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SPY trade ideas

SPY on weekly stays the course LONGSPY on the weekly chart is up 25% in the past six months. This is beyond its historical norms even during a presidential election year. While there has been some volatility in both directions the climb is consistent and persistent. The indicators serve to document this. The predictive algo predicts more of the same. A price cut when the fed gets around to it will serve to sustain the trend. Lack of it through the summer may cause a fade of momentum. Make hay while the sun shines.
AMEX:SPYLong
by AwesomeAvani
3
Where will this market pullback stop? (SPY)I have been traveling and enjoying the summer months, which typically are slow for trading, and have not traded this pullback but have gotten many questions for analysis as to "when will this stop ". #notfinancialadvice but I like the upcoming levels on AMEX:SPY in the 520 area. There are several levels of support creating confluence here: What I always remind folks is that "in any given year, the stock market has 2 to 3 >-5% corrections. As of writing the pullback from the high is only 4.4%. Pulling into the 520's would put the move in -6% territory and qualify as a "healthy" pullback. There is a major Volume Profile level at 529 from back in May where I presume so much volume was "sold in May" The prior All Time High from April is at 524. The Daily Ichimoku cloud, which has very well contained the trend since November 2023, exists in this area and time to provide dynamic support. Trade (and invest) wisely!
AMEX:SPY
by norok
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 7-25 - Deep Low Bottom (Gap Fill) This is a rather long video (about 23 minutes) - but I wanted to go over the unique situation presented to us with what I'm calling the "Kamala Shakeout" related to yesterday's deep selling trend. This video is very clear. We are still in a technical Bearish trend, and I've highlighted the levels needed to switch to a Bullish trend. Today's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Temp-Bottom. I'm expecting the SPY to attempt to identify support and roll upward - starting a price reversion that may see the price move above $555 over the next 2~5+ days. But, right now, I'm more concerned with early morning selling pressure trying to fill the GAP Window from early June. Remember, I'm trying to suggest a pattern reaction (a Temp-Bottom pattern) while highlighting the KEY Ultimate382 levels as confirmation levels for Bullish or Bearish trending. Yesterday's big selling move was, in my opinion, related to unknowns focused on Kamala Harris' run for POTUS. I believe the markets were waiting for any catalyst related to the uncertainties of a Harris Presidency, and those concerns were reflected in the selling pressure we saw yesterday. Here we go. Get some #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPY
by BradMatheny
1
SPY What Next? SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for SPY is below: The market is trading on 554.68 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 546.76 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AMEX:SPYShort
by AnabelSignals
1
Be ready buy the dip soon all new highs coming All new highs in SMH QQQ SPY XLF coming get ready IWM will test 245 not sure new highs possibly Why the rally well every Tom Dick Harry will buy the crap of NVDA AVGO ECT Even me not yet We all been waiting on this pull back I like see lower Feel good noise rate cuts Trumps gonna win More lies on inflation jobs ect This rally will be massive and go into election then IMHO its done how high I say SPY 600 Like see test 50 day MA hold
AMEX:SPYLong
by john12
6
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade - 7-24 : Review & The Kamala ShakeoutAfter a long drive and trying to get through LA, I wanted to discuss what I believe is taking place in the US/Global markets. What I call the "Kamala Shakeout". Over the past few weeks, there has been much news related to Trump/Biden and the potential election consequences. But all of those expectations changed because of two rather large events.. _ the assassination attempt on Trump _ Biden's withdrawal from the race - resulting in Kamala Harris's rise. Now, I believe the markets are starting to digest the amount and scale of uncertainty related to a new POTUS candidate (with almost no knowledge of her policies, plans, and expectations) and the outcome in November (only 90+ days away). IMO, what we are seeing right now is actual FEAR related to the unknown factors centered around Kamala Harris. I believe voters and businesses already had expectations related to Biden/Trump (either outcome) based on the past 8 years. Now, with Kamala Harris, who knows what the expectations are related to plans, policies, and expectations? That is why the markets rolled as hard as they did today. The markets are pricing a new degree of uncertainty and will continue the Kamala Shakeout until the dust settles. I'll fill you in with more details tomorrow morning. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
5
$SPY market top? 50%+ correction incoming?Contrary to what everyone believes is going to happen: "We're going to see a new ATH by the end of 2024 then we decline after" "There's no way they're going to let the market fall in an election year" I think we're about to start a historic correction to retest the lows from covid. Since October, price action has gone parabolic, and normally when parabolas break we see a large correction. There's a lot of catalysts that can drive the market lower from here. High rates, other central banks cutting more aggressively than us, policy mistakes, election uncertainty, etc. for those that care about fundamentals. However, my assessment of the chart is that we're at a market top here and we're going to start our decline lower in the near future. I think this move is likely to happen in the timeframe that everyone thinks we'll see new highs in (so in the next 6-9 months). If you're long, I think it's a good idea to hedge here and or set tight stops, because the move down will happen faster than most people think is possible, should it play out.
