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SPY trade ideas

SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-31 : Consolidation PatternToday's video highlights the power and simplicity of what I attempt to do for all of you. I'm not perfect. I don't see into the future using some magic crystal ball. I use my tools and skills to watch the markets and apply my knowledge to the charts to identify the most likely future outcome. My SPY Cycle pattern predictions seem perfect, showing a top setting up between Oct 29-31, then rolling into a reasonably sharp market decline. Yesterday's Excess Phase Peak pattern in Silver seemed to lead to weakness in the markets while the SPY was attempting to break through the Flag Apex pattern. Combined, this cross-market weakness has translated into a very strong overnight selling event where the SPY is already off more than 0.50% and Gold/Silver are struggling near recent highs. I hope viewers are learning from watching my charts and research. I try to explain things as clearly as I can and show you how to apply these techniques on your own. As I state in this video, you can build better skills. You can improve your abilities to attempt to see into the future (a bit) and learn to apply better trading abilities. You don't have to be tied to failed techniques and indicators the rest of your life. It just takes some patience and a lot of learning. Anyway, I hope you see how my effort are helping you and I will continue to do my best to educate you and help you stay ahead of these market trends. Get some... #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
2
SPY 600+?According to Elliot Wave Theory, Chart Patterns, and Analysis of the option chains, SPY could potentially reach 600+ before long. Looking at Elliot Wave Theory: Currently price is in Wave #4. In EW, Wave #4 characteristics are opposite of Wave #2. Wave #2 in this cycle was short, so expect price to take a little longer to breakout, which brings us to the next observation: Chart Patterns: Price is starting to form an expanding descending wedge (or megaphone), a variation of a flag. Generally in these formations, price is volatile and the formation can hold in tact for a decent length of time. That being said, it’s the perfect scenario for a long Wave #4. When price touches the bottom trendline for the third time, look to go long a month out. Option Chain: January Contracts - neutral. November Contracts - bearish (just a hedge for tech earnings) In the options chain, a neutral or balanced chain means the market is bullish. When an inordinate amount of puts are bought, it generally means institutions are hedging their portfolios when markets turn volatile. (Earnings will definitely do that) Recap: Looking to go long once this formation breaks upwards for the afore mentioned reasons. If something changes, I’ll update this. (We can’t be married to our opinions) Ride Wave #5 with me.
AMEX:SPYLong
by DIVERMAN_L
2
$SPY October 31 2024AMEX:SPY October 31, 2024 15 Minutes. Still within the box. For the fall 586.12 to 574.41 4SPY retraced 78%. So double bottom is what Hence, expect. For the fall 583.32 to 576.36 582 is the level to short for 578-579. If this is broken, we can expect 576 levels which is 200 averages in one hour time frame. The issue we have at the moment in one hour is AMEX:SPY made LL at 580.38 and 574.41. But no divergence in oscillator. Hence, I don't see much downside. At the moment. Go long above 585 and short cover at 579 578 levels. Maximum downside as mentioned is 576 levels as of now.
AMEX:SPY
by RiderTrader
2
SPY Technical Analysis Oct. 28, 2024Detailed Support and Resistance Levels Support Levels: 574.36: This is a crucial support level. If SPY stays above this level, it may serve as a solid base. If it breaks below, expect further downward pressure. 571.35: This is the next key support level. A break below this could indicate a stronger downtrend, potentially bringing SPY down to lower price ranges. Resistance Levels: 577.75: This is the immediate resistance SPY would need to break to regain bullish momentum. If SPY can close above this level, it could show buyers are stepping in. 579.24: This level will be a strong resistance point if SPY attempts to break upward. A successful close above this would suggest a short-term reversal. 581.16: If SPY breaks through previous resistance levels and trades above this one, it may confirm a reversal and could serve as a potential exit for bullish positions. Entry and Exit Points Bullish Scenario (if SPY breaks resistance): Entry: Consider entering a long position around 578 if SPY breaks above 577.75 with strong buying volume. Exit: Set an initial profit target at 581 (near the next resistance), with a potential higher exit target at 585 if momentum continues upward. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss slightly below the 577.75 resistance (around 576) to limit downside risk. Bearish Scenario (if SPY breaks support): Entry: Consider entering a short position around 574 if SPY breaks below 574.36 with strong selling volume. Exit: Set an initial target at 571 for a quick scalp. If SPY moves further down, consider a final target near 568. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss slightly above 574.36 (around 575.5) to prevent excessive losses in case of a quick rebound. Neutral Scenario (Range-bound play): If SPY remains between 574.36 and 577.75, it may be suitable for quick, range-bound trades. Buy near support (574.36) and sell near resistance (577.75) with tight stops to manage risk. Summary Strategy Bullish bias: Enter around 578, targeting 581 or 585. Bearish bias: Enter around 574, targeting 571 or 568. Range-bound play: Trade between 574.36 and 577.75 for quick scalps if no breakout occurs. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Market conditions are volatile, and trading involves risk. Always consult with a financial advisor before making any trades.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBear-Insights
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-28 : Top Resistance PatternToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Top Resistance pattern in Countertrend mode. I believe this pattern will represent a moderate early topping price action in the SPY/QQQ - resolving slightly to the downside, then rolling into an upward price trend near the end of the day. The reason I believe this to be the case is because of two factors. A. The Countertrend mode suggests the top will actually be a moderate bottom in price (a pullback resolving as a base/bottom). B. The continued bias for the markets is slightly upward, thus I believe the SPY/QQQ will attempt to reach new intermediate ATHs before we start to move into the pre-election downtrend. Gold and Silver will struggle today as both appear to be consolidating in a FLAGGING formation. Bitcoin is still consolidating in the Phase #3 sideways consolidation pattern of the Excess Phase Peak pattern. Everything is playing out generally very well aligned to my research and cycle patterns. Last week I warned that market price would likely be very difficult in comparison to my SPY Cycle Patterns and that traders should begin to move to protect capital. This week is the last week you have for any upside opportunities. You need to plan to protect capital (if you plan to) before the pre-election correction. I believe skilled traders will be able to move back into the strongest sectors at a 5.5 to 8.5%+ pullback just after the elections. That is a smart move if you can pull it off. Also, don't hold any Gold/Silver futures contracts through the 2-3+ days around the election day. Volatility will be EXTREME and unless you can take the lumps (margin calls), I don't advise anyone trying to trade metals on November 5-6. If you do, get in and get out QUICKLY. Here we go... Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for 10.29.24AMEX:SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for 10.29.24 Alright, y’all…. So I am still sick so no videos until this get’s cleared up. But here is the chart for today. I feel good enough to maybe trade today but still kind of Meh… LOL…. I don’t get sick often and MAN this stinks. Previous support (580) is right at the bottom of the gap we opened yesterday 35EMA is still above the 30min 200MA. ATH’s are at the top of the implied move for tomorrow. Under 580 the next support is 575 and a 1hr 200MA coming up as well. Honestly looks fun!!
AMEX:SPY
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
1
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-29 : Gap Defender PatternToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Gap Defender in Counter Trend mode. Even though I forgot to show you the pattern page in this video, today's video suggests the SPY will attempt to protect and defend yesterday's opening gap price range - possibly attempting to move a bit higher as I predicted. With Bitcoin rallying away from the consolidation range, I see this as a "move to hedge against fear". I believe Gold and Silver could make a strong move higher as this hedging moves across all fear-base hedge assets. Additionally, both presidential candidates support renewed legislation for Bitcoin & Cryptos in the US - so either way I believe the digital currency world is ready for US involvement. Right now, I see the markets as trying to make a "last gasp effort" at a rally into Wednesday. Then, I believe the markets will roll into a broad contraction phase setting up just before the election as liquidity vanishes from the markets. Price volatility should be EXTREME between Nov 1 and Nov 6. Play the next 2 weeks very smart. Otherwise, your lumps could be painful. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
3
$SPY October 29, 2024AMEX:SPY October 29, 2024 15 Minutes For the fall 586.12 to 574.41 AMEX:SPY retraced 78%. Hence, I expect only a double bottom for this move. For the rise 574.41 to 584.46 AMEX:SPY retraced 61.8%. So, holding 576 uptrends to continue. In 60 minutes 575-576 is 200 averages. So, the shorts initiated yesterday will be covered at 579. If I get a lower. I am lucky. SL at 582 for a zero trade. At the moment I expect 579 or 575 to provide a good support. Long is still above 585 only. I am usually negative bias as long as AMEX:SPY is below moving averages especially 200 or 100 in 15 minutes.
