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AUDEUR trade ideas

EURAUD BUY TRADE PLAN 2🔥 **EUR/AUD TRADE PLAN 🔥** 📅 **Date:** 02 July 2025 📋 **Plan Overview** | Parameter | Details | | ---------- | ------------------------------ | | Type | Intra-day conditional breakout | | Direction | Buy stop (breakout plan) | | Status | Pending conditional trigger | | R\:R | 3:1 (minimum) | | Confidence | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (85%) | --- 📈 **Market Bias & Trade Type** Bias: Bullish continuation Type: Breakout (stop-order conditional plan) EUR/AUD is consolidating below a key breakout level (\~1.7965–1.7980) after a clean HTF bullish structure. D1 and H4 both show continuation bias; price is coiling beneath resistance. --- 🔰 **Confidence Level** ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (85%) * D1/H4 bullish BOS + HTF structure: 35% * Consolidation below resistance with compression: 30% * Macro alignment (EUR supported by relative strength, AUD neutral): 20% * Volume profile (build-up near top of range): 15% --- 📍 **Entry Zones** 🟩 **Primary (Breakout Stop):** Buy Stop @ 1.7983 (+3 pip buffer above 1.7980 range high) ❗ **Stop Loss** SL: 1.7910 (below last H1 swing low inside structure + ATR buffer) 🎯 **Take Profit Targets** 🥇 TP1: 1.8030 (first liquidity sweep + minor HTF resistance) 🥈 TP2: 1.8080 (measured move target + H4 resistance) 🥉 TP3: 1.8120 (extension level, trail runner if breakout accelerates) 📏 **Risk\:Reward** ~3:1 to TP2 --- 🧠 **Management Strategy** * Risk 1% of account (adjust lots accordingly) * Move SL to breakeven after TP1 * Scale: 50% TP1, 30% TP2, 20% trail for TP3 --- ⚠️ **Confirmation Checklist** ✅ H4/H1 candle body close above 1.7980 ✅ Volume spike on breakout ✅ London/NY session execution ✅ No major rejection wick at break --- ⏳ **Validity** H1 setup → 12–18 hours (expires end of NY session 03 July 2025) --- ❌ **Invalidation** * Clean return below 1.7910 = structure failure, plan voided * HTF bearish BOS against --- 🌐 **Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot** * ECB stance: Hawkish / AUD macro neutral * Sentiment score: +6 (EUR macro edge + technical structure) * No red flag macro contradiction * No opposing liquidity pool within immediate ATR --- 📋 **Final Trade Summary** ➡ Conditional buy stop breakout at 1.7983 if confirmation hits ➡ SL 1.7910, TP1 1.8030 / TP2 1.8080 / TP3 1.8120 ➡ Risk 1%, clean confirmation required --- ✅ **NOTE:** ⚠ This plan is conditional: no risk applied unless break and confirmation occur.
Long
by jibkhan111
EurAud SellBroken Trendline: The ascending channel has been clearly broken (highlighted by the yellow trendline break). This suggests the bullish momentum is exhausted, and we might be entering a bearish phase. Elliott Wave Pattern (1–5): You’ve correctly labeled an impulse wave down with five potential legs. Current price is possibly in Wave 4 retracement, and Wave 5 is expected to move downwards. Fibonacci Retracement Zone: Price is retracing into the 61.8%–78.6% zone (typical area for Wave 4 retracement). Rejection here is a prime area to look for sell confirmations. Liquidity Zones: The yellow highlighted box shows a liquidity sweep / possible order block area. This region may serve as a trap zone before dropping — ideal area to watch for bearish confirmation. Confluence Factors: Shooting Star candles at highs (sign of exhaustion). Market structure has shifted — Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) support bearish bias. Price rejected the weak high (labeled on chart), which also confirms sellers stepped in. Good Luck 🎯
Short
by AzdrenBytyqi
EURAUD - Bearish... but not for long!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. As per our last EURAUD analysis, attached on the chart, it rejected the upper bound of the blue channel and traded lower. What's next? 📈EURAUD is now retesting the lower bound of the channel. Moreover, the blue zone is a strong demand. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the lower blue trendline and demand. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURAUD is around the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
6
EURAUD Energy buildup - coiling pattern The EURAUD currency pair maintains a bullish bias, underpinned by the prevailing upward trend. Recent sideways consolidation in intraday price action suggests a potential continuation pattern within the broader uptrend. The key level to watch is 1.7880, marking the lower boundary of the recent consolidation range. A corrective pullback toward this level, followed by a bullish bounce, could trigger a fresh rally targeting resistance levels at 1.8020, then 1.8060, and potentially 1.8090 over the medium term. Conversely, a decisive breakdown below 1.7880, confirmed by a daily close beneath this support, would invalidate the current bullish outlook. This would expose the pair to deeper retracement targets near 1.7840, followed by 1.7810. Trend Bias: Bullish above 1.7880 Key Support: 1.7880, 1.7840, 1.7810 Key Resistance: 1.8020, 1.8060, 1.8090 Conclusion: EURAUD remains technically constructive while holding above 1.7880. Traders should monitor this level for bullish continuation signals. A bounce from this zone could reinforce the uptrend, while a break and close below it would shift momentum and open the door for a deeper corrective move.