AMEX:SPYShort
by benjihyam
9
SPY BUY+++++ oversold!! Holding 50 dmaToday and yesterday were beyond frustrating. Yesterday my $550 puts did nothing and today my $550 calls went to crap. Way oversold on 4 hour and under charts this will bounce to $552.82 - $555 levels but likely 1 hour after my calls expire. I am not sure the last time the SPY has lost $12 in a single day with no bounce!! We could easily have a + $8-10 day tomorrow or the next because this is way oversold and many will be caught short when it's time to go long
AMEX:SPYLong
by ShortSeller76
SPY Short to 520If you can plot and follow SPY, you can understand what the rest of the market may do. SPY has been overextended for quite some time, based on its trendline from the Covid lows of 2020. Please also note the bearish divergence on the MOMENTUM of SPY which is indicative of further downside. 1D/1W displaying bearish divergence on the momentum While the growth has been good for quite some time, we are expecting a pullback and want all to be prepared. I'm interested in the potential value areas for SPY at targets of 520 and 530 and as such a short to 520 looks like a good R:R with 2.65 to 1, basing the SL on the prior 1W open Happy Trading!
AMEX:SPYShort
by miyagi-trading
SPY - we going sideways? Yearly chartSPY quickly approaching the 50-day MA on a yearly chart. Does it bounce off the 50 and continue higher? Doubt it but earnings season and election volatility is right around the corner, so anything can happen. What SPY has not done in a while is trade sideways and my guess is that is what it does for the next few months. If it continues downward, next support is $520. After that it's the 200-day MA. I can see a bad earnings season taking us there. Things I'm watching: -SPY hasn't touched 50-day since April -depending on your definition of sideways, SPY has not traded sideways since July 2023 -hasn't touched 200-day since November 2023 and still a quite a ways away from it.
AMEX:SPY
by DrConservative
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade - SPY Seeking Support for Base/BottomHere is a quick video highlighting the News Event-driven price action today. My SPY Cycle Patterns don't predict or operate off news cycles. They are based mostly on Fibonacci/Gann research/cycles. Today's price action is a great example of when patterns fail to predict price trends accurately. But one has to understand that today's price movement is like throwing a huge rock into a tiny pond—it makes big waves. That is how traders are interpreting the TSLA news today. Even though the previous quarters were slightly worse than Q2:2024, traders anticipated any negative news that would push the markets downward (it appears). My analysis has not changed. I'm looking at the price and thinking, "Boy, this is going to be an incredible bullish reversion setup for skilled traders." In order words, when the selling pressure stalls/stops, prepare for a big rally above $556-557 on the SPY as a reversion move. Earnings are sometimes challenging to trade through. Big news can throw some big price swings as data hits. Buckle up. It will be interesting to see how the price reacts through this week's and next week's end. Based on my SPY Cycle Patterns, I'm still preparing for a bullish rally phase. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
07/24 SPY ATR Levels and RangeSPY ATR 4.81 this has maintained this area and average for the last week. Fear and Greed indicator is at 54, a little higher than the neutral that we ended the week on last week. Still a lot of uncertainty in the world, foreign administration speaking today. 9:45 we got a couple market moving reports, Positive Impact (PMI > 50): Negative Impact (PMI < 50) for the past few months weve been over the 50s. We need to hold the 548 level for sure for a bounce of any kind. If we can't hold that, then we move to 547.90/546.90 area as low as 545.15 zone If we can defend 548 area than we move back through the 548 area with a lot of sideways action in that range zone and wrestle with the mid 550/551/20 area. nothing is set in stone, and anything can happen. These are just using previous areas we have visited in the past since we are well below all-time highs.
