AUDCAD: Respecting Structure, Repeating OpportunityWhat we’re looking at here is a beautifully balanced range market, the kind I love trading, because it speaks so clearly when you take a moment to listen. Price is respecting both sides of this range clearly. The lows are being protected and respected multiple times before.
We’ve already tapped into that lower bound, and the reaction has been good, together with liquidity collecting. And when price finds its feet in these kinds of zones, I immediately think of what the range is offering, right now, with risk clearly defined and reward just sitting at the other edge, waiting.
If price gives us one more small retest, I’m watching for confirmation: not just in candlestick structure, but also in volume behavior. I have my eyes set straight on that upper resistance zone near 0.90000.
And from there unless there’s a news catalyst or volume breakout, that’s where the move likely might exhaust… and that’s where I’m out, before the reversal can bite.
If the structure shifts, I’ll shift too. But until then, this is a perfect range.
Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDCAD trade ideas
121Hello awesome traders! 👋
Hope you’ve managed to grab some solid pips from the markets this week. As we head into the weekend, I’m wrapping things up by dropping a few clean chart setups for you to review and reflect on.
Enjoy the weekend, recharge well — and I’ll see you sharp and ready next week for more structure-led opportunities.
📌 Pattern Breakdown
This one's a 1-2-1 Bullish Formation — clear, clean, and already reacting:
🔹 XA: 0.87902 → 0.89824
🔹 AB retracement → 0.88660
🔹 BC extension: 0.88660 → 0.90222
🔹 CD drops into the PCZ at 0.88760 — aligning with 78.6% retracement
We’ve now seen a clear bullish reaction off the PCZ, confirming it as a valid demand zone.
🎯 Targets Now in Play
With structure holding and price climbing from the PCZ:
✅ Target 1:
• 78.6% = 0.89988
• 100% = 0.90322
🔄 Target 2 (Extension):
• 78.6% = 0.90584
• 100% = 0.91080
We’ll keep managing toward Target 1, then reassess momentum and candle structure for continuation into Target 2 next week.
🧠 Key Concepts in Play
✅ 121 Bullish pattern
✅ Reaction at fib-based PCZ
✅ Controlled impulse off demand zone
✅ Target structure mapped + invalidation clearly below PCZ
🗝 Final Thoughts
Textbook measured move off the 1-2-1 setup, with price now rotating higher from structure.
This is what we look for every week — precision, confirmation, and opportunity.
Let’s protect gains, lock partials near Target 1, and come back Monday with a clear head.
“Structure gives you the zone — reaction gives you the trade.”
AUDCAD Trade plan: Waiting for bullish confirmation at RetestPrice broke above resistance with a momentum candle, indicating buyer control. This is our first clue that a structure shift might have occurred.
This retest is essential. Many traders make the mistake of entering too early without confirmation. But it's right here, once price touches the former resistance, that you must observe how price reacts. Look for price exhaustion or reversal candlesticks such as bullish engulfing patterns, or even inside bars.
Once rejection is confirmed, I'm looking to go long to 0.90450.
Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Lingrid | AUDCAD Short Following Resistance Fake Breakout The price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . FX:AUDCAD is rejecting from the top of the resistance zone after a strong bullish impulse and has started forming a rounded top pattern. Price remains inside an upward channel but is showing signs of exhaustion with the blue arrow projecting a pullback. As long as the price stays below 0.9008, we expect a descent toward the 0.8962 region. Momentum is cooling, and a bearish correction is likely before any bullish attempt resumes.
📉 Key Levels
Sell trigger: Break below 0.8990
Sell zone: 0.8995 – 0.9012
Target: 0.8962
Invalidation: Break and close above 0.9025
💡 Risks
Strong bullish momentum may resume if support holds
Failure to break 0.8990 could trap early sellers
Macro data from AUD/CAD region may disrupt the structure
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
AUDCAD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Weekly Previous Structure Point
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily Previous Structure Point
Around Psychological Level 0.89500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.17
Entry 120%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
AUDCAD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Weekly Previous Structure Point
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily Previous Structure Point
Around Psychological Level 0.89500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 4.17
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
AUDCAD Q3 | D21 | W30 | Y25 📊AUDCAD Q3 | D21 | W30 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FRGNT 📊
AUDCAD Wk Top Down Bullish Price Action Analysis 1.The weekly price is reaching a premium zone, suggesting a potential reversal or reaction area.
2. Daily BOS + Tap into Daily imbalance FVG.
3. HR is still in a bullish sentiment
4. Waiting for 15 minutes for displacement or BOS
5. Tap into 15 minutes of FVG.
5: Pending price action...
