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SPY trade ideas

SPYLOVERS ! The Pullback is here ! What to do next.... Good morning everyone and welcome to another weekend session. For those following the SPY, we can see that the institutional rejection did indeed occur with a double top, and it was unable to break the Al Time High (ATH), leading to a pullback that we had already predicted weeks ago. The question is: How far will the pullback go? I have two levels: a liquidation zone limit and a historical demand zone. Warning: DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CATCH A FALLING KNIFE ! The idea here is to let the price do what it needs to with this drop. Once it reaches one of these two zones, we will start to see bullish volumetric candles indicating the beginning of an upward trend. For now, this analysis has been unfolding as we have been forecasting the movement. Let the price fall, and be very alert to determine whether this is just a small pullback or a longer one. We already know where the price will likely land. Sending greetings and thank you for supporting my study.
AMEX:SPY
by RocketMike111
The Recession Debate: SPY ETF on the Rise Despite ConcernsIn recent months, there has been a growing conversation about the possibility of an impending recession. Economic indicators, inflation rates, and geopolitical tensions have led many to speculate about a downturn. However, amidst this chatter, one notable trend stands out: the SPY ETF, which tracks the S&P 500, is on the rise. While analysts and economists discuss potential challenges ahead, the performance of the SPY ETF suggests a different narrative. Investors seem to be showing resilience and confidence in the market, as reflected in the upward trajectory of this popular exchange-traded fund. What does this mean for investors? It could indicate that the market is pricing in a recovery or that certain sectors are performing well despite broader economic concerns. It’s essential to remember that markets can be forward-looking, often reacting to future expectations rather than current realities. As we navigate these uncertain times, it’s crucial to stay informed and consider both the macroeconomic landscape and individual investment strategies. The rise of the SPY ETF may serve as a reminder that opportunities can still exist, even when the economic outlook appears bleak. What are your thoughts on the current market trends? Are you optimistic or cautious about the future? Let’s discuss! AMEX:SPY
AMEX:SPYLong
by jhaynsf
3
SPY My Opinion! BUY! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the SPY next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 540.43 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 552.17 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AMEX:SPYLong
by AnabelSignals
1
Vol expansion signaling the top is near, but $HYG disagreesThrough my previous "big picture" posts about VIX/VVIX and VIX as well as high yield corporate bonds ( AMEX:HYG or AMEX:JNK respectively) I have been maintaining we're in that end stage of a bull market, but for now to "keep buying the dip." Things are getting a little shakier lately, but I still feel like new highs can be made based solely on how AMEX:HYG is still behaving. We have higher lows and lower highs starting on VIX, which is usually a good indicator we're near the cycle top. AMEX:HYG is not far off setting a new high from this cycle, though. Highest it's been since the big sell off started in 2022. AMEX:HYG never recovered its 2021 levels. So, solely based on past performance of how AMEX:HYG often sets lower highs preceding a longer term bear market in equities, I'm going to stick my neck out and say despite the economic data supporting slowing and VIX starting to set alarm bells in its pattern, we're not quite yet to the top. Equities kind of have the appearance of having done a double top and might continue down according to how some interpret candlestick patterns, but the unusual strength of AMEX:HYG gives me pause and say "maybe buy the dip isn't dead just yet." Make no mistake, though, we are certainly much closer to a market cycle top than we are the bottom. And tech has been getting battered pretty solidly. I just think the price action of the main indices themselves may yet set new highs before we do finally enter a longer term bear market. It absolutely is time to be on your toes. Things are shifting underneath us. But my bold prediction is that buy the dip for AMEX:SPY SP:SPX isn't dead just yet. Bulls may have another rally or two left in them to hit another all time high before bears totally take over. I do think some larger players have already begun shifting out of equities and into treasuries, once that settles down a little, we'll see stocks make maybe one or two more big pushes, take a look at what AMEX:HYG is doing during that time and go from there. With that said, I have no prediction for how far and deep the current dip will go. September has a history of being one of the uglier months of the year. I had thought that yesterday might be the low of the current dip with AMEX:HYG showing two decent days of bullish divergence, but then we got smacked lower still today after a rebound from yesterday's lows. The market has a way of humbling you for sure! But if you're just long term long $SPY/ SP:SPX , I say stay there for now. I think we might have some more highs to set yet--but not many more before a big drawdown does happen.
AMEX:SPYLong
by dieseldub
SPY 30-Minute Chart Analysis: Bearish Channel FormingLooking at the SPY 30-minute chart, the price is clearly in a bearish channel, with each rally getting rejected and lower lows being made consistently. Let me walk you through the key details. What’s Happening: Downward Channel: The price is following a downward-sloping channel, which began forming at the peak near $563. Since then, the price has been steadily declining, with lower highs and lower lows, bouncing off the upper and lower trendlines. Resistance at $546.70: There was a strong rejection from the $546.70 level, further confirming this area as a key resistance. Every time the price approaches this level, sellers step in aggressively. Key Support at $539.60: We’re currently hovering just above this level. If we break through $539.60, the next key support zone lies around $528.44, which could be the next target for sellers. What I Expect: Bearish Continuation: Given the strength of the downward channel, I’m expecting more downside. If $539.60 fails to hold, we could see a further drop towards the $528.44 level. Possible Bounce: On the other hand, if the price finds support around $539.60, we might see a short-term bounce back toward the upper trendline, around $546.70, before more selling pressure sets in. Final Thoughts: Right now, SPY is clearly in a downtrend, and I’m watching the $539.60 level closely. A break below it could open the door for further declines, but a bounce from here could present a short-term trading opportunity. Stay cautious as the bearish momentum continues!
