AUD/NZD: Double Trouble - Resistance & Fibonacci Signal BearishAUD/NZD has been confined within a well-defined bearish channel for a considerable period. This indicates a downtrend with a series of lower highs and lower lows. The price has recently reached a key resistance level that coincides with a significant Fibonacci retracement zone between 0.5 and 0.618. This confluence of technical factors suggests a high probability of a bearish breakout.
Key Observations:
Bearish Channel: Price action is clearly trapped within a descending channel, highlighting the ongoing downtrend.
Resistance & Fibonacci Convergence: The current price zone near 1.095450 aligns with both a key resistance level and a critical Fibonacci retracement area (0.5 to 0.618). This confluence strengthens the bearish bias.
Strong Bearish Momentum: Price action at this resistance level exhibits strong bearish momentum, suggesting a potential rejection and continuation of the downtrend.
Trading Recommendation:
Based on the technical observations, a short position on AUD/NZD appears favorable. However, proper risk management is crucial.
Entry: A short position can be initiated on a confirmed break below the channel's lower trendline or a strong bearish candlestick reversal pattern at the current resistance level.
Stop Loss (SL): A stop loss can be placed above the recent swing high or the upper trendline of the bearish channel, depending on your risk tolerance.
Take Profit (TP): Potential take-profit targets can be identified based on Fibonacci extension levels or the measured move of the preceding bearish leg within the channel.
Risk Management:
Remember, always adhere to proper risk management principles. Ensure your stop loss is strategically placed to limit potential losses, and take profit targets should be established based on your risk-reward ratio.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Always conduct your own research and due diligence before making any trading decisions.
