AUD_NZD BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅AUD_NZD broke the key
Horizontal level of 1.0980
And we are bearish biased now
So we will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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AUDNZD trade ideas
AUD/NZD Short term sell great potential.Hi dear friends, we would be looking at the AUD/NZD which has formulated a short term descending channel on the RSI ,
Entry : 1.09744
Take profit : 1.09500
Stop loss : 1.09852
As always my friends happy trading!
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POTENTIAL PRICE REVERSAL AREAI see a possible price reversal from current area, it that happens,l price will head to 09858. If 09858 is broken, I'll change my bias for long because it's an area that have been tested multiple times. If it holds, then I'll continue shorting pair
AUDNZD Buy### Trade 1 - Buy AUDNZD Analysis
#### Factors Overview:
1. **Seasonals**:
- NZD is bullish (25 Nov - 11 Dec), while GBP is neutral.
- **Bias**: Slightly favors NZD.
2. **COT Index**:
- NZD at the bottom, GBP near the top.
- **Bias**: Favors AUD due to stronger relative COT positioning.
3. **Non-Commercials**:
- GBP shows "Buy," while NZD indicates "Sell."
- **Bias**: Favors AUD.
4. **Endogenous Factors (Endo)**:
- NZD is decreasing, while GBP remains neutral.
- **Bias**: Supports AUD.
5. **Exogenous Factors**:
- **GDP**: Positive for GBP, negative for NZD → Favors AUD.
- **BOP Change**: Negative for GBP, positive for NZD → Favors NZD.
- **Stocks**: Positive for GBP, negative for NZD → Favors AUD.
- **IR (Interest Rates)**: Positive for GBP, negative for NZD → Favors AUD.
- **Overall Exogenous Score**: GBP (32.5), NZD (-150).
- **Bias**: Strongly supports AUD.
6. **Conditional Scoring**:
- Positive: GBP (10), NZD (13).
- Negative: GBP (5), NZD (5).
- **Bias**: Slight advantage to NZD on positivity score, but largely neutral.
---
#### Final Bias:
Despite the seasonals favoring NZD, the combined COT, endogenous, and exogenous factors strongly favor AUD.
---
#### Trade Bias: **Buy AUDNZD**
AUDNZD - Look for a short !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDNZD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. My point of interest is imbalance filled + rejection from bearish OB.
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AUD NZD**🚀 T.Y.L.A. Family, Let’s Celebrate! 🏆**
We’ve done it again, team! Despite some challenges with the **XRPUSD** and **Gold** setups, we’ve officially recovered, and *all setups have come into profit!* 🙌 This is the consistency and resilience that sets us apart.
Here’s a quick breakdown of a setup we haven’t revisited in a while:
**Pair:** AUDNZD
📌 Entry: 1.09708
📌 Stop Loss: 1.10463
📌 Take Profit: 1.08299
This week, we’re back on track with it, showing steady progress. As always, **trade cautiously**—especially this week, because it’s **NFP Week!** 🗓️
NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) tends to bring high volatility, so let’s stick to our strategy and remain disciplined. The market rewards patience, and we’re here to grow, not gamble. 💯
Remember, every setback is just a setup for a stronger comeback. Let’s keep pushing forward, staying consistent, and maintaining our focus on steady, sustainable growth.
Cheers to another successful week! 🎉
**Stay locked in and trade smart, T.Y.L.A. fam!**
AUDNZD Analysis - Bullish - Trade 07AUDNZD Analysis Overview
---
1. Seasonality
AUD: Strong **buy** signal for the first week of December, suggesting upward momentum.
NZD: Range-bound signal, indicating weaker performance compared to AUD.
Seasonality Bias: Buy AUDNZD.
---
2. COT Report
AUD:
COT RSI : Decreasing from the top but still indicates bullish positioning.
COT Index : Near the top, signaling strong institutional interest in AUD.
Net Non-Commercial : Increasing, aligning with a buy sentiment.
NZD :
COT RSI : At the bottom (0%), but overall positioning is weak.
COT Index : Bottomed at 0%, reflecting limited institutional support for NZD.
Net Non-Commercial : Decreasing, suggesting bearish momentum.
COT Bias: Buy AUDNZD.
---
3. Fundamental Analysis
Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) :
AUD : Increasing, pointing to improving economic conditions.
NZD : Increasing, but weaker overall impact compared to AUD.
Endogenous Factors:
AUD : Mix to decreasing, but seasonal strength supports AUD’s buy case.
NZD : Increasing, but weaker compared to AUD.
Exogenous Factors :
AUDNZD exogenous signal supports a buy AUD, sell NZD bias.
Fundamental Bias: Buy AUDNZD.
---
4. Technical Analysis
RSI Divergence: Bullish divergence spotted on the 4H timeframe, signaling potential upward movement.
Parallel Channel : Price is at the bottom of a bearish parallel channel, indicating possible reversal to the upside.
Daily Support : Currently holding above a strong daily support zone, reinforcing the bullish setup.
Technical Bias: Buy AUDNZD.
---
Final Bias: Buy AUDNZD
All factors—seasonality, COT data, fundamentals, and technicals—align in favor of a BUY setup for AUDNZD. This pair shows potential for upward movement, supported by strong economic and technical signals.
