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Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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AUDUSD trade ideas

AUDUSD - Look for a short !!Hello traders! ‼️ This is my perspective on AUDUSD. Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. As we can see price took buy side liquidity and now it's in bearish OB, I expect to see BOS on lower timeframe to open the trade. Fundamental news: Upcoming week on Tuesday (GMT+2) we will see results of Cash Rate on AUD and on Thursday (GMT+2) we have Unemployment Rate. News with high impact on currency. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Short
by Snick3rSD
8
Buy the Dips? AUD/USD Eyes 0.65 After BreakoutAs mentioned, I remain bullish on AUD/USD and expect a rise to 0.65. Over the past 10 days, the pair has remained virtually unchanged, fluctuating within a tight 50-pip range between 0.6250 and 0.63. However, yesterday, AUD/USD showed some strength and broke above 0.63. I believe this breakout is genuine, and we could see further acceleration to the upside. My target remains 0.65, and I will stay bullish as long as the 0.62 zone holds. Buying dips should continue to be the preferred strategy. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
4
Will the AUD/USD uptrend continue today?AUD/USD News: 🔆Recent global trade disputes have bolstered risk-sensitive currencies, leading to an uptick in the Australian Dollar as the US Dollar weakened. The Aussie took advantage of the Greenback's decline, recovering from midweek setbacks and briefly reaching the 0.6399 level, the peak of its monthly range. 🔆With inflation easing in Australia, investors are expecting the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to lower interest rates from 4.35% to 4.10% on Tuesday. However, the RBA might adopt a more hawkish stance by emphasizing ongoing labor-market tightness and lingering inflation risks. 🔆As a result, market participants will be paying close attention to the RBA’s statement, as it remains the last of the G10 central banks yet to cut rates. Personal opinion: 🔆AUD will have a technical pullback phase after approaching the overbought RSI (4H) zone. And bounce back when there is a strong support zone of 0.6300 to maintain the uptrend. Analysis: 🔆Based on the trend line combining resistance - support levels and SMA lines to come up with a reasonable strategy Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell AUDUSD 0.6310 – 0.6299 ❌SL: 0.6250 | ✅TP: 0.6350 – 0.6400 – 0.6450 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
3
AUD/USD Triangle Breakout (19.2.25)The AUD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 0.6391 2nd Resistance – 0.6404 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
3
Ghost's AUD/USD Setup [LONG/SHORT]I believe at the moment shorts and longs are valid, shorts on the short-term, longs for the long-term no pun intended. We have an equal low created leaving behind internal liquidity I am expecting to be swept before price can continue higher, 0.617 to me seems to be a strong & critical area of price for the current environment and as such, could be tapped before price continues to .65+. RBA interest rate decision is around the corner & COT positioning is indicating profit take so be careful gang. As it stands right now GTFX is on a 22 win streak, almost 300 pips acquired for 2025 already and a lot more to come.
by Ghost_Traders_FX
4
AUD/USD - TP Smashed Clean. Called it, executed it, and now we’re here. Price respected my SMC setup perfectly—4H structure gave me the bias, 30M refined my entry, and price followed through like clockwork. Saw the inducement, waited for the CHoCH confirmation, and the order block tap was all I needed. Entry was smooth, exit was precise. This is what happens when you trust the process and put in the work daily. Another win locked in. Who’s keeping up? Let’s see if the market’s ready for my next move. #Forex #SmartMoneyConcepts #AUDUSD #PrecisionTrading #MarketMastery Bless Trading!
Long
by Juicemannn
1
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 17 - 21 FebruaryMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: RBA Rates, UK and Canada’s Inflation, Metals, Earnings Reports In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in! In this episode: - RBA Interest Rate Decision - Canada’s Inflation Rate - UK Inflation Rate - Precious Metals Price Fluctuations - Corporate Earnings Statements Don’t miss out—gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey. 🌐 FXOpen official website: www.fxopen.com CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.
