Continuation WedgeThe price broke a 4 hour trendline followed by a pullback as a wedge pattern on the 1 hour timeframe and now the price looks to make a bearish move
WE ONLY TRADE PULLBACKS
AUDJPY trade ideas
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D26 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D26 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly Order block rejection
✅4H Order block identification
✅15' Order block identification
✅4H 50EMA target
✅Daily 50 EMA target
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Market buy scenarioWill the market continue to break down or break up and retest the zones plotted for this week
AUD/JPY “Aussie vs. Yen” Skyrocketing Safari!🌈 G’day, Forex Adventurers & PIP Hunters! 🌏✨
Join our epic AUD/JPY Forex expedition! 🦘🚀 Our Stellar Navigator Strategy fuses pinpoint technicals with powerful fundamentals to chase profits in the Aussie-Yen jungle. Ready to soar to new heights and grab those pips? Let’s embark on this bullish quest! 🌍💰
🌟 The Stellar Navigator Plan
Entry Points 🛫:
🦅 Bullish Launch: Jump in after a breakout above the Sky High at 94.800—your cue for bullish gains!
🐾 Pullback Path: Place buy limit orders near the 15M/30M support (94.200) for a savvy entry.
Pro Tip: Set alerts to spot the breakout spark! 🔔
Stop Loss (SL) 🛡️:
Bullish Trade: Secure SL at the 2H support (93.600) for day trades.
Tailor SL to your risk, lot size, and order count. This is your safety net—keep it snug! ⚠️
Take Profit (TP) 🎯:
Bullish Explorers: Aim for the Star Peak at 96.500 or exit if the momentum dips.
Scalpers: Grab quick pips on the long side, but lock in gains with trailing stops! 🚨
🌏 Why AUD/JPY?
The Aussie’s soaring 📈 as of May 12, 2025, powered by:
Fundamentals: RBA’s 4.35% rate dwarfs BoJ’s 0.1%, boosting AUD.
Macroeconomics: Australia’s commodity boom (gold, iron ore) outpaces Japan’s slow recovery.
COT Data (May 9, 2025): Rising AUD net longs signal bullish sentiment (source: CFTC).
Intermarket: AUD/JPY tracks Nikkei 225’s risk-on rally.
Quantitative: RSI (14) at 59 and a break above the 50-day SMA (93.57) confirm upward momentum.
📊 Sentiment Snapshot (May 12, 2025, UTC+1)
Retail Traders:
🟢 Bullish: 53% 😊 (RBA strength, China trade optimism)
🔴 Bearish: 37% 😣 (Yen safe-haven demand on tariff risks)
⚪ Neutral: 10% 🤔
Institutional Traders:
🟢 Bullish: 46% 💼 (Commodity demand, risk-on flows)
🔴 Bearish: 39% ⚠️ (BoJ intervention fears, US yields)
⚪ Neutral: 15% 🧐
📰 Market Buzz (May 12, 2025)
- US-China trade progress lifts risk appetite, pushing AUD/JPY to 94.50.
- Easing tariff concerns weaken JPY safe-haven appeal.
- Japan’s soft consumer spending data pressures JPY.
📡 Risk Navigation ⚡
Markets can be wild—tread carefully:
- Avoid new trades during major news (RBA, BoJ, US CPI).
- Use trailing stops to protect profits and cap losses.
- Watch for BoJ moves if JPY weakens sharply! 🌪️
💸 Real-Time Market Data (May 12, 2025, UTC+1)
- Forex: AUD/JPY at 94.50, up 0.5% daily (source: Financial Juice).
- Commodities CFD: Gold (XAU/USD) at 2,650, up 0.2%; Iron Ore at 105.50, flat.
- Metals: Silver (XAG/USD) at 31.820, down 1.3%.
- Energies: WTI Crude Oil at 78.40, up 0.6%.
- Crypto: BTC/USD at 62,300, down 0.5%.
- Indices: Nikkei 225 at 39,200, up 0.7%; ASX 200 at 7,850, up 0.4%.
🚀 Join the Stellar Navigator Squad!
