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AUDJPY trade ideas

AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D20 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D20 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly Order block rejection ✅15' Order block to be confirmed ✅4H Order block ✅1H Order block 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
Markets in Motion: Fed, Geopolitics, and the Next Big Move This week’s midweek market review dives into the critical catalysts shaking global markets—just ahead of the pivotal FOMC decision. 📉 Is the U.S. dollar heading for a deeper slide? 🏆 Will gold break past its all-time highs again? ₿ Can Bitcoin sustain momentum amid geopolitical risk and Fed uncertainty? We unpack: Key economic data driving DXY Gold’s safe-haven surge and central bank demand Bitcoin’s resilience, ETF flows, and macro headwinds Geopolitical flashpoints in the Middle East and their market implications Stay ahead of the curve with real-time insights to help you navigate the markets confidently into the weekend and beyond. 🔔 Don’t forget to like, subscribe, and hit the bell to stay updated with our weekly outlooks!
by DeanMuller
Lingrid | AUDJPY Short-Term Bearish Move from ResistanceFX:AUDJPY posted a strong rally to a new Higher High, but the recent breakout above resistance at 94.85 proved to be false, with price pulling back beneath the resistance zone. The pair is now consolidating just below this level, showing early signs of potential weakness. A confirmed rejection and breakdown below 94.20 would reinforce the bearish case for a move back toward 93.50. 📈 Key Levels Buy zone: 93.50–93.70 Sell trigger: loss of 94.00–94.20 support Target: 93.50 Buy trigger: strong reclaim of 94.85 resistance 💡 Risks Re-entry above the broken resistance could revive bullish momentum Price structure remains within a broader uptrend unless 93.50 breaks Lower volatility could limit short-term follow-through Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Short
by Lingrid
7
AUD/JPY ShortSell-limit (primary) 93.90 — front-runs the twin highs at 94.00 (May and again last week). Stop-loss 95.10 — just above the 2024 YTD peak and round-number 95; if price closes above, the breakout is real. Take-profit 1 91.50 — first daily support shelf; locks ~240 pips (≈ 1.6 R) and is often the first bounce zone. Take-profit 2 88.50 — November-2023 base / 200-day SMA; full mean-reversion target (~540 pips, ≈ 3.6 R). Filter to keep order Only leave the order active while the daily candle closes ≥ 93.80 (shows the lid is still respected). GTC Cancel the order if unfilled after 5 trading days; reassess next week. Quick rationale Fundamentals: RBA leaning dovish; JPY could firm on BoJ hawkish hints & intervention risk. Technical: Double-top near 94; bearish RSI divergence on daily; room down to 91s/88s. Risk-reward: 120-pip risk vs. 240 / 540-pip reward = 1.6 R and 3.6 R pay-offs. Place the limit, set the filter alert on daily closes, and let the trade come to you—no need to babysit intraday moves.
Short
by tradercat2025
AUDJPY 4H Short Setup📕 Smart Money Trade Breakdown 🔻 AUDJPY 4H Short Setup This is a short entry on AUDJPY, taken from a premium price zone within an Order Block (O-B) and Supply & Demand (S&D) area, showing strong bearish rejection after internal market structure shift. 📉 Entry: 94.096 🎯 Take Profit: 90.136 🛡️ Stop Loss: 95.399 ⚖️ Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3 🔍 Key Confluences: Entry within a well-defined Order Block and S&D zone Price reacted to upper supply with a visible wick rejection Break of internal structure (M15-H1) shows bearish intent Bearish engulfing on confirmation candle Trendline break suggests end of bullish wave This setup aims to catch the institutional distribution phase before price retraces to discount demand around the 90.100 zone or lower. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes. Apply proper risk management and strategy validation before live execution.