by FXOpen
1
AUD/USD Trades Near Year’s High After RBA DecisionAUD/USD Trades Near Year’s High After RBA Decision Today, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) eased monetary policy, cutting the interest rate from 4.35% to 4.10%, according to Forex Factory. As reported by Reuters: → This marks the first easing since the 2020 pandemic; → RBA Governor Michele Bullock stated that market expectations for two more cuts this year are “ambitious”; → The bank’s leadership remains cautious about further easing prospects. While analysts had accurately predicted the February rate cut, AUD/USD saw volatility without a significant move, possibly because market participants are more focused on Trump’s tariff plans, which could impact global trade and Forex markets. Technical Analysis of AUD/USD Today Since mid-December, the AUD/USD pair has mostly traded within the 0.6200–0.6300 range, except for early February’s sharp drop when Trump’s tariff policies shook currency markets. However, demand appears resilient: → After plunging to around 0.6100, the price quickly rebounded into the range; → Arrows highlight rapid recoveries after short-term dips; → A blue ascending trend channel is forming on the chart. These factors suggest growing appeal for the Australian dollar, with the 0.6300 level potentially acting as support going forward. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
AUDUSD. Medium-term analysisHey traders and investors! It might be time to look for buying opportunities in the Australian dollar Weekly Timeframe Analysis The Australian Dollar (AUD) against the US Dollar (USD) has been in a sideways range since January 2023 (point 4 was formed). Range Boundaries: Upper Boundary: 0.71578. Lower Boundary: 0.61702 Range Vector Analysis The last realized range vector 6-7 was a seller's vector, which broke through the lower boundary of the range (0.61702). The weekly volumes of this vector are concentrated at the end of October - early November. Above the 0.65124 level, three weekly bars with increased volume are concentrated. A buyer's vector 7-8 is now forming, with a potential target of 0.69426. In the emerging buyer's vector, there are three bars with increased volume, which may indicate buyer interest at these price levels. The first resistance on the buyer's path on the weekly TF is the level of 0.65124, as above it, volumes are concentrated in the seller's vector, and this price level is slightly below the 50% mark of the last seller's vector. Daily Timeframe Analysis On the daily timeframe, the price has broken through the upper boundary of the range 0.63308, which formed in January. Range Boundaries: Upper Boundary: 0.63308. Lower Boundary: 0.60878 Range Vector Analysis The last realized vector 9-10 was a buyer's vector. The volumes are concentrated in the upper part of the vector. Note the daily bars on February 7 and 12, when the seller tried to start the implementation of their vector 10-11 with increased volume. The buyer absorbed these attempts and, on decreasing volume, broke through the upper boundary of the range 0.63308. Conclusions Buying (buying patterns) should be considered as long as the price remains above the upper boundary of the range on the daily TF - 0.63308 (priority option). This idea aligns with the implementation of the buyer's vector on the weekly TF. Selling (selling patterns) is risky, as the buyer's vector is active on the weekly TF, and the price has exited the range upwards on the daily TF. Even if the seller returns the price to the range on the daily TF, volumes under the lower boundary of the range may trigger a buyer's reaction. I wish you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
AUD/USD "The Aussie Dollar" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the AUD/USD "The Aussie Dollar" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise placing Buy Stop Orders above the breakout MA or Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most re cent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 4H timeframe, SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 0.65100 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: AUD/USD "The Aussie Dollar" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bullish trend., driven by several key factors. 💨 Fundamental Analysis The AUD/USD pair is struggling due to dismal Goods Trade Balance data from Australia, a modest US Dollar uptick, February RBA rate cut bets, and US-China trade war fears. Australia's trade surplus has shrunk to a three-month low, and the latest Q4 Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures showed that headline inflation rose by 2.5% YoY, down from 2.8% in the previous quarter. 💨 Macro Economics The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has kept interest rates at record highs, while the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has trimmed the benchmark interest rate by 100 bps through 2024 and aims to slow the pace of cuts in 2025 . The Australian economy is expected to be affected by the US-China trade war, as China is its biggest export market. 💨 COT Analysis Large speculators and asset managers remain net-long the US dollar index, although the latter has a more convincing bullish view . The Australian Dollar COT Index represents the positioning of large non-commercial (speculator) net positions minus large commercial (hedger) net positions. 💨 Key Takeaways The AUD/USD pair is bearish due to weak Australian data, US Dollar strength, and trade war fears. The RBA is expected to cut interest rates in February, while the Fed is slowing the pace of rate cuts. Large speculators and asset managers remain net-long the US dollar index. 