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AUD/USD (OANDA EU Clients)

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Market Analysis: AUD/USD Trim Gains, Are Bears Back?Market Analysis: AUD/USD Trim Gains, Are Bears Back? AUD/USD declined below the 0.6720 and 0.6700 support levels. Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today - The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline from well above the 0.6700 level against the US Dollar. - There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6660 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen. AUD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to clear the 0.6765 zone. The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline below the 0.6720 support against the US Dollar. The pair even settled below 0.6700 and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a clear move below 0.6670. A low was formed at 0.6640 and the pair is now consolidating losses. On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the 0.6660 level. There is also a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6660. The next major resistance is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6767 swing high to the 0.6641 low at 0.6670, above which the price could rise toward 0.6700. Any more gains might send the pair toward the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6767 swing high to the 0.6641 low at 0.6720. A close above the 0.6720 level could start another steady increase in the near term. The next major resistance on the AUD/USD chart could be 0.6765. On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6640 zone. The next support sits at 0.6620. If there is a downside break below 0.6620, the pair could extend its decline. The next support could be 0.6550. Any more losses might send the pair toward the 0.6500 support. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
THOUGHTS ON AUD/USDAUD/USD 1H - I am expecting some bullish structure from this pair and we have recently been delivered with a penetration of a Demand Zone that has stopped price in its tracks. This has caused price to consolidate and actually accumulate, it looks as though price is in prep for the next move to the upside so it will be interesting to see what happens over the coming ours. In order for us to be able to look to go long in this market, we need to have confirmation that the bearish structure that drove price lower has finished and a new trend trading price to the upside is ready to take place. Its important that we wait for this confirmation before we look to place anything as it will increase our probability of being successful. I will be waiting for a BOS to the upside, looking for a break in the last protected high before we look to buy in.
Long
by Lukegforex
AUDUSD H4 | Bullish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 0.6632, which is a pullback support close to 161.8% Fibo extension Our take profit will be at 0.6685, an overlap resistance. The stop loss will be placed at 0.6592, which is an overlap support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
AUDUSD - Head and Shoulders for .6530AUDUSD made a bullish move from .6348 to .6824. Price has since broken the uptrend and formed a new lower high, which is a clear change of character . The resultant pattern formed is a Head and Shoulders . The sloped Neckline is apparent, which has been broken and now is acting as resistance. On a lower time frame , this minor consolidation will form a descending triangle. The H&S is a reversal pattern , and a projected target can be obtained by the height of the Head. With this , the target is .6530 , which coincides with the Fibonacci .618 retracement level. The current bias is short.
Short
by Umlingo
1
AUDUSD InsightHello to all subscribers! Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe. Concerns about an economic recession due to the poor U.S. employment data released last week seem to have been mostly priced into the market. Currently, the focus is on the U.S. August Consumer Price Index (CPI), and the market expects the CPI to rise by 2.6%, showing a significant slowdown compared to the previous month. This week, the European Central Bank (ECB) will also announce its interest rate decision. Bloomberg reported that the ECB is likely to cut rates, citing the slowdown in wage growth and inflation in the Eurozone, with inflation falling to 2.2%. Meanwhile, in Australia, the GDP growth rate for the 2023-2024 fiscal year was 1.5%, the lowest in 32 years. This is interpreted as an economic slowdown due to high interest rates, increasing pressure for a rate cut. However, the July Consumer Price Index, recently released, was 3.5%, falling short of the Reserve Bank of Australia's desired range of 2-3%. Therefore, the market expects the Australian central bank to delay rate cuts until December. - September 11: UK July GDP, U.S. August Consumer Price Index will be announced. - September 12: ECB interest rate decision, U.S. August Producer Price Index will be released. - September 17: U.S. August retail sales data will be released. The AUDUSD appears to have faced resistance at the recent high and is nearing the expected bounce point around the 0.66000 line. Based on the current price, there may be a slight further decline, but a rebound is expected, potentially rising to the 0.69000 level. However, if the 0.66000 line is broken, there is a high likelihood of a drop to the 0.64000 level. If this happens, I will quickly revise and update the strategy.