AMEX:SPY
by TuskenDayTrade
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 7-24 - Harami~Temp BottomGood morning all, Boy, my friendly group of traders was reviewing the TSLA and GOOG data last night for any signs of weakness or strength. The earnings data did not settle well with traders, and the markets were a bit lower this morning. But, simultaneously, I'm trying to tell my followers to let the dust settle after yesterday's data. I was taught "it is a market of stocks - not a stock market". Don't think of it as a single unit - it is multiple (thousands) of stocks competing for your investment dollar. And, as I'm still reading the data, I believe the US stock market is healthy and efficient in terms of earning power and future expectations. Because of my expectations, I'm urging my followers to consider something somewhat unique. Today's SPY Cycle Patterns should be a Harami pattern, but tomorrow's is a Temp-Bottom. I suspect the Temp-Bottom pattern may blend in with the Harami pattern today - setting up a very clean type of double-bottom or price base for the SPY/QQQ. My data suggests we are moving into a reflation/recovery phase (higher), but the news/data (earnings) has shifted price action to the downside. The base/bottom is playing out today and tomorrow as the price attempts to find/bounce off support. We'll see how today plays out. Please pay attention to my warning related to today's downward price trends. There is a lower gap that could get filled on a deeper downward price trend - but I'm looking for new or recent lows to set up a Base/bottom today. Then, I expect solid reflation/upward price trending over the next 5~10+ trading days.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
6
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 7-23 EOD Wrap-up - Tomorrow's HaramiToday's Flat-Down pattern could not have played out any better. My SPY Cycle Patterns predicted today would reflect a moderately flat trading range that drifted downward - sure enough, that's precisely what we saw today on the SPY. Now, we move into tomorrow's Harami pattern. Although we may see a broad price high or low (price volatility), we are nearing the APEX of a moderate price FLAG pattern. Price can become very volatile near these areas as price attempt to break away from a tighter price channel. I expect the open-close range to stay very narrow tomorrow. The high/low range may be bigger than today's total candle range, but ultimately, I think tomorrow's open-close range will be very tight and narrow, possibly setting up a Doji-type candle. In the broader sense of the SPY Cycle Pattern trends, we are moving into a basing/bottoming setup that should resolve to the upside on Thursday/Friday. So be aware that the recent lows may be a great opportunity to setup for the Thursday/Friday base/bottom SPY patterns. I know many of you are relying on these patterns, and I started this to prove that my technology works and can provide greater insight for traders. Now, I have to decide whether to continue doing this or take a break. I have enjoyed teaching my techniques and systems to everyone, and I love the comments. However, I also want to protect my technology and resources. So, I would love to hear from you guys. Do you want more of this? Do you want me to continue this for another few weeks? Let me know what you guys think. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
SPY: A Dangerous Turning Point (D&W charts).The SPY chart exhibits some key technical aspects worth noting. On the daily chart, the price action has recently tested the double support area around the 21-day EMA and the 550 level. This confluence of support has provided a temporary floor, allowing the price to bounce back. However, if SPY misses this key support level in the future, it'll officially trigger a bearish reversal to its next support levels, like the 542, or even lower. On the weekly chart, the bearish engulfing pattern stands out. This pattern, occurring after reaching an all-time high, indicates a potential reversal or a strong corrective phase - if triggered. SPY's price would need to lose last week's low to trigger this pattern, which is very close to the 550 support seen on the daily chart. Therefore, this is a critical support area on multiplie time frames. The price action following this pattern suggests a weakening of the bullish momentum that previously drove the SPY to new highs. The 21-week EMA will be crucial as it has historically served as a dynamic support level throughout the upward trend, and it'll be a technical target if SPY reverses the bullish sentiment. The interplay between these support levels and the reaction to the bearish engulfing pattern will be critical in determining the next phase for the SPY. The trend is still bullish, but we are trading around a dangerous area, which could act as a major turning point for SPY. For now, let's closely monitor the price action around these levels, especially the behavior near the 550 support and the 529.08 EMA, for further clues on the ETF's direction. For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions. Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation. “To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore All the best, Nathan.
AMEX:SPY
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra