AUDCAD Buys ContinuePrice has finally broken out of the H4 resistance. Waiting on retest to continue the buys. Also have a bullish flag pattern that formed.
AUDCAD trade ideas
Lingrid | AUDCAD buying Opportunity at Channel Support BorderThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . OANDA:AUDCAD has pulled back sharply after forming a top at 0.8943 and is now approaching confluence support near the intersection of an upward trendline and horizontal zone around 0.8850. Price is showing early signs of stabilization, suggesting potential for a bullish reaction if the zone holds. A rebound from here could target the 0.8895 resistance level.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 0.88500–0.88600
Buy trigger: bullish engulfing above 0.88650
Target: 0.88955
Sell trigger: break below 0.88260
💡 Risks
Loss of trendline support opens downside to 0.88260
Price may retest lower support before rebounding
Resistance near 0.8895 could cap recovery bounce
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
AUDCAD BullishAfter a bearish pullback, the market undergoes a structural change and launches its first impulse. This could be the start of an uptrend on H4.
AUDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D10 Y25AUDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D10 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside intraday confirmation breaks of structure.
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅15’ order block identification
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
AUDCAD 4H Short Setup📘 Educational Caption for Your Trading Chat
🟥 AUDCAD 4H Short Setup (Smart Money Strategy)
I’ve taken a short position on AUDCAD from the 0.89005 level after spotting a bearish Break of Structure (BOS), price retracement into a Fair Value Gap (FVG), and mitigation of a supply zone.
📉 Entry: 0.89005
🎯 Target: 0.88266
🛡️ Stop Loss: 0.89150
⚖️ Risk-Reward: ~1:2.7 — clean asymmetric setup
This trade aligns with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) — price broke structure, retraced into imbalance, and showed a rejection from premium pricing. We’re potentially seeing the start of a bearish continuation within the current descending channel.
🔔 Note: Patience and risk management are crucial. Let the market do the work once the setup is in motion.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This setup is shared strictly for educational purposes. Always conduct your own analysis and manage your risk appropriately.
short audcad*The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
AUDCADHead and shoulders sell setup nothing else to say but a risk free sell. i doubt it will pull back up at all before the the setup plays out
Bearish drop?AUD/CAD has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.89082
1st Support: 0.87895
1st Resistance: 0.89646
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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AUD/CAD💰Symbol: { AUD/CAD }
🟩Price: { 0.89120 }
🟥Stop: { 0.89400 }
1️⃣profit: { 0.88735 }
2️⃣profit: { 0.88354 }
3️⃣profit: { 0.88101 }
📊Check your chart before entering.
🚨Check before use to make sure there is no important news.🚨
AUDCAD - Fundamentals vs Momentum – Betting on CAD🕓 Timeframe: 4H | ⚠️ Bias: Bearish From Supply Zone
AUDCAD is rejecting the 0.8940–0.8960 supply zone, a key resistance that's been respected multiple times. With RSI turning over near overbought and CAD fundamentals improving, this looks like a clean short opportunity.
📊 Technical Confluence
🔴 Resistance Zone: 0.8940–0.8960 (historical supply zone)
📉 Bearish Structure Intact: Still in a broader HTF downtrend (lower highs)
⚠️ RSI Divergence: Slowing near 62, suggesting momentum exhaustion
🕯️ Price Action: Current candle showing indecision – early signs of rejection
🌍 Fundamental Confluence
🇦🇺 AUD Weakness:
RBA paused rates, inflation easing → Dovish
AUD overextended after sentiment shift (conditional score ↑ too fast)
AUD vulnerable if sentiment shifts risk-off
🇨🇦 CAD Strength:
BoC holding firm on rates, hawkish tone
Oil production recovering → CAD-positive
COT net long position + seasonal strength
🎯 Trade Plan
📍 Entry: 0.8940–0.8955 (on bearish confirmation: engulfing/pin bar)
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.8975 (above resistance zone)
🎯 Take Profit 1: 0.8870 (mid-range)
🎯 Take Profit 2: 0.8830 (into demand zone)
⏱️ Optional: Partial entry now, scale in at 0.8960 if tapped
🧠 “Don’t chase the move. Sell the retest when momentum fades and fundamentals align.”
