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Australian Dollar / Swiss Franc

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AUDCHF trade ideas

AUDCHF - Potential SellHi traders, Here is my view on the AUDCHF trade coming this week to next week. BIAS: BEAR Logical Analysis: Price has declined fast and strong from ~0.5607 to ~0.5113. The Store has so much CMCMARKETS:AUDCHF in stock that no one has been in to buy at around 0.5600-0.5350. From the 9th April 2025 to today buyers were interested. It seems that 0.5113-0.5330 is a good price to make business. As of Today (9/05/2025) The Store seems to have more in stock which makes me believe the price will drop again. :) Technical Analysis: From 0.51133 price has been rising slowly towards the weekly resistance (0.53663). The momentum in the buying is slowing down. Price has violate the latest higher low. A regular flat has formed on the 4hr timeframe. Timed Entry: Up to you Good Luck
Short
by tarati.lorenzo
2
AUD/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT Hello, Friends! AUD/CHF pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 12H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.513 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
2
Lingrid | AUDCHF trend Continuation Pattern. Long The price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . It hit the target zone. FX:AUDCHF is holding above the upward trend-line, forming a series of higher lows after the recent flag pattern correction. The price is consolidating above support at 0.5265 and may soon bounce from this area to resume its bullish leg. As long as buyers protect the trend-line, the structure stays bullish with eyes on the 0.5337 resistance. 📈 Key Levels Buy zone: 0.5265 – 0.5270 Buy trigger: bounce from trend-line Target: 0.5337 Sell trigger: break below 0.5265 💡 Risks Break below the trend-line could shift the short-term bias to bearish. Watch for false breaks or low-volume bounces — confirmation is key. Volatility may increase around CHF news or cross-pair flows. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
3
AUD/CHF Trade Setup: Current trend is BullishThe AUD/CHF pair is currently in a bullish trend, consistently forming a series of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). Using the Fibonacci retracement technique, a potential long position can be planned based on the following trade statistics: Pair: AUD/CHF Trend: Bullish Entry Point (EP): 0.53234 Stop Loss (SL): 0.53061 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.53407 (1:1) Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.53580 (1:2) Risk: 1% Lot Size: 0.44 We will open two trades simultaneously: The first targeting a 1:1 risk-reward ratio The second targeting a 1:2 risk-reward ratio This setup allows for efficient risk management while aiming for higher profit potential within the prevailing bullish momentum.
Short
by asimafridi
AUDCHF m15 SellLet the final trade of the day come from AUDCHF. I expect the pair to decline first to 0.52545 and then towards 0.52419 / SL 0,52861. Adjust your risk accordingly and activate the trade. Wishing everyone a profitable day! 📊 Don’t forget — I share these trade ideas daily on my TradingView profile. Follow me there for full analysis and daily setups. 🔔 I post detailed trade ideas and daily market analysis like this every day on my TradingView profile. 👉 Follow me to get notified and read the full breakdowns.
Short
by Nurlan_PT
AUDCHFCurrent Monetary Policy Stance The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) lowered its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.10% in February 2025, marking the first cut since 2020. The RBA paused further easing in April, maintaining the rate at 4.10% and adopting a cautious, data-dependent approach. The RBA’s policy remains restrictive, but with inflation easing and private demand sluggish, further gradual rate cuts are anticipated through 2025. Switzerland (SNB): The Swiss National Bank (SNB) cut its policy rate by 25 basis points to 0.25% in March 2025, responding to increased downside risks to inflation. Swiss inflation remains the lowest among G10 economies, forecast at 0.6% for 2025. The SNB is expected to keep rates at 0.25% until at least 2026, with a low risk of returning to negative rates. Interest Rate Differential As of April 2025, the interest rate differential between Australia and Switzerland stands at 3.85 percentage points (Australia 4.10% minus Switzerland 0.25%). This significant positive differential typically supports the Australian dollar, as higher yields attract capital inflows into AUD-denominated assets. Impact on AUD/CHF Exchange Rate Higher Australian rates relative to Switzerland generally favor AUD appreciation versus CHF, as investors seek higher returns. However, the Swiss franc’s status as a safe-haven currency can counteract this effect during periods of global uncertainty, attracting flows into CHF regardless of the rate gap. The RBA’s gradual easing bias and the SNB’s low, stable rates suggest the differential may narrow slightly if Australia continues to cut rates, but the gap is expected to remain wide through 2025. Summary Table Central Bank Policy Rate (Apr 2025) Policy Direction Inflation Outlook RBA 4.10% Gradual easing expected Easing, within target SNB 0.25% On hold, dovish Very low, stable Conclusion The monetary policy differential between Australia and Switzerland is currently wide, with Australia maintaining much higher rates than Switzerland. This supports the AUD/CHF exchange rate, but the effect is moderated by the Swiss franc’s safe-haven appeal and global risk sentiment. Future moves by the RBA to cut rates may narrow the differential, but the gap is likely to remain significant in 2025.
