AUDCAD trade ideas
AUD_CAD BULLISH BIAS|LONG|
✅AUD_CAD is approaching a demand level around 0.8800
So according to our strategy
We will be looking for the signs of the reversal in the trend
To jump onto the bullish bandwagon just on time to get the best
Risk reward ratio for us
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDCAD SELL/SHORTBy utilizing levels, historical patterns, , we can formulate a hypothesis that the market might follow a similar trajectory if bearish sentiment prevails.
AUDCADAUD/CAD Analysis: 10-Year Bond Yields, Interest Rate Differentials, UIP, and Carry Trade
1. Current Bond Yields and Interest Rate Differentials
Australia 10-Year Bond Yield: 4.28% (as of June 4, 2025) .
Canada 10-Year Bond Yield: 3.20% (as of May 30, 2025) .
Yield Spread:
4.28% (AUD)−3.20% (CAD)=+1.08%
Australia’s higher bond yield provides a carry advantage for AUD.
Policy Rate Differential:
RBA Rate: 3.85% (cut by 25bps in May 2025) .
BoC Rate: 2.75% (held steady in April 2025) .
Rate Spread:
3.85% (AUD)−2.75% (CAD)=+1.10%
2. Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP)
Theory: The AUD should depreciate against CAD to offset the +1.10% rate spread, eliminating arbitrage opportunities.
Reality: UIP often fails due to risk premiums and market dynamics. Despite Australia’s higher rates, AUD/CAD may remain supported if investors prioritize yield over currency depreciation risks.
3. Carry Trade Dynamics
Mechanics: Borrow CAD (lower rate) to invest in AUD assets (higher yield), profiting from the +1.08% yield spread.
Current Viability:
Opportunity: The yield spread and rate differential favor AUD, making the carry trade attractive.
Risks:
AUD Depreciation: If UIP holds, AUD could weaken, eroding carry profits.
Global Uncertainty: US tariff tensions (cited in RBA’s May 2025 decision ) may increase AUD volatility.
BoC Policy: Canada’s cautious stance on tariffs and stable rates supports CAD stability.
4. Key Economic Context
Australia: Recent RBA rate cuts (to 3.85%) reflect concerns over global trade risks but maintain a yield advantage over Canada.
Canada: BoC held rates at 2.75% in April 2025, citing tariff-related uncertainties but projecting stable inflation near 2% .
Summary Table
Metric Australia (AUD) Canada (CAD)
10-Year Bond Yield 4.28% 3.20%
Policy Rate 3.85% 2.75%
Yield/Rate Spread +1.08% (bond), +1.10% (policy) —
Carry Trade Bias Bullish for AUD Bearish for CAD
Key Risks Global trade tensions, RBA dovishness BoC tariff caution, stable inflation
Conclusion
AUD/CAD Outlook: Moderately bullish for AUD due to yield and rate advantages, but UIP suggests potential AUD depreciation.
Carry Trade: Profitable if AUD stability persists, but monitor tariff developments and BoC policy shifts.
Trade Strategy: Favor AUD longs on dips
#AUDCAD #CAD #AUD
AUDCAD: Will Start Falling! Here is Why:
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to sell AUDCAD.
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AUDCAD Expecting Bearish TrendAUDCAD is currently trading within a defined range and appears to be heading towards a key support level. While the pair is moving lower, further downside may be limited if the Canadian Dollar continues to strengthen. This could lead to a price rebound from the current levels.
The currency pair is approaching a consolidation support zone, and we may observe some price volatility near this level. If a bounce occurs, initial resistance levels to watch are at 0.88800 and 0.89200.
You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
AUD/CAD 4-Hour Technical & Fundamental AnalysisAUD/CAD 4-Hour Technical & Fundamental Analysis
AUD/CAD has broken decisively below key support, now trading with a bearish tone as both technical and fundamental factors align against the Australian Dollar. The 4-hour chart shows a clear downtrend structure, characterized by Lower Highs and Lower Lows, with smart money behavior unfolding near key liquidity levels.
After breaching a significant support zone, price entered an accumulation phase — consolidating beneath the break, suggesting preparation for the next move. A liquidity hunt above recent highs appears likely, creating a potential sell opportunity as price seeks out inefficient zones before resuming its downward trajectory.
If price taps into our liquidity zone and reacts with bearish confirmation, we could see continuation to the downside with solid risk-reward potential.
📊 Trade Setup
📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 0.88580 (Sell Limit)
🛡 Stop-Loss: 0.88880 (Above liquidity zone)
🎯 Take Profit: 0.87860 (Next key support / 1:2.3 RR)
This setup aligns with institutional flow — targeting areas where smart money enters the market and providing a clear technical roadmap for trend continuation.
📰 Fundamental Outlook
🇦🇺 AUD Weakness vs 🇨🇦 CAD Strength
Australian Dollar Under Pressure
Soft economic data and declining business confidence are limiting AUD upside.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is signaling a more cautious policy stance, reducing expectations of future rate hikes.
Canadian Dollar Strengthening
Rising oil prices — a key export for Canada — are supporting CAD.
The Bank of Canada (BoC) has leaned slightly more hawkish, keeping the door open for further tightening if inflation persists.
Summary:
AUD/CAD remains tilted to the downside, with both macroeconomic and technical indicators favoring bearish momentum. Watch for price action near our AOI to validate the trade.
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
AUDCAD | HnS Pattern | 500pips DownPrice action has continued selling off after retesting the previous breakout below the neckline and will be looking to hit another 500pips+
When looking at local price action on lower timeframes the double top rejection at ~0.90 has entered a distribution phase which is signaling price to fall further with the first target at 0.88 and so on.
