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Australian Dollar / Swiss Franc

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AUDCHF trade ideas

AUDCHF → Hunting for liquidity. Fall from resistanceFX:AUDCHF is emerging from local consolidation and entering a distribution phase. Potentially, against the backdrop of a downtrend, the market may be interested in the liquidity zone at 0.5356 Globally, we have a strong downtrend and a countertrend correction that is facing pressure in the 0.545 zone. The decline is resuming, but at some point the market formed an EQH liquidity pool at 0.5356, which is most likely acting as a magnet pulling the price towards it... Based on the technical situation, we can conclude that if the price continues to form a distribution towards the target, the market is quite capable of stopping the price and returning to the downtrend phase. Resistance levels: 0.535, 0.5356 Support levels: 0.5327, 0.5314 Thus, a breakout of the resistance level of 0.5356 without the possibility of continuing growth and a return of the price below the resistance level with subsequent price consolidation in the sales zone (below 0.5356) may trigger a resumption of the downward trend. Best regards, R. Lind
Short
by RLinda
AUDCHF Short Setup – Peak Formation Reset IdentifiedIf we examine the peak formation high, we can clearly observe that three distinct levels of drop have already formed. These levels are especially visible on the H4 and H1 timeframes, confirming that a cycle has completed. As we know, the market is primarily driven by liquidity and before any major reversal, the market tends to hunt stop-losses above or below significant highs or lows. For this reason, it's crucial to wait patiently for price to interact with the liquidity zone (typically just beyond the last swing high of the third level). Only after this liquidity sweep should we look for a confirmed sell entry. Execution Steps: Wait for Price to Hit the Liquidity Zone Let the market tap into the stop-loss cluster (marked zone). This is often a signal that smart money is ready to reverse direction. Confirm the Sell Trigger Look for a clean candle pattern, bearish engulfing candle, or another reliable entry trigger. Exit at Full Cycle Completion Hold the trade until the full cycle plays out to the downside. All Btmm Pro Signals that will come after this are valid entries and good to go
Short
by Bunnex_Investment_Group
AUDCHF The Target Is UP! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for AUDCHF below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.5349 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 0.5357 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
AUDCHFThe AUD/CHF pair is currently showing bearish tendencies despite Australia having higher interest rates than Switzerland due to several key factors beyond just the nominal interest rate differential: 1. Monetary Policy Outlook and Rate Expectations The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has recently cut rates with expectations of further cuts, signaling a dovish stance going forward. This diminishes the appeal of the AUD despite its current higher rates. In contrast, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) has a very low policy rate (~0.25%) but is expected to keep rates on hold, providing stability to the CHF. The market perceives the SNB’s policy as more stable relative to the RBA’s easing path, which weighs on AUD/CHF. 2. Economic Fundamentals and Growth Prospects Australia’s economy is facing headwinds such as slower GDP growth, weaker commodity demand, and cautious consumer sentiment, which dampens AUD strength. Switzerland benefits from its safe-haven status and stable economic conditions, which attract investors during global uncertainty, supporting CHF demand. 3. Risk Sentiment and Safe-Haven Flows The Swiss Franc is traditionally a safe-haven currency. In times of global risk aversion or geopolitical uncertainty, investors flock to CHF, pushing AUD/CHF lower even if Australia offers higher yields. Current market sentiment is neutral to slightly bearish on AUD/CHF, with technical indicators showing limited momentum and a potential for bearish pressure. 