AUDNZD trade ideas
AUDNZD LONGH4 Bias Bullish
H1 Bias Bullish
Price retrace back to H4 broken resistance level. at the level, price was rejected.
a new high was formed with a 4 strong bullish candle closing above a M15 resistance level.
Price also broke the bearish channel trendline.
Set long trade targeting swing high.
AUDNZD entered a period of consolidation as prices fell slightlyAUDNZD entered into a period of consolidation as prices eased in the form of a bull flag pattern. After yesterday’s close, a bullish continuation appears on the cards for the pair despite today’s intraday pullback from the daily high.
A move below 1.0885 suggests a failure of the bullish continuation but as long as prices hold above this marker, the longer-term bullish bias and the prospect of a bullish continuation remains constructive. One thing to keep in mind is the risk of a shorter-term pullback as the RSI approaches overbought once more. Upside target appears at 1.1052 (June 2023 high) and 1.0885 to the downside.
AUDNZD - Harmonic Pattern - Bearish Momentum ExpectedAUDNZD is currently forming a Harmonic Pattern (XABCD) on the chart. The pattern indicates a potential reversal of the current trend, with Point D marking the completion of the pattern. Based on this formation, we anticipate a Bearish trend momentum to follow from Point D.
Entry and Stop Loss:
Entry: 1.09480
Stop Loss: 1.09850
Take Profit Targets:
TP-1: 1.09100
TP-2: 1.08745
TP-3: 1.08370
Rationale:
The entry point of 1.09480 aligns with the anticipated reversal from Point D of the Harmonic Pattern. The stop loss at 1.09850 is set to mitigate potential losses in case the market moves against the expected bearish momentum.
For take-profit targets, TP-1 at 1.09100, TP-2 at 1.08745, and TP-3 at 1.08370 are strategically placed to capture potential downward movements in the market, considering key support levels and Fibonacci retracement levels.
Risk Management:
It is crucial to adhere to proper risk management principles while trading this setup. Position sizing should be adjusted to ensure that potential losses are within acceptable limits relative to the trading account size.
Conclusion:
Based on the analysis of the Harmonic Pattern and associated entry and exit points, we anticipate a Bearish trend momentum in AUDNZD from Point D. Traders should monitor the price action closely and execute the trade according to their risk tolerance and trading strategy.
Will We SELL Off Again @ 1.105 ??This pair has been stuck in a range between 1.105 & 1.055 for nearly 2 years and has just broke out of the short term resistance @1.095
The next logical move now is for the pair to test the top of the 2 year range above 1.10 and as it does this is where I will be looking for SELL setups.
The daily chart below gives you a clearer picture of the 2 year range and also shows you (red arrows) the 2 attempts made last year to break above 1.105 both ended up in a heavy reaction and price dropping back down to the bottom of the range.
If you zoom out the Monthly charts (image below) you can see the AUDNZD has been stuck in a longer term range between 1.14 -1.02.
This could indicate that buyers may look to push up through the 1.105 level though the Monthly chart above shows that this level has always been a hard nut to crack and there always seems to be a reaction here.
This is what I fully expect to occur I will look for short term SELL setups first looking to target the previous resistance @ 1.085 for profit taking.
This is a very basic range trading setup and would be invalidated if we get a weekly or monthly close above 1.105 as if this occurs a move up to 1.14 is highly likely.
Let me know what you think in the comment section below
AUDNZD: Channel Down top rejection.AUDNZD is marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.715, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 36.182) as it started pulling back after the price got rejected at the top of the June-initiated Channel Down. All same RSI based pullbacks hit at least the 0.618 Fibonacci level and declined by at least -2.62%. Under those conditions, we are short on AUDNZD, targeting the closest of the two levels, the 0.618 Fib (TP = 1.07200).
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