Major resistance ahead?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.6512
1st Support: 0.6466
1st Resistance: 0.6545
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AUDUSD trade ideas
Audusd setup Here's a bullish analysis on AUD/USD (generic and adaptable to most timeframes; if you want it based on a specific chart or timeframe, let me know):
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📈 AUD/USD Bullish Analysis
1. Support Zone Holding Strong:
AUD/USD has established a firm support level around where price has bounced multiple times.
Recent price action shows a double bottom or rounded base formation, indicating demand buildup.
2. Bullish Trendline Formation:
A new higher low structure is forming, suggesting a shift in momentum.
Price is respecting a short-term ascending trendline, signaling continued buying interest.
3. Breakout Confirmation:
A bullish breakout above the 0.6650 resistance opens room for an upward move.
Next target levels: 0.6700 and 0.6780.
4. RSI & Momentum Indicators:
RSI trending above 50, showing strength.
Bullish divergence on momentum indicators confirms possible upside continuation.
5. Fundamentals (Optional Context):
AUD supported by improving risk sentiment and commodity strength (especially iron ore and gold).
USD weakening slightly due to lower rate hike expectations from the Fed.
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🎯 Bullish Targets:
Entry zone: 0.6620–0.6640
Target 1: 0.6700
Target 2: 0.6780
Stop-loss: Below support
AUDUSD(20250617)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Revised version of the Republican tax cut bill in the US Senate: It is planned to raise the debt ceiling to 5 trillion, and the overall framework is consistent with the House version.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
0.6512
Support and resistance levels:
0.6597
0.6566
0.6545
0.6480
0.6459
0.6428
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 0.6545, consider buying, and the first target price is 0.6566
If the price breaks through 0.6512, consider selling, and the first target price is 0.6480
AUD/USD Aims Steady IncreaseAUD/USD Aims Steady Increase
AUD/USD started a decent increase above the 0.6450 and 0.6500 levels.
Important Takeaways for AUD USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar rebounded after forming a base above the 0.6400 level against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6510 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.6450 support. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear the 0.6500 resistance to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.
There was a close above the 0.6500 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 0.6535 zone. A high was formed near 0.6533 and the pair recently started a consolidation phase.
There was a move below the 0.6520 level. The pair dipped below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6489 swing low to the 0.6533 high.
On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6510 level. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6510. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6489 swing low to the 0.6533 high.
The next major support is near the 0.6480 zone. If there is a downside break below the 0.6480 support, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6450 level.
Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6420. On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near 0.6535. The first major resistance might be 0.6550. An upside break above the 0.6580 resistance might send the pair further higher.
The next major resistance is near the 0.6600 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6650 resistance zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AUDUSD - Medium term prediction - 16/06/25For AUD/USD here (0.6487) I’d peg the odds roughly at:
Rally above 0.6943 first ~60%
Drop below 0.6031 first ~40%
Why a tilt to the upside?
Higher-low structure: Since last year’s low near 0.594, price has formed progressively higher retracements (0.620 → 0.635 → 0.648).
Momentum: Daily candles have been predominantly bullish with shallow pullbacks, and there’s room before any clear overbought signals.
Mid‐range flip: The 0.6031 zone has held as support and the current range midpoint (~0.649) has been reclaimed on a sustained basis—suggesting buyers are in control through the mid‐band.
AUDUSD Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis.
Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you.
Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
Potential bearish drop?AUD/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6498
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.6519
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.6468
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
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AUDUSD → Correction after a false breakout before growthFX:XAUUSD continues to rise amid uncertainty surrounding the dollar, which continues to consolidate. The currency pair is preparing to test resistance at 0.6537
The dollar is stuck in place due to market uncertainty. At the same time, the Australian dollar is strengthening and is ready to test the liquidity zone
Within the current trend, the currency pair is heading towards resistance and the liquidity zone. We opened far away, and as we move towards the target, the potential for further growth may end. A false breakout of 0.6537 could trigger a correction
Resistance levels: 0.6537
Support levels: 0.6509, 0.6479
A sharp move towards resistance without the possibility of further growth could cause a false breakout of 0.6537. Price consolidation below this level could trigger a correction before growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Sell Limit Setup above 2025 High📉 AUD/USD – 2H Chart Analysis
🕒 Published: June 16, 2025 | TF: 2H
🔔 Trade Idea: 2x Sell Limit at Key Resistance Zone
🔹 Market Context:
Price is trading within a rising broadening wedge pattern (marked by the white and blue trendlines).