Smash the Boost Button to supercharge our Stellar Navigator Strategy and make this safari epic! 🌟 Every boost empowers our crew to dominate the markets. Let’s conquer AUD/JPY together! 🤝
Stay glued to your charts, keep alerts active, and vibe high. See you in the profits, adventurers! 🤑🎉
#StellarNavigator #AUDJPY #AussieYen #TradingView #ChaseThePips
audjpy head and shoulder patternunderstanding the head and shoulder pattern watch for opportunities as the market goes
AUDJPY Wave Analysis – 6 June 2025
- AUDJPY broke resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 95.30
AUDJPY currency pair recently broke the resistance area between the resistance level 93.75 (top of the previous B-wave from the end of May) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse A from last month.
The breakout of this resistance area should accelerate the active short-term correction B.
AUDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 95.30 (which stopped the previous waves 4 and (A)).
AUDJPY Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDJPY.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 92.389.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 92.931 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
AUDJPY Upward Movement💡 Buy Market Order @ 92.594
🎯 Target Profit 93.777
🛑 Stop Loss 92.003
❌ Do not risk more than 1% of your account on each trade
Description:
We have a liquidity sweep right at the mentioned "Demand Zone". The price is expected to continue its direction in the same direction of the main trend toward the "Relative Equal Highs" at 93.777 mark.
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Risk Disclaimer: All trading ideas published by “PriceActionDesk” are for educational purposes only. These posts can help you to enhance your trading skills, but please do your own research before opening any trading position. ⚠️
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🙂 Good Luck!
Long buddy!!!Steady long bias for this pair
My macd, price action, divergence strategy have all been triggered.
What are your thoughts?
94.00-94.500 is my weekly target
Trade safely my friends
AUDJPY Swing BuysAUDJPY will continue to grow into June and possibly for the rest of June as well. An inverse head and shoulders pattern is forming on the daily chart.
AudJpy Trade IdeaWith AJ still ranging between 92.240 and 93.535 I've decided to execute longs with a 1:3rr target. Last week we had price respect 92.240 before flipping structures. With price still respecting 92.240 and flipping back to bullish on the smaller time frame longs should still be in play where 93.535 could potentially get tapped back into again with price showing a range continuation. We'll see what happens.
AUD/JPY For Bullish as pull-backyou can go long now
or
wait for pull-back near by entry point and then go long
general trend is down trend
current phase is pull-back
have fun :)
HTF 50EMA POWER PLAY - AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D23 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D23 Y25
HTF 50EMA POWER PLAY
BE SMART- AWAIT A BREAK OF STRUCTURE FIRST!
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅4H Order Block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅15' order block identified
✅4H 50EMA
✅Daily 50 EMA
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
AUDJPYAUD/JPY Bond Yield Differential and Carry Trade Analysis ,the current interest rate differential
Bond price will be watched as carry are looking for directional bias on a cautious note .
Australia 10-year bond yield: drops from 4.5 % to 4.391 a drop today
Japan 10-year bond yield: 1.53%
Interest rate differential: 3.00% (AUD yield − JPY yield)
Carry Trade Mechanics
The AUD/JPY carry trade involves borrowing low-yielding Japanese yen (JPY) to invest in higher-yielding Australian dollar (AUD) assets, profiting from the 3% yield spread. For example:
Borrow ¥15 million at 0.1% (JPY rate) and convert to AUD.
Invest in Australian bonds or deposits yielding 4.53%.
Annual profit: ~3% (minus transaction costs and currency fluctuations).
Key Drivers and Risks
Opportunities
Yield Advantage: The 3% differential offers steady returns in low-volatility conditions.
AUD Resilience: Improved global trade sentiment (e.g., US-China tariff reductions ) supports AUD demand.
BoJ Policy: Japan’s gradual monetary tightening (10-year JGB yield at 1.53%, up from 0.99% in 2024 ) has not yet erased the yield gap.
Risks
RBA Rate Cuts: The Reserve Bank of Australia recently cut rates to 3.85% , which could pressure AUD yields downward.