💨 Bullish Factors RBA Rate Cut Priced In: Markets have already priced in a 25 basis point rate cut by the RBA, which could limit the downside potential for AUD/USD. China's Economy Showing Signs of Recovery: China's latest economic data, including the Caixin Services PMI, has shown signs of recovery, which could boost demand for Australian exports and support the AUD. Iron Ore Prices Rising: Iron ore prices have been rising due to supply disruptions and strong demand from China, which could support the AUD. AUD/USD Oversold: The AUD/USD pair is currently oversold, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) below 30, which could lead to a technical bounce. US Dollar Overbought: The US Dollar is currently overbought, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) above 98, which could lead to a correction and support the AUD. Positive Australian Data: Australia's latest economic data, including the Q4 Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the January employment report, has been positive, which could support the AUD. Technical Support: The AUD/USD pair has technical support at 0.6200, which could limit the downside potential. 💨 Bullish Scenarios AUD/USD breaks above 0.6300: A break above 0.6300 could lead to a rally towards 0.6400. RBA surprises with no rate cut: If the RBA surprises markets with no rate cut, the AUD could rally towards 0.6500. China's economy continues to recover: If China's economy continues to show signs of recovery, the AUD could benefit from increased demand for Australian exports. 💨 Market sentiment for AUD/USD is currently bullish, with 76% of traders holding long positions ¹. This is also reflected in IG's client sentiment data, which shows that 78% of client accounts are long on this market However, it's essential to note that market sentiment can change rapidly, and it's crucial to consider other factors, such as technical analysis and fundamental data, when making trading decisions. From a technical perspective, AUD/USD is struggling to capitalize on its recent recovery move from a multi-year low, dropping toward 0.6250 due to dismal Goods Trade Balance data from Australia Fundamentally, the Australian economy is expected to be affected by the US-China trade war, as China is its biggest export market. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has kept interest rates at record highs, while the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has trimmed the benchmark interest rate by 100 bps through 2024 and aims to slow the pace of cuts in 2025 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
7
AUDUSD Bullish AUD/USD has successfully broken a strong resistance level, signaling bullish momentum. After the breakout, we may see a retracement to the previous resistance area, which could now act as support before the next leg up. If buyers continue stepping in, further upside movement is expected. 🔹 Key Levels to Watch: ✅ Support: Retesting the previous resistance zone ✅ Bullish Confirmation: Holding above support could fuel further upside Always follow proper risk management and wait for confirmation before entering trades
Long
by Pipsview_Analysis
AUD/USD: Australian Dollar Strengthens Ahead of RBA DesicionThe Australian dollar has been rising, gaining around 1.5% over the past three sessions against the U.S. dollar. The current bullish movement continues as the market awaits the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) decision in the coming hours. The RBA is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points , bringing the new rate to 4.1%. However, the market has already priced in this decision, as expectations for a rate cut have been consistent for several days. This has allowed upward momentum to persist, as any bearish reaction to the RBA's move may have already been absorbed into the price. Additionally, as the trade war between the U.S. and China escalates, Australia's economic ties with China have strengthened, boosting confidence in the region and supporting a bullish outlook for the Australian dollar. Breakout from Sideways Range Until recently, AUD/USD had been trading within a key range, with resistance at 0.62923 and support at 0.61929. But the recent bullish move has broken through this resistance, leading to stronger buying pressure in the short term. As long as price remains above the upper boundary of this range, the Australian dollar could maintain its upward momentum in the near term. RSI Indicator: Overbought Signals? Not everything is bullish, as the RSI indicator is now approaching 70, the overbought zone. If the RSI remains above this level for the next few sessions, it could signal an imbalance between buyers and sellers, as well as the potential for short-term selling corrections. Key Levels to Watch: 0.61929 – Distant Support: Lower boundary of the previous range. Frequent price oscillations at this level could revive the previous downtrend seen since September 2024. 0.62923 – Key Support: Aligns with the Ichimoku Cloud barrier and the 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA). A tentative level where short-term bearish corrections could occur. 0.64323 – Major Resistance: Corresponds to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. If the bullish bias pushes price toward this level, it could signal the beginning of a stronger uptrend in the short term. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
by FOREXcom