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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-15 : Counter-Trend CarryoverA Counter-Trend Carryover pattern is a "coasting" of price in an opposite trend direction. So, for today, I expect the price to stay somewhat within yesterday's range while trending downward. I don't expect yesterday's lows to be broken/breached - although it could happen. I believe today will be more like a pause in price before attempting another move higher. Today's pause may be very mellow in structure/size. I believe the SPY/QQQ are biased to the upside, so I expect this price pause to stay above recent support levels. Watch this video to see why I believe the recent upper range of the Gap will act as firm support for an upward price move into next week. We have to wait for the markets to return to Trending mode. 60% of trading is WAITING for the opportune setups. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
2
SPY: Breaking Important Resistance Levels. |WEEKLY UPDATE|The SPY is making an excellent recovery move, which could turn into a real bullish reversal if it continues at this pace. In our last analysis, last week (when the SPY was at $120), we had already identified a change in sentiment, and warned of a recovery in the medium term. Once again, we managed to get the movement right. In addition. last week we mentioned the gaps that are still open above the price, and yesterday we closed the second one, which was at $539.43. What's more, the SPY is above the 21-day EMA, entering bullish territory again. So far we don't see a top signal that could reverse the bullish sentiment, but if the price falls so far as to cancel out yesterday's bullish candle, we'll be in trouble. For now, the situation seems under control, and in the absence of evidence suggesting a bearish reversal, the uptrend will continue, and the next target is at the next resistance at $554.86. For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions. Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation. “To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore All the best, Nathan.
AMEX:SPY
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
4
SPY - Bearish Until Proven OtherwiseMarkets have been on a tear to the downside in the recent weeks after hitting all time highs with a recent sharp pullback on Japan currency news, highlighting the sensitivity in the market today. After a clear trend has been identified to the downside, the market is leaving some clues behind on where we may see pivot points through the supply / demand zones. I have my eyes on a short trade at the previous range value area low, where we also have a large gap to fill at the supply zone. I do believe we are currently bearish, and only bullish if we can reclaim the value area low from previous weeks. My trade idea is relatively simple here , involving the gaps above and below us. Short zone at 540 , bringing it down to around 500-505 where we left a large gap from the May pivot low. Only time will tell...
AMEX:SPYShort
by afurs1
2H SPY scenario. next fews days up. Hit resistance, head lowerHello folks, Inflation data looking good, job market weakening. Following good news of last few days. Market is going to head higher slowly until it hit resistance. Expect a drop down from there like previous technical analysis is showing. After that long term seems juicy. Very short term, caution. Long term its buy Have to remember that no one can predict the future. I try to asses the market based on technical and fundamental analysis. None of this should be considered financial advice.
AMEX:SPYLong
by thedecentHQ
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-14 : Today Is A RALLY DayToday is a RALLY day on my SPY Cycle Patterns. After the recent base/bottom in the SPY and the subsequent reversion to the upside - I expect today's rally to be somewhat muted in size. I'm not expecting a large range rally bar to form today - although it could happen. The reason I'm not expecting a huge rally bar today is because we've already seen a very strong upward price move - particularly yesterday's Breakaway pattern. I see the markets right now: they've already moved substantially higher (more than 61% of the recent downtrend) and are likely to stall out a bit before attempting to move higher. Price never moves in a straight upward or downward trend. There are always pauses, pullbacks, or countertrends along the broader price trend, and traders need to expect them as the broader trend plays out. Today, I'm expecting the price to attempt to melt upward but, at the same time, reflect a "pause" in the rally phase—essentially, slow down the rally phase a bit. I do believe the IWM (Russell 2000 ETF) may offer traders a great opportunity. The undervalued sectors have been weaker than the main US Indexes. The Russell may trend broadly higher today in an attempt to play "catch-up" with the other indexes. Gold may be making another big move higher - possibly starting the second leg upward. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
5
SPDR S&P 500 Potential Downtrend Line Break $542.70 14.08.2024Apply risk management Risk Warning: Trading in CFDs is highly speculative and carries a high level of risk. It is possible to lose all of your invested capital. These products may not be suitable for everyone, and you should ensure that you fully understand the risks taking into consideration your investment objectives, level of experience, personal circumstances as well as personal resources. Speculate only with funds that you can afford to lose. Seek independent advice if necessary. Please refer to our Risk Disclosure. BDSwiss is a trading name of BDS Markets and BDS Ltd. BDS Markets is a company incorporated under the laws of the Republic of Mauritius and is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Commission of Mauritius ( FSC ) under license number C116016172, address: 6th Floor, Tower 1, Nexteracom Building 72201 Ebene. BDS Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority Seychelles (FSA) under license number SD047, address: Suite 3, Global Village, Jivan’s Complex, Mont Fleuri, Mahe, Seychelles. Payment transactions are managed by BDS Markets (Registration number: 143350) Disclaimer
AMEX:SPYLong
by Stuart_Cowell
SPY Critical Resistance Test Before CPISPY has bounced all the way back up to where the selling really started to accelerate before the big gap down last Monday. Not only do we have horizontal resistance here back from some lows in June, but we also have a trendline retest. This trendline formed over a few weeks and held several times as support before we gapped down below and continued lower. We have several trendlines and resistance levels like this you can see across the entire market. NQ is also retesting a major trend break and VX is sitting at support. I consider this to be a bearish setup, but I think it'll break hard either way. Not sure if we'll get a big reaction to CPI tomorrow after today's rally on PPI or not. There's many potential catalysts to watch out for including fed rate cuts, extended global conflict and war, a weakening consumer leading to more bankruptcies and credit defaults which will put even more pressure on banks when the time comes. We can speculate about these things all day, but at the end of the day it is all about the charts and price action. I like to speculate, but trading based off of speculation is not typically a winning strategy. I'll focus on the charts from here and react accordingly. Nothing can surprise me at this point, should be an interesting finish to the week.