Current rally retraced aggressively toward upper wedge resistance (2025 High), an area that has repeatedly capped bullish momentum.
Price approaching previous supply zone.
🔻 Sell Limit Setup 1
Entry: 0.65400
SL: 0.6584
TP: 0.6503
R:R ≈ 1
➕ Fades rally into resistance
➕ Aligns with EMA structure and intraday exhaustion
🔻 Sell Limit Setup 2
Entry: 0.6550
SL: 0.6584
TP: 0.6499
R:R ≈ 2
➕ Higher entry into wick zone (liquidity trap)
➕ Potential false breakout above structure
➕ SL above key swing high = cleaner invalidation
⚠️ Aggressive short: smaller SL, better RR
Potential bearish breakout?AUD/USD is falling towards a support level, which acts as a pullback support. A breakout below this level could lead the price to drop further towards our take-profit target
Entry: 0.6533
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.6560
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.6492
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDUSDDOLLAR INDEX on a dramatic twist of reversal on friday june 13th 00;00 time asian session at demand floor 97.621.
dollar reclaims 98.360 by londom session putting pressures on EURUSD,AUDUSD ,USDJPY,GBPUSD ,NZDUSD.
3:00pm
USD
Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment
53.5 52.2
USD
Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations
6.6%
The University of Michigan (UoM) Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations data will influence the US Dollar Index (DXY) and Federal Reserve policy expectations based on whether the prints exceed or miss forecasts.
Scenario 1: Better-Than-Expected Data
Consumer Sentiment greater than 53.5 and Inflation Expectations > 6.6%:
DXY Reaction: Likely to rise as stronger sentiment and sticky inflation expectations reduce odds of near-term Fed rate cuts. Traders may price out dovish bets, supporting the dollar.
Fed Implications: Elevated inflation expectations (above 6.6%) would reinforce the Fed’s cautious stance, delaying rate cuts until late 2025 or 2026.
Key Levels: DXY could retest 99.206 –99.00 resistance.
Scenario 2: Worse-Than-Expected Data
Consumer Sentiment less than 53.5 and Inflation Expectations < 6.6%:
DXY Reaction: Likely to decline as softer sentiment and easing inflation fears boost bets on Fed rate cuts. Markets could price in a September cut more aggressively.
Fed Implications: Lower inflation expectations (e.g., 6.0–6.5%) would align with recent CPI/PPI cooling, giving the Fed confidence to ease policy sooner.
Key Levels: DXY may drop toward 97.954
Scenario 3: Mixed Data
Sentiment beats, inflation misses (or vice versa):
DXY Reaction: Range-bound or choppy. For example, higher sentiment but lower inflation could offset, keeping DXY in a range bound
Fed Implications: The Fed would emphasize the inflation component over sentiment, as price expectations directly influence policy.
Contextual Factors
Recent Trends: May’s UoM sentiment hit a 2025 low (50.8), while 1-year inflation expectations spiked to 7.3% (later revised to 6.6%). June’s data will test whether inflation fears are easing.
Fed’s Focus: The Fed views inflation expectations as critical to actual inflation trends. A sustained rise above 6% could delay cuts despite softer CPI/PPI.
Broader Risks: Trade tensions (Trump’s tariffs) and political pressure on the Fed add volatility to dollar dynamics.
Conclusion
The dollar’s reaction hinges most critically on inflation expectations. A print above 6.6% would signal lingering price pressures, bolstering the Fed’s hawkish resolve and supporting DXY. Conversely, a drop below 6.0% could accelerate dollar selling as markets bet on earlier easing. Traders should also watch for revisions to May’s inflation expectations (previously revised down from 7.3% to 6.6%), which could amplify volatility.
#audusd
AUDUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W25 D16 Y25AUDUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W25 D16 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside intraday confirmation & breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 🔥
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅4H Order block identified
✅1H Order block identified
✅15’ order block
✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Audusd 1h📅 June 11, 2025
📣 Forex Signal – AUD/USD
🧭 Timeframe, Setup & Zone:
1h (analysis), 30m (confirmation)
Price is testing a strong supply zone that has historically triggered sharp bearish reversals. This area aligns with the 88.6% Fibonacci retracement, often signaling exhaustion of bullish momentum. Candlestick structure shows weakening buying pressure, with upper shadows and diminishing volume. This sell limit setup targets a high-probability reversal zone with attractive risk-reward potential.