4. Technical and Market Sentiment Factors Technical analysis shows AUD/CHF trading in a narrow range with weak trend strength, limited volatility, and resistance near supplyroof . The RSI and MACD indicators suggest indecision but slight bearish momentum. Market participants remain cautious, awaiting clearer economic data or policy signals before committing to AUD longs against CHF. Summary Table Factor Impact on AUD/CHF Explanation RBA Rate Cuts & Dovish Outlook Bearish Expected further easing reduces AUD appeal SNB Stable Policy Bullish for CHF Stability supports CHF demand Economic Growth Weak for AUD Slower growth weighs on AUD Safe-Haven Demand Supports CHF CHF strengthens in risk-off environments Technical Indicators Neutral to Slightly Bearish Limited momentum, resistance near supplyroof 1. Current 10-Year Bond Yields Australia 10-Year Bond Yield: Approximately 4.34% to 4.53% as of early June 2025, with recent fluctuations around 4.3%–4.5% due to RBA rate cuts and global bond market moves. Switzerland 10-Year Bond Yield: Swiss 10-year government bond yields have been historically low or negative due to the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) ultra-low or negative policy rates and safe-haven status. As of mid-2025, Swiss 10-year yields are near 0.5% or lower, often negative or close to zero given Switzerland’s monetary policy stance and low inflation environment (typical recent range: -0.3% to +0.5%, though exact current data not in search results but known from market context). 2. Interest Rate Differential The 10-year bond yield differential (AUD – CHF) is roughly: 4.4%−0.5%≈+3.9% This means Australian 10-year bonds offer a yield premium of nearly 4 percentage points over Swiss 10-year bonds. 3. Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP) UIP states that the expected change in the exchange rate equals the interest rate differential:3.9%i AUD −i CHF ≈3.9%. Implication: The AUD should theoretically depreciate by about 3.9% annually against the CHF to offset the higher yield investors earn from holding AUD bonds. This means investors expect the AUD/CHF exchange rate to adjust so that the higher Australian yields do not translate into arbitrage profits without currency risk. However, in practice, deviations from UIP occur due to risk premiums, capital controls, and market sentiment. 4. Carry Trade Advantage The large positive yield differential makes the AUD attractive for carry trades against the CHF. Investors borrow in low-yielding CHF (funding currency) and invest in higher-yielding AUD assets to earn the interest rate spread. Carry trade benefits: Potentially higher returns from the interest rate spread (~3.9%) AUD tends to be a commodity-linked currency with higher volatility and risk premium, which can amplify gains in risk-on environments. Risks: Currency risk if AUD depreciates sharply against CHF Global risk-off events can trigger unwind of carry trades, causing AUD weakness Summary Table Metric Australia (AUD) Switzerland (CHF) Differential (AUD - CHF) 10-Year Government Bond Yield ~4.34% - 4.53% ~0.5% or lower +3.9% Policy Rate 3.85% (RBA) ~0% or negative (SNB) ~3.85% UIP Expected AUD Depreciation — — ~3.9% per annum Carry Trade Advantage High yield, attractive Low yield, funding currency Significant carry trade incentive The substantial yield advantage of Australian 10-year bonds over Swiss 10-year bonds (~3.9%) creates a strong carry trade incentive to buy AUD and fund in CHF. According to uncovered interest rate parity, this yield gap should be offset by an expected depreciation of the AUD versus CHF. However, in practice, carry trades persist due to risk appetite and market dynamics, making AUD/CHF sensitive to global risk sentiment and monetary policy shifts. Conclusion Despite Australia’s higher nominal interest rates, the bearish AUD/CHF trend is driven by the RBA’s dovish outlook, weaker Australian economic fundamentals, and the Swiss Franc’s safe-haven status. These factors outweigh the interest rate differential advantage, leading to AUD underperformance versus CHF in the current environment #AUDCHF
by Shavyfxhub
AUDCHF BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAUDCHF is currently breaking out of a textbook falling wedge pattern on the 4H chart, signaling a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. Price action has been consolidating within this structure for several weeks, creating lower highs and lower lows, but with clear bullish divergence beginning to show up in recent sessions. The breakout around the 0.53300 zone marks a significant technical confirmation that bulls are taking control, with eyes now on the 0.54400 target. From a fundamental standpoint, the Australian dollar is gaining strength backed by hawkish sentiment from the RBA. Despite global uncertainties, the RBA’s firm stance on managing inflation is keeping the Aussie resilient. On the flip side, the Swiss franc has been showing signs of relative weakness due to softer inflation readings and safe-haven outflows as global risk sentiment improves. This macro backdrop is creating favorable conditions for AUDCHF to rally. Technically, this breakout aligns with strong market structure and volume support, making this a high-conviction bullish setup. The breakout candle is closing above resistance with momentum, and as long as price holds above the 0.53250–0.53000 zone, bulls are likely to maintain control. With the falling wedge breakout and favorable risk-reward setup, the upside move toward 0.54400 looks increasingly probable. This is a clean price action play with fundamental alignment. The breakout not only confirms the end of the previous downtrend, but also opens up space for a bullish wave to unfold. Momentum traders and swing traders will want to watch this closely as AUDCHF transitions from accumulation to a potential bullish expansion phase.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
