunner to some short-term upside.
The 20-day average absolute return, following MTS's (12, 26, 9) MACD Daily Histogram below 0 for 25 consecutive days, is 6.18% with a win rate of 16 from 18, median 4.23%, & standard deviation of 5.40%.
The 20-day average relative return versus the All Ordinaries Index , following MTS's (12, 26, 9) MACD Daily Histogram below 0 for 25 consecutive days, is 3.77% with a win rate of 15 from 18, median 2.85%, & standard deviation of 4.11%.
Disclaimer: This data is not financial advice. Past performance is not a guide to future performance and may not be repeated. Past performance does not diminish the risk expectancy of any strategy. By its very nature ‘risk’ means you could and most likely will experience losses. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of any information provided. Data is for educational and informational purposes only.
MTS - MACD Daily Histogram below 0 for 25 Consecutive DaysThe Metcash Ltd (ASX:MTS) MACD Histogram (12, 26, 9) has just recorded 25 consecutive days below 0. Since 2000, this type of indicator persistence below 0, was usually the forerunner to some short-term upside.
The 20-day average absolute return, following MTS's (12, 26, 9) MACD Daily Histogram below 0 for 25 consecutive days, was 5.56% with a win rate of 14 from 16, median 4.18%, & standard deviation of 5.07%.
The 20-day average relative return versus the All Ordinaries Index, following MTS's (12, 26, 9) MACD Daily Histogram below 0 for 25 consecutive days, was 3.26% with a win rate of 13 from 16, median 2.50%, & standard deviation of 3.83%.
$MTS long trade setup on ASXTrade setup today long $MTS Metacash on the ASX. I like the dip, double bottom and higher high green candles trending bullish. Went in with 4251 units at 2.35. Targets and stop loss set. As always trading is risky and can go against us at any time no matter how good a chart looks. As such risk management is king, cut losses early and let winners play out. Not financial advice.