AMEX:SPYShort
by RiderTrader
1
SPY Pullback: Time to Consider New Swing Long Positions!While AMEX:SPY remains in a strong uptrend, today’s 0.5% decline offers a healthy retracement for swing traders looking to enter long positions at more favorable levels. I don’t expect this pullback to last long or be of significant magnitude, but the short-term weakness is evident, creating an attractive window to buy into the trend. Watch for upcoming signals, as this dip could present a fresh opportunity for the next upward move. The technicals support this outlook: Relative Strength Index (RSI): 63.85 (Neutral), indicating the market isn’t oversold yet, leaving room for more downside before a potential rebound. MACD Level: 5.77 (Buy), signaling positive momentum and supporting the overall bullish trend. Momentum (10): 12.81 (Buy), confirming underlying strength in the uptrend. Exponential Moving Averages (10, 20, 50, 100, 200): All in “Buy” territory, reinforcing that the uptrend remains intact despite today’s pullback. However, Stochastic %K (90.36) and Commodity Channel Index (192.15) point to potential short-term exhaustion, suggesting this is a brief pause before the next leg higher. Swing traders should stay alert for a better entry point at any moment. Action: Stay tuned for a buying opportunity and follow me to see when I make my next move into the trend! Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risks, and you should only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
AMEX:SPY
by CF_444
Top 5 Weekly Trade Ideas #2 - SPY LongJust a 15m chart here but I think it's important for action early this week. Futures are up overnight so far so if that holds I'll be looking for SPY to open around or above $580.86. If it can open above, will be looking for longs on a retest in addition to potential support on the trendline below at the same time. That'd be ideal, but if it can't reclaim $580.86 early on this week I'd expect a move back down to $575. That could be a good long if it holds or a potential short on a retest if it breaks below.
AMEX:SPYLong
by AdvancedPlays
3
Just a thought This chart showcases a symmetrical triangle pattern formed after an uptrend, indicating a potential continuation pattern. Here’s a breakdown of the key components visible: Symmetrical Triangle Pattern: The price is consolidating within two converging trendlines. This pattern suggests indecision between buyers and sellers, and it often resolves with a breakout. Given that this pattern formed after an uptrend, there’s a higher probability of an upward breakout, though a downward move is also possible if market sentiment shifts. Moving Averages: The chart shows three different moving averages (TEMA), providing insights into trend direction. The moving averages are currently positioned close together, suggesting the asset is at a crucial decision point. A breakout above or below the triangle could lead to a strong directional move, depending on where the price closes relative to these averages. MACD Indicator: The MACD histogram shows signs of slight bearish momentum, with the MACD line below the signal line. However, the indicator appears to be in a neutral range, meaning a breakout from the triangle could trigger a shift in momentum. Watch for the MACD to cross above or below the signal line, as this will provide further confirmation of the trend direction. Cycle Indicators: The chart includes green arcs that seem to denote cyclical points, with a possible upward cycle ending around early November. This could imply a potential breakout timeframe. Key Levels: If a breakout occurs: Upside: A breakout above the upper trendline would signal a continuation of the previous uptrend, with potential resistance at recent highs. Downside: A breakdown below the lower trendline could indicate a reversal or retracement, with support at previous lows and moving average levels. Timing: The dotted red vertical line marks an upcoming date (November 5), potentially indicating an important decision point for the asset. Summary This setup suggests a possible breakout around early November. An upward breakout could indicate a continuation of the previous trend, while a breakdown would signal caution. Monitoring the MACD, moving averages, and price action around these trendlines will provide more clarity on the next directional move.