Long
by shawntime_academy
BUY AUDUSD uptrend continuation STOP LOSS : 0.6580BUY AUDUSD uptrend continuation STOP LOSS : 0.6580 There is a strong trend on the daily time frame and all that have happened in the past days was just consolidation ( or trend pull back before continuation) ..... The daily time frame is showing strength continuation from this level of support and resistance so we are looking for the trend to push forward from here ..... TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with…….trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here
Long
by BALE_FX
AUDUSD SELLMy view on AUDUSD: Daily TF we have a nice Head And Shoulder patern. Price needs to retest the neckline, together with the last structure point: 0.67000. The 4HR needs to shift bullish and go back to the zone. As soon we get to the zone we need a bearish shift of structure to have the daily and the 4HR bearish. After that 4HR shift we need a LT pullback. If the pullback is bullish then we wait for a bearish shift of structure and a bearish engulfing candlestick. If the trend was allready bearish, then we only have to wait for a bearish engulfing candlestick
Short
by RioRichardson
2
AUDUSD next move(expecting bearish move)FOREXCOM:AUDUSD as you can see price is in the bearish Triangle it means price can fall to the bottom of the triangle also regular bearish divergence and SMA100 indicates it now price can decreasing to the bottom of the triangle . ✨Traders, if you liked this idea or have your opinion on it, write in the comments, We will be glad. _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Short
by CobraVanguard
2
AUD/USD Weakens Toward 0.6745 and Rising USDThe AUD/USD pair is losing further ground, trading around 0.6745 during the early European session on Tuesday. The Australian Dollar is under pressure due to a widening Current Account deficit in the second quarter, which has dampened sentiment. This economic backdrop, coupled with a modest uptick in the US Dollar and a broader decline in risk appetite, is weighing on the pair. Market Focus Shifts to US Economic Data As the market shifts its focus to upcoming top-tier US economic data, the AUD/USD pair is likely to remain volatile. Investors are closely watching these releases for further clues on the direction of the US Dollar, which has been showing signs of strength. Technical Analysis: Bearish Signals Align From a technical perspective, the AUD/USD pair has recently rebounded from a key Supply area, suggesting that the upward momentum may be stalling. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report adds another layer to the bearish outlook, showing that retail traders are predominantly bullish on the AUD, a contrarian signal that often suggests potential downside. Additionally, the presence of divergence and a seasonal bearish pattern further supports the case for continued weakness in the AUD/USD pair. These factors combined indicate that the pair may continue to struggle in the near term. Trading Strategy: Scalping with a 1:1 Risk-Reward Ratio Given the current market conditions and the technical setup, a scalp entry with a 1:1 risk-reward ratio could be a prudent approach. While the ideal entry point higher up may have been missed, the ongoing bearish signals provide an opportunity for a short-term trade. Traders looking to capitalize on the continued weakness of the AUD/USD pair might consider this strategy, especially as the pair hovers near key support levels. Conclusion: Bearish Outlook Amid Economic and Technical Headwinds The AUD/USD pair faces several headwinds, including a widening Australian Current Account deficit, a stronger US Dollar, and unfavorable technical signals. As the pair continues to lose ground, traders should remain cautious and look for opportunities to capitalize on the bearish trend, particularly in light of upcoming US economic data that could further influence the pair’s direction. ✅ Please share your thoughts about AUD/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
3
AUDUSD Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 The Australian Dollar to US Dollar exchange rate (AUDUSD) has recently broken through significant support levels on both daily and 4-hour charts. This breach suggests a potential continuation of the downward trend, aligning with the broader market sentiment. Based on this, I expect the pair may test its previous lows, as indicated on the chart, before potentially retracing to a point of equilibrium. My trading approach for this scenario involves patience. I plan to wait for a bullish pullback and position myself for a potential sell opportunity when the price reaches the 50-61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, which could provide an attractive entry point for a short position. It's important to emphasize that this analysis is based on probabilities rather than certainties. Waiting for clear price confirmation before entering any trades is crucial, as detailed in the accompanying video. This analysis provides an in-depth look at the current trend, market structure, and price behavior. Please note that this information is provided for educational purposes only. Trading carries significant risks, and implementing robust risk management strategies should always be a top priority. 📈✅
by tradingwithanthony
AUDUSD H1 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 0.6687, which is an overlap resistance and a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit will be at 0.6641, a pullback support level close to 161.8% Fibo extension The stop loss will be at 0.6731, a pullback resistance level and above 61.8% Fibo retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
Head and Shoulders Pattern on AUD/USD On the AUD/USD chart, we are seeing a clear Head and Shoulders pattern , which is a strong indication of a potential bearish reversal. This pattern consists of three peaks, with the middle peak (the "Head") being the highest, and the two smaller peaks (the "Shoulders") on either side. Key Points: Left Shoulder: Formed , marking the first peak before the minor decline. Head: The highest peak , indicating the strongest upward move before the market turned lower. Right Shoulder: The second smaller peak has formed, suggesting the bearish momentum is resuming. Neckline: The neckline, which connects the two troughs. A break below this line would confirm the bearish reversal pattern.
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Short
by rebenga93
8