AUDNZD FORECASTTraders! The lesson that I want to give you today is, try to build the habit of strong reasoning before making any decision to execute position. Make sure you have a good thought process by starting to build the portifolio of evidence from the higher timeframe to lower timeframe. Always trade process is key.
AUDNZD BullishTechnical Analysis
Divergence:
The RSI divergence on the 4-hour AUD/NZD chart suggests a potential reversal or slowing of the downtrend.
The price has made lower lows, while the RSI shows higher lows, indicating bullish divergence. This is a sign of weakening bearish momentum and the possibility of a reversal or consolidation.
Support Zone:
The price is hovering around a strong horizontal support level (yellow line). This area has previously acted as a support, increasing the likelihood of a bounce.
Volume:
Declining volume in the downtrend indicates weak bearish pressure, which further supports the case for a reversal.
Fundamental Analysis Bias
AUD Fundamentals (Strong):
COT RSI data for the AUD shows higher percentages across 13, 26, and 52-week periods, indicating strong speculative positioning for AUD. This reflects a positive sentiment toward AUD
.
NZD Fundamentals (Weak):
NZD COT RSI values are significantly lower, showing weakness in speculative sentiment compared to AUD.
Endogenous Factors (Mixed):
The endogenous factor table shows mixed scores. However, AUD scores are generally less negative or neutral, while NZD has slightly weaker scores. This gives AUD a slight fundamental edge.
Overall Bias:
The AUD/NZD pair's fundamental bias aligns bullish for AUD based on the data. If NZD fundamentals weaken further, this adds to the bullish outlook.
Conclusion and Trade Bias
Technical:
Bullish Divergence + Support Zone: Favor a bounce or reversal in the short term.
Watch for RSI to cross above 50 and confirmation of higher highs in price.
Fundamental:
AUD appears fundamentally stronger than NZD, supporting a medium-term bullish bias for the pair.
Trade Plan
Entry: Consider entering long positions near the current support level if bullish candles form on higher timeframes.
Stop Loss: Place stops slightly below the support zone.
Take Profit: Target previous resistance levels around 1.1050 and 1.1100.
Long tern effect We're about to create another BOS, and for the upcoming days we're going to make huge pull-back for the market to have enough liquidity to go Long.
for this the Market as we see on my chart is doing well and we're going to to wait until the opportunity comes on the right place and on the right time so we can go Long.. This trend will take several weeks to come into our Golden Zone.
Even if you take Fibonacci the number will align well with the strategy there
AUD/NZDhello to all traders, today's currency is in a very beautiful and clean condition, I am waiting for the market to fall, we have a strong sell flow in the big "timeframes", what is your opinion, leave a comment
AUDNZD - Bullish TradeAUDNZD has formed falling wedge reversal pattern with bullish divergence.
Entry is at the breakout of lower high.
Stop loss is below last lower low.
AUD/NZD Analysis: Bullish Momentum Fueled by Institutional PositAUD/NZD shows strong potential for continued upside, supported by large speculators who are holding long positions, as indicated by the latest COT data. This aligns with the typical contrarian dynamic, where retail traders remain predominantly bearish, positioning themselves against the trend.
When retail sentiment is overwhelmingly negative, it often creates an opportunity for institutional players to push prices higher, targeting retail stop-loss orders. This dynamic suggests that AUD/NZD is well-positioned for further gains as institutional buying pressure outweighs the retail skepticism.
With speculators backing the bullish trend and retail traders positioned against it, the pair is primed for sustained upside. Traders should keep an eye on key support zones and potential entry points to capitalize on the continuing bullish momentum.
AUDNZD LongCOT Report
- Non Commercials are reducing net positions in NZD, showing weakness in NZD.
- Non Commercials are increasing net positions in AUD, showing strength in AUD.
Endogenous Factors
- NZD score is falling from +4 to -2 in the last three months
- AUD score is increasing from -3 to 3 in the last three months
Exogenous Factors
- NZD Interest Rate is getting weaker
- AUD Interest Rate is getting stronger
- Overall Exogenous Factors are in favor of AUD against NZD
AUDNZD Will Go Higher From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDNZD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.101.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.105 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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BUY AUDNZDAUDNZD looking long after a breakout of falling channel structure. I will be looking to take profit around 1.055
AUDNZD - One of the key pairs to look at it.This pair and the EURNZD have similar moving patterns. We should keep an eye on it. I suggest executing in the market now and waiting for the key zone levels for re-entries.
Sell AUD/NZD Bearish ChannelThe AUD/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.1005, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0962
2nd Support – 1.0944
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
AUD_NZD LOCAL LONG|
✅AUD_NZD has retested a key support level of 1.0965
And as the pair is already making a bullish rebound
A move up to retest the supply level above at 1.1037 is likely
LONG🚀
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AUDNZD FORECASTTraders! we have a very big potential in this pair, because when we look structures and the price itself we can see it having that edge to drop. We need to look it with a close eye to see how it will reach to the key areas that we have highlighted.
AUDNZD: Bullish Move From Support Explained 🇦🇺🇳🇿
AUDNZD may continue growing after a test of key intraday/daily horizontal support.
As a confirmation, I see an inverted head and shoulders pattern on an hourly.
Goal - 1.1022
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Bearish drop?AUD/NZD has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support level which acts as a pullback support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 1.1020
1st Support: 1.0934
1st Resistance: 1.1088
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