AUDNZD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAUDNZD has finally broken out of a well-formed falling wedge pattern on the 12H timeframe, signaling a potential bullish reversal. After a sustained downtrend, price consolidated within the wedge, indicating decreasing bearish momentum. The recent breakout confirms buyer strength and opens the door for a fresh upside swing. The current price sits around 1.072, and based on technical structure and projected pattern targets, we could be heading towards the 1.105 zone.
From a fundamental standpoint, the Australian Dollar is gaining support due to rising commodity demand and hawkish tones from the RBA, hinting at a possibility of sustained higher interest rates. On the other hand, the New Zealand Dollar has been under pressure due to softer-than-expected CPI data and growing speculation that the RBNZ might be done with its tightening cycle. This divergence in central bank stance adds fuel to the AUDNZD bullish narrative. Today’s macro releases show stable Australian employment data and a dip in New Zealand’s retail figures, which further supports the bullish view.
This setup offers a solid risk-to-reward ratio, especially with a clean invalidation below 1.062. If the momentum sustains, price may accelerate quickly toward the 1.105 target. Market participants should also keep an eye on DXY (US Dollar Index) correlations and global risk sentiment, which could amplify volatility across AUD and NZD pairs.
As a professional trader, I’ll be monitoring price action closely near lower timeframes for confirmation entries and managing the trade with dynamic stop-loss adjustments. This breakout is technically clean, fundamentally supported, and strategically aligned with the current macro backdrop – making it a high-probability swing setup worth sharing.
AUDNZD trade ideas
AUDNZD at Key Support Level: Will Buyers Step In?OANDA:AUDNZD has reached a major support level, marked by prior price rejections and strong buying pressure. This area has historically acted as a demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bullish reaction if buyers step in again.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this support level, there is a high probability of an upward move. I anticipate that, if rejection occurs, the market may head higher toward the 1.07940 level, which serves as a logical target within the current structure. However, a break below this support would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further downside.
This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
AUDNZD Hits Key Resistance at 1.0787 – A Bearish Move Ahead? AUDNZD Hits Key Resistance at 1.0787 – A Bearish Move Ahead?
AUDNZD recently tested a significant resistance zone at 1.0787, an area of historical importance.
The price has previously spent time around this level, reinforcing its relevance.
Given the ongoing bearish trend, AUDNZD could decline toward 1.0717 and 1.0680 in the coming days.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Long trade
AUDNZD Buyside Trade – Full Journal
Date/Time: Monday, 28th April 2025, 6:00 PM (Tokyo Session PM)
Pair: AUDNZD
Session: Tokyo PM
Entry TF: (5min)
Structure (30min)
🔹 Entry: 1.07603
🔹 Take Profit: 1.08119 (+0.48%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.07487 (–0.11%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 4.45
Trade Reasoning
Price showed a bullish internal shift in structure with consecutive higher lows into the Tokyo PM session.
30min TF
Bullish rise?AUD/NZD has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.0755
1st Support: 1.07256
1st Resistance: 1.09043
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AUDNZD: Short Signal Explained
AUDNZD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short AUDNZD
Entry - 1.0768
Sl - 1.0795
Tp - 1.0722
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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AUDNZD Will Go Higher From Support! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDNZD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.079.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.097 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDNZD Rejected – CPI & RBA Dovish Bias Pressures AussieKey Resistance Zone: 1.0780 – 1.0800
The pair tested this area twice and failed to break above, forming a clear double-top pattern. This is a bearish signal suggesting buyers are exhausted.
Price Action:
A strong bearish rejection candle followed the second resistance test, aligning with historical resistance and structure. The pair is now showing signs of reversal.
Support Levels to Watch:
🥅 Target 1: 1.0707 – Previous consolidation zone
🥅 Target 2: 1.0677 – Key swing low
📉 Stop Loss: Above 1.0800
Pattern: Rising wedge structure breaking down, signaling downside continuation.
🔍 Fundamental Analysis
🇦🇺 Australia (AUD) – Weakness Potential
RBA’s Dovish Leaning:
RBA Assistant Governor Kent emphasized external FX market risks and cautious positioning on monetary tightening, which dampens rate hike expectations【source: RBA speech】.