Short
by Shavyfxhub
AUDCHFThe current head of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is Governor Michele Bullock, who commenced her term on 18 September 2023 and is serving through at least February 2025. The current head of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) is Martin Schlegel, Chairman of the Governing Board, Zurich Antoine Martin, Vice Chairman of the Governing Board, Berne Petra Tschudin, Member of the Governing Board, Zurich Interest Rate Differential and Swiss National Bank (SNB) Policy The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has historically maintained a low or negative interest rate policy to curb the Swiss franc's strength and support the Swiss economy. Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has been adjusting rates in response to inflation and economic conditions, often maintaining higher interest rates relative to Switzerland. This interest rate differential typically supports the Australian dollar against the Swiss franc, as higher Australian rates attract yield-seeking capital. However, recent global economic uncertainties and risk-off sentiment have strengthened the safe-haven Swiss franc, offsetting some of the interest rate advantage of the AUD. The head of the Swiss National Bank, in recent years, has emphasized cautious monetary policy, aiming to prevent excessive franc appreciation while managing inflation and economic stability. Directional Bias is Bearish to neutral with potential for further declines in 2025 Interest Rate Differential RBA rates generally higher than SNB, supporting AUD, but SNB's low/negative rates and safe-haven status of CHF create mixed pressures SNB Policy Cautious, focused on preventing franc appreciation, maintaining low rates Market Sentiment Risk-off environments tend to strengthen CHF, weighing on AUD/CHF In conclusion, despite the interest rate advantage of the Australian dollar, the AUD/CHF pair faces bearish pressure due to broader market sentiment favoring the Swiss franc as a safe haven and technical indicators signaling potential downside. Traders should watch SNB communications and global risk sentiment closely for directional cues The interest rate differential between Australia and Switzerland is a key driver of the AUD/CHF exchange rate. When the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) raises interest rates relative to the Swiss National Bank (SNB), the Australian dollar (AUD) generally appreciates against the Swiss franc (CHF), and vice versa. How Interest Rate Differentials Influence AUD/CHF Higher Australian Interest Rates: When the RBA sets higher interest rates compared to the SNB, it attracts foreign capital seeking better yields. This increased demand for AUD leads to its appreciation against CHF, pushing the AUD/CHF exchange rate higher Lower Swiss Interest Rates: Switzerland traditionally maintains very low or even negative interest rates to prevent excessive appreciation of the CHF and support its economy. This low yield makes CHF less attractive relative to AUD when Australian rates are higher, further supporting AUD strength. Carry Trade Effect: The positive interest rate gap (for example, RBA at 4.25% vs SNB at 0.5%) incentivizes traders to buy AUDCHF to earn the interest rate differential (positive swap), which can sustain demand for AUD against CHF. Safe-Haven Status of CHF: Despite the interest rate differential, CHF often strengthens during times of global financial uncertainty due to its safe-haven status. This can offset the interest rate advantage of AUD, causing AUD/CHF to decline even if Australian rates are higher.
Short
by Shavyfxhub
AUD/CHF BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT Hello, Friends! AUD/CHF is trending down which is clear from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a classical trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 0.510. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
AUDCHF Is Very Bearish! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for AUDCHF. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.530. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.518. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
AUDCHF – Sell Setup Based on Weekly Resistance RejectionMarket Outlook: AUD/CHF has shown a clear rejection from a significant weekly resistance zone, indicating strong selling pressure from higher timeframes. This sets the context for a bearish bias moving forward. Technical Setup: On the 4-hour chart, price has broken below a rising trendline, signalling a potential trend shift. Price has also closed below the 50 EMA, confirming short-term bearish momentum. Trade Plan: I’ll be watching for a pullback to the broken trendline or the 50 EMA zone. If price retests and shows bearish rejection (e.g., bearish engulfing, pin bar, or trendline break in lower time frame), that would be my trigger to enter short. Risk Management: SL will be set above the recent swing high and the resistance zone. Risk-to-reward ratio aimed at 1:1 or better depending on entry. Conclusion: AUDCHF is showing strong signs of bearish reversal. I’ll wait for a clean retest and rejection before entering a sell. Watching price action closely around the pullback zone.
Short
by Amitrading
AUDCHF Wave Analysis – 7 May 2025 - AUDCHF reversed from resistance zone - Likely to fall to support level 0.5235 AUDCHF currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance area between the major resistance level 0.5375 (former multi-month low from last August), the upper daily Bollinger Band and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from February. The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the previous impulse wave C of the short-term ABC correction 4 from the start of April. Given the strength of the resistance level 0.5375, AUDCHF currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.5235 (low of the previous correction b).
Short
by FxProGlobal