AUDJPY trade ideas
AUDJPY: Confirmed CHoCH & Bullish OutlookI have observed a confirmed Change of Character on 📈AUDJPY on a 4-hour chart.
Despite the overall bearish trend in the market, the price has managed to break through a minor bearish trend and a key horizontal resistance level.
This suggests that the market is likely to continue moving upwards.
The next resistance level to watch for is at 97.77.
Bullish bounce?AUD/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 96.54
1st Support: 95.68
1st Resistance: 97.86
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Another Shot at Breaking the Downtrend—Will This One Stick?AUD/JPY is making another attempt to break downtrend resistance dating back to the highs struck in July last year. With momentum indicators such as RSI (14) and MACD turning bullish, this attempt may prove more successful than January’s failed breakout.
The intersection of the downtrend with minor horizontal support at 96.80 looms as a key level in assessing near-term setups.
Longs could be established above it with a stop-loss order beneath, should the break hold. Targets include 97.78 and 99.10. If the breakout fails, shorts could be considered beneath, with a stop-loss placed above for protection. 95.00—where buyers have been lurking—is one potential target.
From a fundamental perspective, keep an eye on movements in US 10-year Treasury yields which have been a key driver not just for USD/JPY but also AUD/JPY recently.
Good luck!
DS
AUDJPY Is Recovering After The Wedge PatternAUDJPY pair is sharply and impulsively recovering after we spotted the wedge pattern, so it’s now rising in minimum three waves A/1-B/2-C/3 that can retrace the price back to the starting point of the wedge pattern and back to 99-100 area, especially if we consider an unfilled GAP at 98.35 level. Currently we can see it making a five-wave impulse into wave A/1, so after corrective pullback in wave B/2, be aware of a bigger rally within wave C or maybe even wave 3 if goes decisively above 100 area.
The ending diagonal (wedge) pattern is a special type of wave that occurs in wave 5 of an impulse or wave C of a correction. An ending diagonal pattern is a type of pattern that can occur at the completion of a strong move. It reflects a “calming” of the market sentiment such that price still moves generally in the direction of the larger move, but not strongly enough to produce an impulsive wave. Ending diagonals consist of five waves, labeled 1-2-3-4-5, where each wave subdivides into three legs. Waves 1 and 4 overlap in price, while wave 3 can not be the shortest amongst waves 1, 3 and 5.
The reason why they are so interesting is because they are indicating a reversal, usually a strong one, which can retrace the price back to the starting point of the pattern.
Buy Setup Retrospective: Missed Entry but good setupI missed the entry for this trade, but I like the analysis and setup. This trade aligns perfectly with my strategy—buying or selling from pivot lines (preferably monthly) with a 20-30 pip risk and an RR > 2.
Even though I didn’t take this trade, I’m sharing it as an example of what to look for in the markets.
AUDJPY Daily: more pain for the roos...The AUD has experienced a hard fall from July last year dropping almost 2000 pips(1931). It managed to recover some losses but could not keep the momentum and went back to a downward move, this time a more smooth one confirming a downtrend continuation. We noticed a false break u on the TL in confluence with the SMA(50) that has been acting as a dynamic Resistance. Yesterday NY closed with a bullish candle but couldn't break the 95.591 previous Support level(from Nov last year). The current candle seems to be an indecision one not showing any power from neither bulls or bears but due the todays news about the 25% US tariff on steel, that will have a negative effect on the Australia economy I believe the aud may continue its path downward targeting the 93.58sh level.
AUDJPY to continue in the downward move?AUDJPY - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bearish overall, a correction is possible without impacting the trend lower.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 95.25 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 94.50.
We look to Sell at 95.70 (stop at 96.05)
Our profit targets will be 94.70 and 94.50
Resistance: 95.50 / 95.70 / 96.00
Support: 95.25 / 95.00 / 94.50
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AUDJPY Is Going Down! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDJPY.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 96.297.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 95.036 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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AUD/JPY BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s red candle means that for us the AUD/JPY pair is in the downtrend. And the current movement leg was also down but the support line will be hit soon and lower BB band proximity will signal an oversold condition so we will go for a counter-trend long trade with the target being at 98.666.
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AUDJPY is Holding After Channel BreakoutHello Traders
In This Chart AUDJPY HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
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AUDJPY SHORT: Caixin Services PMI lower than estimatedChina's January Caixin Services PMI was 51.0 vs. 52.2 in December. This shows a slowing service sector in China. As a result of this economic news release, the Australian dollar is expected to potentially weaken against the Japanese yen. We must remember that China is one of Australia's biggest trading partners, so anything that happens in China will almost always affect the Australian dollar.