AUDEUR trade ideas
EURAUD Potential Longs - Technical Outlook 17.06.2025Overall Trend & Context:
FX:EURAUD has been in an overall uptrend since mid May when price reacted off a daily demand level.
Technical Findings:
Price is currently trading just above the discount (equilibrium).
Would prefer to see it drop into the discount area - There are areas of demand on the 1h chart which we could possibly consider however the 4h demand shown on the chart above qualifies as a STRONG zone to trade from.
Notes:
If we see a 15m shift in structure it may be worth getting involved.
OANDA:EURAUD Buy SetupThe EURAUD pair is presenting a potential bullish opportunity. After forming a higher low and maintaining bullish structure, price action suggests a continuation to the upside. With favorable risk-to-reward parameters, this setup offers solid potential for intraday or short-term swing traders.
Trade Parameters:
Entry: Market Execution (ensure confirmation on lower timeframes)
Stop Loss: 1.77497
Target Levels:
Take Profit 1: 1.77899
Take Profit 2: 1.78839
As always, manage your risk accordingly and wait for confirmation before entry. Share your thoughts or charts in the comments. If this analysis adds value to your trading, consider hitting boost and following for more setups. Trade safe and stay disciplined!
EUR/AUD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/AUD is making a bullish rebound on the 12H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 1.762 level.
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EURAUD - Bearish Trend to Start - Harmonic + Divergence ComboHello Friends, Market after making series of HH and HLs, have finally made a fantastic Bearish Divergence on 1H time frame which is clear sign of correction.
Further market has almost completed AB=CD harmonic pattern, which is suggesting Potential Reversal Point as marked.
these confluences suggest a bearish trend to start
We are waiting for the neckline (HL) to break with a good candle and then we enter into the market with TP1 and TP2 with a R:R of 1:1 and 1:2 respectively. Further, place stoploss slightly above the HH.
#003 Investment Opportunity LONG EUR/AUD
The EUR/AUD pair is showing an interesting technical-macro context that suggests a possible bullish development in the next sessions. The analysis conducted integrates multi-timeframe elements, advanced indicators, institutional positioning and macroeconomic context, concluding in a coherent view in favor of a long position.
🔍 Multi-timeframe technical analysis (8H, D, W)
On 8H and daily timeframes, EUR/AUD has broken the descending bearish trendline and is building a new structure of higher lows above the long-term moving average. The weekly chart shows a consolidation above the static support of 1.7400, with candles that are starting to configure potential reversals.
📊 Main technical indicators
WaveTrend and RSI are bullish but not overbought, offering room for further extensions.
The Stochastic has just crossed upwards in the restart zone, confirming the market's intention to reverse the previous bearish push.
🌀 Harmonic patterns and cyclical
We are in the initial phase of a new bullish cycle. The completion of a possible "inverse Gartley" pattern coincides with the currently tested technical support levels. The short-term cyclical shows a clear end of the previous bearish cycle.
🧱 Key supports and resistances
The price has bounced strongly from the dynamic support represented by the 200-hour moving average and the static support in the 1.7420 area. The immediate target is the structural resistance at 1.7950, already tested in the past as a reaction point.
📈 Volumes and volume profile
The volume profile highlights a strong accumulation in the area between 1.7450 and 1.7550. No excess visible in the distribution, which suggests a still “light” movement with potential for expansion.
🕯 Candlestick patterns and price action
The last 8H candle is a bullish engulfing, closed above the moving average and with increasing volumes. The three previous candles show a compression and accumulation pattern.
🔗 Correlations and geometries
The divergence with AUD/USD (which appears weak) and the inverse correlation with EUR/JPY in strengthening give further strength to the bullish picture. Historical fractals also show symmetries that have occurred in similar macro contexts.
📊 Pattern Statistics
Similar patterns on EUR/AUD – post trendline breakout with bullish structure on 8H – have shown a positive outcome in 81% of cases on historical samples greater than 100.
📉 Retail Positioning
Current sentiment shows retail heavily positioned short, creating a potential contrarian effect in favor of buyers.
🏦 Institutional Positioning (COT)
COT data signals an increase in net long positions on the euro and a reduction on AUD, compatible with a directional reversal.
🧮 Fundamental Macroeconomic Analysis
EUR supported by expectations of monetary stabilization by the ECB, without new imminent tightening.
AUD penalized by weak exports and softer tones from the RBA.
Macro differential slightly in favor of EUR.
📊 Intermarket Relative Strength
EUR shows increasing strength against commodity currencies, including AUD. This reinforces the bullish thesis, also confirmed by the capital inflows on the euro.