JPY Appreciation: BoJ’s hawkish tilt and safe-haven demand during market stress could strengthen JPY, eroding carry profits.
Currency Volatility: AUD/JPY has faced downward pressure, trading near 93.00 in May 2025 . A 5% JPY rally could wipe out the annual interest gain.
Strategic Considerations for Traders
Factor Impact on Carry Trade
Yield Spread 3% provides baseline return
AUD/JPY Stability Critical to preserving capital
Central Bank Policies Monitor RBA/BoJ for rate changes
Global Trade Dynamics US-China tensions affect AUD
Historical Performance and Outlook
In 2024, similar yield spreads generated 4–5% annual returns for AUD/JPY carry trades .
Forecasts suggest the spread may narrow slightly if the RBA continues easing, but remains attractive compared to other pairs like USD/JPY (4.25% vs. 0.1% ).
Conclusion
The AUD/JPY carry trade remains viable in May 2025, leveraging a 3% yield differential. However, traders must hedge against JPY strength and monitor RBA/BoJ policy shifts. While the strategy offers steady returns in stable markets, currency volatility and central bank actions pose significant risks.
#forex #audjpy
AUDJPY BULLISHTechnically:
AUDJPY is printing bullish divergene.
AUDJPY break bearish trendline and retest as support.
AUDJPY is 0.38 fib retracement on daily timeframe
AUD/JPYLiquidity Sweep could be in the making. Great area to buy after the longs stop losses have been triggered. Expect price to come back into range.
AUDJPY Retest Watch for 95AUDJPY has successfully broken out of a long-standing descending trendline on the daily timeframe, signaling a potential trend reversal after a prolonged bearish phase. This breakout was followed by a classic retest, where price pulled back to validate the previous resistance line now acting as new support.
Key Technical Observations:
The trendline, connecting multiple swing highs since late 2023, has been clearly violated to the upside.
A minor consolidation followed the breakout, which now appears to be testing the broken trendline.
The pair is forming higher lows, suggesting bullish intent and buyer interest on the retest.
Bullish Scenario:
Entry Zone: Around 92.00–92.50, during or after the retest confirmation.
Target 1: 95.00 (previous swing high)
Target 2: 96.68 (Fibonacci extension and prior horizontal resistance)
Target 3: 101.37 (major resistance from late 2023)
Stop Loss: Below 91.20 or under the retest low (safe zone: around 90.80).
Alternative (Bearish) Scenario:
If the price fails to hold above the broken trendline and closes below 91.00, the breakout could be a false move.
In that case, downside pressure may push the price back toward 88.14 support.
Technical Context:
This setup is based on trendline breakout and retest, where a break and successful retest of a long-term descending trendline often leads to a bullish continuation. In essence, the structure of the chart reflects a potential trend reversal.
AUDJPY Wave Analysis – 21 May 2025
- AUDJPY reversed from key resistance level 95.30
- Likely to fall to support level 92.00
AUDJPY currency pair recently reversed down from the key resistance level 95.30 (which has been reversing the price from the middle of March).
The downward reversal from the resistance level 95.30 started the active intermediate correction (B).
Given the strength of the resistance level 95.30 and clear daily downtrend, AUDJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 92.00.
AUDJPY Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
AUDJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 92.666 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 93.784
Recommended Stop Loss - 92.004
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDJPY higher bearish for expect
OANDA:AUDJPY interesting structure, trend line is breaked and we can see bearish flag also is breaked.
Currently here expecting to see higher fall.
SUP zone: 93.600
RES zone: 91.500, 90.600
AUD/JPY Bearish setupHi Traders.
HnS Pattern
Breakout from chanel
Bearish continuation Pattern
Wait for the breakout from the bearish correction to confirm this setup
AUDJPY at Key Resistance Level: Will it Drop To 92.850?OANDA:AUDJPY is approaching a key resistance level that has previously acted as a strong barrier, triggering bearish momentum in the past. Given its historical significance, how price reacts here could set the tone for the next move.
If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 92.850 level. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Best of luck!