Australian Dollar to Weaken Against Canadian Dollar Over Next 6 AUD/CAD has broken below key support at **0.8900**, confirming a bearish trend. The pair is trading below the 200-day MA (~0.8950), with RSI holding below 50, indicating sustained selling pressure. Next downside targets: **0.8750** (2024 low) and potentially **0.8600** (2023 support zone).
Canada’s oil-linked CAD benefits from resilient crude prices (supply risks, geopolitical tensions), while Australia’s iron ore exports face demand concerns (China slowdown).
RBA may cut rates before the BoC as Australia’s growth slows, while Canada’s sticky inflation delays easing. AUD (risk-sensitive) suffers if global growth fears rise, while CAD gains from safe-haven flows into oil.
CFTC data shows net-short AUD positions growing, reflecting bearish bias. Speculative longs on oil (supporting CAD) remain elevated.
Sasha Charkhchian
AUD/CAD LIVE TRADE STARTEDAUD/CAD – Short Position Taken
This one was on our watchlist earlier, and it just printed a clean engulfing candle trigger. Here’s what I look for before entering a VMS pullback trade:
A clear new high/low before the pullback
A clean pullback (no choppy mini-pullbacks inside)
Pullback into support/resistance zone
Price action at or near the 50 EMA
Engulfing candle in trend direction
Strong volume (trigger candle should stand out)
Momentum “hooking” in trend direction and below/above 0
We took a short position based on this alignment.
What do you think — continuation or reversal? Up or down from here?
AUD/CAD LIVE TRADE UPDATELIVE TRADE – VMS Pullback Strategy
We entered this trade based on a classic VMS pullback setup:
Price pulled back into a 3-touch S/R zone
Volume and momentum aligned with the direction
Engulfing candle trigger confirmed the move near the 50EMA
Now we’re simply letting the trade play out.
📌 The work is done before entry. Discipline does the rest.
AUDCAD Q3 | D23 | W30 | Y25📊AUDCAD Q3 | D23 | W30 | Y25
Daily Forecast🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FRGNT
AUDCAD: Long Signal Explained
AUDCAD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long AUDCAD
Entry - 0.8908
Sl - 0.8882
Tp - 0.8950
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Bullish bounce off pullback support?AUD/CAD is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.88682
1st Support: 0.88055
1st Resistance: 0.89809
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7.15 AUD/CAD LIVE TRADE UPDATEWe took this trade based on the shooting star followed by a strong engulfing candle reversal pattern. Volume was strong as well as momentum. We have had the best results with this pattern if it "immediately" follows a strong impulsive move. Price action was moving down nicely then boom, against it. We use a R/R of 2:1 on all of our trades. As swing traders some of our trades will take a week to play out others less than 24 hours. Do any of you trade reversals? What is your favorite reversal pattern?
#AN020: US Tariffs, Euro Weakness, USD Strength, Forex at Risk?
1. New US Tariff Threats Against the EU and Canada
Over the weekend, President Trump announced the sending of formal letters introducing new tariffs: 35% on Canadian goods and potential tariffs for the EU as well (15-20%).
Context: The return of protectionism fuels uncertainty.
Market Impact: Shift to safe-haven currencies — the US dollar gains ground, while EUR/USD and USD/CAD remain under pressure.
2. EUR/USD Below 1.1700
The EUR/USD pair closed the week below 1.1700, failing to recover.
3. GBP/USD Loses Ground
The GBP/USD pair fell below 1.3500, hitting a three-week low.
Factors: Disappointing UK GDP data + stronger USD.
Impact: Pressure on the pound, possible continuation of the downtrend to 1.3420 unless better data emerges.
4. USD/JPY near 147.50
The dollar reached new two-week highs against the yen, hitting 147.50.
Causes: Risk flight and reduced expectations for BoJ intervention.
Outlook: If global sentiment remains adverse, USD/JPY could head towards 148.00.
5. Gold and safe-haven assets recover
Trade uncertainty is supporting gold, which has risen to near $3,360/ounce.
Outlook: Volatility and preference for the USD and JPY are increasing; gold will act as a sentinel of fear in the markets.
🔍 Summary of Impacts on Forex Markets
EUR/USD Weaker: Push toward 1.1600 due to trade concerns and USD strength
GBP/USD Down: UK data pressured + risk aversion
USD/JPY Rising: USD refuge and possible break above 148
USD/CAD Volatile: Canadian tariffs penalize CAD, but oil prices and BoC reactions to monitor
Gold & XM Gold strengthens, signaling risk, USD support; JPY and USD benefit