Key Data Incoming:
April 30: Quarterly CPI data
Forecasts suggest core inflation might ease, reducing pressure on the RBA to act. If CPI undershoots, it could trigger AUD selling.
AUD also faces pressure from global growth fears and risk-off sentiment.
🇳🇿 New Zealand (NZD) – Relative Strength
While the RBNZ has already started easing, the NZD has shown resilience amid improving trade balance and stable economic performance.
NZ Business Confidence is also due, which could influence near-term NZD moves, but broader positioning supports the Kiwi.
🧠 Sentiment Overview
The risk-reward favors shorts here:
Clear technical rejection
Bearish macro backdrop for AUD
Relative NZD strength
CPI data will be the key catalyst, and positioning ahead of it looks justified given current chart structure.
📝 Conclusion:
AUDNZD looks primed for a downside correction after repeated rejections at a major resistance zone. With dovish RBA commentary and potential soft inflation data ahead, short setups are favored with targets at 1.0707 and 1.0677.
AUD/NZD "Aussie vs Kiwi" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Day/Swing Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (1.07300) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
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📍 Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (1.06700) Day / Swing trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 1.08600 (or) Escape Before the Target
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As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
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AUD/NZD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/NZD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 1H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.070 area.
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AUDNZD (4H) Symmetrical Triangle Breakout+Falling Wedge ReversalOn the 4-hour chart of AUDNZD, the market has completed a compression phase inside a symmetrical triangle, nested within a larger falling wedge structure. Both patterns suggest a potential bullish reversal after an extended downward trend.
The breakout occurred to the upside, with price moving above the triangle and breaking through short-term resistance around 1.0713. Volume increased on the breakout, confirming genuine buyer interest. If the price holds above this level and breaks 1.0766, it opens the path to the next major target at 1.0844, aligned with the previous key swing level.
Technical picture:
– Symmetrical triangle breakout confirmed
– Price also broke out of the falling wedge
– Volume expansion on the move
– Bullish realignment of EMAs is starting
– Holding above 1.0713 + breaking 1.0766 will activate the next phase
Fundamental backdrop:
The Australian dollar is benefiting from resilience in the commodity and export sectors, while the New Zealand dollar faces pressure from weakening inflation and growing expectations of monetary easing by the RBNZ. This economic divergence creates short-term advantage for AUD over NZD.
This double-pattern setup confirms the transition from consolidation to bullish impulse. Holding above 1.0713 and a confirmed break above 1.0766 would unlock a move toward 1.0844. These patterns offer clean early entries into trend reversals.
Watch This Wedge! AUDNZD Primed for Upside PushThe AUDNZD pair forms a falling wedge pattern, a bullish reversal formation that typically occurs after a downtrend. The price action is being squeezed between a descending resistance line and a descending support line, creating a narrowing range. The market is now attempting to break out of the wedge, with the current price testing the resistance line. A breakout and close above this trendline would signal bullish strength and could lead to a reversal of the recent downtrend.
Targets:
TP1: 1.07605
TP2: 1.07922
Stop Loss: Below the recent low at 1.06542
AUDNZD Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view, the price will rise to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
AUDNZD: Weak Market & Bearish Forecast
Looking at the chart of AUDNZD right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move down seems to be quite likely.
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AUDNZD Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends
On the AUDNZD currency pair chart, we are witnessing the formation of a complete Elliott wave pattern. These waves from 1 to 5 are quite clear and we can even count its sub-waves. Now a 5-wave pattern has formed, with wave C completed by a range.
Wave 5 of wave C is a contracting triangle.
Now the upper trend line of this triangle has been broken and pulled back.
So we expect the price to grow. Any situation may arise.
The first target is also the 1.08400 range.
The stop loss is also considered the 1.06500 range.
Good luck and be profitable.
AUDNZD giving signs to start a bullish trendbullish divergence and price breaking trendline, these are some confluences that give a hint for a reversal trend, but one and most important factor to consider for a bullish trend is that if price breaks the marked LH, and for that I have also placed buy stop order on the chart with marked SL and TP