📰 Real Sentiment and Newsflow
The latest macro news and institutional reports confirm a cautious positioning on the AUD. No imminent driver justifies a structural strengthening of the Australian currency.
🌪 Implied and Historical Volatility
Volatility is growing, but still within optimal historical ranges for sustained directional movements. The current ATR is above the average of the last 10 years, a favorable condition for breakouts.
📆 Macro Event Risk
No disruptive event expected in the next 48 hours. The economic calendar is neutral and does not threaten the technical structure in formation.
📉 Minimum Volatility Threshold
The current range and ATR exceed the minimum values of statistical validity, ensuring that the movement is not a false compression breakout.
euraud buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
EURAUD to find buyers at previous swing lows?EURAUD - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bullish.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
The selloff has posted an exhaustion count on the daily chart.
Bespoke support is located at 1.7490.
We look to Buy at 1.7490 (stop at 1.7460)
Our profit targets will be 1.7580 and 1.7600
Resistance: 1.7580 / 1.7610 / 1.7650
Support: 1.7500 / 1.7465 / 1.7430
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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EURAUD INTRADAY Bearish Wedge continuationTrend: Bearish
Current Move: Oversold bounce toward resistance
Key Resistance: 1.7645 – Prior consolidation zone
Key Supports:
1.7400 – Immediate support
1.7273 – Secondary support
1.7120 – Longer-term target
Scenario 1 – Bearish Continuation:
If price fails to break above 1.7645 and shows rejection (e.g. bearish candlestick pattern), expect a move lower toward 1.7400, and potentially 1.7273 and 1.7120 over time.
Scenario 2 – Bullish Reversal:
If price breaks and closes above 1.7645 on the daily chart, it would invalidate the bearish view and open up upside targets at 1.7770, 1.7885, and 1.8010.
Conclusion:
EURAUD remains bearish below 1.7645. A rejection at that level favors downside continuation. A daily close above 1.7645 would shift sentiment toward a bullish reversal. Monitor price action closely at this key level.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURAUD MARKET ANALYSIS AND PRICE PREDICTIONEURAUD, ended last week consolidating at the institutional renegotiation zone. I, believe this week the decision will favor the Bulls because price has already swept the sell side liquidity to activate an institutional buy order at the order block.
If the market favors the Bulls, price will break the renegotiation trend line with a shift candle creating an imbalance in the market, then price will come back to fill that imbalance and give the Bulls a perfect entry at 75% discount price of 1.75688 zone. The target will be the renegotiation resistance at 1.77063 zone to sweep the buy side liquidity. Lets watch together and see what happens by tomorrow and Tuesday this week.
Entry, stop loss and take profit are clearly marked out on the chat.
GOOD LUCK GUYS!
DICLAIMER
This analysis might fail due to market uncertainties. Take full responsibility of your capital and manage your own risk
EUR/AUD - Multi Time Frame Analysis 📆 Weekly Time Frame – Big Picture Bias: Bullish
Price has just completed a textbook Wave (4) correction and is setting up for a Wave (5) extension.
Pullback respected the long-term trendline and institutional demand zone.
The 71% Fibonacci retracement held perfectly, showing deeper correction but still in trend structure.
Expectation: Wave (5) toward 1.85 – 1.90, riding momentum from previous wave strength.
📉 Daily Time Frame – Setup in Motion
Clean (1)-(2)-(3)-(4) structure with recent bounce initiating Wave (5).
Volume builds on Wave (4) low — signs of accumulation.
Price bounced off the cloud and 200 EMA, holding bullish structure.
Last correction (Wave (4)) took the form of a bull flag / wedge, and has now broken to the upside.
Targeting the upper channel zone and major resistance levels toward 1.87–1.88.
⏱ 4H Time Frame – Precision Entry Zone
Current action shows price completing a minor abcde correction inside Wave (4).
Bounce is happening off a 71% fib zone with volume starting to rise — classic entry trigger zone.
Structure is forming higher lows, and price is reclaiming the cloud, signaling strength.
You can see momentum shifting as buyers defend the 1.6280–1.6330 range.
📌 High Probability Trade Setup:
Entry: 1.6300 – 1.6340
Stop Loss: 1.6150 (beneath Wave (4) low)
Take Profit: 1.7500 – 1.7700 (Wave (5) extension)
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3+
✅ Summary:
Trend: Bullish continuation
Wave Structure: Weekly Wave (5) just starting
Entry Catalyst: 4H wedge breakout from Wave (4)
Confluence: 71% Fib + Cloud + Trendline + Volume rise
Conviction: 🔥🔥🔥 (Very High Probability)
This is a multi-timeframe aligned swing opportunity — ideal for holding through to Wave (5) completion with precision risk control.