AMEX:SPY
by JerryDaniel
1
2 Confirmations last week just as we planned, What's next? SPY PRICE HAS BEEN MOVING IN OUR FAVOR ! CHECK MY LAST WEEK ANALISIS, Before we get to the analysis i just want to say... So far, the price has moved in our favor. If you check the results of previous analyses, you’ll see that the price has moved exactly according to my analysis of price action, supported by institutional trading concepts. Each green check mark represents a prediction that was correctly fulfilled according to the analysis from one week ago. My analyses are weekly, carefully prepared every weekend, but note: the study of price movement and the forecasted direction here, is based on my experience as a trader. I DON’T KNOW WHERE THE PRICE IS HEADING! IN FACT, NO ONE DOES! Every price movement and behavior is based on a historical movement of institutional supply and demand. Based on the years I’ve spent studying this concept, I can predict the next price movements. However, it’s crucial to emphasize that trading is ultimately speculation, but if you have really good fundamental study in price action & structure, your margin of error will always be minimal. So This analysis is for you but at the same time for entertainment purposes do not take trades because I'm greedy on any active, please do your own research first and you will have tyour final decision. BACK TO SPY... The price indeed broke out of the channel after we saw it crawling like a worm along the channel support. Indeed, the price began to range after the channel breakout. Looking at the overall structure, the price has been losing strength and volume since last week. I have a feeling we won’t see all-time highs soon, as it’s time for the price to start accumulating or simply making its natural pullback. I'm expecting the next move to either be a pullback that touches my "order block" zone and then starts gaining momentum to recover all that decline, or, in another scenario, if we see enough volume on Monday, it could start fluctuating in a range to accumulate before touching new all-time highs. BUT! The price could reach highs while forming its accumulation range. However, what we’re looking for is a decision from the price to break out of the range and reach new highs along with a new extreme! So be patient; this week will be very interesting to analyze in terms of price behavior. Thank you for supporting my analysis. TRADE SAFE! Best regards
AMEX:SPY
by RocketMike111
$SPY HyperInflation returns AMEX:SPY return of hyper inflation will we see AMEX:SPY my high target of $640.30 or will it die off around $540.70 give or take after we reach those highs we will see pullback back down to $395 if buyers fail to step up to show support we'll be testing 2008 lows back around $285 eventually down to $200 then $86 then $24 (WW3 scenario / end of world scenario/ near default) As bears we've done our job to short squeeze it to highs as news hit about Trump wall st bought up the rumors let's see how long we'll extend the rally. Thinking we got a bit more to go before we short completely after the rate cuts come around fall time you'll see a mass sell off as banks shut down.
AMEX:SPYLong
by calmstrades
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-25: Rally111 PatternHappy Friday, Today is potentially the start of a moderate rally phase in the SPY/QQQ headed toward my predicted peak level near October 30-31. Although this week has had lots of rotation, we've seen the markets hold up pretty well. Tesla surprised with earnings recently after Boeing and other issues prompted a bit of panic selling. My research suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to move a bit higher over the next 3-4 days - attempting to setup a peak just before the election. The 3-4 days prior to the election are likely to be very volatile as liquidity dries up. Traders need to stay keenly aware of risks over the next 15+ days - even after the election day. Whatever happens on election day, we are likely to see some moderate level of unrest and challenges related to who won. I believe the current election will be the most watched and validated election in US history. Everyone is watching for errors and shenanigans this time. As traders, our #1 job is to protect capital. That is why I suggested traders more to 80-85% CASH over the past 2+ weeks. There is no reason to be engaged in this market at full allocation levels when I expect the markets to become extremely volatile (and potentially prompt a flash-crash type of event). Remember, lack of liquidity means extreme price volatility. Gold and Silver are moving into another rally phase. Get ready to see Gold above $2800. Bitcoin is still consolidating - just as I expected. This is the time to play it smart. Trade smaller allocation levels and prepare to hedge against risk factors over the next 2-3 weeks. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
1
SPY Near Resistance: Continuation or Pullback?Analysis: Price Trend & Momentum: SPY has shown a strong rally, breaking above previous resistance levels and establishing a new high at $596.65. However, the price action appears to be consolidating near the high, which might indicate a potential pause or a pullback before the next move. Volume Analysis: Volume has been decreasing as the price approached the $595-$596 zone, suggesting a lack of strong buying conviction at these elevated levels. Watch for a volume increase as an indication of continuation or reversal. Moving Averages: The 9 EMA is currently acting as support, with the price staying above it. This indicates that bulls are still in control. A break below the 9 EMA could lead to a retest of the 21 EMA, which is currently sitting around the $583.27 level. Support and Resistance Levels: Immediate Resistance: $596.65 (recent high and potential double-top formation) Support Levels: First Support: $583.27 (strong support near the 21 EMA) Second Support: $579.47 (previous breakout level) Key Support: $575.58 (major pivot level, failure to hold here could lead to a deeper correction) Critical Support: $567.89 (previous swing low, below which bearish sentiment could intensify) MACD Analysis: MACD is showing a bearish crossover on the 1-hour chart, suggesting a loss of momentum. This could be an early sign of a pullback or consolidation phase. Price Action Expectation: Bullish Scenario: If SPY can hold above $595.58 and break above $596.65 with strong volume, we could see a continuation towards the $600 psychological level. Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold the $583.27 support could lead to a pullback towards the $579.47-$575.58 zone, where buyers might step in. A break below $575.58 would be a significant bearish signal. Conclusion: SPY has rallied significantly in the past few sessions, driven by strong market momentum. However, the current consolidation near resistance could indicate a potential pullback or a pause before the next leg up. Keep an eye on volume and the key support levels for confirmation of direction. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please perform your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBear-Insights