by TradeNation
EUR/AUD Falling Channel Reversal SetupThe EUR/AUD pair is currently trading inside a well-respected falling channel structure on the 15-minute timeframe. Price action has been bouncing between a descending resistance trendline and a sloping support zone, confirming the integrity of the pattern. The pair recently rebounded from the lower boundary of the channel, indicating potential short-term bullish momentum ahead. This setup highlights a typical channel reversal bounce, offering a high-probability trading opportunity if the pair maintains upward pressure. 📈 Bullish Scenario – Intraday Channel Rebound The price has touched the support line near 1.7885 and is now climbing higher. Based on previous cycles, price tends to move from support to resistance within this channel. A bounce from this level may lead to a move toward the upper channel resistance zone around 1.7960–1.7970. The blue arrows illustrate the expected zig-zag movement within the channel. 📉 Bearish Scenario – If Support Fails If the price breaks below 1.7880, it would indicate a channel breakdown, invalidating the bullish setup. Such a move could lead to fresh downside targets near 1.7850 or lower, continuing the micro downtrend. 🎯 Intraday Trade Plan Buy Setup (Reversal Play): Entry: 1.7895–1.7905 (after candle confirmation on support) SL: Below 1.7875 TP: 1.7950–1.7970 (channel top) Sell Setup (on rejection or breakdown): Entry: Near 1.7960 resistance or breakdown below 1.7880 SL: Above 1.7980 TP: 1.7850 and below 🧭 Technical Outlook Summary Pattern: Falling Channel Bias: Short-term bullish (reversal from support) Key Zones: 1.7885 support | 1.7960 resistance Watch for breakout beyond channel for directional confirmation ================================================================= Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. =================================================================
by TradZoo
EUR/AUD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT Hello, Friends! We are going short on the EUR/AUD with the target of 1.772 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
EURAUD The current head of the European Central Bank (ECB) is Christine Lagarde. She has been serving as ECB President since November 2019, Lagarde has emphasized her commitment to steering the ECB through complex economic challenges, including inflation control and adapting monetary policy to evolving global conditions. the current key interest rates set by the European Central Bank (ECB) are as follows: Deposit Facility Rate: 2.00% Main Refinancing Operations Rate: 2.15% Marginal Lending Facility Rate: 2.40% These rates were last adjusted on June 11, 2025, when the ECB lowered the key interest rates by 25 basis points (0.25%) to reflect the updated inflation outlook and economic conditions. Additional Context: Inflation in the Eurozone is currently around the ECB’s medium-term target of 2%. The ECB’s Governing Council decided on the rate cut based on a downward revision of inflation projections for 2025 and 2026, partly due to lower energy prices and a stronger euro. The next ECB interest rate decision is scheduled for July 24, 2025. ECB Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel recently indicated that the bar for further rate cuts remains “very high” as the economy is holding up well. Summary Table of ECB Key Rates (as of June 11, 2025) Rate Type Interest Rate (%) Deposit Facility Rate 2.00 Main Refinancing Rate 2.15 Marginal Lending Rate 2.40 the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cash rate remains at 3.85%. This decision was made at the RBA’s July 8, 2025 meeting, where the board chose to hold rates steady despite widespread market expectations of a cut to 3.6% Key Points: The RBA has signaled that an easing cycle is likely coming, but it wants to wait for the release of the full quarterly inflation data at the end of July to confirm that inflation is on track to decline sustainably toward the target range (2–3%). Inflation has moderated, with trimmed mean inflation at 2.4% in May, within the target band. The board was divided: six members voted to hold rates, while three favored a cut. Market expectations now price in about an 85% chance of a 25 basis point cut to 3.60% at the next meeting on August 12, 2025. RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasized that the bank is reacting to domestic inflation and employment data and is prepared to adjust policy as needed, but is not holding rates high “just in case.” Summary Table Date Cash Rate (%) Board Decision Next Meeting Expectation July 8, 2025 3.85 Hold rates steady Likely 0.25% cut at August 12, 2025 Additional Context The RBA’s cautious approach reflects the need to confirm inflation trends before easing. The decision surprised markets that had anticipated an immediate cut due to slowing consumer spending and inflation within the target range. Governor Bullock acknowledged the challenges for borrowers but noted that housing prices, not just interest rates, affect affordability. EURAUD TRADE MATHE EU10Y=2.686% ECB RATE =2.0% AU10Y= 4.362% RBA RATE =3.85% INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL= EUR-AUD=2.0-3.85=-1.85% EURO BASE CURRENCY AND AUD QUOTE. FAVOUR AUD CARRY TRADE.THE TARRIF HAMMER ,AUDSTRALIA AND CHINA TRADE REMAINS A KEY TOOL FOR AUD STRENGTH. BOND YIELD DIFFERENTIAL= EURO-AUD =2.686%-4.362%=-1.676 FAVOUR AUD . BUT EURO ZONE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK WILL OFFSET YIELD AND BOND ADVANTAGE AS CHINA AUSTRALIA COMMODITIES MARKET IS DEPENDING MORE ON CHINA ,SO GLOBAL RESTRICTION ON EXPORT WILL GIVE EURAUD LONG POSITION. #EURAUD
Long
by Shavyfxhub