🎯 Setup:
Entry 0.65248
SL 0.65348 (−10.0 pips)
TP1 0.65103 (+14.5 pips) – scalping
TP2 0.64935 (+31.3 pips) – primary
TP3 0.64771 (+47.7 pips) – intraday
TP4 0.64586 (+66.2 pips) – swing
TP5 0.63945 (+130.3 pips) – extended
(RR: 1:1.4 / 3.1 / 4.8 / 6.6 / 13.0)
📊 Indicators (30m):
• RSI shows momentum flattening near the overbought zone, signaling potential reversal
• Stochastic is in overbought territory, preparing a bearish crossover – early signal of seller dominance
📰 Fundamentals & Sentiment:
• AUD remains under pressure from weak export data and concerns over China’s economic slowdown
• USD is steady ahead of tonight’s US CPI release – stronger inflation could boost USD demand
• Short-term sentiment favors USD strength, especially with supportive data
📌 Summary:
The entry zone is a key technical supply area, backed by bearish signals from both price action and indicators. With market sentiment leaning toward USD strength, this setup is ideal for a calculated sell limit strategy targeting both intraday and swing potential.
⚙️ Risk Management:
• Entry is active only upon touching 0.65248
• Max risk: 1–2% of total account balance
• Consider partial profit-taking starting at TP2
#audusd #sell
Could the Aussie bounce from here?The price is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6455
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6407
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 145% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.6513
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDUSD Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.653.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.657.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUD/USD Bearish Setup – Rejection from Supply ZoneAUD/USD is showing signs of bearish pressure after getting rejected from the key 0.65420 supply zone, marked by strong historical resistance and a high-volume node. Price tested this area multiple times but failed to break above, forming a potential lower high – a classic signal of institutional distribution.
🔵 Key Levels:
Resistance (Supply Zone): 0.65420
Mid-range support: 0.65040
Demand Zone: 0.64649 – 0.64400
🔻 Bearish Outlook: If price holds below 0.65420, we anticipate a drop first toward 0.65040, and potentially down to 0.64649, where a demand zone is likely to react. The previous bounce from demand suggests smart money accumulation below.
📌 Watch for:
Bearish engulfing or rejection wick candles near 0.65400.
Break below 0.65040 to confirm short continuation.
Confluence with macroeconomic events (FOMC, US data on the 17th–18th).
💬 Are you shorting AUD/USD from the supply zone? Drop your thoughts👇
#AUDUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #SupplyDemand #PriceAction #LuxAlgo #ForexTrading #TradingView #MarketStructure
AUDUSD TECHNICALS AND FUNDAMENTALS DETAILED ANALYSISAUDUSD has officially broken out of a multi-week ascending triangle structure, and momentum is now building for a bullish continuation. The price is currently trading around 0.6533 after a strong breakout above the 0.6520 resistance zone. This consolidation was forming higher lows, signaling accumulation and bullish intent. The clean breakout above the horizontal resistance confirms buyers are in control. With this pattern validated, my short-term target is 0.6700–0.6750, aligning with the measured move projection.
From a macro perspective, AUD is gaining strength due to a divergence in monetary policy outlooks. The Reserve Bank of Australia remains hawkish, supported by sticky inflation data and a tight labor market, while the Federal Reserve has recently hinted at a dovish turn, acknowledging signs of economic slowdown. Additionally, a weaker U.S. dollar index (DXY) and rising commodity prices—especially iron ore and copper—are tailwinds for the Australian dollar. These fundamental shifts are reinforcing the bullish technical breakout.
On the 8H chart, the ascending triangle is a clear signal of bullish pressure. The zone around 0.6450–0.6520 acted as strong demand during the consolidation phase. A successful breakout retest of this zone could offer secondary entry opportunities. The risk-reward ratio is attractive, with a defined invalidation below the trendline and a target extending toward yearly highs near 0.6750.
This setup stands out as high-probability. With bullish price action, supportive fundamentals, and risk-on sentiment returning across FX majors, AUDUSD is primed for further upside. I’m holding long with conviction, expecting continuation toward the projected breakout target. This trade aligns with current market structure, trend strength, and macro drivers—perfect timing in a trending market environment.