AUDUSD.1.MINI trade ideas
Bullish trend on AUDUSDWith the dxy showing bearish momentum whilst AUD dollar showing some strength, it would be a good idea to buy AUDUSD off this trendline.
Fed messaging leaves something for everyone | FX ResearchThe FED decision has come and gone, and in the end, no major surprises. As expected, the central bank left rates on hold, with most of the market reaction coming from the Fed chair presser.
Jerome Powell gave something to everyone, leaving the net results rather balanced. On one side, he said the central bank was in no rush to cut rates, fueling hawkish sentiment and US dollar buying. On the other, he noted that rates remained meaningfully above the neutral rate, suggesting more rate cuts could be in the pipeline, leading to some offsetting dollar selling.
On politics, Powell, as expected, avoided commenting on the new administration’s policies, deferring instead to a wait-and-see approach and data dependency.
The market appears to be giving a slight edge to the doves, reflected in the overall risk-on reaction and higher US equities.
Earlier today in Australia, NAB adjusted its call for the RBA to cut rates in February instead of March, citing softer inflation data. In New Zealand, business confidence slumped.
Key events ahead on Thursday’s calendar include German import prices, German GDP, BoE consumer credit, UK mortgage approvals, Eurozone GDP, Eurozone unemployment, Eurozone sentiment data, the ECB policy decision, US GDP, initial jobless claims, and pending home sales.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
Ghost's AUD/USD LTF Setup [LONG]Trump is signing executive orders in 3 hours, price has been very choppy today and looks at face value like it's about to mirror the move down back up, however, the risk of trump mentioning or doing anything with Tariffs is high and for that reason I think it's possible the liquidity below around .621 may get manipulated before the move up.
AUDUSD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.62100 zone, AUDUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.62100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDUSD - 4H Why we need to Buy?!The FX:AUDUSD has shown strong bullish momentum after hunting liquidity below the 2022 low on the daily and weekly timeframes.
✅ Breakout & Retest: The pair successfully broke the descending channel's resistance and is now pulling back to the breakout zone, confirming its strength.
✅ Higher High Formation: A higher high structure supports the bullish bias, indicating potential continuation towards previous highs and beyond.
📌 I expect another bullish push from this key support zone.
🔔 Follow for real-time updates!
AUDUSD: Bullish Forecast & Bullish Scenario
The recent price action on the AUDUSD pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bullish one and I think we will see the price go up.
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AUDUSD Wait for the price leave the consolidation zone.
If it comes out in Long, wait for the retest in the support and look to enter in Long.
If it goes short, wait for the Retest at resistance and look to go short.
WILL BULLISH ORDER CANDLE ABLE TO REVERSE AUDUSD?AUDUSD pair now hovering over the bullish order candle. Will this be sufficient for the pair's bullish reversal to test its recent swing high? Goto LTF to establish bullish market structure; else, pair may still go further down.
N.B!
- AUDUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#audusd
AUDUSD SELL 15 MINUTE TIME FRAMESTRONG SUPPLY ZONE
Look how price keep making lower highs and breaking structure
Expecting a 4:1 Risk to Reward
Let’s see!
Bearish drop?AUD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6262
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6324
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Take profit: 0.6176
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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Australian dollar extends losses on soft Aussie CPIThe Australian dollar is down for a third straight trading day and has declined 1.3% this week. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6228, down 0.37% on the day.
Australia's annual inflation rate dropped to 2.4% in the fourth quarter of 2024 from 2.8% in Q3. This was below the market estimate of 2.5% and was the lowest reading since Q1 2023. Electricity prices were sharply lower due to an energy bill rebate and services inflation dropped to 4.3% from 4.6%, its lowest level in three quarters. On a quarterly basis, CPI remained unchanged at 0.2% in Q4, below the market estimate of 0.3%.