AMEX:SPY
by Deno_Trading
SPY 5-Minute Chart Analysis Targeting Opening Range BreakoutLooking at the SPY 5-minute chart, we’re seeing some clear bearish signals after what seemed like a potential recovery. Let me walk you through the main things that stand out. What I’m Seeing: Resistance at $554.41: The price reached a high of $554.41 but failed to hold, showing clear rejection at this level. This resistance has become a key point, as each attempt to break above it has been met with selling pressure. Drop to $541.77: We’re now seeing a sharp decline, with the price currently sitting around $541.77. This steep drop indicates that the sellers have firmly taken control. Failed Support at $548: Earlier, $548 was providing some support, but once that level broke, it led to a cascade of selling down to the $541 - $542 zone. What I Expect: Further Downside: Given the current momentum, I wouldn’t be surprised if we test the $540.97 level soon. If this level breaks, we could see a deeper drop, potentially targeting the $540 psychological level or even lower. Potential Bounce: If buyers step in around this $541 zone, we might see a short-term bounce. But unless we reclaim $548, I’m not convinced that a reversal is coming. My Takeaway: Right now, the price action is heavily favouring the bears. The failed break above $554 and the sharp drop tell me to stay cautious. If I were trading, I’d lean towards short positions unless we see a strong reversal above $548. Let’s see how it unfolds!
AMEX:SPYShort
by Deno_Trading
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 9-6 : Blended Top/Flat-DownHappy Friday. I believe today's pattern is a blend of yesterday's Top-Resistance and today's Flat-Down pattern. Because of this belief, I think we will see a moderate rally in early trading leading to a peak in price, then followed by a moderate flat-down type of price trend. This week has proven to be a bit more volatile than I expected, but it has not changed my expectations much in terms of where I believe the markets are headed over the next 90+ days. Price is dynamic and reflects not only fundamental economic expectations but also future performance expectations. This pullback in price is somewhat healthy (closing the gap) on the SPY chart to clear the way for further upward trending. Let's see how things play out today. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
$SPY Tomorrow's Trading Range in SPY 9.6.24 All right, guys, tomorrow we have the unemployment rate in premarket, as well as the hourly wages report. As of now, we're right in the gap that opened when the consumer spending data was released last month, sitting at the 50-day moving average . Momentum from premarket reports will be huge. Directly above us, we have the 35 EMA, which has been resistance for the entire week—that's the red line just above where we opened. If we get above that, the first level of resistance is around 554, which we've tested twice earlier this week. The top of the implied move is at 556, with Monday's contract at 558, and at the very top of the implied move for the next two days, we have the 30-minute 200 average. We’re on this timeframe, so consider that as a key resistance point. At the very top, completely above our trading range for tomorrow, is the gap we started the week with, which pushed us away from all-time highs. To the downside, we have the one-hour 200 moving average, which we bounced on today. Beneath that lies the rest of the consumer spending gap. The bottom of the implied move for tomorrow is 543, and for Monday’s contract, it's 541. Underneath all of that, we have the four-hour moving average. Let me know how you plan on playing this. Good luck, and see you guys on Sunday night.
AMEX:SPY
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
Spy Targets is Adam & Eve Double Top StandsHi Traders, Man this market has been crazy... I haven't had a good track record lately but always remember I do this for fun... and we are human and can't get them all right. I try many different things so anyone who says oh thats stupid or you got it wrong..sure... but many I did get right as well. Well this newest one is my down targets if employment data comes in bad tomorrow...mean if it doesn't hit projections... Last month this data was weak and the market sold off with the biggest vix launch for a long time. I think this market needs to come down... we are really high and bad data could send us on our way...and make the fed do a .5 cut instead of a .25. That also means a possible recession is on the way unfortunately which if you factor our companies ATH profits and stocks.. reality for most people isn't as rosy. Prices are high and wages are low if you can find or keep a job. Calling a top...is never easy...and maybe this isn't a top..or a local temp top..before we move higher one more time after a nice dip... Either way end game is getting close. I don't like how this market is reacting so I am mostly in cash.
AMEX:SPYShort
by TheUniverse618
SPY recent rally failed to make new highsLooking back at the last two major rallies we see that the latest one has not broken above to new highs. Raises concerns of longer term rallies less likely to happen SPY is forming double top reversal pattern Longer term future rallies called into question More defensive sectors are experiencing rallies over the past year (XLU for example) Defensive sector long term rallies shows rotational shift from risk assets (tech) to safer assets (utilities, healthcare, gold) Seeing signs of late cycle investing 2025 could be a rough year for SPY and especially tech Bullish purchases should be done with caution
AMEX:SPYShort
by ratchet-mint
Double-Top In PlayAs expected, SPY double-top looks to be playing out. I don't expect us to drop much lower than the pink ascending trendline. Maybe we'll touch that 200 dma before our full send. Let me remind you that the pink ascending tl is the neckline of a large cup and handle pattern on the bi-weekly, the target of which remains 650-700. This is still in play on the longer timeframe and as long as we don't break below the pink tl with confirmation on the weekly, I will start to buy back at or around the pink tl and down to the 200 dma. Batting 1000% thus far and hoping to keep it perfect.
AMEX:SPYShort
by stewdamus
1