Short
by sksglobaltraders24on
AUDJPY SELL SIGNAL – GLOBAL HORNS🦘 AUDJPY SELL SIGNAL – GLOBAL HORNS 🕰️ Timeframe: 4H 📉 Direction: SELL 📍 Entry: 94.40 (active) 🎯 Target: 93.94 ⏳ Duration: usually within a few days max 📊 Context: Price surged into a key reaction zone and is now stalling. I'm looking for a short-term pullback to the 93.94 area, which aligns with recent structural retests (see arrows). Trade is already active. 📌 No stop loss — this is managed by time and price behavior. If target isn't hit by the window, I’m out. 🧠 As always, this is not financial advice. Just showing what I’m doing. #GlobalHorns #AUDJPY #Forex
Short
by GlobalHorns
AUDJPY Will Go Higher! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for AUDJPY. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 94.496. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 95.595 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D17 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D17 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly Order block rejection ✅15' Order block ✅Daily order block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDJPYAUDJPY: 10-Year Bond Yields, Interest Rates, Bank Lending Rates, and Carry Trade Advantage (June 2025) 1. 10-Year Government Bond Yields Australia (AUD): The 10-year Australian government bond yield is currently around 4.48%–4.53%. Japan (JPY): The 10-year Japanese government bond yield is about 1.48% as of June 16, 2025. 2. Central Bank Interest Rate Decisions Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA): The RBA cut its cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.85% in May 2025, citing progress in reducing inflation and global uncertainties. Bank of Japan (BOJ): The BOJ held its key short-term policy interest rate steady at 0.5% at its June 2025 meeting, maintaining the highest level since 2008. 3. Bank Lending Rates Australia: The average overdraft bank lending rate is 10.51% as of April 2025. Japan: The long-term prime bank lending rate is 2.05% (April 2025), while the average commercial bank lending rate is reported at 1.625% as of February 2025. 4. Interest Rate Differential Policy Rate Differential:3.85%3.85% (RBA) − 0.5%0.5% (BOJ) = 3.35%. 10-Year Bond Yield Differential:4.48%4.48% (Australia) − 1.48%1.48% (Japan) = 3.00%. 5. Carry Trade Advantage Mechanism: Investors borrow in the low-yielding Japanese yen (JPY) and invest in higher-yielding Australian dollar (AUD) assets, profiting from the interest rate differential. Current Advantage: The wide gap in both policy rates and bond yields makes AUDJPY one of the most attractive carry trade pairs in 2025. The 3.35%–3.00% differential offers steady potential returns, especially in a stable or risk-on market environment. Risks: If global risk sentiment deteriorates, the yen can strengthen rapidly as a safe haven, unwinding carry trades. Sudden shifts in RBA or BOJ policy could narrow the differential and reduce the carry trade's appeal. 6. Summary Table Factor Australia (AUD) Japan (JPY) Differential / Impact 10Y Bond Yield 4.48–4.53% 1.48% 3.00% (AUD advantage) Policy Rate 3.85% 0.5% 3.35% (AUD advantage) Bank Lending Rate 10.51% 1.625–2.05% AUD much higher Carry Trade Outlook High yield, attractive Low yield, funding Strong incentive for AUDJPY long Conclusion The AUDJPY pair is strongly supported by a wide interest rate and bond yield differential, making it a favored target for carry trade strategies in 2025. The RBA’s relatively high rates and the BOJ’s ultra-low rates, combined with stable economic conditions, provide a consistent yield advantage for investors holding long AUDJPY positions. However, traders should monitor global risk sentiment and central bank policy shifts, as these can quickly change the carry trade landscape
Long
by Shavyfxhub
Could BOJ's "HOLD" on Rates Turn AUDJPY "On Its Head"?Here I have a Multi-Timeframe analysis on OANDA:AUDJPY which is giving multiple signs of Higher Prices potentially to come!! First on the Daily we can see that Price formed a Hammer Candle after testing the March 11th Support Zone and as the next Daily candle forms (Today), we are already seeing a Bullish Confirmation candle begin! *Bullish Engulfing would be a textbook Confirmation Candle! Now zooming into the 4Hr / 1 Hr Charts, this Hammer is formed by what looks to be a very Strong Reversal Pattern, the Inverted Head and Shoulders! Now we are still waiting for the Confirmation of the Pattern where Price needs to rise to the "Neckline" or Resistance Level. Once Confirmed, we will look for a Breakout of the Pattern and if Validated, could deliver great Long Opportunities as a Breakout and Retest of the Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern! If the Pattern is Successful, we could expect the Price Target to be at the next level of Resistance being the 95.3 - 95.6 Area! Fundamentally, the BOJ begins the week with Policy Rate decision Monday evening where they forecast a HOLD on Interest Rates, staying at .5%. This could have drastic implications on the JPY, potentially weakening it.
Long
by Novi_Fibonacci
AUD/JPY Bulls Eye 95+ After Bullish ReversalAUD/JPY bounced sharply on Thursday, snapping a 3-day losing streak with a solid bullish-range session. The rally kicked off from a bullish pinbar above 92, where the higher low reinforces support and the broader bullish case. The 1-hour chart shows a clean breakout from an inverted head and shoulders pattern, pointing to a target around 95.50. With resistance at the April high (95.30), March high (95.75), and the 96 handle, there’s still room for bulls to run. Dips toward 94 may offer opportunities to join the trend — but a break back below the neckline would shift the tone back to risk-off. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Long
by CityIndex