The Reserved Bank of Australia's trimmed mean CPI, a key indicator of underlying inflation, slowed to 0.5% q/q in Q4, lower than 0.8% in Q3 and below the market estimate of 0.6%. Annually, trimmed mean CPI fell to 3.2%, compared to a revised 3.6% in Q3 and below the market estimate of 3.3%.
The soft inflation report has raised expectations that the RBA will lower rates at the Feb. 18 meeting, with the market pricing in a quarter-point cut at 80%. That would bring the cash rate to 4.10%, its lowest since Oct. 2023. Today's inflation report has added significance as it is the final tier-1 event prior to next month's rate meeting.
Investors are awaiting the Federal Reserve's rate announcement later today, although it would be a massive surprise if the Fed did not maintain the current benchmark interest rate of 4.25%-4.5%. The Fed has cut rate three consecutive times, including a jumb0 half-point chop in September 2024, but the resilient US economy has stalled plans to aggressively lower rates further and currently the Fed is projected to cut rates only once or twice in 2025.
AUD/USD is testing support at 0.6228. Below, there is support at 0.6204
0.6262 and 0.6286 are the next resistance lines
Waiting for some buyers to appear and sellJust waiting for some buyers to appear so sell can start to appear, clearly
AUD/USD Resistance Rejection and Bearish OutlookAUD/USD represents the Australian Dollar against the US Dollar in the forex market. The current price is 0.62300, with a target price of 0.60000, indicating a bearish outlook. The expected price drop suggests a potential gain of 200+ pips if the trade moves as anticipated. The analysis is based on the support and resistance pattern, a key concept in technical trading. The price has reached a strong resistance level and is facing rejection, signaling selling pressure. A rejection at resistance often indicates a shift in momentum, leading to a possible downward move. Traders anticipate the price to decline toward the next support level at 0.60000. This setup suggests bearish dominance as long as resistance holds. If the price fails to break above resistance, further downside movement is likely. Proper risk management is crucial, as market conditions can change.
AUD/USD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
Bullish trend on AUD/USD, defined by the green colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is oversold based on the BB lower band proximity, makes me expect a bullish rebound from the support line below and a retest of the local target above at 0.625.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
AUDUSD SELL ANALYSIS RISING WEDGE PATTERN Here on Audusd price form a rising wedge pattern and now likely to fall so trader should go for short with expect profit target of 0.62319 and 0.61879 . Use money management
posibility of uptrendIt is expected that after some fluctuation and correction, the upward trend will begin and will continue to the specified Fibonacci levels.
AUD/USD Sell-Off Continues! More Pain Ahead? The AUD/USD pair is showing clear signs of bearish continuation as price respects a higher timeframe Fair Value Gap (FVG), rejecting attempts to push higher. Additionally, high-impact news against the Australian Dollar has accelerated downside momentum, reinforcing the bearish bias.
Key Observations:
✅ HTF FVG Respect – Price reacted strongly to the daily FVG, showing a rejection pattern.
✅ Bearish Momentum – Fundamentals align with technicals, pushing AUD lower.
✅ Sell-Side Liquidity Target – Eyes on 0.61305 as a major liquidity grab zone.
Trade Outlook:
Expect further downside movement, but watch for potential retracements into the FVG before continuation lower. If price remains below 0.62703, the probability of a deeper sell-off increases.
DYOR and manage risk accordingly! 📉🔥
Soft AU inflation figures likely cements RBA cut AUD/USD escaped a short-covering rally on Wednesday, as softer-than-expected Q4 inflation figures could justify the 25bp RBA cut that money markets were already pricing in. I take a quick look at the key inflation measures and AUD/USD.
Matt Simpson, market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
BUY AUDUSDIn todays session we are monitoring AUDUSD for buying opportunities. The low is locked in at 0.62280 (possible low of the day). Our entries are at 0.6233 and targets are at 0.63177 (Expected high of the day). Our stop loss is at 0.6214. Use proper risk management and best of luck folks.
Wed 29th Jan 2025 AUD/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being an AUD/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