AUDCAD SIMPLE TRENDLINE BREAK & RETEST!I just identified a simple trendline break and retest in H4 timeframe. In this trading strategy, it’s advisable to long AUDCAD as this will increase the probability of this asset making more bullish move. Therefore, a buy opportunity is envisaged from the current market price. Target is 0.9012
AUDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D12 Y25AUDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D12 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside intraday confirmation breaks of structure.
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅15’ order block identification
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
AUDCADThe 10-year bond yield differential between Australia and Canada currently stands at 1.15% (4.53% vs. 3.38%) as of May 21, 2025 . This gap significantly influences the AUD/CAD exchange rate through interest rate parity dynamics and market positioning.
Key Analysis
Yield Spread Impact
Theoretical Basis: Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP) suggests the AUD should depreciate by 1.15% annually to offset its yield advantage. However, historical patterns show yield spreads often drive currency appreciation for the higher-yielding currency due to carry trades .
Current Reality: Australia’s yield premium supports AUD demand, but recent RBA rate cuts (to 3.85%) and weak GDP growth (+0.2% Q1 2025) counterbalance this effect .
Diverging Central Bank Policies
Australia: Rate cuts signal dovishness despite elevated yields, creating a "lower-for-longer" perception.
Canada: Steady rates (2.75%) and oil-price resilience (WTI ~$64.75) bolster CAD stability .
Market Behavior
Carry Trade Dynamics: A 1.15% spread historically correlates with AUD/CAD appreciation
Risk Factors: Australia’s economic stagnation and China-linked commodity exposure introduce downside risks, potentially weakening AUD despite yield advantages.
AUD/CAD Outlook
Factor AUD Impact CAD Impact
Yield Spread Bullish Bearish
Growth Outlook Bearish Neutral
Commodity Prices Mixed (Iron Ore) Bullish (Oil)
While the yield spread nominally favors AUD, conflicting fundamentals suggest limited upside. Traders should monitor:
RBA/BoC policy shifts (next meetings in July 2025)Australia's rate cut cycle vs. Canada's neutral stance creates bearish AUD bias
Iron ore vs. oil price trends
China’s economic data (critical for AUD demand)AUD's sensitivity to China growth vs. CAD's US trade links
Global Risk Sentiment
In the short term, AUD/CAD may test resistance , but sustained breaks require stronger Australian growth or hawkish RBA signals .
#AUDCAD
AUDCAD 1H Short 📕 Smart Money Trade Breakdown
🔻 AUDCAD 1H Short Setup
This is a short position on AUDCAD, entered at 0.88940, after price tapped into a bearish FVG (Fair Value Gap) and failed to break above the internal BOS.
📉 Entry: 0.88940
🎯 Take Profit: 0.88190
🛡️ Stop Loss: 0.89191
⚖️ Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3
🔍 Key Confluences:
Price tapped into FVG supply zone
Strong internal BOS confirms bearish intent
Clean trendline and liquidity sweep just before entry
Price rejecting lower high structure
This setup leverages institutional concepts like FVG + BOS rejection with proper RR alignment.
⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Trade with a clear risk management plan.
AUDCADAUD/CAD Analysis: 10-Year Bond Yields, Interest Rate Differentials, UIP, and Carry Trade
1. Current Bond Yields and Interest Rate Differentials
Australia 10-Year Bond Yield: 4.28% (as of June 4, 2025) .
Canada 10-Year Bond Yield: 3.20% (as of May 30, 2025) .
Yield Spread:
4.28% (AUD)−3.20% (CAD)=+1.08%
Australia’s higher bond yield provides a carry advantage for AUD.
Policy Rate Differential:
RBA Rate: 3.85% (cut by 25bps in May 2025) .
BoC Rate: 2.75% (held steady in April 2025) .
Rate Spread:
3.85% (AUD)−2.75% (CAD)=+1.10%
2. Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP)
Theory: The AUD should depreciate against CAD to offset the +1.10% rate spread, eliminating arbitrage opportunities.