AMEX:SPYShort
by AdvancedPlays
$SPY August 14, 2024AMEX:SPY August 14, 2024 15 Minutes. The extension drawn from 510 to 531.59 to 518 achieved its target of 540 today. As said it was a no trade day for me as i had no setup in 15 minutes. AMEX:SPY held the gap today and as written many times gaps need not get filled. In fact, unfilled gaps denote strength. If we consider the fall 554.86 to 510.28 AMEX:SPY today has retraced 61.8% around 538 levels. Also, for the last rise 531.76 to 542.28 537-538 is 38.2 and 50% retracement. So, for the day holding 537-538 i will have a target 544-546 levels. I will look for a sell only below 535 for only couple $ as 200 is around 530. Hence i will not short today.
AMEX:SPYLong
by RiderTrader
3
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update 8-13 : Perfect Breakaway RallyToday's SPY Cycle Pattern, the Breakaway in Trending mode, appears to have been a perfect call for today's price action. We have seen an impressive rally take place all morning long. I know it's hard to believe my SPY Cycle Patterns can predict a market trend/rally like this, especially when you consider these predictions are made months and years in advance. But when you look at how price plays out most of the time, these patterns actually predict market price characteristics as long as some type of panic or crisis mode doesn't intervene. Tomorrow's rally pattern should be more like what we see today. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
Crash on SPY mid OctoberDont trust any of my analysis. I am just a guy who has been investing for over a decade and down over 100k on options. Anywho, I have been looking for "the big short" since 2016 and have missed about every opportunity and blown my account up. I also was long Dogecoin and sold my 4k position that would have turned into over a million if I sold at the .70 cent pop, gambled the cash in options and lost that as well. Now I am looking at a crash in mid october. My plan is to build cash now, short mid october on SPY, then when the crash is over roll the earnings into Shib. I plan on getting rich using Shib and selling my position in the money then relaxing while we all wait to die. I wont hold Shib long term because I assume you will need to take the mark of the beast to use the electronic money. Long term physical silver is where I plan to sit. Good day.
