AUDEUR trade ideas
EURAUD: Bullish Continuation
The analysis of the EURAUD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to go up due to the rising pressure from the buyers.
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Bearish drop?EUR/AUD has reacted off the pivot, which is a pullback resistance and could drop to he 1st support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 1.77100
1st Support: 1.73968
1st Resistance: 1.78859
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EURAUD1. 10-Year Bond Yields and Interest Rate Differentials
Eurozone 10-Year Yield: ~3.2% (stable amid ECB’s cautious rate policy).
Australia 10-Year Yield: ~4.1% (higher due to RBA’s inflation focus).
Yield Spread:
4.1% (AUD)−3.2% (EUR)=+0.9%
Australia’s yield advantage supports AUD through carry trades.
Policy Rate Differential:
ECB Rate: 3.75% (cut by 25bps in June 2025).
RBA Rate: 4.35% (unchanged since late 2024).
Spread: +0.6% favoring AUD.
2. Carry Trade and Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP)
Carry Trade Bias: Investors borrow EUR (lower rate) to invest in AUD (higher rate), supporting AUD demand.
UIP Implications: According to UIP, AUD should depreciate to offset its yield advantage. However, persistent AUD strength (e.g., EUR/AUD near 1.75–1.77) suggests deviations due to risk appetite and commodity-driven AUD demand.
3. Upcoming Economic Data (June 1–5)
Date Event Currency Impact
June 2 Eurozone CPI (May) Higher inflation (>2.5%) could delay ECB cuts, boosting EUR.
June 3 AU Retail Sales (Apr) Strong sales (>0.5% MoM) may lift AUD.
June 4 Eurozone Unemployment Rate Rise above 6.5% pressures EUR.
June 5 AU Trade Balance (Apr) Surplus (>A$10B) supports AUD via export optimism.
Bearish Catalysts:
Wider AU-EU yield spreads and RBA’s hawkish stance.
Strong AU data (retail sales, trade balance).
Bullish Catalysts:
ECB inflation surprises or delayed rate cuts.
Risk-off sentiment weakening AUD (commodity-linked).
Summary Table
Factor Eurozone (EUR) Australia (AUD)
10-Year Yield 3.2% 4.1%
Policy Rate 3.75% 4.35%
Yield Spread +0.9% (AUD over EUR) —
Key Data CPI, Unemployment Retail Sales, Trade Balance
Carry Trade Bias Neutral-to-Bearish for EUR Bullish for AUD
#EURAUD
EURUSD - Short Opportunity Ahead EURUSD is currently approaching a key resistance level after a strong upward move. Price action is showing signs of exhaustion, and bearish signals are beginning to emerge. If the pair fails to break above the resistance and confirms a rejection, we may see a short-term pullback or a potential trend reversal.
A clean break below the recent support zone could provide a short opportunity, with possible downside targets near previous lows. As always, proper risk management is essential, especially in high-volatility conditions.
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Key Technical Points:
Price nearing a strong resistance zone
Bearish candlestick formation / divergence (if applicable)
Wait for confirmation before entering a short position
🔒 This is a trade idea for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
EURAUD INTRADAY Bearish rising wedge capped at 1.7645Trend: Bearish
Current Move: Oversold bounce toward resistance
Key Resistance: 1.7645 – Prior consolidation zone
Key Supports:
1.7400 – Immediate support
1.7273 – Secondary support
1.7120 – Longer-term target
Scenario 1 – Bearish Continuation:
If price fails to break above 1.7645 and shows rejection (e.g. bearish candlestick pattern), expect a move lower toward 1.7400, and potentially 1.7273 and 1.7120 over time.
Scenario 2 – Bullish Reversal:
If price breaks and closes above 1.7645 on the daily chart, it would invalidate the bearish view and open up upside targets at 1.7770, 1.7885, and 1.8010.
Conclusion:
EURAUD remains bearish below 1.7645. A rejection at that level favors downside continuation. A daily close above 1.7645 would shift sentiment toward a bullish reversal. Monitor price action closely at this key level.
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EURAUD: Bullish Continuation After BreakoutEURAUD appears to be bullish following a retest of a recently breached daily horizontal resistance.
On the 4-hour chart, I observe a descending channel formed after this test a breakout above its resistance line.
The likelihood of the price continuing to rise and reaching at least 1.7721 is quite high.
EURAUDWaiting for rejection off the liquidity zone.
Then I will look to sell from that zone.
Selling only after the break below the HMA and the retest of the liquidity zone
**This is just my trading thought process and does not constitute as financial advice.
**Please trade with proper risk management*
EURAUD (BOS + IMB + OTE)Hello traders!
Description: We have STB(Sell to Buy Action) - you can see it on 1H TF, which grab some liquidity and then made BOS. In this moment we can expect that price comeback to 0.5 and then i will look reversal on LFT, after closing IMB.
Entry: Confirmation on LTF in POI. Alarm on 0.5 Fib Level.
Target: HH
P.S: check also previous idea. We still have valid Demand on LTF.
Have a profitable day and don't forget to subscribe for more updates!
If you like this idea drop a like, leave a comment or write your pair, i will check.
EURAUD buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
EURAUD FORMING INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDER PATTERNEURAUD FORMING INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDER PATTERN AFTER A DOWNTREND.
EURAUD was forming bearish trend structure in last few sessions.
A breakout can be shown to the bearish trend structure.
An Inverted Head and Shoulder given a breakout on higher side.
Market is showing buyers strength by forming bullish candles.
Market is expected to rise in upcoming sessions.
Price may rise to the levels of 1.7860 and further in upcoming sessions.
On lower side price may test the resistance level of 1.7460.
euraud buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
EURAUD - Technical analysisHello dear traders! Welcome to this trading idea...
First, we have a few trading options here.
1. We can open short right now, with a small target profit at the previous resistance level...
2. Wait until the price tests our resistance level and sell or buy only after that.
3. Shorting position after the price comes down, an uprising diagonal (green) line, and will break down our marked red line price marking level.
In this situation, what we are waiting for is a selling opportunity. SELL
But... If the pair becomes bullish, we may go long later.
euraud buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
EUR_AUD WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅EUR_AUD price grew again
To retest the resistance of 1.7640
But it is a strong key level
So I think that there is a high chance
That we will see a bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.