AUDCHF trade ideas
AUDCHF Triangle Breakout – Targeting 0.52830AUDCHF on the 1-hour chart is respecting a contracting triangle pattern 🔺 and showing bullish intent.
From a 4hr perspective:
- Fair Value Gap + Strong Volume Zone 🟧 above price
- Safe Target: 0.52830
Key Observations:
- CHoCH waiting for confirmation (bullish structure)
- BoS expected above the triangle top
- Current pullback holding near Fib 0.382 – 0.5 (0.52300 – 0.52220)
Plan:
- Watching for bullish breakout and continuation to 0.52830 (≈ 60 pips) 🎯
- Support area near 0.52000 – 0.52100 should hold for bullish scenario
- Break below 0.52000 invalidates
Reasoning:
- Contracting triangle breakout pattern 🚀
- Strong volume-based Fair Value Gap above
- 4hr structure supports bullish continuation
(Personal chart study, not financial advice)
Bullish bounce off pullback support?AUD/CHF is falling towards the pivot, which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.52113
1st Support: 0.51691
1st Resistance: 0.53019
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AUDCHF: Broken Support, Bearish Flow In Play Timeframe: 1H
Bias: Bearish
Type: Support Turncoat → Breakdown Play
📊 Technical Setup
AUDCHF previously broke the 4H resistance (0.5236) which flipped to support. However, price has now broken below this support, confirming it as a failed demand zone.
• Entry: Market execution or retest of 0.5236
• SL: Above 0.5245
• TP: 0.5189
• RR: ~1:2
• RSI: Below 50 and heading lower = momentum supports downside
📉 Macro & Fundamental Confluence
• AUD Weakness: RBA dovish, conditional score declining, bearish seasonality
• CHF Slightly Less Weak: Despite SNB dovish stance, CHF is outperforming AUD
• COT + Sentiment: AUD CFTC weakening, CHF holding steady
• Risk Sentiment: RISK ON environment reduces CHF demand but AUD still underperforms
🧭 Gameplan
“Support failed to hold. Bearish pressure intensifies. Target previous swing low zone.”
🔔 Watch for retest of 0.5236 for better RR setup before continuing short.
AUDCHF Will Go Down! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDCHF.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.524.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.522 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUD/CHF Eyes Bullish Reversal Toward 0.52606This AUD/CHF 1-hour chart shows a potential bullish reversal from the 1st support at 0.52036. Price is expected to rise toward the 1st resistance at 0.52335 and possibly reach the 2nd resistance at 0.52606 if momentum continues. Key support lies at 0.51922.
AUDCHF Contracting Triangle – Waiting for Breakout Confirmation
AUDCHF on the 1-hour chart is forming a contracting triangle 🔺, showing consolidation after a downtrend.
From an SMC perspective:
🟩 Demand + OB (Order Block) zone holding strong near 0.51900
🔄 Previous CHoCH shows buyer interest
⏳ Waiting for BoS (Break of Structure) confirmation above the triangle
Plan:
* Breakout Entry: Above 0.52400 after retest 🔓
🎯 First Target: 0.52770 – 0.52800 (≈ 37 pips from breakout)
🛡 Invalidation: Below 0.51900 (demand failure)
Reasoning:
+ Contracting triangles often lead to strong impulsive moves ⚡
+ Buyers are already active at demand 🔥
+ Confirmation of CHoCH + BoS could push price to targets 🚀
// (Not financial advice – personal chart observation)
AUD/CHF Bearish Breakdown – Daily Chart
Price remains in a solid downtrend, respecting lower highs and bearish order blocks. With clean rejection from the 0.54 supply zone, we’re seeing continued bearish pressure heading toward the 0.5037 demand zone.
🟢 Watch for reaction around 0.50374
🔻 Trend: Bearish
📅 Timeframe: Daily
#AUDCHF #ForexAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #SupplyAndDemand #MarketStructure #ForexGhana #PriceAction #The20PipsCenter
AUD/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
AUD/CHF SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.524
Target Level: 0.521
Stop Loss: 0.526
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDCHF: This Rally’s Just a Breath Before the DropAUDCHF: This Rally’s Just a Breath Before the Drop 🪂
Sometimes, what looks like strength is just the market catching its breath. AUDCHF is trading at resistance after a clean break of the trendline — and I’m leaning bearish. The short-term bounce might have legs, but I’m positioning for a sell if price starts to roll over here.
📉 Trade Bias: I’m looking to short AUDCHF, now that the pair is retesting resistance within a broader downtrend.
Here’s what’s on my radar:
🇦🇺 The RBA is expected to cut rates in August — 98% probability 📉
🇨🇭 SNB has already cut to 0.0%, but is unlikely to go negative again
🛍️ Australia’s consumer spending is still weak despite inflation cooling
🛡️ CHF remains in demand as a global safe-haven
🔄 COT positioning shows long-term bearish sentiment on AUD remains intact
Australia’s recent strength isn’t rooted in internal fundamentals — it's driven by global risk appetite. But now, with a looming RBA rate cut and cautious spending data, that optimism may not last. Inflation is soft, growth is sluggish, and trade barriers still hang in the air.
The Swiss franc, on the other hand, continues to benefit from its status as a safe-haven. While some short-term pullbacks are possible on improving global trade sentiment, CHF has held its ground due to its solid fiscal position and low inflation. Traders are still favoring it in times of uncertainty.
If price confirms reversal here, I’m taking the shot. The structure’s clean, the macro lines up, and risk-reward is leaning in my favor.
I’ve got the trigger finger ready — just waiting on the chart to blink. Would you fade this bounce?
AUDCHF: Bullish Continuation & Long Signal
AUDCHF
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long AUDCHF
Entry - 0.5221
Sl - 0.5215
Tp - 0.5235
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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