AMEX:SPY
by mrbonfiglio
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 8-13: Breakaway GAP RALLYWatching the markets this morning, it was very clear the SPY Cycle Pattern prediction of a breakaway pattern setup cleanly with the morning bullish price gap. Now, we get to watch as the markets struggle to move above recent resistance channels (and Fib retracement levels) as the Vortex Rally base continues to build. I find it very interesting to watch so many other analysts continue to predict a CRASH. What changed over the past 5+ weeks? - A different candidate for the elections? -- the US elections were in question many months ago. - Bank Of Japan indicating they need to aggressively support the YEN? -- the US Fed rate hikes were already putting pressure on global currencies and economies. - Conflicts in the ME (as that situation continues to work itself out)? -- The Israel conflict has been ongoing for more than 40+ years. Israel is doing what it must to defend itself from multiple aggressors. - What else? I simply don't get why so many other people seem to think the US markets are, somehow, going to absorb all of these foreign market economic & currency issues. So what, Asian currencies weaken further over the next 24-36 months. How does that detract from the US economy? So what, the Canadian dollar weakens further and their economy moves into a recession. If you remember correctly, the Canadian economy was super-heated pre and post-COVID (at about 150% of the US economy). It is almost essential for the Canadian economy to contract after a massive speculative bubble. So what, other foreign markets struggle to defend their economies and currency values as we shift/settle into a more defined global structure. The decoupling of these global economies is actually a very healthy component of what is taking place throughout the globe - monetary contraction. We need to see this type of monetary contraction in order to move into an organic growth phase. The US Fed and global central banks kept the world's economies on a high over the past 10+ years with easy rates. Now, we need to settle back into more normal rate/economic function. And I still believe the US economy is the strongest, most dynamic, and most capable of growing over the next 24-36 months while the rest of the globe "settles into a base". Get ready for a Vortext Rally in the US/US-Dollar. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
08/13 SPY ATR Levels and Range When comparing my values to @MapleStax for the day I am again more confident having a valued and experienced point of view. One thing is the ATR seems to be slowing down now, not as aggressive and not moving up with force at 7.12$ PPI was today, looks tight causing some Premarket commotion CPI tomorrow eager and waiting. (MapleStax Notes) LONGS: Aiming to defend the PML 533.29 (The low Scalp level at SS1 533.30) in order to push above the PMH 537. (The Scalp SPOP range at 537.01) Over this they target 537.45 (SR1 on the Scalp side 537.93) ->538.53 (SR2 on the scalp side 538.86) ->539.42 (POP on the Standard range of 539.64) ->540.23 (between POP and R1 on the Standard range of 541.78) SCALP Longs SR2 538.86 SR1 537.93 SPOP 537.01 LAST PRICE 536.08 Standard Longs R2 545.34 R1 541.78 POP 539.64 LAST PRICE 536.08 (MapleStax Notes) SHORTS: Aiming to defend the PMH 537 (The Scalp SPOP range at 537.01) in order to push below the PDH 535.73. (Below the SBREAK on Scalp side 535.15) Below this they target PML 533.29-> (The SS2 range at 533.30) 1h 200EMA 532.5 (Below the BREAK on Standard range at 532.55) ->PDL 530.93 (Below The SS1 and SS2 range at 529.74/527.87) SCALP Shorts LAST PRICE 536.08 SBREAK 535.15 SS1 534.23 SS2 533.30 Standard Shorts LAST PRICE 536.08 BREAK 532.55 S1 529.74 S2 527.87
AMEX:SPY
by TuskenDayTrade
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-13 : Breakaway May Pause A BitThis morning's video covers the SPY, QQQ, Gold, Bitcoin, IWM, and more. I suspect today's Breakaway pattern will result in a moderate pause before the markets attempt to move higher. I still believe the US markets are shifting (decoupling) from global markets a bit, and we are amid a mild "shakeout." I believe the US markets must settle (establish a base) before the rally can continue. Ultimately, what has changed over the past 90 days is nothing other than the fact that we have a new dynamic in US politics, and the BOJ has warned that the US Fed's rate decisions may put extreme pressure on foreign currencies. Get ready for a bit of a sideways slide before the markets resume trending (I believe upward) again. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
SPY Analysis Across Multiple Timeframes | AugustLike we have seen from the video above lets have some talks on these timeframes and see whar the analysis says. Weekly Timeframe: SPY is currently hovering around 533.27, which is near the top of its long-term uptrend. We’ve seen a slight pullback from the recent highs, which isn’t surprising given how strong the rally has been. If the pullback deepens, keep an eye on 523.97 as the first line of support. Should the price drop further, 514.09 could come into play as a stronger support. On the upside, breaking through 547.04 would signal the continuation of the bullish trend. Daily Timeframe: On the daily chart, SPY has pulled back to around 504.45 after a solid run-up. The recent bounce suggests that buyers are stepping in, but the next challenge lies at 515.13. If SPY can clear that hurdle, it might aim for the 524.99 area. However, if the pullback resumes, 503.45 is the first support level to watch. A break below that could see SPY testing 493.41. 30-Minute Timeframe: Zooming into the 30-minute chart, SPY is in a bit of a holding pattern around 543.41. This sideways action indicates that the market is catching its breath after recent volatility. If SPY can break above 546.64, we might see a short-term rally toward the 550 level, which also happens to be a psychological barrier. On the flip side, if the consolidation breaks down, watch for support around 544.88 and 538.97. Now what? Again, note that SPY is at a critical juncture across all timeframes. Whether you're trading intraday or looking at the bigger picture, these levels are key to watch. We’re seeing some consolidation right now, but whichever direction SPY breaks, it could lead to a significant move. Stay nimble and watch those levels closely!
AMEX:SPYShort
by Deno_Trading