AUDCHF Will Go Higher! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for AUDCHF. Time Frame: 3h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 0.529. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.532 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
AUDCHFOn the monthly charts we have a long term bearish trend forming new lows. There are imbalances likely to be cleared when there is a bullish correction. On the weekly charts,we have a disequilibrium and unmitigated supply at 0.607 price handle, price is seeking to correct it. On the 4-hour chart, we have a shift in market structure confirming the bullish correction. We have two recommended entries,the high probability entry in green or the low probability yet conservative entry in red targeting the weekly unmitigated supply at 0.607
by morrisgitau
AUD/CHF | Potential Downward Movement 💡 Sell Market Order @ 0.53495 🎯 Target Profit 0.52733 🛑 Stop Loss 0.53728 ❌ Do not risk more than 1% of your account on each trade Description: Price has reacted to a 4 Hr FVG after a liquidity sweep of a major swing high. The price is moving lower now after testing a bearish order block. We are expecting a continuation to the downside toward the relative equal lows at 0.52733 mark. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please press “Like” if you appreciate the trading idea 👍 “Follow” for more trading ideas in the future 👀 “Comment” below to share your thoughts with us and other traders 👥 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Risk Disclaimer: All trading ideas published by “PriceActionDesk” are for educational purposes only. These posts can help you to enhance your trading skills, but please do your own research before opening any trading position. ⚠️ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 🙂 Good Luck!
Education
by PriceActionDesk
Pipping the Aussie-Swiss Bank: Day Trading Strategy UnleashedUltimate AUD/CHF Forex Heist Plan 🚨 Swing Trade Mastery for Epic Gains! 🚀 Greetings, Wealth Warriors & Market Mavericks! 👋💸 Get ready to execute a legendary heist on the AUD/CHF "Aussie vs Swissy" Forex market with our exclusive Thief Trading Style! 🎯 This meticulously crafted strategy blends technical precision and fundamental firepower to maximize your profits. Follow the plan outlined in the chart, focusing on a long entry to conquer the high-risk Yellow MA Zone—a battleground of overbought conditions, consolidation, and potential trend reversals where bearish bandits lurk. 🐻 Stay sharp, lock in profits, and trade safely! 💪🎉 Entry 📈: The heist begins! Watch for the MA pullback in the market maker’s trap zone (0.52200 OR above) to strike. Bullish riches await! Set buy stop orders above the Moving Average or place buy limit orders within the 15 or 30-minute timeframe’s recent swing low/high. Pro tip: Set an alert to catch the breakout entry in action! 🔔 Stop Loss 🛑: Place your Thief SL at the recent swing low/high on the 4H timeframe for swing trades basis. Adjust SL based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and multiple orders. Target 🎯: Aim for 0.54800 or make a swift exit before the target to secure your loot! 🧲 Scalpers, listen up! 👀 Stick to long-side scalps. Big players can jump in now; others, join the swing trade heist. Use a trailing SL to protect your stash. 💰 💵 AUD/CHF "Aussie vs Swissy" Forex Heist Plan (Swing Trade) is riding a bullish wave 🐂, fueled by critical market drivers. Dive into the fundamentals—Macro Economics, COT Reports, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentiment Outlook, and Future Trends—before launching your heist. Check the linkKs for the full scoop! 🔗👉 📌 Markets move fast, so stay vigilant and adapt your analysis to the latest developments. ⚠️ Trading Alert: News & Position Management 📰🚨 News releases can shake up prices and volatility. Protect your positions by: Avoiding new trades during news events Using trailing stop-loss orders to lock in gains 💖 Boost our heist plan! 💥 Hit the Boost Button to supercharge our team’s strength and make stealing profits a breeze. With the Thief Trading Style, you’ll conquer the market daily with ease! 🏆🤝🎉 Stay tuned for the next epic heist plan, Money Makers! 🤑🐱‍👤🚀
Long
by Thief_Trader