Reality: UIP often fails due to risk premiums and market dynamics. Despite Australia’s higher rates, AUD/CAD may remain supported if investors prioritize yield over currency depreciation risks.
3. Carry Trade Dynamics
Mechanics: Borrow CAD (lower rate) to invest in AUD assets (higher yield), profiting from the +1.08% yield spread.
Current Viability:
Opportunity: The yield spread and rate differential favor AUD, making the carry trade attractive.
Risks:
AUD Depreciation: If UIP holds, AUD could weaken, eroding carry profits.
Global Uncertainty: US tariff tensions (cited in RBA’s May 2025 decision ) may increase AUD volatility.
BoC Policy: Canada’s cautious stance on tariffs and stable rates supports CAD stability.
4. Key Economic Context
Australia: Recent RBA rate cuts (to 3.85%) reflect concerns over global trade risks but maintain a yield advantage over Canada.
Canada: BoC held rates at 2.75% in April 2025, citing tariff-related uncertainties but projecting stable inflation near 2% .
Summary Table
Metric Australia (AUD) Canada (CAD)
10-Year Bond Yield 4.28% 3.20%
Policy Rate 3.85% 2.75%
Yield/Rate Spread +1.08% (bond), +1.10% (policy) —
Carry Trade Bias Bullish for AUD Bearish for CAD
Key Risks Global trade tensions, RBA dovishness BoC tariff caution, stable inflation
Conclusion
AUD/CAD Outlook: Moderately bullish for AUD due to yield and rate advantages, but UIP suggests potential AUD depreciation.
Carry Trade: Profitable if AUD stability persists, but monitor tariff developments and BoC policy shifts.
Trade Strategy: Favor AUD longs on dips
#AUDCAD #CAD #AUD
DAILY HOT PICK ! AUDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W23 D3 Y25AUDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W23 D3 Y25
🔥🔥DAILY HOT PICK !!!!!! 🎯🎯
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside intraday confirmation breaks of structure.
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily 50 EMA
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅15’ order block identification
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
AUDCAD → Support retest. False breakdown?FX:AUDCAD is within the range. The price is heading towards support within the local distribution. There may not be enough potential for a breakdown of support...
Against the backdrop of the strengthening Canadian dollar, the currency pair is ready to test consolidation support. The price has no clear trend, consolidation is forming in the range of 0.891 - 0.885. The price is heading towards support, there is no pre-breakout base, the level is quite strong and the distribution may end with a false breakdown and a rebound...
Support levels: 0.8858
Resistance levels: 0.8878, 0.8897
Below the level of 0.8858, there is a fairly large liquidity reserve, and there is no global trend, which means a neutral situation. Retesting the support zone after a sharp decline may end in a false maneuver and growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
AUDCADRange Breakout: The pair has been trading within a range, and the breakout from this range signals potential bullish momentum. A breakout indicates that the price is ready to move out of its consolidation phase, with buyers now in control.
Trendline Breakout: The price breaking above a key trendline further confirms a shift from a bearish or neutral market sentiment to a more bullish one. This is a strong signal that upward momentum is building.
AUDCAD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejectioon at AOi
Daily EMA retest
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.89000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.15
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
AUDCAD TRADING IN A BEARISH TRENDAUDCAD TRADING IN A BEARISH TREND.
Expected to continue downtrend in upcoming sessions.
AUDCAD shows high intensity of sellers.
Price may drop down to level of 0.88100 in upcoming sessions.
On higher side 0.89100 is the key resistance level.
AUDCAD | Double Top RejectionThe double top rejection mentioned in the last post. We can see that price topped out at 0.90 and is now retesting the breakout from the last swing low.
AUD_CAD BULLISH BIAS|LONG|
✅AUD_CAD is approaching a demand level around 0.8800
So according to our strategy
We will be looking for the signs of the reversal in the trend
To jump onto the bullish bandwagon just on time to get the best
Risk reward ratio for us
LONG🚀
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