SPY BEARISH CORRECTION AHEAD|SHORT|
✅SPY went up sharply
But a strong resistance level was hit at 565.19$
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target at 559.85$
SHORT🔥
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SPY trade ideas
Spy short term The way that I see, the price is close to the resistance in a hour chart and daily chart.
I'm using Fibonacci and Elliot Waves to find good positions for scalping.
I hope it can help you guys with good trades.
564 at best 573 from the over extended move of the past 5We reported accurately last week, and from the indicators, it can still extend; I think this is happening earlier in the week and will confirm this flush, but otherwise, monitoring.
SPY: Weak Market & Bearish Continuation
Balance of buyers and sellers on the SPY pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
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SPY: Short-Term Selloff Anticipated After Fed Rate Cut DecisionIf you haven`t bought the recent dip on SPY:
Now you need to know that as the Federal Reserve approaches its rate cut decision this week, speculation is high that we may see a larger-than-expected cut of 50 basis points rather than the anticipated 25. This could trigger a short-term selloff in equities, including the SPY (S&P 500 ETF), despite the initial market reaction.
The market often exhibits a “buy the rumor, sell the news” behavior, and this situation could be no different. With expectations set for a 25 basis point cut, a surprise 50 basis point reduction might lead to concerns about the underlying economic conditions. This could prompt a selloff in major indices, including SPY, as traders and investors react to the Fed’s unexpected move.
In the immediate aftermath of the Fed decision, SPY might see a brief uptick as market participants adjust their positions and optimism prevails. However, this short-term rally could be quickly overshadowed by a broader correction. As the market digests the implications of the Fed's actions and potential economic concerns come to light, SPY is likely to experience a pullback.
For those looking to capitalize on this potential downturn, the $550 strike price puts expiring on October 18, 2024, could be a prudent choice. These puts offer a strategic way to hedge against or profit from the anticipated short-term decline in SPY. Given the expected correction following the Fed's rate cut, this option could provide significant value as SPY faces downward pressure.
While SPY may experience an initial rise in response to the Fed’s decision, the broader market sentiment is likely to shift towards risk aversion, leading to a correction in the weeks following the announcement. By October 18, the broader market and SPY could be reflecting these adjustments, making the $550 puts a timely investment.
In summary, while SPY might see some early gains next week, a correction is expected to follow as the market reacts to the Fed’s decision. The $550 strike price puts expiring on October 18, 2024, could offer a valuable opportunity for those anticipating this short-term volatility.
SPY Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
SPY went up sharply
But has hit a horizontal
Resistance level of 565.22$
And despite the fact that
We are bullish biased mid-term
The ETF is locally overbought
Thus we will be expecting a
Local bearish correction
Sell!
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$SPY 14, September 2024AMEX:SPY 14, September 2024
Weekend views.
Uptrend confirmed.
I will be worried only if 510 is broken as of now.
On daily my target is 580 levels initially.
This is derived from 1.5 times extension for the move 348 to 459 to 409 levels.
On Monday if AMEX:SPY is able to cross 564-565 levels and hold for at least one hour we can see a big move towards 580 in few days.
Now holding 555-557 is crucial for next uptrend.
In 15 minutes for the last rise 556.53 to 563.03 it is important to hold 559-560 levels.
If 559 is broken, then we will have another multiple tops around 563 and hence can expect some sideways between 554 to 560 to converge the moving averages.
Not the time to short in any time frame. As of now.
SPY 09/12Well on track for the big blow-off top idea. Expecting to see 565 in the next few days, then potentially higher to new ATH
Disclaimer: This idea is not intended as investment advice and should not be interpreted as an offer to sell or a recommendation to purchase any asset. Any decisions made based on the information presented in this idea are the sole responsibility of the individual. All investment decisions should be made independently, taking into account your financial situation and objectives.
SPY In-depth Technical AnalysisA detailed technical analysis with Key Levels of support and resistance, expectations on the price action and trend.
Do your analysis and research as well while trading with these 3 simple tricks.
Identify entry, get in the trade, get green, get out.
Rinse Lather Repeat. Stay positive and Strong
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 9-13 : Rally DayPlease take a minute to watch this video, and possibly some of my earlier videos from this week, as we continue to see the SPY, QQQ, and Bitcoin continue to move through an Excess Phase Peak pattern.
It is very important for traders to understand the eventual A/B outcome of the Excess Phase Peak pattern. For the SPY/QQQ, we are still flagging into what is very likely to be a rolling top pattern - setting up a broad downward price trend in the near future. The only thing that can stop that rollover top is a rally to new ATHs (which can happen to invalidate the Excess Phase Peak pattern).
Because of these pattern setups, it is important to see were the SPY ends this current rally phase and if the SPY can rally above the recent ATH levels or not.
Gold is moving into a temporary topping pattern above $2600. I would think the 2613 level would be the ideal topping level for Gold - but I would expect Gold to struggle to move up to the 2613 level at this point.
Bitcoin is showing an inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern. I go into detail about this pattern and what we need to look for over the next few weeks.
Ultimately, I believe the markets are moving into a transitional price rollover ahead of the election.
Plan, prepare, and Get Some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
SPY - Assigned but Not WorryingThere is always the potential of being assigned and here we are assigned a 200 share short position. Not a bit worried as we are entering this very broad resistance area.
Have a couple options here.
1) I can close out and take a loss, not going to do that yet.
2) Sell PUTs against my short position to cover or collect more premiums. (May opt to do this will see how the market plays out after the cash open)
3) Just let it ride for now (which is my most likely scenario)
Have to be patient here and I am one of the most patient traders you will meet.
Yes this is real money I am playing with, not selling trades and have no account myself.
SPY Daily Chart Analysis: Approaching Key Resistance at $564Looking at the SPY daily chart, the price has recovered well from its recent pullback and is now approaching a significant resistance level around $564.
Key Levels:
Resistance at $564: The green dashed line highlights this key resistance zone. SPY has tested this level multiple times, and we’re nearing another test. Each time the price approached this zone, it faced rejection, making it a critical level to break for continued upside.
Support at $552.49: This is the immediate support zone, and it’s holding strong. Any pullback towards this level would be a natural correction but as long as we stay above it, the bulls remain in control.
What I Expect:
Potential Breakout: If SPY manages to break and hold above $564, we could see a significant rally, possibly testing higher resistance levels around $570. However, failure to break this resistance might lead to another pullback, with $552 acting as the first major support.
Sideways Action:
There’s also the chance that SPY could consolidate in the $552 - $564 range before making a decisive move in either direction. This would create a buildup of momentum before the next big breakout or breakdown.
Final Thoughts:
We’re at a critical juncture. If the bulls can push through $564, we might see a continuation of the larger uptrend. However, resistance here has been strong, so I’ll be watching closely for either a breakout or a rejection at this level. Stay cautious and watch for clear confirmation before making your move.
$SPY September 13, 2024AMEX:SPY September 13, 2024
30 Minutes
We achieved near 560 levels as expected.
Now for the rise 539.95 to 559.38 holding 554-555; levels we have a target 564-566 levels.
I am expecting good moves next week, if today at close moving averages line up nicely.
I still expect 563-566 levels to provide strong resistance. We have multiple tops in that ara in all time frames.
9.13 FRIDAY SPY TARGETS WILL HIT The chart is busy looking, BUT there is great clarity with confirmation here, when we open Friday AM. Which if the numerology sequence is same from Thursday for Friday, then FRIDAY IS RED DAY. MONDAY IS GREEN
I’m waiting for a clear of the liquid up top or a rejection to go back down. I’ve included TWO scenarios to watch for. The white lines are key levels, the purple is TPO single prints/liquidity. If it stays above 559 then it’s going to 560 if it spikes up to 559.57 and clears those purple prints and comes back down to 559 and moves lower the target is 555 zone. If it drops below 555 then it’s 553. If for some reason it pumps past 560 zone the target up then becomes 690. Wait on confirmation before a swing or scalp entry and I’m still expecting new highs to end the year with Solar Maximum Peak 1st qtr 2025. Have an awesome day !
spy bear call spread and LONG putsMY GAMBLE, Fed is NOT cutting rates next week. (No chance) 0
This would be seen as Election/political interference. The markets have been going up nicely the last week and I want to play some bear positions.
There is no weakness in employment
And inflation is present and not at 2% target.
IF THEY cut rates, they will have to 'make up a reason'.
$SPY Ranges Playing Out Perfectly - Expectations for 9/13/24For tomorrow - Above $559.60 -> $562 could be hit on AMEX:SPY
There is significant resistance at $559.60, so it could be a reversal point to watch for a bearish trade back down through the channel.
We have trend support that has become resistance at $562, which will be a mountain to climb and I don't expect that to happen tomorrow.
Today's Recap - We did great trading the bullish breakout on $556C for 100%+ (overall).
We caught the wick down on entry one, then the breakout entry on entry two.
Map out your pivot points, trade smart, and execute within your plan!
We will be going LIVE at 2:30 on our private community stream to discuss the week in review, map out some trades, and set ourselves up for clear profitability into next week!
Reversion is a beautiful thing, near perfect accuracyI think this chart explains it all.
See where the lines cross on the indicator to where the price returns. At every period, reversion occurs—impulse waves against the trend that moves the price.
Next stop, back down? I think so; reversion says so.
SPY to $560MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make.
Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated.
My trading system is very simple.
I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
Bonus if a TTM Squeeze in in play.
I hold until target is reached or end of year, when I can book a loss.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price at bottom channel
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
TTM Squeeze indicator just turned on
TTM Squeeze momentum is down and at extreme
In at $553
SPY - Not Sold on the Rally - Selling CallsSPY - Sell to Open 12SEPT (Today) 555 Calls (2 contracts) @ $1.37
I am taking short term trades here selling into a market I am guessing will correct sooner than later. Not sold on this rally and I want to position myself short.
Since there is no Setup right now, I am simply selling short term Calls which will either expire worthless today, or getting a better price for a short where I can sell Puts against the position or just hold.
Real Trades, Real Account, no BS.
spy big trendreference 1999/10/1 to 2000/10/1
predict 2024/10/1 to 2025/10/1 spy 555 to 666
then about 2 years down trend (-48%)
$SPY September 12, 2024AMEX:SPY September 12, 2024
15 Minutes.
AMEX:SPY managed to hold recent low of 539.44 by making a low 539.95 and reversing.
So again it touched top of channel as seen and bounced back.
Even the close of 539.95 bar was good being at top of bar, we have oscillator making LL for the two lows 543.4 and 539.95.
Hence i expect a retracement first.
Considering the rise 539.95 to 553.36 if AMEX:SPY holds 548+ levels uptrend continues.
So as long as 545 is not broken we can expect one more move towards 560-563.
I will not short as ass values above moving averages.
Yesterday covered short at 540.5.
My stochastic indicator has turned from red to green bar as seen. Hence any retracement is a buy for me until any change.
SPY breaks key resistance with momentumAfter the cpi report SPY went from selling off dramatically in the morning to turning around rallying with strong momentum and volume.
CPI report brought a lot of volatility to the market today
SPY started selling then turned around quickly to break resistance
We note the increasing volume as the rally continues
The final period did end with rather undecided candle giving a sense of pause to direction it may go tomorrow
The strong volume on final period does indicate price exhaustion, we may experience pull back tomorrow.
Multiple down beaten stocks from previous sell off trend are now experiencing a massive rally breaking their trend and reversing to the upside.
9.12 Thursday SPY time to fry. For a day. You can see my three targets. It’s tough to tell what premkt will do but it can take out that top target then start going for that middle liquidity. Middle target is a good one. TPO is what I’m using along with numerology / astrology for the outlook on the day. As you will see targets are hitting. Friday I believe will be a much larger move than Thursday. If targets are hit and gap is closed on spy on Thursday then expect a massive pump on Friday. I will update for Friday. Have an awesome day !
