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AUDJPY trade ideas

Worse places to be than long AUD/JPY if risk is rallyingIf we’re about to see investor risk appetite improve markedly, there are worse trades to have on than long AUD/JPY. It’s had a strong bounce today, helped initially by rising US bonds yields propelling USD/JPY higher before another bumper Australian jobs report reinforced the view the RBA may not need to cut interest rates this year. The bounce from 96.223 has seen the pair break through the downtrend dating back to the record highs in July. With momentum indicators providing bullish signals, upside looks far easier than downside near-term. With only minor resistance at 97.621 and the 50-day moving average in between, a retest of the important 200-day moving average may be on the cards. Ideally, it would have been nice to have caught the initial leg higher as Asian trade got underway. You can still go long here with a tight stop below the uptrend it’s been bouncing off since Monday, but a better long setup would be to either wait for a potential pullback towards 96.223, allowing for a stop to be placed below for protection. If no reversal arrives, you could wait to see whether the price can pierce 97.621, providing the opportunity to buy the break with a stop below for protection. From a fundamental perspective, one risk is the BOJ rate decision on Friday. Even though no move is expected, and that markets are already priced for more modest rate increases over the next 12 months, traders have been super-sensitive to signs of BOJ hawkishness recently. That could spark a reversal but it should not come as a surprise. Good luck! DS
Long
by FOREXcom
AUDJPY - 4hrs ( Buy Trade Target Range 300 PIP ) Pair Name: AUD/JPY Time Frame: 4-Hour Chart (Close) Scale Type: Large Scale Our objective is to spread knowledge and clarify the most important points for entry and exit. We'll explore key reasons for trade decisions, going beyond five factors, to deepen understanding rather than focus on profit. ——————————— Key Technical / Direction: Buy Opportunity Type: Mid-Term Swing (Trend lasting days to weeks) ————- ☑Bullish Break at 95.700 Area Reasons: 🦸‍♀️Major Turn Level: This level is a historically significant area where price has reversed or shown strong reactions in the past. A break above 95.700 indicates a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish, signaling potential upward movement. 🦸‍♀️Volume Visible Range HVN (High Volume Node): The HVN from the visible range volume profile shows where significant trading activity has occurred. This level represents an area of strong interest from institutional traders, and a break above it suggests that price is moving into a region where supply is limited, making it easier for price to rise. 🦸‍♀️Fixed Range Value: This is a key metric derived from volume profile analysis over a specific price range. The break above 95.700 indicates that price is overcoming a heavily traded zone, implying further bullish potential as the market seeks a new equilibrium above this area. 🦸‍♀️Key Level (10 Bounces): The 95.700 area has acted as support/resistance multiple times (10 bounces), signifying its importance as a key psychological and technical level. A break here would confirm the strength of buyers, who have defended or pushed the price at this level in the past. 🦸‍♀️Fibonacci Golden Zone Break: This refers to the 61.8% retracement level from a prior move. The golden zone is widely respected by traders, and a break above this level confirms a bullish continuation, signaling the potential for the uptrend to gain further momentum. 🦸‍♀️Inner Trend Break: Price action has been respecting an inner trendline, and the break of this line signals a potential reversal of the previous downtrend. This inner trend break supports the bullish case as it often leads to a shift in market structure. 🦸‍♀️CHoCH (Change of Character) Zone: The change of character zone refers to an area where the market shifts its behavior from bearish to bullish. A break of this zone confirms that buyers are taking control, making it a strong indicator for upward momentum.
Long
by GoldenEngine
AUD/JPY Uptrend Continuation from AR in Phase A to ST in Phase BIn the Wyckoff Distribution schematics, the transition from Automatic Rally (AR) in Phase A to Secondary Test (ST) in Phase B is crucial for understanding market behavior, especially on higher timeframes like the 12-hour chart of AUD/JPY. Phase A: Automatic Rally (AR) In Phase A, the AR is typically the first significant price increase after the Selling Climax (SC). This rally happens because the downward momentum loses steam, and the market begins to rebound, driven by buying pressure from smart money. On the AUD/JPY 12-hour chart, the AR indicates a potential shift in sentiment, showing that institutional players may be testing demand. Phase B: Secondary Test (ST) As we move into Phase B, the Secondary Test (ST) is where the market rechecks the demand that emerged during the AR. This phase "builds a cause" for future price moves by oscillating between support and resistance. The market may still look volatile, but the price generally holds above the AR level, which serves as a support zone. Traders can anticipate a gradual continuation of the uptrend if the ST remains above this key support. Forecast for Uptrend Continuation Given the Wyckoff pattern on the 12-hour AUD/JPY chart, we expect the uptrend to persist at current levels indicating a stronger upward move to perform the secondary test at levels near the BC. If the pair holds above the AR, a breakout into Phase C may soon follow. MY ENTRY SCENARIO:
Long
by VidaDeTraderPT
3
#AUDJPY 4HAUD/JPY 4H Forecast: Sell Signal Market Overview: The AUD/JPY currency pair is currently exhibiting a downtrend on the 4-hour chart, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. This bearish momentum suggests that sellers are in control, creating potential opportunities for short positions. Technical Indicators: Moving Averages: The 50-period and 200-period moving averages are both sloping downward, reinforcing the downtrend. RSI: The Relative Strength Index is trending below 50, indicating bearish momentum and the potential for further downside. MACD: The MACD histogram is negative, and the MACD line remains below the signal line, confirming the bearish sentiment. Key Levels: Resistance: Look for resistance around recent highs, approximately 93.00, which could act as a potential entry point for sell orders. Support: Key support levels are identified around 91.50. A break below this level could accelerate the downtrend. Strategy: Entry: Consider entering a sell position around the 93.00 resistance level or upon a confirmation of a break below the 91.50 support. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the recent high (around 93.50) to manage risk. Take Profit: Target the next support level at approximately 90.50 for potential profit taking. Conclusion: With the prevailing downtrend, technical indicators favor a bearish outlook for AUD/JPY. Monitor price action closely for opportunities to enter short positions while maintaining a disciplined risk management approach.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
Falling towards pullback support?AUD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance level which is a pullback resistance. Pivot: 95.59 1st Support: 94.20 1st Resistance: 97.52 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
AUDJPY Potential New UptrendAUDJPY has been on a downtrend since 3rd September. It has since tested a major Demand Zone thrice. Prices seem about to be making an uptrend from this point. I’ve plotted a Fibonacci Extension on the most recent impulse move and expect to ride the move up for a maximum of 60 pips. Another scenario would be prices make an even deeper retracement from here but my bias on the uptrend still remains. Will use the Fibonacci Retracement tool if this happens. Again, I will drop down to M15 to find a favourable entry, otherwise there will not be any entry.
Long
by shidiq
2
AUD/JPY H1 | Heading into overlap resistanceAUD/JPY is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 95.71 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 97.00 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level and a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 94.06 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
1