For price to hit the last target around 0.855 I would like to see a break first then a retest/distribution phase.
AudCad Trade IdeaWith AudCad respecting a major level of resistance and flipping structures on the 4hr time frame I'll personally be looking to short the pair. If price can break below and retest on the smaller time frame I'll short the pair for a 1:3rr. At that point the smaller time frames would be in sync with the higher time frames overall bearish move. We'll see how price moves.
AUDCAD shortAUDCAD is currently travelling down this channel, look for sell at the touch to the channel line...
AUDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W23 D2 Y25AUDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W23 D2 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside intraday confirmation breaks of structure.
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily 50 EMA
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅15’ order block identification
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Bearish ContinuationPrice is breaking down after a period of consolidation, suggesting the start of a new bearish impulse.
This setup aligns with a 2-leg correction structure, where the second leg to the downside is expected to unfold.
📉 Trade Idea:
Looking for a short opportunity after a potential minor pullback.
Targeting the next support zone around 0.8700.
Structure: Bearish
Pattern: Impulse - Correction - Impulse (2-leg move)
AUDCAD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at Both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Weekly
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.89500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 5.54
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Why AUDCAD is On My Watchlist for a Short Trade🔎 AUDCAD Trade Idea Overview 🔎
Currently watching AUDCAD closely 👀 — and here’s what I’m seeing across the key timeframes:
📉 On the weekly timeframe, the pair remains in a clear bearish trend, with lower highs and lower lows forming consistently.
🕰️ Dropping down to the daily, we’re seeing continued bearish momentum in alignment with the higher timeframe bias.
⏳ On the 4-hour chart, there’s been a clean break of market structure, confirming short-term weakness.
🎯 I’m eyeing a pullback into equilibrium within the current price range for a potential short entry.
🔹 Entry: On retracement into a key value zone
🔹 Stop loss: Positioned above recent swing highs
🔹 Take profit: Targeting previous lows and liquidity pockets 💧
Patience is key here — waiting for the right setup to align across multiple timeframes. 📊
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Always do your own research and manage risk responsibly. 💼
CHECK AUDUSD SIGNAL READ CAPTAIN(AUDCAD) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
( AUDCAD ) BUY zone
( TRADE SATUP)
ENTRY POINT (0.89250 to (0.89230) 📊
FIRST TP (0.89350)📊
2ND TARGET (0.89450) 📊
LAST TARGET (0.89580) 📊
STOP LOOS (0.89120)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
AUDCAD - Parabolic Exhaustion, Volume DivergenceAUDCAD is appearing to want to test the previous pivot high on low volume.
If there is no new volume and a failed test of this previous high, it could signal a bearish retracement.
Be patient as a successful retest could signal a continuation of the bullish activity.
These 5 Steps Will Show You How To Short SellBased on the weekly chart this forex pair
is going down.
I was trying to learn how to buy gold and silver.
So i thought i try to trade it on
the weekly chart.Even though on this chart OANDA:AUDCAD
the daily chart for this forex pair looks
like its in an over sold zone.But if you flip
this chart to a weekly chart
you will see an over bought zone.
The overbought zone will appear on
the William.If i had the full professional
tradingview membership
I would have shown you 2 time frames back to back.
This would have been on a split chart layout.
But since i only have a free version i can
only show you how a bearish divergence looks
On the daily chart.If i had the professional membership
i would have shown you 2 layouts.
So what you need to do is the following:
1-Open the layout.
2-Put daily chart on left
3-Put weekly chart on right
4-Use the rocket booster strategy
5-Use the william% indicator
Have you notice the bearish divergence?
its overbought on the week
and the oversold
on the day chart
This is a powerful strategy and my hope is
that it will serve you well.
Rocket boost this content to learn more
Disclaimer: Trading is risky please do not use margin
and learn risk management and profit taking strategies.
Also use a simulation account before you trade with real money.
Price action Audcad hide it's liquidity sweep well took sometime to spot in on a 1hrs chart as clear as day light
CHECK AUDCAD SELL SIGNAL READ CAPTAIN(AUDCAD) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
( AUDCAD ) sell zone
( TRADE SATUP)
ENTRY POINT (0.88310) to (0.88270) 📊
FIRST TP (0.88180)📊
2ND TARGET (0.88110) 📊
LAST TARGET (0.88000) 📊
STOP LOOS (0.89400)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
AUDCAD On The Rise! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on AUDCAD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.8864 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.8903
Safe Stop Loss - 0.8843
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDCAD → Support retest. False breakdown?FX:AUDCAD is within the range. The price is heading towards support within the local distribution. There may not be enough potential for a breakdown of support...
Against the backdrop of the strengthening Canadian dollar, the currency pair is ready to test consolidation support. The price has no clear trend, consolidation is forming in the range of 0.891 - 0.885. The price is heading towards support, there is no pre-breakout base, the level is quite strong and the distribution may end with a false breakdown and a rebound...
Support levels: 0.8858
Resistance levels: 0.8878, 0.8897
Below the level of 0.8858, there is a fairly large liquidity reserve, and there is no global trend, which means a neutral situation. Retesting the support zone after a sharp decline may end in a false maneuver and growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
AUDCADOn the daily chart we have a change of character indicating a shift in order flow from bullish to bearish.
Though we have a shift in order flow, the entry model is ranked moderate to weak, meaning there is a possibility price might push higher during correction. Either way, we are short on this pair.
